NBA Win Probability Game Box Scores

NBA Win Probability Box Scores (click here for LIVE graphs)

Real Time? Pre Game Odds?

winProb
gameTime
fourFactors
pace
on/off
misc

Dallas Mavericks	114		Excitement	8.9 [72]		MVP	Klay Thompson (DAL): +66.0%
LA Clippers	110		Comeback	3.9 [38]		LVP	Brandon Williams (DAL): -17.1%

Dallas Mavericks
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Klay Thompson	0.66	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,0.02,0.09,0.09,0.18,0.18,0.18,0.19,0.19,0.25,0.36,0.51,0.44,0.44,0.66,0.66	0.20	0.45	-0.00	13	82%	0.66	0	0.00	2	50%	-0.00
Cooper Flagg	0.27	0,0,0.01,0.02,0.02,0.04,0.02,0.03,0.04,0.04,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.06,0.04,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.04,0.07,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.12,0.18,0.18,0.18,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.11,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0.07,0.18,0.27	0.13	0.15	0.01	22	64%	0.40	3	-0.13	11	82%	0.05
Naji Marshall	0.18	0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.06,0.06,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.11,0.11,0.09,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.18,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.18	0.12	0.06	0.00	11	69%	0.18	0	0.00	4	100%	0.03
Dwight Powell	0.12	0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.12	0.06	0.05	-0.00	4	75%	0.15	1	-0.03	4	75%	-0.05
Moussa Cisse	0.02	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02	0.02	0.00	0.00	2	67%	0.02	0	0.00	2	100%	0.01
Jaden Hardy	-0.04	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04	-0.03	-0.01	0.00	2	0%	-0.04	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Ryan Nembhard	-0.05	0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.04,0.06,0.03,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05	-0.02	-0.03	-0.00	8	50%	0.02	2	-0.06	0	0%	0.00
Max Christie	-0.08	0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.03,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.08,-0.1,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08	-0.08	-0.00	-0.00	9	17%	-0.08	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Caleb Martin	-0.15	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.1,-0.1,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15	-0.10	-0.05	-0.01	5	0%	-0.13	1	-0.02	0	0%	0.00
Brandon Williams	-0.17	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.03,0.07,0.07,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.04,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.05,-0.11,-0.17,-0.17,-0.17,-0.17	-0.02	-0.14	0.01	14	42%	-0.14	1	-0.03	5	80%	0.02

LA Clippers
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
John Collins	0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.16,0.13,0.17,0.17,0.17,0.17,0.17,0.17,0.17,0.17,0.17,0.17,0.38,0.38,0.38	0.38	0.18	0.20	0.00	10	95%	0.41	1	-0.03	2	100%	0.01
Ivica Zubac	0,0,0.03,0.03,0.04,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.05,0.05,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.01,0.01,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.06,0.06,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14	0.14	0.09	0.08	0.02	12	70%	0.25	2	-0.10	3	100%	0.04
Kawhi Leonard	0,0,0,0.02,0.03,0.03,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,-0.01,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.12,0.09,0.09,0.11,0.14,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.19,0.15,0.31,0.28,0.28,0.28,0.28,0.28,0.28,0.17,0.07	0.07	0.14	-0.06	0.00	20	64%	0.14	2	-0.07	7	100%	0.07
Kobe Brown	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04	-0.04	-0.03	-0.02	-0.01	5	50%	0.01	2	-0.05	0	0%	0.00
Kris Dunn	0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.14,-0.14,-0.04,-0.04	-0.04	-0.02	-0.03	-0.01	7	43%	-0.03	1	-0.02	0	0%	0.00
Chris Paul	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06	-0.06	-0.05	-0.02	-0.00	3	0%	-0.06	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Kobe Sanders	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07	-0.07	-0.05	-0.02	-0.00	2	0%	-0.03	1	-0.04	0	0%	0.00
James Harden	0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.01,0.03,0.01,0.01,0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.03,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.05,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.07,0.06,0.09,0.02,0.02,0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.11,-0.11,-0.04,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13	-0.13	-0.01	-0.10	0.02	17	55%	0.15	7	-0.28	19	89%	0.09
Nicolas Batum	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.07,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13	-0.13	-0.10	-0.03	-0.01	4	0%	-0.08	2	-0.05	0	0%	0.00

Game Length Report (minutes)

	Q1		Q2		Q3		Q4	Total
this game	27.4	0.0	27.0	0.0	27.5	0.0	42.8	0.0
league avg	26.3	2.1	28.8	14.6	29.4	2.3	32.6	136.2

Win Probability Added by the Four Factors

(aka How the Game Was Won)

victory
100% WP

start
50% WP

DAL +36.2%

LAC -9.1%

LAC -10.4%

DAL +35.2%

LAC -1.9%

Pace and Efficiency Report

	seconds / possession			points / 100 possessions
all possessions	DAL	LAC	NBA	DAL	LAC	NBA
this game	13.9	13.5	14.1	108.6	104.8	113.7
season	14.0	15.4		108.0	112.6
opponent	13.8	14.0		117.1	111.2

Quarterly Pace Report (seconds per possession)

	Q1	Q2	Q3	Q4	Total
DAL	14.6	13.8	11.9	15.6	13.9
LAC	13.4	12.8	13.8	13.8	13.5

On/Off Win Probability and Pace Statistics

Dallas Mavericks
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Klay Thompson	86	88	0.74	-0.24	0.98	0.36	13	-9	22	13.9	13.8	0.05	13.7	12.2	1.54
Naji Marshall	105	105	0.50	0.00	0.50	0.38	4	0	4	13.9	0.0	13.89	13.5	0.0	13.47
Brandon Williams	104	104	0.50	0.00	0.49	0.35	5	-1	6	14.0	5.0	8.97	13.6	1.0	12.59
Caleb Martin	96	97	0.48	0.02	0.45	0.42	2	2	0	14.2	10.8	3.40	13.5	13.0	0.51
Dwight Powell	101	101	0.46	0.04	0.42	0.40	2	2	0	14.0	9.7	4.30	13.7	8.7	4.90
Max Christie	70	70	0.18	0.32	-0.13	0.27	-3	7	-10	15.2	11.2	3.99	13.6	13.2	0.44
Cooper Flagg	91	90	0.14	0.36	-0.23	0.34	-7	11	-18	14.4	10.3	4.15	13.2	14.9	-1.71
Jaden Hardy	28	26	-0.13	0.63	-0.77	-0.02	-4	8	-12	13.8	13.9	-0.14	12.8	13.7	-0.82
Ryan Nembhard	51	51	-0.26	0.76	-1.03	0.09	-12	16	-28	14.6	13.2	1.48	13.4	13.5	-0.11
Moussa Cisse	67	67	-0.41	0.91	-1.31	-0.08	-11	15	-26	14.5	12.7	1.80	13.7	13.1	0.53

LA Clippers
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Kobe Brown	92	93	0.16	-0.66	0.82	0.07	3	-7	10	13.7	11.7	2.03	13.9	13.7	0.25
Chris Paul	45	44	0.11	-0.61	0.72	0.08	1	-5	6	14.3	12.8	1.44	14.9	13.1	1.80
Ivica Zubac	86	87	-0.20	-0.30	0.10	-0.29	3	-7	10	13.6	12.8	0.76	14.7	9.8	4.89
Kobe Sanders	63	62	-0.24	-0.26	0.02	0.03	-9	5	-14	13.7	13.2	0.50	13.2	14.8	-1.57
Nicolas Batum	101	101	-0.24	-0.26	0.02	-0.18	-2	-2	0	13.8	5.2	8.54	14.2	6.7	7.42
Kris Dunn	75	75	-0.39	-0.11	-0.28	-0.27	-4	0	-4	13.8	12.6	1.17	14.6	12.2	2.36
Kawhi Leonard	71	71	-0.48	-0.02	-0.46	-0.45	-1	-3	2	13.2	14.0	-0.83	14.8	12.0	2.79
James Harden	102	102	-0.49	-0.01	-0.48	-0.37	-4	0	-4	13.5	11.3	2.20	14.0	11.3	2.63
John Collins	105	105	-0.50	0.00	-0.50	-0.38	-4	0	-4	13.5	0.0	13.47	13.9	0.0	13.89

Dopplegamers 0.5,0.5,0.51,0.54,0.6,0.61,0.62,0.64,0.66,0.65,0.65,0.65,0.58,0.57,0.49,0.42,0.46,0.47,0.54,0.61,0.61,0.71,0.67,0.67,0.7,0.7,0.68,0.58,0.66,0.64,0.6,0.45,0.65,0.79,0.73,0.74,0.6,0.5,0.34,0.47,0.47,0.63,0.64,0.53,0.46,0.47,0.54,0.66,0.27,0
Game		Similarity Score
DEN 87, VAN 84	0.5,0.49,0.49,0.54,0.6,0.66,0.64,0.62,0.64,0.61,0.62,0.58,0.54,0.57,0.61,0.58,0.62,0.69,0.68,0.63,0.66,0.56,0.51,0.58,0.67,0.7,0.74,0.75,0.69,0.61,0.58,0.68,0.62,0.69,0.69,0.6,0.6,0.58,0.52,0.57,0.67,0.68,0.64,0.76,0.67,0.53,0.46,0.57,0.42,0	89.5%
NYK 88, MIA 84	0.5,0.49,0.5,0.52,0.52,0.61,0.64,0.63,0.66,0.61,0.62,0.63,0.68,0.68,0.64,0.66,0.64,0.6,0.56,0.58,0.66,0.66,0.74,0.67,0.7,0.63,0.66,0.69,0.69,0.7,0.67,0.65,0.71,0.75,0.8,0.7,0.6,0.66,0.62,0.57,0.48,0.63,0.64,0.59,0.67,0.61,0.55,0.34,0.08,0	89.3%
TOR 94, PHI 86	0.5,0.51,0.52,0.51,0.54,0.56,0.6,0.59,0.61,0.6,0.53,0.6,0.58,0.52,0.53,0.49,0.51,0.58,0.56,0.58,0.58,0.54,0.51,0.51,0.46,0.5,0.54,0.66,0.61,0.48,0.55,0.58,0.62,0.62,0.63,0.6,0.56,0.58,0.43,0.33,0.48,0.53,0.53,0.6,0.46,0.55,0.55,0.34,0.09,0	89.3%