NBA Win Probability Game Box Scores

NBA Win Probability Box Scores (click here for LIVE graphs)

Real Time? Pre Game Odds?

winProb
gameTime
fourFactors
pace
on/off
misc

Chicago Bulls	130		Excitement	9.2 [136]		MVP	Nikola Joki? (DEN): +40.8%
Denver Nuggets	127		Comeback	2.3 [111]		LVP	Nikola Vu?evi? (CHI): -13.4%

Chicago Bulls
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Ayo Dosunmu	0.31	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.06,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.05,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.1,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.27,0.31	0.17	0.15	0.01	9	91%	0.33	1	-0.02	5	80%	0.01
Kevin Huerter	0.30	0,0,0,-0.01,0.02,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,0,0,0,0.05,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.04,0.3,0.3	0.14	0.21	0.05	12	77%	0.32	1	-0.02	2	100%	0.03
Josh Giddey	0.17	0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0.01,0.01,-0.02,-0.02,0.02,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.1,0.1,0.17,0.07,0.17,0.17,0.17	0.08	0.10	0.01	12	66%	0.28	2	-0.11	8	62%	-0.01
Jevon Carter	0.12	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.04,0.08,0.07,0.05,0.1,0.08,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.11,0.11,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.14,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12	0.06	0.02	-0.04	13	58%	0.14	1	-0.02	0	0%	0.00
Jalen Smith	0.07	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,0.03,0.03,0.06,0.06,0.08,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.12,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.12,0.14,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07	0.08	-0.02	-0.01	11	70%	0.10	1	-0.02	1	100%	-0.01
Dalen Terry	-0.00	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	0.01	-0.01	-0.00	4	62%	0.03	1	-0.03	0	0%	0.00
Patrick Williams	-0.02	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.03,0.03,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02	0.00	-0.02	0.00	7	44%	-0.02	0	0.00	2	100%	0.01
Julian Phillips	-0.02	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02	-0.03	0.00	-0.00	4	25%	-0.02	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Isaac Okoro	-0.03	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03	-0.01	-0.01	0.00	3	33%	-0.03	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Matas Buzelis	-0.11	0,0,0,0,0,-0.03,0,0,0.03,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.04,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.04,0.02,0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11	-0.00	-0.09	0.02	14	45%	-0.07	1	-0.04	1	100%	0.00
Nikola Vu?evi?	-0.13	0,0,0,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.07,-0.09,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.15,-0.15,-0.21,-0.21,-0.13	-0.08	-0.06	-0.00	13	31%	-0.11	1	-0.02	0	0%	0.00

Denver Nuggets
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Nikola Joki?	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.04,-0.05,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.05,-0.08,-0.05,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.01,-0.07,-0.05,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.05,0.12,0.05,0.05,0.29,0.41	0.41	0.10	0.32	0.01	27	55%	0.46	2	-0.05	12	75%	0.00
Cameron Johnson	0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.03,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.07,0.13,0.17,0.17,0.17,0.17,0.14,0.14,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.23,0.23,0.23,0.23,0.23,0.23	0.23	0.15	0.08	-0.00	12	73%	0.23	0	0.00	2	100%	0.01
Aaron Gordon	0,0,0,-0.01,0,0,0.06,0.06,0.08,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.21,0.22,0.19,0.19,0.19,0.19,0.19,0.19,0.18,0.18,0.18,0.17,0.17,0.17,0.17,0.17,0.17,0.1,0.1,0.1	0.10	0.13	-0.01	0.02	18	60%	0.10	0	0.00	4	75%	-0.01
Jamal Murray	0,0,-0.01,-0.01,0,0,0,0,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.02,0.02,0.01,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.09,0.09,0.07,0.07,0.1,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.06,0.05,0.05,0.1,0.1,0.13,0.25,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.1,0.19,0.03,0.02	0.02	0.20	-0.11	0.07	22	69%	0.23	2	-0.21	5	100%	0.03
Peyton Watson	0,0,0.03,0.03,0.03,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02	0.02	0.01	0.01	0.00	4	62%	0.03	1	-0.02	0	0%	0.00
Jalen Pickett	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.02,0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	-0.00	0.01	-0.00	0.01	3	50%	-0.00	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Spencer Jones	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03	-0.03	-0.02	-0.01	0.00	0	0%	0.00	1	-0.03	0	0%	0.00
Jonas Valan?i?nas	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03	-0.03	-0.04	0.00	-0.00	1	50%	0.01	2	-0.04	2	100%	0.01
Bruce Brown	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04	-0.04	-0.03	-0.01	0.00	2	0%	-0.04	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Tim Hardaway Jr.	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.04,-0.07,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.07,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08	-0.08	-0.05	-0.03	-0.01	8	25%	-0.08	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00

Game Length Report (minutes)

	Q1		Q2		Q3		Q4	Total
this game	23.8	1.5	26.1	13.3	30.4	0.0	40.3	0.0
league avg	26.4	1.9	29.1	14.2	29.7	2.2	32.8	136.2

Win Probability Added by the Four Factors

(aka How the Game Was Won)

victory
100% WP

start
50% WP

CHI +17.4%

DEN -17.4%

CHI +37.8%

CHI +5.7%

CHI +6.5%

Pace and Efficiency Report

	seconds / possession			points / 100 possessions
all possessions	CHI	DEN	NBA	CHI	DEN	NBA
this game	13.3	14.1	14.2	126.2	118.7	113.7
season	13.6	14.6		111.5	119.8
opponent	14.1	14.2		115.1	117.1

Quarterly Pace Report (seconds per possession)

	Q1	Q2	Q3	Q4	Total
CHI	13.0	13.2	12.0	15.0	13.3
DEN	14.0	15.6	13.6	13.3	14.1

On/Off Win Probability and Pace Statistics

Chicago Bulls
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Ayo Dosunmu	88	92	0.82	-0.32	1.14	0.29	18	-15	33	13.3	13.0	0.32	14.1	14.2	-0.11
Jevon Carter	71	75	0.64	-0.14	0.78	0.03	21	-18	39	13.0	13.9	-0.87	14.6	13.0	1.53
Julian Phillips	45	48	0.60	-0.10	0.71	0.05	19	-16	35	13.0	13.5	-0.48	14.9	13.5	1.40
Dalen Terry	72	76	0.56	-0.06	0.62	0.00	19	-16	35	13.1	13.6	-0.53	14.4	13.4	1.01
Nikola Vu?evi?	77	77	0.18	0.32	-0.14	0.33	-5	8	-13	14.1	11.0	3.09	14.8	12.3	2.46
Patrick Williams	88	90	0.17	0.33	-0.15	0.03	5	-2	7	13.1	14.2	-1.09	14.1	14.0	0.12
Josh Giddey	83	85	0.12	0.38	-0.27	0.38	-9	12	-21	13.9	10.6	3.25	14.9	11.0	3.91
Jalen Smith	90	93	0.11	0.39	-0.28	0.08	1	2	-1	13.1	14.6	-1.54	14.5	11.5	2.99
Matas Buzelis	80	80	0.09	0.41	-0.33	0.32	-8	11	-19	14.2	10.1	4.04	15.3	10.4	4.89
Isaac Okoro	80	80	0.09	0.41	-0.33	0.32	-8	11	-19	14.2	10.1	4.04	15.3	10.4	4.89
Kevin Huerter	70	71	-0.06	0.56	-0.62	0.38	-15	18	-33	14.4	10.9	3.52	14.6	13.0	1.62

Denver Nuggets
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Bruce Brown	80	80	-0.09	-0.41	0.33	-0.32	8	-11	19	15.3	10.4	4.89	14.2	10.1	4.04
Spencer Jones	75	74	-0.10	-0.40	0.31	-0.30	7	-10	17	14.7	12.7	2.02	13.9	11.6	2.30
Aaron Gordon	83	82	-0.11	-0.39	0.27	-0.38	9	-12	21	14.9	11.3	3.62	14.0	10.5	3.45
Cameron Johnson	87	86	-0.27	-0.23	-0.03	-0.32	2	-5	7	14.9	10.8	4.00	13.8	10.7	3.07
Jonas Valan?i?nas	34	33	-0.32	-0.18	-0.15	0.15	-16	13	-29	14.9	13.7	1.14	12.6	13.6	-0.94
Peyton Watson	92	92	-0.40	-0.10	-0.29	-0.31	-3	0	-3	15.0	8.9	6.09	13.7	9.9	3.76
Nikola Joki?	102	99	-0.49	-0.01	-0.49	-0.43	-2	-1	-1	14.4	8.2	6.19	13.4	10.5	2.88
Jalen Pickett	43	43	-0.49	-0.01	-0.49	-0.02	-16	13	-29	15.6	13.1	2.47	13.1	13.4	-0.35
Jamal Murray	106	102	-0.50	-0.00	-0.49	-0.41	-3	0	-3	14.2	1.0	13.23	13.3	11.0	2.29
Tim Hardaway Jr.	87	84	-0.80	0.30	-1.11	-0.19	-21	18	-39	14.2	13.6	0.56	13.3	13.2	0.08

Dopplegamers 0.5,0.5,0.54,0.55,0.57,0.58,0.63,0.57,0.61,0.6,0.51,0.49,0.42,0.46,0.36,0.25,0.21,0.19,0.15,0.2,0.2,0.25,0.39,0.49,0.46,0.5,0.58,0.58,0.52,0.45,0.61,0.52,0.45,0.38,0.3,0.12,0.12,0.13,0.1,0.12,0.06,0.09,0.26,0.24,0.39,0.47,0.46,0.45,0.16,0
Game		Similarity Score
SAS 85, HOU 82	0.5,0.49,0.51,0.48,0.52,0.51,0.49,0.53,0.55,0.55,0.51,0.47,0.4,0.35,0.36,0.36,0.34,0.25,0.3,0.3,0.27,0.29,0.31,0.36,0.41,0.46,0.49,0.52,0.52,0.48,0.36,0.42,0.29,0.31,0.18,0.26,0.21,0.1,0.07,0.08,0.11,0.19,0.31,0.29,0.22,0.31,0.37,0.43,0.17,0	91.1%
POR 106, CHI 101	0.5,0.51,0.52,0.49,0.48,0.44,0.45,0.43,0.43,0.41,0.39,0.45,0.42,0.4,0.34,0.32,0.4,0.33,0.35,0.29,0.31,0.31,0.36,0.39,0.41,0.46,0.52,0.48,0.39,0.36,0.33,0.23,0.25,0.22,0.23,0.19,0.21,0.04,0.07,0.09,0.11,0.19,0.21,0.4,0.42,0.53,0.29,0.43,0.15,0	88.3%
MIN 106, OKC 103	0.5,0.51,0.58,0.58,0.52,0.49,0.49,0.53,0.55,0.47,0.49,0.55,0.49,0.46,0.44,0.47,0.49,0.38,0.33,0.37,0.34,0.39,0.46,0.42,0.51,0.58,0.55,0.49,0.52,0.55,0.45,0.45,0.45,0.48,0.44,0.33,0.18,0.15,0.3,0.12,0.2,0.32,0.31,0.29,0.34,0.25,0.36,0.32,0.08,0	88.3%