NBA Win Probability Game Box Scores

NBA Win Probability Box Scores (click here for LIVE graphs)

Real Time? Pre Game Odds?

winProb
gameTime
fourFactors
pace
on/off
misc

LA Clippers	118		Excitement	5.3 [464]		MVP	Payton Pritchard (BOS): +18.9%
Boston Celtics	121		Comeback	1.0 [642]		LVP	Anfernee Simons (BOS): -10.8%

LA Clippers
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
James Harden	0.11	0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,0.02,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.04,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.09,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.09,-0.09,-0.11,-0.11,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.03,0.09,0.07,0.07,0.11	0.16	0.07	0.11	22	63%	0.19	3	-0.07	15	93%	0.04
John Collins	0.05	0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05	0.10	0.00	0.05	13	65%	0.05	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Kobe Sanders	0.04	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.03,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.03,0.03,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.11,0.11,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.04,0.04,0.04	0.07	-0.02	0.01	7	73%	0.06	1	-0.02	1	100%	0.00
Brook Lopez	0.03	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03	0.04	0.00	0.01	2	83%	0.03	0	0.00	2	100%	0.01
Ivica Zubac	0.03	0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.02,0.01,0.02,0.02,0.06,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.03,0.03	0.09	-0.01	0.05	10	67%	0.04	1	-0.01	4	100%	0.01
Nicolas Batum	-0.01	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.07,0.07,0.06,0.06,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01	0.03	-0.02	0.01	4	75%	0.04	1	-0.04	0	0%	0.00
Jordan Miller	-0.01	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01	-0.01	0.00	-0.00	3	50%	0.01	1	-0.02	2	100%	0.01
Derrick Jones Jr.	-0.01	0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01	-0.01	0.00	0.01	5	50%	-0.00	1	-0.01	0	0%	0.00
Bogdan Bogdanovi?	-0.03	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,0.02,0.02,0,0,-0.03,-0.03,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03	-0.02	-0.00	0.01	10	50%	0.03	2	-0.05	2	100%	0.02
Kris Dunn	-0.10	0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.06,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1	-0.06	-0.04	0.00	5	43%	-0.01	3	-0.09	4	75%	-0.01

Boston Celtics
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Payton Pritchard	0,0,0,0.03,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.04,0.08,0.07,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.08,0.08,0.11,0.14,0.16,0.17,0.18,0.18,0.18,0.18,0.18,0.18,0.18,0.21,0.21,0.21,0.21,0.21,0.21,0.21,0.21,0.21,0.21,0.21,0.2,0.2,0.19	0.19	0.29	0.03	0.13	16	88%	0.19	0	0.00	2	100%	0.03
Luka Garza	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15	0.15	0.14	0.03	0.02	6	100%	0.15	0	0.00	1	100%	0.01
Derrick White	0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.03,0.03,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.1,0.1,0.15,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.12,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.1,0.13	0.13	0.08	0.03	-0.02	17	58%	0.14	1	-0.01	4	100%	0.03
Jaylen Brown	0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.04,0.06,0.09,0.07,0.07,0.04,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.01,0.03,-0.01,0.02,0,-0.03,-0.03,0.1,0.05,0.07,0.09,0.08,0.08,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.07	0.07	0.02	0.02	-0.03	33	45%	0.09	1	-0.02	7	57%	-0.04
Neemias Queta	0,0,0,0,0.02,0.03,0.03,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.03,0.03,0.05,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,-0.01,-0.01,0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0,0,0,0.07,0.07,0.07	0.07	-0.00	0.07	-0.00	16	42%	0.07	0	0.00	1	0%	-0.00
Jordan Walsh	0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.04,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0,0,0	0.00	0.01	0.00	0.01	5	50%	0.00	0	0.00	2	100%	0.01
Josh Minott	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01	-0.01	-0.02	0.00	-0.00	1	0%	-0.01	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Baylor Scheierman	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02	-0.02	-0.01	-0.00	0.00	3	50%	0.01	1	-0.02	0	0%	0.00
Sam Hauser	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04	-0.04	-0.07	0.00	-0.03	3	0%	-0.03	1	-0.01	0	0%	0.00
Anfernee Simons	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.08,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11	-0.11	-0.09	-0.03	-0.01	3	0%	-0.07	2	-0.04	0	0%	0.00

Game Length Report (minutes)

	Q1		Q2		Q3		Q4	Total
this game	30.6	1.4	27.3	14.5	31.2	0.0	40.7	0.0
league avg	26.3	2.0	28.9	14.3	29.6	2.2	32.8	136.1

Win Probability Added by the Four Factors

(aka How the Game Was Won)

victory
100% WP

start
50% WP

BOS +24.6%

LAC -12.7%

BOS +14.9%

BOS +24.0%

LAC -0.9%

Pace and Efficiency Report

	seconds / possession			points / 100 possessions
all possessions	LAC	BOS	NBA	LAC	BOS	NBA
this game	15.3	15.1	14.2	125.5	127.4	113.5
season	15.3	15.4		114.4	119.3
opponent	14.3	14.2		112.0	114.3

Quarterly Pace Report (seconds per possession)

	Q1	Q2	Q3	Q4	Total
LAC	17.4	18.7	14.2	11.8	15.3
BOS	13.7	14.0	17.0	15.4	15.1

On/Off Win Probability and Pace Statistics

LA Clippers
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Brook Lopez	53	55	-0.28	-0.22	-0.06	-0.10	-6	3	-9	16.6	13.8	2.81	15.9	14.0	1.93
Kobe Sanders	81	83	-0.33	-0.17	-0.16	-0.36	1	-4	5	15.1	16.7	-1.57	15.4	13.0	2.40
Jordan Miller	37	38	-0.38	-0.12	-0.27	0.15	-18	15	-33	18.6	13.2	5.41	13.3	16.3	-3.01
Derrick Jones Jr.	36	36	-0.43	-0.07	-0.36	0.16	-20	17	-37	19.2	12.9	6.25	13.0	16.4	-3.37
Bogdan Bogdanovi?	90	92	-0.44	-0.06	-0.39	-0.36	-3	0	-3	15.5	11.5	4.01	14.9	20.7	-5.75
Nicolas Batum	84	87	-0.47	-0.03	-0.45	-0.30	-6	3	-9	15.6	12.8	2.84	15.1	15.1	-0.03
James Harden	91	92	-0.64	0.14	-0.77	-0.31	-11	8	-19	15.6	8.3	7.24	15.0	18.7	-3.69
Kris Dunn	77	78	-0.68	0.18	-0.87	-0.33	-12	9	-21	15.6	14.2	1.35	15.6	12.8	2.77
Ivica Zubac	78	80	-0.73	0.23	-0.96	-0.29	-15	12	-27	15.9	12.7	3.20	15.5	13.1	2.41
John Collins	80	80	-0.77	0.27	-1.05	-0.30	-16	13	-29	15.6	14.1	1.49	15.1	15.1	0.03

Boston Celtics
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Derrick White	77	77	0.81	-0.31	1.12	0.22	20	-17	37	15.2	14.7	0.53	15.5	14.5	0.99
Jordan Walsh	82	80	0.73	-0.23	0.97	0.29	15	-12	27	15.0	15.5	-0.42	15.5	14.4	1.16
Jaylen Brown	89	88	0.60	-0.10	0.70	0.33	9	-6	15	15.0	15.8	-0.79	15.5	12.5	3.03
Luka Garza	66	65	0.56	-0.06	0.63	0.09	16	-13	29	14.6	16.1	-1.50	16.8	12.1	4.63
Neemias Queta	85	83	0.55	-0.05	0.60	0.29	9	-6	15	15.3	13.3	2.01	15.9	11.1	4.81
Payton Pritchard	95	94	0.50	0.00	0.50	0.41	3	0	3	15.1	0.0	15.09	15.3	0.0	15.34
Sam Hauser	64	62	0.44	0.06	0.38	0.35	3	0	3	15.7	13.9	1.72	14.4	17.1	-2.71
Anfernee Simons	54	53	0.39	0.11	0.28	0.30	3	0	3	15.1	15.1	-0.09	15.1	15.6	-0.52
Baylor Scheierman	53	50	0.35	0.15	0.20	0.09	9	-6	15	15.4	14.7	0.68	16.0	14.5	1.49
Josh Minott	47	44	0.15	0.35	-0.20	0.06	3	0	3	15.8	14.4	1.37	16.5	14.3	2.22

Dopplegamers 0.5,0.5,0.52,0.54,0.58,0.61,0.6,0.65,0.72,0.75,0.75,0.74,0.74,0.65,0.7,0.62,0.67,0.67,0.64,0.76,0.79,0.88,0.87,0.85,0.78,0.86,0.92,0.96,0.97,0.98,0.96,0.95,0.91,0.87,0.89,0.81,0.87,0.7,0.66,0.74,0.83,0.88,0.96,0.94,0.98,0.95,0.79,0.97,1,1
Game		Similarity Score
DEN 77, MIN 83	0.5,0.51,0.5,0.54,0.5,0.53,0.6,0.64,0.71,0.72,0.69,0.69,0.68,0.66,0.7,0.66,0.66,0.73,0.76,0.75,0.73,0.73,0.78,0.85,0.86,0.88,0.91,0.94,0.96,0.99,0.99,0.97,0.95,0.91,0.9,0.86,0.85,0.78,0.81,0.75,0.76,0.81,0.87,0.91,0.91,0.93,0.97,0.98,0.99,1	94.0%
SAC 119, BOS 128	0.5,0.49,0.48,0.55,0.58,0.56,0.65,0.71,0.72,0.76,0.76,0.74,0.68,0.68,0.7,0.72,0.77,0.72,0.76,0.74,0.73,0.78,0.87,0.83,0.86,0.9,0.91,0.94,0.92,0.93,0.96,0.94,0.93,0.86,0.85,0.77,0.75,0.81,0.87,0.82,0.8,0.85,0.94,0.94,0.99,0.99,0.99,0.97,1,1	93.6%
MIN 111, SAC 125	0.5,0.49,0.55,0.48,0.53,0.54,0.55,0.6,0.63,0.69,0.73,0.67,0.7,0.68,0.74,0.76,0.73,0.71,0.69,0.72,0.81,0.83,0.83,0.83,0.87,0.88,0.9,0.93,0.91,0.87,0.92,0.89,0.85,0.86,0.86,0.86,0.9,0.85,0.78,0.82,0.8,0.93,0.97,0.99,0.98,1,1,1,1,1	93.6%