NBA Win Probability Game Box Scores

NBA Win Probability Box Scores (click here for LIVE graphs)

Real Time? Pre Game Odds?

winProb
gameTime
fourFactors
pace
on/off
misc

Detroit Pistons	111		Excitement	9.0 [121]		MVP	Cade Cunningham (DET): +29.3%
Philadelphia 76ers	108		Comeback	6.8 [187]		LVP	Ronald Holland II (DET): -22.7%

Detroit Pistons
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Cade Cunningham	0.29	0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.08,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.16,-0.18,-0.18,-0.18,-0.18,-0.2,-0.18,-0.14,-0.14,-0.19,-0.19,-0.17,-0.14,-0.06,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.08,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.17,0.29	-0.01	0.29	-0.02	20	53%	0.41	5	-0.12	9	78%	0.02
Jalen Duren	0.16	0,0,0,-0.01,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.04,0.06,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.01,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.01,0.06,0.11,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.07,0.16,0.16,0.16	0.09	0.08	0.01	11	72%	0.29	3	-0.13	7	71%	0.01
Caris LeVert	0.14	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.17,0.17,0.22,0.22,0.22,0.22,0.22,0.22,0.22,0.22,0.22,0.22,0.22,0.22,0.22,0.17,0.17,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14	0.13	0.01	0.00	6	100%	0.18	1	-0.05	2	100%	0.01
Duncan Robinson	0.12	0,0,0.03,0.03,0.02,0.02,0.05,0.05,0.04,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12	0.13	0.01	0.02	11	68%	0.12	0	0.00	3	100%	0.01
Paul Reed	0.05	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05	0.02	0.03	0.00	3	67%	0.05	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Ausar Thompson	0.01	0,0,0,0,0,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.11,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.02,-0.02,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.01	0.03	-0.01	0.01	10	61%	0.08	2	-0.07	3	33%	-0.03
Javonte Green	-0.03	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,0.05,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03	-0.03	-0.00	-0.00	5	50%	0.06	2	-0.09	2	50%	-0.02
Bobi Klintman	-0.04	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04	-0.04	-0.00	0.00	1	0%	-0.02	1	-0.02	0	0%	0.00
Ronald Holland II	-0.23	0,0,0,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.08,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.18,-0.18,-0.18,-0.18,-0.18,-0.2,-0.2,-0.2,-0.23	-0.11	-0.11	0.01	15	28%	-0.20	1	-0.03	2	50%	-0.02

Philadelphia 76ers
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Andre Drummond	0,0,0,0,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.04,0.04,0.05,0.05,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.1,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.09,0.09,0.09	0.09	0.13	-0.02	0.03	9	77%	0.09	0	0.00	4	75%	0.00
Tyrese Maxey	0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.01,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,0.02,0,-0.03,-0.03,0,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0,-0.04,-0.01,0.01,0,0,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,0,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.14,0.02,0.02,0.06,0.07	0.07	0.05	0.03	0.01	26	54%	0.21	3	-0.14	9	100%	0.09
Jabari Walker	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.07,0.07,0.09,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.11,0.11,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07	0.07	0.08	-0.01	-0.00	6	100%	0.14	2	-0.07	0	0%	0.00
Adem Bona	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.03,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02	0.02	0.00	0.02	0.00	1	50%	0.02	0	0.00	2	100%	0.02
Quentin Grimes	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.03,0.05,0.07,0.11,0.11,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.17,0.14,0.11,0.11,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,-0.02,-0.02	-0.02	0.04	-0.05	0.00	8	68%	0.10	3	-0.12	3	100%	0.01
VJ Edgecombe	0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.12,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02	-0.02	-0.10	0.05	-0.02	9	46%	0.07	5	-0.09	6	67%	-0.02
Eric Gordon	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04	-0.04	-0.04	-0.00	-0.00	1	0%	-0.01	1	-0.03	0	0%	0.00
Trendon Watford	0,0,0,0,0,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.05,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.05,-0.08,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.08,-0.08,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06	-0.06	-0.07	-0.04	-0.05	8	39%	-0.01	2	-0.05	2	50%	0.05
Jared McCain	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07	-0.07	-0.05	-0.02	0.00	3	0%	-0.07	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Kelly Oubre Jr.	0,0,0.02,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,0.06,0.06,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.07,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.01,0.01,-0.08,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14	-0.14	-0.05	-0.09	-0.00	13	46%	-0.01	3	-0.13	2	100%	0.01

Game Length Report (minutes)

	Q1		Q2		Q3		Q4	Total
this game	27.4	0.5	33.4	11.7	32.7	0.3	34.8	140.9
league avg	26.3	2.0	28.9	14.4	29.6	2.3	32.8	136.1

Win Probability Added by the Four Factors

(aka How the Game Was Won)

victory
100% WP

start
50% WP

DET +54.6%

PHI -8.4%

PHI -5.9%

DET +13.1%

PHI -3.3%

Pace and Efficiency Report

	seconds / possession			points / 100 possessions
all possessions	DET	PHI	NBA	DET	PHI	NBA
this game	13.4	15.2	14.2	109.9	108.0	113.6
season	14.1	14.6		114.0	113.6
opponent	13.8	14.1		112.2	107.5

Quarterly Pace Report (seconds per possession)

	Q1	Q2	Q3	Q4	Total
DET	12.9	14.6	10.5	16.0	13.4
PHI	13.6	14.8	17.2	15.3	15.2

On/Off Win Probability and Pace Statistics

Detroit Pistons
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Ronald Holland II	85	86	0.60	-0.10	0.69	0.36	8	-5	13	13.8	11.6	2.20	15.4	14.2	1.16
Javonte Green	88	87	0.59	-0.09	0.67	0.44	5	-2	7	13.6	12.2	1.36	14.8	18.2	-3.38
Cade Cunningham	95	94	0.47	0.03	0.44	0.35	4	-1	5	13.7	8.7	5.05	15.4	12.3	3.06
Paul Reed	77	75	0.41	0.09	0.31	0.08	11	-8	19	12.9	15.1	-2.19	15.0	15.7	-0.68
Ausar Thompson	88	87	0.39	0.11	0.27	0.42	-1	4	-5	13.8	10.7	3.13	15.5	13.1	2.45
Jalen Duren	86	86	0.31	0.19	0.11	0.33	-1	4	-5	14.3	8.1	6.20	15.6	12.9	2.65
Caris LeVert	88	87	0.25	0.25	0.00	0.11	5	-2	7	12.9	16.9	-4.03	15.5	13.1	2.45
Duncan Robinson	89	88	0.10	0.40	-0.29	0.10	0	3	-3	12.9	16.9	-3.97	15.2	14.9	0.33
Bobi Klintman	13	12	-0.26	0.76	-1.01	0.07	-11	14	-25	15.9	13.0	2.88	11.5	15.7	-4.22

Philadelphia 76ers
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Jared McCain	25	25	0.31	-0.81	1.12	-0.04	12	-15	27	15.4	15.2	0.20	15.0	12.9	2.16
Eric Gordon	35	36	-0.01	-0.49	0.48	-0.01	0	-3	3	12.5	16.7	-4.19	13.9	13.1	0.82
Trendon Watford	78	79	-0.11	-0.39	0.28	-0.11	0	-3	3	15.7	13.5	2.19	12.9	15.1	-2.14
Jabari Walker	64	66	-0.18	-0.32	0.14	-0.00	-6	3	-9	14.7	16.1	-1.45	12.9	14.3	-1.37
Tyrese Maxey	84	84	-0.34	-0.16	-0.19	-0.32	-1	-2	1	15.5	13.9	1.51	14.4	8.7	5.66
Andre Drummond	87	88	-0.37	-0.13	-0.23	-0.34	-1	-2	1	15.5	13.4	2.10	14.2	7.8	6.39
Adem Bona	72	72	-0.39	-0.11	-0.29	-0.04	-12	9	-21	15.3	15.0	0.29	13.1	14.2	-1.11
Kelly Oubre Jr.	96	96	-0.51	0.01	-0.52	-0.39	-4	1	-5	15.4	9.5	5.95	13.6	10.0	3.59
VJ Edgecombe	91	92	-0.62	0.12	-0.73	-0.41	-7	4	-11	14.9	18.0	-3.07	13.4	13.6	-0.15
Quentin Grimes	95	96	-0.64	0.14	-0.78	-0.43	-7	4	-11	15.1	17.0	-1.88	13.5	12.6	0.86

Dopplegamers 0.5,0.5,0.48,0.45,0.48,0.43,0.37,0.39,0.43,0.37,0.4,0.37,0.42,0.37,0.47,0.49,0.51,0.51,0.49,0.61,0.59,0.64,0.67,0.67,0.73,0.78,0.77,0.74,0.67,0.64,0.76,0.87,0.85,0.69,0.59,0.56,0.44,0.38,0.48,0.29,0.42,0.47,0.36,0.29,0.35,0.38,0.26,0.23,0.09,0
Game		Similarity Score
HOU 100, VAN 95	0.5,0.49,0.46,0.42,0.4,0.34,0.38,0.38,0.41,0.43,0.38,0.38,0.38,0.35,0.42,0.42,0.47,0.53,0.56,0.61,0.69,0.69,0.69,0.72,0.78,0.86,0.91,0.93,0.9,0.81,0.86,0.86,0.75,0.65,0.59,0.6,0.64,0.5,0.34,0.29,0.38,0.42,0.47,0.4,0.39,0.47,0.36,0.14,0.03,0	91.6%
NOH 87, MIA 83	0.5,0.49,0.45,0.43,0.46,0.44,0.45,0.45,0.53,0.57,0.55,0.51,0.51,0.57,0.56,0.53,0.55,0.59,0.61,0.66,0.64,0.64,0.61,0.64,0.64,0.73,0.79,0.74,0.7,0.7,0.68,0.71,0.65,0.69,0.66,0.6,0.52,0.46,0.43,0.48,0.38,0.53,0.47,0.4,0.34,0.45,0.28,0.06,0.05,0	91.0%
IND 95, CHI 90	0.5,0.51,0.48,0.46,0.47,0.42,0.4,0.45,0.51,0.49,0.49,0.45,0.38,0.48,0.47,0.42,0.47,0.51,0.56,0.52,0.56,0.54,0.64,0.59,0.64,0.78,0.76,0.66,0.7,0.55,0.67,0.65,0.59,0.62,0.59,0.48,0.56,0.46,0.34,0.29,0.38,0.37,0.32,0.24,0.23,0.11,0.22,0.09,0.08,0	90.9%