NBA Win Probability Game Box Scores

NBA Win Probability Box Scores (click here for LIVE graphs)

Real Time? Pre Game Odds?

winProb
gameTime
fourFactors
pace
on/off
misc

Milwaukee Bucks	106		Excitement	6.8 [482]		MVP	Sam Merrill (CLE): +27.9%
Cleveland Cavaliers	118		Comeback	3.2 [643]		LVP	Ryan Rollins (MIL): -15.1%

Milwaukee Bucks
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Gary Trent Jr.	0.13	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.07,0.07,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.09,0.09,0.12,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13	0.02	0.07	-0.04	10	60%	0.18	2	-0.05	0	0%	0.00
AJ Green	0.11	0,0,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.04,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.06,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11	0.07	0.03	-0.01	10	60%	0.11	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Bobby Portis	0.06	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.03,0.03,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.04,0.04,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.04,0.04,0.08,0.12,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06	0.04	0.02	0.00	7	55%	0.06	0	0.00	6	67%	-0.00
Myles Turner	0.04	0,0,0,0,0,0,0.03,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.01,0.05,0.02,0.02,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.02,0.02,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04	0.06	0.00	0.03	9	68%	0.08	2	-0.05	4	75%	-0.00
Kyle Kuzma	0.00	0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.05,-0.05,-0.07,-0.05,0.04,0.04,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0,0,0	-0.01	-0.01	-0.02	12	40%	0.00	0	0.00	1	100%	0.01
Gary Harris	0.00	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	-0.01	0.00	-0.01	3	33%	0.00	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Jericho Sims	-0.00	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	0.00	-0.01	0.00	2	50%	-0.00	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Giannis Antetokounmpo	-0.00	0,0,0,0.01,0,0.02,0.04,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	-0.01	-0.00	-0.00	10	61%	0.07	4	-0.07	3	67%	-0.01
Cole Anthony	-0.11	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.01,-0.04,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11	-0.10	-0.03	-0.02	8	25%	-0.05	2	-0.06	0	0%	0.00
Ryan Rollins	-0.15	0,0,0,0.03,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.04,0.02,0,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.07,-0.04,-0.04,-0.06,-0.09,-0.06,-0.08,-0.08,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.08,-0.08,-0.05,-0.05,-0.16,-0.14,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15	-0.00	-0.10	0.05	22	53%	-0.01	4	-0.14	1	100%	0.00

Cleveland Cavaliers
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Sam Merrill	0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,0.02,0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.04,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.15,0.23,0.28,0.28,0.28,0.28,0.28,0.28,0.28	0.28	0.19	0.10	0.01	10	100%	0.31	1	-0.03	0	0%	0.00
Donovan Mitchell	0,0,0.01,0,0,0,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.04,0.08,0.08,0.06,0.06,0.09,0.15,0.18,0.18,0.18,0.18,0.18,0.18,0.18,0.2,0.2,0.2,0.2,0.17,0.2,0.2,0.2,0.2,0.2,0.18,0.15,0.23,0.27,0.24,0.24,0.2,0.2,0.2,0.2,0.2,0.22,0.23,0.23,0.23,0.23	0.23	0.23	0.03	0.03	22	73%	0.29	2	-0.06	7	71%	-0.01
Craig Porter Jr.	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.05,0.05,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.15,0.15,0.22,0.22,0.22,0.22,0.22,0.22,0.22,0.22,0.22,0.22,0.22	0.22	0.08	0.12	-0.02	6	92%	0.22	1	-0.00	0	0%	0.00
Dean Wade	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01	0.01	0.04	-0.01	0.02	3	83%	0.01	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Nae'Qwan Tomlin	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01	0.01	-0.02	0.03	-0.00	2	50%	0.03	1	-0.02	0	0%	0.00
Jarrett Allen	0,0,0,-0.01,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.03,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01	0.01	0.03	-0.02	0.00	7	67%	0.07	2	-0.06	4	100%	0.02
Lonzo Ball	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.06,-0.06,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.11,-0.07,-0.07,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02	-0.02	-0.06	0.04	-0.00	8	33%	0.01	1	-0.03	2	50%	-0.01
Thomas Bryant	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03	-0.03	-0.02	-0.01	0.00	1	0%	-0.03	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
De'Andre Hunter	0,0,0,0,0.02,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0.02,0.02,0.05,0.05,0.05,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03	-0.03	-0.02	-0.04	-0.02	11	50%	0.02	2	-0.05	0	0%	0.00
Evan Mobley	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.02,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.06,-0.06,-0.08,-0.11,-0.14,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.07,-0.07,-0.11,-0.11,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1	-0.10	-0.08	-0.02	0.00	9	54%	0.06	6	-0.16	8	62%	-0.02

Game Length Report (minutes)

	Q1		Q2		Q3		Q4	Total
this game	25.5	0.2	36.4	0.1	39.1	0.1	30.2	131.6
league avg	26.4	1.9	29.1	14.2	29.8	2.1	32.8	136.2

Win Probability Added by the Four Factors

(aka How the Game Was Won)

victory
100% WP

start
50% WP

CLE +57.7%

MIL -1.8%

MIL -1.7%

MIL -4.5%

CLE +0.4%

Pace and Efficiency Report

	seconds / possession			points / 100 possessions
all possessions	MIL	CLE	NBA	MIL	CLE	NBA
this game	15.6	12.6	14.2	105.0	114.6	113.5
season	14.7	13.8		110.9	116.7
opponent	14.5	14.3		112.7	117.5

Quarterly Pace Report (seconds per possession)

	Q1	Q2	Q3	Q4	Total
MIL	14.8	16.5	14.7	16.7	15.6
CLE	13.9	10.4	12.4	14.0	12.6

On/Off Win Probability and Pace Statistics

Milwaukee Bucks
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Gary Harris	34	35	0.06	-0.56	0.62	-0.03	3	-15	18	15.0	15.9	-0.90	13.3	12.3	0.98
Giannis Antetokounmpo	43	46	-0.05	-0.45	0.40	0.01	-2	-10	8	15.2	16.0	-0.80	12.4	12.8	-0.36
Jericho Sims	28	28	-0.18	-0.32	0.14	-0.09	-3	-9	6	16.1	15.4	0.72	13.0	12.5	0.58
AJ Green	93	97	-0.33	-0.17	-0.16	-0.09	-8	-4	-4	15.9	12.7	3.12	12.8	8.8	4.01
Myles Turner	93	97	-0.33	-0.17	-0.16	-0.09	-8	-4	-4	15.9	12.7	3.12	12.8	8.8	4.01
Ryan Rollins	72	76	-0.35	-0.15	-0.21	-0.15	-7	-5	-2	15.5	16.0	-0.58	12.8	12.1	0.63
Cole Anthony	85	86	-0.37	-0.13	-0.24	-0.11	-9	-3	-6	15.6	15.9	-0.37	12.3	14.4	-2.09
Bobby Portis	93	94	-0.38	-0.12	-0.27	-0.18	-7	-5	-2	15.8	14.0	1.76	12.4	14.6	-2.13
Kyle Kuzma	76	79	-0.42	-0.08	-0.34	-0.15	-9	-3	-6	16.0	14.5	1.52	12.6	12.5	0.09
Gary Trent Jr.	93	95	-0.48	-0.02	-0.45	-0.18	-10	-2	-8	15.2	20.0	-4.75	12.8	10.0	2.83

Cleveland Cavaliers
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Donovan Mitchell	103	101	0.50	0.00	0.50	0.15	12	0	12	12.6	0.0	12.61	15.6	0.0	15.62
Dean Wade	95	93	0.48	0.02	0.45	0.18	10	2	8	12.8	10.0	2.83	15.2	20.0	-4.75
Evan Mobley	94	91	0.42	0.08	0.35	0.13	10	2	8	12.7	11.3	1.40	15.9	13.4	2.47
Lonzo Ball	87	86	0.41	0.09	0.32	0.21	7	5	2	12.6	12.9	-0.39	15.4	16.7	-1.30
De'Andre Hunter	85	82	0.39	0.11	0.28	0.18	7	5	2	12.7	12.3	0.40	15.8	14.7	1.16
Sam Merrill	67	65	0.34	0.16	0.18	0.22	4	8	-4	13.1	11.7	1.41	15.4	16.1	-0.71
Nae'Qwan Tomlin	28	26	0.32	0.18	0.14	0.06	9	3	6	12.4	12.7	-0.25	15.5	15.7	-0.17
Craig Porter Jr.	72	71	0.19	0.31	-0.13	0.13	2	10	-8	12.9	12.0	0.83	15.0	17.2	-2.19
Jarrett Allen	78	76	0.17	0.33	-0.15	0.06	4	8	-4	12.3	13.6	-1.31	15.4	16.4	-1.08
Thomas Bryant	16	14	0.10	0.40	-0.30	-0.05	5	7	-2	12.7	12.6	0.09	16.9	15.4	1.51

Dopplegamers 0.5,0.5,0.48,0.4,0.42,0.36,0.33,0.34,0.28,0.28,0.28,0.36,0.36,0.35,0.38,0.38,0.44,0.47,0.51,0.53,0.52,0.48,0.54,0.49,0.54,0.51,0.58,0.49,0.56,0.56,0.58,0.55,0.68,0.59,0.59,0.48,0.52,0.66,0.66,0.71,0.76,0.84,0.9,0.91,0.91,0.95,0.98,1,1,1
Game		Similarity Score
CHH 84, CHI 93	0.5,0.51,0.54,0.48,0.45,0.42,0.42,0.37,0.34,0.35,0.32,0.34,0.36,0.43,0.36,0.4,0.47,0.44,0.49,0.46,0.47,0.54,0.49,0.49,0.54,0.58,0.54,0.48,0.49,0.48,0.45,0.52,0.59,0.52,0.52,0.56,0.6,0.62,0.62,0.7,0.71,0.77,0.83,0.88,0.9,0.96,0.98,0.98,0.99,1	94.7%
MIA 101, ORL 104	0.5,0.49,0.48,0.45,0.42,0.42,0.4,0.38,0.34,0.29,0.28,0.27,0.32,0.35,0.37,0.4,0.42,0.47,0.46,0.51,0.48,0.48,0.49,0.54,0.56,0.54,0.68,0.55,0.61,0.64,0.67,0.57,0.52,0.44,0.44,0.37,0.48,0.54,0.52,0.71,0.8,0.91,0.96,0.94,0.93,0.97,0.98,0.97,0.95,1	93.6%
PHX 100, SAC 111	0.5,0.51,0.45,0.43,0.45,0.39,0.34,0.35,0.33,0.32,0.38,0.42,0.36,0.4,0.47,0.44,0.42,0.44,0.54,0.53,0.51,0.59,0.58,0.61,0.61,0.7,0.63,0.55,0.58,0.64,0.52,0.55,0.56,0.59,0.69,0.6,0.56,0.7,0.81,0.85,0.83,0.81,0.83,0.89,0.91,0.95,0.98,1,1,1	93.4%