inpredictable
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NBA Win Probability Box Scores (click here for LIVE graphs)

Real Time? Pre Game Odds?
New York Knicks 88 Excitement8.0 [235] MVPChris Quinn (MIA): +25.7%
Miami Heat 84 Comeback5.4 [136] LVPDwyane Wade (MIA): -35.8%


New York Knicks
PlayerWPAeWPAclWPAgbWPAFGATS%tsWPATOtoWPAFTAFT%ftWPA
David Lee0.110,0,0,0,0,0,0.01,0.02,0.02,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.1,0.15,0.15,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.110.110.020.02775%0.1100.00683%0.01
Fred Jones0.080,0,0,0,0,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.080.020.05-0.00370%0.101-0.02450%-0.03
Nate Robinson-0.000,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.04,0.02,0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.03,0.03,0.03,-0.03,-0.03,0.04,0.02,0.02,0.02,-0.01,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.11,-0.03,0,0,0-0.020.01-0.001947%0.052-0.062100%0.01
Renaldo Balkman-0.020,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02-0.020.00-0.0010%-0.0200.0000%0.00
Jared Jeffries-0.050,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05-0.03-0.02-0.00217%-0.0500.00250%0.00
Eddy Curry-0.050,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.04,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.07,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05-0.05-0.02-0.021030%-0.0500.0000%0.00
Jamal Crawford-0.050,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.07,-0.07,-0.05,-0.02,0,0,0.02,0.02,0,0,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.03,-0.03,-0.07,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.22,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.14,-0.05-0.03-0.020.001948%0.093-0.14887%0.07
Quentin Richardson-0.100,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.04,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1-0.07-0.03-0.00425%-0.032-0.0700%0.00
Zach Randolph-0.160,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0,0,0,0.02,0.01,0.02,0.04,0.02,0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.04,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.17,-0.25,-0.16,-0.16-0.06-0.100.001744%-0.023-0.142100%0.01

Miami Heat
PlayerWPAeWPAclWPAgbWPAFGATS%tsWPATOtoWPAFTAFT%ftWPA
Chris Quinn0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.260.260.060.19-0.003100%0.2600.0000%0.00
Mark Blount0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.05,0.1,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.110.110.070.050.00771%0.1100.0000%0.00
Udonis Haslem0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.03,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.08,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01-0.010.01-0.04-0.02858%0.062-0.073100%0.02
Daequan Cook0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,-0.01-0.01-0.01-0.02-0.02350%0.011-0.0200%0.00
Jason Williams0,0,0,0,-0.01,0,0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0,0,0,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03-0.03-0.01-0.020.00940%-0.0300.002100%0.01
Alexander Johnson0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.04,-0.04,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05-0.05-0.05-0.01-0.01440%-0.012-0.052100%0.01
Dorell Wright0,0,0,0.03,0.03,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,-0.07,-0.07-0.070.03-0.090.01757%-0.0700.0000%0.00
Shaquille O'Neal0,0,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0,0,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.02,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,0,0,0,0,0,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08-0.08-0.09-0.02-0.03850%0.065-0.13450%-0.02
Ricky Davis0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.05,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.14,-0.14,-0.09,-0.09,-0.15,-0.19,-0.24,-0.24,-0.24,-0.24,-0.24-0.24-0.14-0.11-0.00714%-0.113-0.1300%0.00
Dwyane Wade0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.03,0.03,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.04,0.04,0.07,0.07,0.09,0.07,0.07,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.07,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.13,-0.08,-0.07,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.18,-0.25,-0.34,-0.36-0.36-0.07-0.270.012340%-0.262-0.10978%-0.00
Game Length Report (minutes)

Q1 Q2 Q3 Q4Total
this game26.82.032.116.424.62.535.8140.3
league avg27.92.430.016.226.62.433.3140.1
Win Probability Added by the Four Factors
(aka How the Game Was Won)

victory
100% WP
start
50% WP
NYK +7.8%
NYK +8.7%
NYK +25.1%
NYK +7.4%
NYK +1.0%
Pace and Efficiency Report

seconds / possessionpoints / 100 possessions
all possessionsNYKMIANBANYKMIANBA
this game15.215.715.495.789.4105.7
season15.716.0103.199.0
opponent15.415.2108.3109.9

Quarterly Pace Report (seconds per possession)

Q1Q2Q3Q4Total
NYK14.514.915.616.015.2
MIA14.914.516.417.415.7

On/Off Win Probability and Pace Statistics

New York Knicks
possessionswin probabilitypointspace (offense)pace (defense)
playeroffensedefenseonoffdiffcl+/-onoffdiffonoffdiffonoffdiff
Jared Jeffries37380.80-0.301.100.4213-92215.515.10.3917.614.43.19
Nate Robinson63660.79-0.291.080.2917-133015.015.6-0.5716.613.72.88
David Lee58600.74-0.240.990.3613-92215.015.6-0.5716.314.61.70
Jamal Crawford85870.55-0.050.600.347-31015.412.92.5715.815.30.48
Zach Randolph73730.360.140.220.42-26-815.215.20.0215.516.5-0.96
Renaldo Balkman1010-0.070.57-0.640.02-37-1014.515.3-0.8215.015.8-0.82
Quentin Richardson4141-0.190.69-0.87-0.01-610-1615.015.4-0.3714.017.0-2.99
Fred Jones5455-0.210.71-0.930.05-913-2215.514.80.6615.116.6-1.42
Eddy Curry3940-0.280.78-1.050.02-1014-2415.215.2-0.0414.616.6-1.93

Miami Heat
possessionswin probabilitypointspace (offense)pace (defense)
playeroffensedefenseonoffdiffcl+/-onoffdiffonoffdiffonoffdiff
Mark Blount35330.10-0.600.690.071-5616.315.40.9215.814.90.83
Jason Williams6261-0.04-0.460.43-0.040-4415.915.40.5415.215.3-0.14
Daequan Cook1313-0.12-0.380.25-0.07-2-2013.316.1-2.8213.315.5-2.24
Ricky Davis4139-0.15-0.350.190.05-73-1016.115.40.6914.915.4-0.49
Alexander Johnson2626-0.20-0.300.100.09-106-1615.715.7-0.0614.015.7-1.71
Shaquille O'Neal4846-0.23-0.270.05-0.282-6815.815.70.1215.614.80.76
Dwyane Wade7978-0.36-0.14-0.21-0.422-6815.616.3-0.7115.513.71.79
Dorell Wright5959-0.43-0.07-0.35-0.461-5615.616.0-0.3815.315.10.26
Chris Quinn3129-0.48-0.02-0.46-0.31-62-815.515.9-0.4215.115.3-0.13
Udonis Haslem7676-0.590.09-0.68-0.56-1-3215.815.30.5615.414.50.88


Dopplegamers 0.5,0.49,0.5,0.52,0.52,0.61,0.64,0.63,0.66,0.61,0.62,0.63,0.68,0.68,0.64,0.66,0.64,0.6,0.56,0.58,0.66,0.66,0.74,0.67,0.7,0.63,0.66,0.69,0.69,0.7,0.67,0.65,0.71,0.75,0.8,0.7,0.6,0.66,0.62,0.57,0.48,0.63,0.64,0.59,0.67,0.61,0.55,0.34,0.08,0
GameSimilarity Score
SAS 96, DEN 890.5,0.51,0.52,0.54,0.49,0.46,0.46,0.47,0.49,0.57,0.6,0.6,0.64,0.65,0.62,0.58,0.61,0.65,0.58,0.56,0.49,0.59,0.58,0.67,0.67,0.73,0.74,0.77,0.72,0.73,0.79,0.71,0.68,0.75,0.73,0.78,0.82,0.74,0.66,0.48,0.58,0.63,0.53,0.65,0.73,0.61,0.45,0.24,0.1,091.5%
CHA 92, WAS 890.5,0.51,0.51,0.45,0.53,0.51,0.58,0.62,0.62,0.6,0.62,0.58,0.63,0.66,0.66,0.68,0.73,0.75,0.69,0.78,0.73,0.74,0.69,0.72,0.67,0.58,0.69,0.67,0.75,0.73,0.76,0.77,0.88,0.86,0.73,0.74,0.64,0.54,0.48,0.62,0.57,0.58,0.53,0.65,0.78,0.61,0.45,0.1,0.16,091.5%
MIA 101, DET 960.5,0.51,0.55,0.58,0.57,0.6,0.64,0.66,0.61,0.61,0.63,0.6,0.58,0.57,0.6,0.6,0.6,0.67,0.65,0.68,0.69,0.66,0.58,0.61,0.56,0.58,0.58,0.6,0.75,0.76,0.73,0.77,0.74,0.66,0.66,0.7,0.64,0.74,0.67,0.75,0.71,0.63,0.53,0.71,0.67,0.69,0.55,0.43,0.28,091.5%