NBA Win Probability Game Box Scores

NBA Win Probability Box Scores (click here for LIVE graphs)

Real Time? Pre Game Odds?

winProb
gameTime
fourFactors
pace
on/off
misc

New Orleans Pelicans	119		Excitement	6.2 [386]		MVP	Trey Murphy III (NOP): +32.1%
San Antonio Spurs	126		Comeback	1.0 [737]		LVP	Derik Queen (NOP): -11.5%

New Orleans Pelicans
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Trey Murphy III	0.32	0,0,0,0.01,0,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,0,-0.01,0.05,0.05,0.08,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.08,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.19,0.26,0.26,0.28,0.33,0.31,0.31,0.31,0.31,0.31,0.31,0.31,0.33,0.32	0.35	0.07	0.09	22	82%	0.34	1	-0.02	6	100%	0.04
Herbert Jones	0.12	0,0,0,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.02,-0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0.03,0.02,0.02,0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12	0.08	0.05	0.00	11	68%	0.14	1	-0.02	0	0%	0.00
Saddiq Bey	0.09	0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,0.01,0.01,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09	0.01	0.06	-0.02	11	45%	0.09	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Jose Alvarado	0.08	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,0.02,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08	0.08	0.00	0.01	3	100%	0.08	0	0.00	2	100%	0.01
Kevon Looney	0.00	0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,0,0,0.04,0.03,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	-0.01	0.01	-0.01	3	50%	0.02	1	-0.01	4	50%	-0.02
Karlo Matkovi?	-0.03	0,0,0,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03	0.00	-0.02	0.01	3	67%	0.01	1	-0.03	0	0%	0.00
Jordan Hawkins	-0.03	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.01,0.03,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03	-0.02	-0.01	-0.00	6	42%	-0.01	1	-0.02	0	0%	0.00
Micah Peavy	-0.05	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05	-0.06	-0.01	-0.03	4	0%	-0.05	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Jeremiah Fears	-0.07	0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.03,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.04,-0.02,-0.02,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.04,-0.04,-0.05,-0.05,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.07	-0.01	-0.05	0.01	17	49%	-0.01	2	-0.06	3	67%	-0.02
Derik Queen	-0.12	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0,0,0,0,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,-0.02,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.07,-0.08,-0.1,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.04,-0.08,-0.08,-0.11,-0.11,-0.12	-0.09	-0.03	0.00	14	43%	-0.02	4	-0.09	2	100%	0.01

San Antonio Spurs
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Harrison Barnes	0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.13,0.18,0.18,0.18,0.18,0.18	0.18	0.13	0.06	0.00	8	94%	0.20	1	-0.02	0	0%	0.00
De'Aaron Fox	0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,0.02,0.06,0.14,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.14,0.14,0.11,0.11,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.18	0.18	0.14	0.06	0.01	14	73%	0.23	2	-0.05	5	80%	-0.01
Devin Vassell	0,0,0.03,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.05,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.01,0.01,0.04,0.04,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.05,0.07,0.07,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.13,0.13	0.13	0.09	0.04	0.00	13	62%	0.13	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Keldon Johnson	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,0,0.03,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12	0.12	0.07	0.05	0.00	7	67%	0.12	0	0.00	4	100%	0.02
Julian Champagnie	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.05,0.05,0.04,0.06,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11	0.11	0.09	0.03	0.01	7	74%	0.14	1	-0.02	5	80%	0.00
Jeremy Sochan	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.08,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06	0.06	0.06	-0.00	0.00	6	83%	0.08	1	-0.03	0	0%	0.00
Lindy Waters III	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02	0.02	0.02	0.00	0.01	2	75%	0.02	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Stephon Castle	0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.04,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.02,0,-0.03,-0.03,0,-0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01	-0.01	-0.03	0.01	-0.01	13	47%	0.04	2	-0.05	4	100%	0.01
Carter Bryant	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02	-0.02	-0.02	0.00	-0.00	1	0%	-0.02	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Victor Wembanyama	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.07,-0.07,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.09,-0.06,-0.01,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.08,-0.08,-0.1,-0.04,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06	-0.06	-0.08	-0.01	-0.02	19	47%	0.04	5	-0.11	0	0%	0.00

Game Length Report (minutes)

	Q1		Q2		Q3		Q4	Total
this game	23.3	0.0	30.4	0.0	30.8	0.0	31.2	0.0
league avg	26.3	2.0	28.9	14.3	29.6	2.2	32.8	136.1

Win Probability Added by the Four Factors

(aka How the Game Was Won)

victory
100% WP

start
50% WP

SAS +40.3%

NOP -1.3%

SAS +5.7%

SAS +1.2%

SAS +4.2%

Pace and Efficiency Report

	seconds / possession			points / 100 possessions
all possessions	NOP	SAS	NBA	NOP	SAS	NBA
this game	15.4	13.2	14.2	119.0	124.8	113.5
season	14.2	13.8		111.3	115.8
opponent	14.5	14.1		110.5	117.2

Quarterly Pace Report (seconds per possession)

	Q1	Q2	Q3	Q4	Total
NOP	15.2	16.0	14.7	16.0	15.4
SAS	14.7	11.7	11.0	16.0	13.2

On/Off Win Probability and Pace Statistics

New Orleans Pelicans
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Kevon Looney	46	46	-0.22	-0.28	0.06	0.01	-8	1	-9	15.9	15.1	0.80	12.0	14.2	-2.20
Karlo Matkovi?	39	39	-0.33	-0.17	-0.16	0.05	-13	6	-19	15.7	15.3	0.46	12.8	13.4	-0.61
Jose Alvarado	69	68	-0.39	-0.11	-0.29	-0.01	-13	6	-19	15.6	15.1	0.54	12.7	14.1	-1.37
Derik Queen	83	84	-0.44	-0.06	-0.37	-0.23	-7	0	-7	15.4	15.7	-0.32	13.4	12.1	1.30
Saddiq Bey	79	81	-0.44	-0.06	-0.38	-0.29	-5	-2	-3	15.8	14.1	1.70	13.6	11.5	2.12
Micah Peavy	74	74	-0.47	-0.03	-0.45	-0.06	-14	7	-21	15.6	15.0	0.65	12.9	14.0	-1.15
Jeremiah Fears	82	83	-0.52	0.02	-0.53	-0.25	-9	2	-11	15.8	13.8	1.96	13.3	12.5	0.85
Trey Murphy III	96	98	-0.53	0.03	-0.56	-0.27	-9	2	-11	15.4	16.7	-1.36	13.1	15.3	-2.20
Herbert Jones	94	94	-0.60	0.10	-0.70	-0.25	-12	5	-17	15.7	10.8	4.90	13.3	12.1	1.13
Jordan Hawkins	71	70	-0.62	0.12	-0.73	0.12	-25	18	-43	15.7	14.7	1.01	12.4	14.9	-2.51

San Antonio Spurs
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Devin Vassell	80	79	0.68	-0.18	0.85	0.09	20	-13	33	13.1	13.5	-0.41	16.3	12.3	3.99
Julian Champagnie	96	95	0.55	-0.05	0.59	0.28	9	-2	11	13.2	13.0	0.21	15.8	9.2	6.57
De'Aaron Fox	98	96	0.53	-0.03	0.56	0.27	9	-2	11	13.1	15.3	-2.20	15.4	16.7	-1.36
Stephon Castle	89	90	0.51	-0.01	0.52	0.28	8	-1	9	13.3	12.5	0.79	15.9	10.9	5.04
Keldon Johnson	74	74	0.51	-0.01	0.52	0.01	17	-10	27	12.3	15.6	-3.27	16.1	13.7	2.36
Harrison Barnes	83	83	0.51	-0.01	0.52	0.19	11	-4	15	13.4	12.1	1.39	16.0	12.8	3.15
Jeremy Sochan	86	86	0.45	0.05	0.41	0.19	9	-2	11	12.9	15.0	-2.12	15.7	13.9	1.84
Victor Wembanyama	93	91	0.41	0.09	0.32	0.32	3	4	-1	13.2	13.6	-0.46	15.3	17.1	-1.84
Lindy Waters III	26	25	0.38	0.12	0.25	-0.03	14	-7	21	12.0	13.6	-1.56	17.6	14.7	2.93
Carter Bryant	29	29	0.01	0.49	-0.47	0.01	0	7	-7	14.5	12.7	1.85	15.1	15.6	-0.52

Dopplegamers 0.5,0.5,0.54,0.52,0.55,0.56,0.58,0.55,0.55,0.57,0.67,0.68,0.64,0.65,0.66,0.58,0.51,0.6,0.73,0.84,0.89,0.84,0.86,0.81,0.78,0.73,0.81,0.72,0.79,0.79,0.74,0.68,0.78,0.86,0.85,0.89,0.79,0.78,0.9,0.96,0.93,0.95,0.94,0.81,0.91,0.86,0.96,0.99,0.95,1
Game		Similarity Score
CHI 92, ATL 98	0.5,0.51,0.51,0.49,0.52,0.57,0.61,0.62,0.59,0.61,0.62,0.62,0.63,0.65,0.68,0.64,0.62,0.67,0.72,0.74,0.81,0.83,0.84,0.82,0.8,0.84,0.88,0.84,0.89,0.85,0.86,0.79,0.78,0.82,0.8,0.84,0.88,0.85,0.89,0.93,0.95,0.93,0.86,0.76,0.9,0.9,0.84,0.96,0.99,1	94.1%
DAL 100, SEA 110	0.5,0.49,0.48,0.51,0.53,0.5,0.47,0.49,0.53,0.61,0.62,0.67,0.75,0.72,0.68,0.66,0.64,0.65,0.69,0.75,0.81,0.76,0.77,0.83,0.82,0.75,0.77,0.86,0.75,0.76,0.79,0.71,0.77,0.87,0.88,0.86,0.9,0.9,0.9,0.93,0.93,0.91,0.89,0.89,0.95,0.96,0.98,0.99,1,1	93.9%
MIA 89, UTA 101	0.5,0.49,0.55,0.58,0.6,0.61,0.54,0.62,0.64,0.68,0.67,0.65,0.64,0.66,0.68,0.6,0.64,0.75,0.8,0.85,0.84,0.83,0.84,0.82,0.78,0.82,0.77,0.74,0.75,0.76,0.73,0.77,0.78,0.84,0.86,0.81,0.82,0.87,0.85,0.88,0.8,0.85,0.83,0.89,0.93,0.98,0.97,1,1,1	93.8%