NBA Win Probability Game Box Scores

NBA Win Probability Box Scores (click here for LIVE graphs)

winProb
gameTime
fourFactors
pace
on/off
misc

New Orleans Pelicans	119		Excitement	6.2 [70]		MVP	Trey Murphy III (NOP): +32.1%
San Antonio Spurs	126		Comeback	1.0 [134]		LVP	Derik Queen (NOP): -11.5%

New Orleans Pelicans
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Trey Murphy III	0.32	0,0,0,0.01,0,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,0,-0.01,0.05,0.05,0.08,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.08,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.19,0.26,0.26,0.28,0.33,0.31,0.31,0.31,0.31,0.31,0.31,0.31,0.33,0.32	0.35	0.07	0.09	22	82%	0.34	1	-0.02	6	100%	0.04
Herbert Jones	0.12	0,0,0,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.02,-0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0.03,0.02,0.02,0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12	0.08	0.05	0.00	11	68%	0.14	1	-0.02	0	0%	0.00
Saddiq Bey	0.09	0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,0.01,0.01,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09	0.01	0.06	-0.02	11	45%	0.09	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Jose Alvarado	0.08	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,0.02,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08	0.08	0.00	0.01	3	100%	0.08	0	0.00	2	100%	0.01
Kevon Looney	0.00	0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,0,0,0.04,0.03,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	-0.01	0.01	-0.01	3	50%	0.02	1	-0.01	4	50%	-0.02
Karlo Matkovi?	-0.03	0,0,0,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03	0.00	-0.02	0.01	3	67%	0.01	1	-0.03	0	0%	0.00
Jordan Hawkins	-0.03	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.01,0.03,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03	-0.02	-0.01	-0.00	6	42%	-0.01	1	-0.02	0	0%	0.00
Micah Peavy	-0.05	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05	-0.06	-0.01	-0.03	4	0%	-0.05	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Jeremiah Fears	-0.07	0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.03,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.04,-0.02,-0.02,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.04,-0.04,-0.05,-0.05,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.07	-0.01	-0.05	0.01	17	49%	-0.01	2	-0.06	3	67%	-0.02
Derik Queen	-0.12	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0,0,0,0,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,-0.02,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.07,-0.08,-0.1,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.04,-0.08,-0.08,-0.11,-0.11,-0.12	-0.09	-0.03	0.00	14	43%	-0.02	4	-0.09	2	100%	0.01

San Antonio Spurs
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Harrison Barnes	0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.13,0.18,0.18,0.18,0.18,0.18	0.18	0.13	0.06	0.00	8	94%	0.20	1	-0.02	0	0%	0.00
De'Aaron Fox	0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,0.02,0.06,0.14,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.14,0.14,0.11,0.11,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.18	0.18	0.14	0.06	0.01	14	73%	0.23	2	-0.05	5	80%	-0.01
Devin Vassell	0,0,0.03,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.05,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.01,0.01,0.04,0.04,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.05,0.07,0.07,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.13,0.13	0.13	0.09	0.04	0.00	13	62%	0.13	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Keldon Johnson	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,0,0.03,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12	0.12	0.07	0.05	0.00	7	67%	0.12	0	0.00	4	100%	0.02
Julian Champagnie	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.05,0.05,0.04,0.06,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11	0.11	0.09	0.03	0.01	7	74%	0.14	1	-0.02	5	80%	0.00
Jeremy Sochan	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.08,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06	0.06	0.06	-0.00	0.00	6	83%	0.08	1	-0.03	0	0%	0.00
Lindy Waters III	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02	0.02	0.02	0.00	0.01	2	75%	0.02	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Stephon Castle	0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.04,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.02,0,-0.03,-0.03,0,-0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01	-0.01	-0.03	0.01	-0.01	13	47%	0.04	2	-0.05	4	100%	0.01
Carter Bryant	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02	-0.02	-0.02	0.00	-0.00	1	0%	-0.02	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Victor Wembanyama	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.07,-0.07,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.09,-0.06,-0.01,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.08,-0.08,-0.1,-0.04,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06	-0.06	-0.08	-0.01	-0.02	19	47%	0.04	5	-0.11	0	0%	0.00

Game Length Report (minutes)

	Q1		Q2		Q3		Q4	Total
this game	23.3	0.0	30.4	0.0	30.8	0.0	31.2	0.0
league avg	26.2	2.3	28.6	14.8	29.1	2.3	32.5	136.2

Win Probability Added by the Four Factors

(aka How the Game Was Won)

victory
100% WP

start
50% WP

SAS +40.3%

NOP -1.3%

SAS +5.7%

SAS +1.2%

SAS +4.2%

Pace and Efficiency Report

	seconds / possession			points / 100 possessions
all possessions	NOP	SAS	NBA	NOP	SAS	NBA
this game	14.7	12.9	13.7	113.3	122.3	110.7
season	14.4	13.7		103.7	114.5
opponent	14.2	13.4		106.2	116.8

Quarterly Pace Report (seconds per possession)

	Q1	Q2	Q3	Q4	Total
NOP	14.0	16.0	13.7	15.3	14.7
SAS	14.7	11.7	10.3	16.0	12.9

On/Off Win Probability and Pace Statistics

New Orleans Pelicans
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Kevon Looney	47	46	-0.22	-0.28	0.06	0.01	-8	1	-9	15.5	14.0	1.50	12.0	13.7	-1.70
Karlo Matkovi?	40	39	-0.33	-0.17	-0.16	0.05	-13	6	-19	15.2	14.4	0.80	12.8	13.0	-0.20
Jose Alvarado	73	70	-0.39	-0.11	-0.29	-0.01	-13	6	-19	14.8	14.6	0.16	12.4	14.1	-1.74
Derik Queen	88	86	-0.44	-0.06	-0.37	-0.23	-7	0	-7	14.5	15.7	-1.19	13.1	12.1	0.99
Saddiq Bey	81	81	-0.44	-0.06	-0.38	-0.29	-5	-2	-3	15.4	12.3	3.07	13.6	10.5	3.16
Micah Peavy	78	76	-0.47	-0.03	-0.45	-0.06	-14	7	-21	14.8	14.4	0.40	12.6	14.0	-1.48
Jeremiah Fears	84	83	-0.52	0.02	-0.53	-0.25	-9	2	-11	15.4	12.1	3.26	13.3	11.2	2.10
Trey Murphy III	100	100	-0.53	0.03	-0.56	-0.27	-9	2	-11	14.8	13.4	1.37	12.9	15.3	-2.46
Herbert Jones	98	94	-0.60	0.10	-0.70	-0.25	-12	5	-17	15.1	9.3	5.81	13.3	9.4	3.83
Jordan Hawkins	75	72	-0.62	0.12	-0.73	0.12	-25	18	-43	14.9	14.2	0.66	12.1	14.9	-2.85

San Antonio Spurs
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Devin Vassell	80	82	0.68	-0.18	0.85	0.09	20	-13	33	13.1	12.3	0.76	15.7	11.2	4.47
Julian Champagnie	98	100	0.55	-0.05	0.59	0.28	9	-2	11	12.9	13.0	-0.06	15.0	9.2	5.78
De'Aaron Fox	100	100	0.53	-0.03	0.56	0.27	9	-2	11	12.9	15.3	-2.46	14.8	13.4	1.37
Stephon Castle	89	93	0.51	-0.01	0.52	0.28	8	-1	9	13.3	10.7	2.58	15.4	9.1	6.35
Keldon Johnson	76	77	0.51	-0.01	0.52	0.01	17	-10	27	12.0	15.6	-3.59	15.4	12.7	2.71
Harrison Barnes	83	85	0.51	-0.01	0.52	0.19	11	-4	15	13.4	10.8	2.60	15.6	10.9	4.70
Jeremy Sochan	88	90	0.45	0.05	0.41	0.19	9	-2	11	12.6	15.0	-2.41	15.0	12.9	2.07
Victor Wembanyama	95	95	0.41	0.09	0.32	0.32	3	4	-1	12.9	13.6	-0.74	14.6	15.4	-0.77
Lindy Waters III	26	25	0.38	0.12	0.25	-0.03	14	-7	21	12.0	13.2	-1.21	17.6	13.8	3.85
Carter Bryant	29	31	0.01	0.49	-0.47	0.01	0	7	-7	14.5	12.3	2.19	14.1	15.0	-0.86

Dopplegamers 0.5,0.5,0.54,0.52,0.55,0.56,0.58,0.55,0.55,0.57,0.67,0.68,0.64,0.65,0.66,0.58,0.51,0.6,0.73,0.84,0.89,0.84,0.86,0.81,0.78,0.73,0.81,0.72,0.79,0.79,0.74,0.68,0.78,0.86,0.85,0.89,0.79,0.78,0.9,0.96,0.93,0.95,0.94,0.81,0.91,0.86,0.96,0.99,0.95,1
Game		Similarity Score
CHI 92, ATL 98	0.5,0.51,0.51,0.49,0.52,0.57,0.61,0.62,0.59,0.61,0.62,0.62,0.63,0.65,0.68,0.64,0.62,0.67,0.72,0.74,0.81,0.83,0.84,0.82,0.8,0.84,0.88,0.84,0.89,0.85,0.86,0.79,0.78,0.82,0.8,0.84,0.88,0.85,0.89,0.93,0.95,0.93,0.86,0.76,0.9,0.9,0.84,0.96,0.99,1	94.1%
DAL 100, SEA 110	0.5,0.49,0.48,0.51,0.53,0.5,0.47,0.49,0.53,0.61,0.62,0.67,0.75,0.72,0.68,0.66,0.64,0.65,0.69,0.75,0.81,0.76,0.77,0.83,0.82,0.75,0.77,0.86,0.75,0.76,0.79,0.71,0.77,0.87,0.88,0.86,0.9,0.9,0.9,0.93,0.93,0.91,0.89,0.89,0.95,0.96,0.98,0.99,1,1	93.9%
MIA 89, UTA 101	0.5,0.49,0.55,0.58,0.6,0.61,0.54,0.62,0.64,0.68,0.67,0.65,0.64,0.66,0.68,0.6,0.64,0.75,0.8,0.85,0.84,0.83,0.84,0.82,0.78,0.82,0.77,0.74,0.75,0.76,0.73,0.77,0.78,0.84,0.86,0.81,0.82,0.87,0.85,0.88,0.8,0.85,0.83,0.89,0.93,0.98,0.97,1,1,1	93.8%