NBA Win Probability Game Box Scores

NBA Win Probability Box Scores (click here for LIVE graphs)

winProb
gameTime
fourFactors
pace
on/off
misc

Detroit Pistons	111		Excitement	9.0 [27]		MVP	Cade Cunningham (DET): +29.3%
Philadelphia 76ers	108		Comeback	6.8 [17]		LVP	Ronald Holland II (DET): -22.7%

Detroit Pistons
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Cade Cunningham	0.29	0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.08,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.16,-0.18,-0.18,-0.18,-0.18,-0.2,-0.18,-0.14,-0.14,-0.19,-0.19,-0.17,-0.14,-0.06,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.08,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.17,0.29	-0.01	0.29	-0.02	20	53%	0.41	5	-0.12	9	78%	0.02
Jalen Duren	0.16	0,0,0,-0.01,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.04,0.06,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.01,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.01,0.06,0.11,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.07,0.16,0.16,0.16	0.09	0.08	0.01	11	72%	0.29	3	-0.13	7	71%	0.01
Caris LeVert	0.14	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.17,0.17,0.22,0.22,0.22,0.22,0.22,0.22,0.22,0.22,0.22,0.22,0.22,0.22,0.22,0.17,0.17,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14	0.13	0.01	0.00	6	100%	0.18	1	-0.05	2	100%	0.01
Duncan Robinson	0.12	0,0,0.03,0.03,0.02,0.02,0.05,0.05,0.04,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12	0.13	0.01	0.02	11	68%	0.12	0	0.00	3	100%	0.01
Paul Reed	0.05	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05	0.02	0.03	0.00	3	67%	0.05	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Ausar Thompson	0.01	0,0,0,0,0,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.11,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.02,-0.02,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.01	0.03	-0.01	0.01	10	61%	0.08	2	-0.07	3	33%	-0.03
Javonte Green	-0.03	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,0.05,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03	-0.03	-0.00	-0.00	5	50%	0.06	2	-0.09	2	50%	-0.02
Bobi Klintman	-0.04	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04	-0.04	-0.00	0.00	1	0%	-0.02	1	-0.02	0	0%	0.00
Ronald Holland II	-0.23	0,0,0,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.08,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.18,-0.18,-0.18,-0.18,-0.18,-0.2,-0.2,-0.2,-0.23	-0.11	-0.11	0.01	15	28%	-0.20	1	-0.03	2	50%	-0.02

Philadelphia 76ers
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Andre Drummond	0,0,0,0,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.04,0.04,0.05,0.05,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.1,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.09,0.09,0.09	0.09	0.13	-0.02	0.03	9	77%	0.09	0	0.00	4	75%	0.00
Tyrese Maxey	0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.01,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,0.02,0,-0.03,-0.03,0,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0,-0.04,-0.01,0.01,0,0,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,0,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.14,0.02,0.02,0.06,0.07	0.07	0.05	0.03	0.01	26	54%	0.21	3	-0.14	9	100%	0.09
Jabari Walker	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.07,0.07,0.09,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.11,0.11,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07	0.07	0.08	-0.01	-0.00	6	100%	0.14	2	-0.07	0	0%	0.00
Adem Bona	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.03,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02	0.02	0.00	0.02	0.00	1	50%	0.02	0	0.00	2	100%	0.02
Quentin Grimes	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.03,0.05,0.07,0.11,0.11,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.17,0.14,0.11,0.11,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,-0.02,-0.02	-0.02	0.04	-0.05	0.00	8	68%	0.10	3	-0.12	3	100%	0.01
VJ Edgecombe	0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.12,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02	-0.02	-0.10	0.05	-0.02	9	46%	0.07	5	-0.09	6	67%	-0.02
Eric Gordon	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04	-0.04	-0.04	-0.00	-0.00	1	0%	-0.01	1	-0.03	0	0%	0.00
Trendon Watford	0,0,0,0,0,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.05,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.05,-0.08,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.08,-0.08,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06	-0.06	-0.07	-0.04	-0.05	8	39%	-0.01	2	-0.05	2	50%	0.05
Jared McCain	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07	-0.07	-0.05	-0.02	0.00	3	0%	-0.07	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Kelly Oubre Jr.	0,0,0.02,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,0.06,0.06,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.07,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.01,0.01,-0.08,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14	-0.14	-0.05	-0.09	-0.00	13	46%	-0.01	3	-0.13	2	100%	0.01

Game Length Report (minutes)

	Q1		Q2		Q3		Q4	Total
this game	27.4	0.5	33.4	11.7	32.7	0.3	34.8	140.9
league avg	26.2	2.2	28.6	14.8	29.1	2.3	32.6	136.3

Win Probability Added by the Four Factors

(aka How the Game Was Won)

victory
100% WP

start
50% WP

DET +54.6%

PHI -8.4%

PHI -5.9%

DET +13.1%

PHI -3.3%

Pace and Efficiency Report

	seconds / possession			points / 100 possessions
all possessions	DET	PHI	NBA	DET	PHI	NBA
this game	13.0	14.9	13.7	107.8	104.9	110.9
season	13.6	14.4		111.0	115.0
opponent	13.0	13.8		109.4	106.4

Quarterly Pace Report (seconds per possession)

	Q1	Q2	Q3	Q4	Total
DET	12.9	14.0	9.9	15.3	13.0
PHI	13.6	14.2	17.1	14.7	14.9

On/Off Win Probability and Pace Statistics

Detroit Pistons
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Ronald Holland II	87	89	0.60	-0.10	0.69	0.36	8	-5	13	13.3	11.6	1.70	15.0	14.2	0.82
Javonte Green	90	89	0.59	-0.09	0.67	0.44	5	-2	7	13.1	12.2	0.88	14.6	16.9	-2.24
Cade Cunningham	97	97	0.47	0.03	0.44	0.35	4	-1	5	13.3	8.7	4.60	15.1	12.3	2.75
Paul Reed	78	77	0.41	0.09	0.31	0.08	11	-8	19	12.5	14.5	-1.95	14.9	15.1	-0.26
Ausar Thompson	90	90	0.39	0.11	0.27	0.42	-1	4	-5	13.3	10.7	2.64	15.2	13.1	2.11
Jalen Duren	88	89	0.31	0.19	0.11	0.33	-1	4	-5	13.8	8.1	5.70	15.2	12.9	2.31
Caris LeVert	89	90	0.25	0.25	0.00	0.11	5	-2	7	12.6	15.7	-3.14	15.2	13.1	2.11
Duncan Robinson	90	91	0.10	0.40	-0.29	0.10	0	3	-3	12.6	15.6	-2.99	14.9	14.9	0.01
Bobi Klintman	14	12	-0.26	0.76	-1.01	0.07	-11	14	-25	14.8	12.7	2.07	11.5	15.4	-3.87

Philadelphia 76ers
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Jared McCain	27	26	0.31	-0.81	1.12	-0.04	12	-15	27	14.2	15.2	-0.95	14.5	12.5	1.96
Eric Gordon	35	37	-0.01	-0.49	0.48	-0.01	0	-3	3	12.5	16.2	-3.69	13.6	12.7	0.89
Trendon Watford	81	80	-0.11	-0.39	0.28	-0.11	0	-3	3	15.3	13.5	1.81	12.6	14.4	-1.85
Jabari Walker	65	67	-0.18	-0.32	0.14	-0.00	-6	3	-9	14.7	15.3	-0.58	12.5	13.9	-1.41
Tyrese Maxey	87	86	-0.34	-0.16	-0.19	-0.32	-1	-2	1	15.1	13.9	1.17	13.8	8.7	5.14
Andre Drummond	90	90	-0.37	-0.13	-0.23	-0.34	-1	-2	1	15.1	13.4	1.76	13.7	7.8	5.90
Adem Bona	74	73	-0.39	-0.11	-0.29	-0.04	-12	9	-21	15.1	14.5	0.61	12.7	13.7	-1.03
Kelly Oubre Jr.	99	98	-0.51	0.01	-0.52	-0.39	-4	1	-5	15.1	9.5	5.64	13.2	10.0	3.15
VJ Edgecombe	93	94	-0.62	0.12	-0.73	-0.41	-7	4	-11	14.8	16.2	-1.42	12.9	13.6	-0.61
Quentin Grimes	98	98	-0.64	0.14	-0.78	-0.43	-7	4	-11	14.8	17.0	-2.18	13.0	12.6	0.42

Dopplegamers 0.5,0.5,0.48,0.45,0.48,0.43,0.37,0.39,0.43,0.37,0.4,0.37,0.42,0.37,0.47,0.49,0.51,0.51,0.49,0.61,0.59,0.64,0.67,0.67,0.73,0.78,0.77,0.74,0.67,0.64,0.76,0.87,0.85,0.69,0.59,0.56,0.44,0.38,0.48,0.29,0.42,0.47,0.36,0.29,0.35,0.38,0.26,0.23,0.09,0
Game		Similarity Score
HOU 100, VAN 95	0.5,0.49,0.46,0.42,0.4,0.34,0.38,0.38,0.41,0.43,0.38,0.38,0.38,0.35,0.42,0.42,0.47,0.53,0.56,0.61,0.69,0.69,0.69,0.72,0.78,0.86,0.91,0.93,0.9,0.81,0.86,0.86,0.75,0.65,0.59,0.6,0.64,0.5,0.34,0.29,0.38,0.42,0.47,0.4,0.39,0.47,0.36,0.14,0.03,0	91.6%
NOH 87, MIA 83	0.5,0.49,0.45,0.43,0.46,0.44,0.45,0.45,0.53,0.57,0.55,0.51,0.51,0.57,0.56,0.53,0.55,0.59,0.61,0.66,0.64,0.64,0.61,0.64,0.64,0.73,0.79,0.74,0.7,0.7,0.68,0.71,0.65,0.69,0.66,0.6,0.52,0.46,0.43,0.48,0.38,0.53,0.47,0.4,0.34,0.45,0.28,0.06,0.05,0	91.0%
IND 95, CHI 90	0.5,0.51,0.48,0.46,0.47,0.42,0.4,0.45,0.51,0.49,0.49,0.45,0.38,0.48,0.47,0.42,0.47,0.51,0.56,0.52,0.56,0.54,0.64,0.59,0.64,0.78,0.76,0.66,0.7,0.55,0.67,0.65,0.59,0.62,0.59,0.48,0.56,0.46,0.34,0.29,0.38,0.37,0.32,0.24,0.23,0.11,0.22,0.09,0.08,0	90.9%