NBA Win Probability Game Box Scores

NBA Win Probability Box Scores (click here for LIVE graphs)

Real Time? Pre Game Odds?

winProb
gameTime
fourFactors
pace
on/off
misc

New York Knicks	113		Excitement	9.2 [59]		MVP	Dru Smith (MIA): +24.2%
Miami Heat	115		Comeback	2.3 [164]		LVP	Andrew Wiggins (MIA): -12.0%

New York Knicks
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Mikal Bridges	0.12	0,0,0,0,0.03,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.11,0.13,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.08,0.08,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.18,0.21,0.24,0.24,0.22,0.18,0.18,0.18,0.18,0.18,0.18,0.18,0.18,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12	0.12	0.01	0.01	14	70%	0.22	2	-0.10	5	60%	-0.02
Jordan Clarkson	0.11	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,0.02,0.04,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.04,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.05,0.1,0.1,0.16,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11	0.02	0.09	0.00	13	54%	0.14	1	-0.03	0	0%	0.00
Mitchell Robinson	0.01	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01	0.00	0.02	0.00	3	62%	0.04	1	-0.02	2	50%	-0.01
Mohamed Diawara	0.00	0	0.00	0.00	0.00	0	0%	0.00	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Guerschon Yabusele	0.00	0	0.00	0.00	0.00	0	0%	0.00	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Landry Shamet	-0.02	0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.01,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.02,-0.02,0.03,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02	-0.04	0.01	-0.01	11	36%	-0.02	0	0.00	6	83%	0.03
Josh Hart	-0.04	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.04,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.05,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.05,-0.03,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.07,-0.07,-0.03,-0.06,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04	-0.06	0.01	-0.01	11	56%	0.09	6	-0.13	3	67%	-0.00
Miles McBride	-0.09	0,0,0,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.02,0.02,0.05,0.07,0.06,0.04,0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,0.02,0.11,0.11,0.08,0.13,0.09,0.09,0.05,0.05,0.07,0.12,-0.09	0.08	-0.13	0.04	23	53%	-0.06	1	-0.03	1	0%	-0.03
Karl-Anthony Towns	-0.10	0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.06,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.08,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.08,-0.06,-0.07,-0.07,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.05,-0.1,-0.1,-0.14,-0.09,-0.14,-0.09,-0.1	-0.03	-0.04	0.02	19	49%	0.01	4	-0.11	7	100%	0.06

Miami Heat
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Dru Smith	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0.05,0.1,0.1,0.19,0.19,0.19,0.24,0.24,0.24,0.24,0.24,0.24,0.24,0.24,0.24	0.24	0.11	0.13	-0.00	5	92%	0.24	0	0.00	2	100%	0.02
Davion Mitchell	0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.04,-0.07,-0.07,-0.09,-0.09,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,0,0,0.12,0.17,0.17,0.17,0.17,0.17	0.17	0.06	0.12	0.01	12	67%	0.25	3	-0.09	3	67%	-0.04
Kel'el Ware	0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0,0.02,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.12,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14	0.14	0.15	0.00	0.01	9	84%	0.14	0	0.00	1	100%	0.00
Simone Fontecchio	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.07,0.07,0.11,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.05,0.05,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.18,0.18,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14	0.14	0.09	0.03	-0.02	11	64%	0.14	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Norman Powell	0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.07,-0.04,-0.06,-0.09,-0.06,-0.06,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.04,0.02,0.02,0.03,0.03,0.08,0.08	0.08	-0.03	0.10	-0.00	20	46%	0.14	2	-0.06	1	100%	0.03
Pelle Larsson	0,0,0,0.01,0,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,0,0.03,0.06,0.06,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.02,0.02,0.02	0.02	0.02	0.01	0.01	9	59%	0.07	2	-0.06	4	75%	-0.00
Keshad Johnson	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03	-0.03	-0.03	-0.00	-0.00	2	0%	-0.03	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Jaime Jaquez Jr.	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.06,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.06,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06	-0.06	-0.06	-0.01	-0.02	11	54%	0.07	5	-0.13	2	100%	0.01
Nikola Jovi?	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0,0,-0.03,-0.02,-0.02,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06	-0.06	-0.02	-0.05	-0.00	7	36%	-0.06	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Andrew Wiggins	0,0,-0.01,-0.01,0,0,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.06,-0.07,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.16,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.12	-0.12	-0.13	-0.00	-0.01	15	20%	-0.12	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00

Game Length Report (minutes)

	Q1		Q2		Q3		Q4	Total
this game	25.6	0.8	29.9	14.3	27.8	0.1	37.2	135.8
league avg	26.3	2.1	28.8	14.6	29.4	2.3	32.6	136.2

Win Probability Added by the Four Factors

(aka How the Game Was Won)

victory
100% WP

start
50% WP

MIA +48.2%

NYK -5.0%

NYK -6.3%

MIA +6.3%

MIA +6.8%

Pace and Efficiency Report

	seconds / possession			points / 100 possessions
all possessions	NYK	MIA	NBA	NYK	MIA	NBA
this game	13.6	13.3	14.1	105.6	107.5	113.7
season	14.9	12.4		120.9	113.4
opponent	14.7	13.9		110.6	112.1

Quarterly Pace Report (seconds per possession)

	Q1	Q2	Q3	Q4	Total
NYK	15.6	12.8	13.9	12.2	13.6
MIA	12.1	13.4	13.2	14.5	13.3

On/Off Win Probability and Pace Statistics

New York Knicks
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Guerschon Yabusele	32	32	0.11	-0.61	0.71	-0.04	5	-7	12	13.6	13.6	0.06	14.2	12.9	1.36
Mohamed Diawara	15	17	-0.05	-0.45	0.39	0.01	-2	0	-2	14.9	13.4	1.50	13.0	13.4	-0.36
Mitchell Robinson	80	83	-0.16	-0.34	0.18	-0.30	5	-7	12	13.8	12.8	1.02	13.3	13.3	-0.04
Miles McBride	96	96	-0.22	-0.28	0.07	-0.42	7	-9	16	13.7	12.1	1.66	13.4	12.7	0.64
Jordan Clarkson	96	96	-0.34	-0.16	-0.17	-0.16	-6	4	-10	14.0	10.3	3.69	13.4	12.8	0.54
Karl-Anthony Towns	83	83	-0.34	-0.16	-0.18	-0.46	4	-6	10	13.4	14.3	-0.92	13.6	12.3	1.30
Landry Shamet	103	104	-0.46	-0.04	-0.41	-0.49	1	-3	4	13.7	10.5	3.20	13.1	18.7	-5.52
Mikal Bridges	107	107	-0.50	0.00	-0.50	-0.44	-2	0	-2	13.6	0.0	13.58	13.3	0.0	13.30
Josh Hart	107	107	-0.50	0.00	-0.50	-0.44	-2	0	-2	13.6	0.0	13.58	13.3	0.0	13.30

Miami Heat
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Jaime Jaquez Jr.	107	107	0.50	0.00	0.50	0.44	2	0	2	13.3	0.0	13.30	13.6	0.0	13.58
Kel'el Ware	88	90	0.27	0.23	0.03	0.41	-5	7	-12	13.7	11.4	2.35	13.2	15.4	-2.18
Andrew Wiggins	95	95	0.20	0.30	-0.10	0.52	-11	13	-24	13.3	13.0	0.34	13.4	15.3	-1.98
Norman Powell	91	92	0.16	0.34	-0.17	0.43	-9	11	-20	13.8	10.4	3.44	13.2	16.0	-2.82
Davion Mitchell	93	94	0.12	0.38	-0.26	0.44	-11	13	-24	13.7	10.5	3.22	13.3	15.8	-2.58
Pelle Larsson	82	81	-0.01	0.51	-0.52	0.34	-12	14	-26	13.9	11.4	2.53	13.5	14.0	-0.50
Simone Fontecchio	83	81	-0.03	0.53	-0.55	0.09	-4	6	-10	13.2	13.7	-0.58	14.0	12.2	1.88
Keshad Johnson	11	11	-0.21	0.71	-0.91	0.06	-9	11	-20	14.7	13.1	1.59	11.6	13.8	-2.17
Nikola Jovi?	67	66	-0.23	0.73	-0.96	0.00	-8	10	-18	13.6	12.8	0.84	14.2	12.6	1.61
Dru Smith	74	72	-0.30	0.80	-1.10	0.02	-11	13	-24	13.7	12.5	1.18	13.8	13.1	0.69

Dopplegamers 0.5,0.5,0.49,0.46,0.45,0.47,0.51,0.55,0.55,0.49,0.47,0.55,0.58,0.63,0.53,0.49,0.44,0.44,0.46,0.56,0.44,0.41,0.44,0.51,0.64,0.58,0.55,0.52,0.58,0.56,0.58,0.52,0.48,0.31,0.3,0.37,0.44,0.54,0.48,0.44,0.43,0.53,0.42,0.47,0.78,0.95,0.98,0.98,0.91,1
Game		Similarity Score
NJN 77, CLE 81	0.5,0.51,0.54,0.51,0.5,0.47,0.46,0.45,0.53,0.47,0.57,0.51,0.55,0.57,0.51,0.49,0.42,0.35,0.37,0.51,0.44,0.54,0.54,0.54,0.54,0.51,0.58,0.57,0.55,0.52,0.52,0.42,0.45,0.44,0.44,0.4,0.44,0.5,0.43,0.38,0.42,0.49,0.53,0.59,0.67,0.85,0.94,0.91,0.92,1	93.3%
ORL 110, WAS 113	0.5,0.49,0.48,0.48,0.5,0.51,0.51,0.53,0.53,0.53,0.53,0.51,0.55,0.65,0.64,0.6,0.55,0.51,0.53,0.48,0.39,0.44,0.49,0.54,0.54,0.58,0.59,0.58,0.58,0.7,0.67,0.52,0.52,0.35,0.41,0.37,0.29,0.38,0.43,0.57,0.48,0.63,0.64,0.67,0.91,0.94,0.98,0.94,0.96,1	92.0%
NYK 81, TOR 98	0.5,0.51,0.51,0.48,0.5,0.59,0.56,0.53,0.51,0.52,0.47,0.49,0.55,0.48,0.49,0.47,0.58,0.57,0.47,0.46,0.42,0.41,0.42,0.46,0.51,0.5,0.51,0.52,0.58,0.58,0.55,0.58,0.55,0.52,0.41,0.48,0.4,0.46,0.57,0.48,0.43,0.58,0.64,0.65,0.72,0.9,0.99,1,1,1	92.0%