NBA Win Probability Game Box Scores

NBA Win Probability Box Scores (click here for LIVE graphs)

winProb
gameTime
fourFactors
pace
on/off
misc

Portland Trail Blazers	131		Excitement	10.1 [8]		MVP	Nikola Jovi? (MIA): +35.1%
Miami Heat	136		Comeback	2.3 [89]		LVP	Jrue Holiday (POR): -21.1%

Portland Trail Blazers
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Deni Avdija	0.26	0,0,0.02,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.05,0.04,0.08,0.08,0.06,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.09,0.09,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.16,0.16,0.26,0.26,0.26,0.26,0.26,0.26,0.37,0.31,0.31,0.31,0.31,0.31,0.27,0.26	0.18	0.08	-0.00	21	67%	0.37	3	-0.12	7	86%	0.02
Donovan Clingan	0.22	0,0,0,0,0,0.03,0.03,0.02,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0,0,0,0.03,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.22,0.22,0.22	0.09	0.13	0.00	9	72%	0.22	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Jerami Grant	0.17	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,0.04,0.02,0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.02,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.12,0.12,0.25,0.17,0.17,0.17,0.17,0.17	0.03	0.15	0.01	9	69%	0.32	4	-0.15	8	87%	0.15
Duop Reath	0.06	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06	0.04	0.02	-0.00	3	100%	0.08	1	-0.02	0	0%	0.00
Robert Williams III	0.00	0	0.00	0.00	0.00	0	0%	0.00	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Shaedon Sharpe	-0.00	0,0,-0.01,-0.03,-0.01,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.12,-0.12,-0.11,-0.11,-0.01,-0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	-0.06	0.02	-0.04	19	51%	0.15	6	-0.15	3	67%	0.00
Sidy Cissoko	-0.01	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.04,0.04,0.02,0.02,0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01	-0.01	-0.01	-0.00	4	33%	-0.01	0	0.00	1	100%	0.01
Kris Murray	-0.02	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.05,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02	-0.02	-0.01	-0.00	8	37%	-0.02	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Toumani Camara	-0.15	0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.06,-0.08,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.08,-0.03,-0.05,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.01,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.08,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.15,-0.15	-0.09	-0.06	0.00	17	38%	-0.04	3	-0.11	0	0%	0.00
Jrue Holiday	-0.21	0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0,-0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.03,-0.03,0.01,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.05,0.03,0.03,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.14,-0.14,-0.1,-0.1,-0.19,-0.21	-0.07	-0.16	-0.02	19	43%	-0.00	3	-0.21	4	75%	-0.03

Miami Heat
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Nikola Jovi?	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.07,-0.06,-0.06,-0.04,-0.02,-0.02,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0.03,0.08,0.08,0.06,0.07,0.12,0.12,0.33,0.27,0.27,0.32,0.32,0.32,0.36,0.36,0.35	0.35	0.10	0.18	-0.07	16	72%	0.53	6	-0.18	8	75%	-0.02
Norman Powell	0,0,-0.01,-0.02,-0.03,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.05,-0.03,0,0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0.02,0.05,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0,0.13,0.19,0.11,0.22,0.22,0.22	0.22	0.06	0.14	-0.02	16	55%	0.32	1	-0.10	8	87%	0.09
Pelle Larsson	0,0,0,-0.01,-0.02,-0.04,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0,0.07,0.07,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.15,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.17,0.17,0.17,0.17,0.17	0.17	0.11	0.06	-0.01	10	76%	0.21	1	-0.04	1	100%	0.00
Andrew Wiggins	0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0.03,0.1,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.04,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.04,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.14,0.14	0.14	-0.00	0.09	-0.05	14	47%	0.17	1	-0.03	4	75%	0.00
Dru Smith	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.03,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.08,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07	0.07	0.07	0.01	0.00	6	72%	0.12	1	-0.05	6	83%	0.02
Jaime Jaquez Jr.	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.01,0.01,0.04,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.07,0.05,0.05,0.02,0,0,-0.05,-0.08,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.16,0.04,0.02,0.02	0.02	-0.02	0.06	0.01	15	42%	0.07	1	-0.05	3	67%	0.00
Simone Fontecchio	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01	0.01	0.05	-0.03	0.01	4	78%	0.01	0	0.00	1	100%	-0.00
Davion Mitchell	0,0,-0.01,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.05,0.04,0.04,0.04,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0.04,0.04,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01	0.01	0.07	0.02	0.07	7	69%	0.04	1	-0.03	2	100%	0.00
Kel'el Ware	0,0,0,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	-0.00	-0.03	-0.00	-0.02	8	47%	0.04	2	-0.04	3	33%	-0.03

Game Length Report (minutes)

	Q1		Q2		Q3		Q4	Total
this game	24.5	1.3	32.9	12.6	29.9	0.0	42.1	0.0
league avg	26.2	2.3	28.6	14.8	29.1	2.3	32.5	136.2

Win Probability Added by the Four Factors

(aka How the Game Was Won)

victory
100% WP

start
50% WP

MIA +35.4%

MIA +7.4%

POR -17.6%

MIA +22.9%

MIA +2.0%

Pace and Efficiency Report

	seconds / possession			points / 100 possessions
all possessions	POR	MIA	NBA	POR	MIA	NBA
this game	13.0	11.6	13.7	111.0	117.2	110.7
season	12.6	12.0		109.2	113.1
opponent	14.1	13.4		106.8	109.4

Quarterly Pace Report (seconds per possession)

	Q1	Q2	Q3	Q4	Total
POR	12.7	13.2	13.6	12.6	13.0
MIA	12.4	11.2	12.6	10.3	11.6

On/Off Win Probability and Pace Statistics

Portland Trail Blazers
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Sidy Cissoko	87	87	0.31	-0.81	1.11	0.04	9	-14	23	13.1	12.7	0.36	12.1	10.1	2.02
Robert Williams III	52	52	0.20	-0.70	0.89	-0.07	9	-14	23	13.0	13.0	0.05	12.2	11.1	1.17
Shaedon Sharpe	71	71	0.14	-0.64	0.79	-0.12	9	-14	23	13.3	12.6	0.70	12.5	10.1	2.41
Jerami Grant	92	91	-0.17	-0.33	0.15	-0.15	-1	-4	3	12.8	13.4	-0.58	12.1	9.6	2.58
Donovan Clingan	88	86	-0.27	-0.23	-0.05	-0.45	6	-11	17	12.2	15.3	-3.16	12.2	9.8	2.36
Duop Reath	76	73	-0.28	-0.22	-0.06	-0.02	-9	4	-13	12.9	13.0	-0.08	12.3	10.3	1.97
Kris Murray	104	102	-0.48	-0.02	-0.46	-0.30	-6	1	-7	13.4	10.1	3.29	11.8	10.1	1.64
Deni Avdija	118	116	-0.50	0.00	-0.50	-0.35	-5	0	-5	13.0	0.0	12.97	11.6	0.0	11.59
Toumani Camara	99	96	-0.69	0.19	-0.88	-0.34	-12	7	-19	12.7	14.6	-1.91	11.8	10.7	1.07
Jrue Holiday	108	105	-0.70	0.20	-0.89	-0.32	-13	8	-21	13.0	13.0	-0.03	11.7	10.4	1.35

Miami Heat
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Andrew Wiggins	108	111	0.70	-0.20	0.91	0.35	12	-7	19	11.7	10.6	1.03	13.1	11.7	1.34
Norman Powell	96	99	0.69	-0.19	0.88	0.34	12	-7	19	11.8	10.7	1.07	12.7	14.6	-1.91
Davion Mitchell	93	97	0.64	-0.14	0.79	0.35	10	-5	15	11.9	10.4	1.44	13.4	11.1	2.23
Nikola Jovi?	116	117	0.48	0.02	0.47	0.34	5	0	5	11.6	0.0	11.59	13.0	7.0	6.03
Kel'el Ware	74	76	0.32	0.18	0.14	-0.00	11	-6	17	12.3	10.3	2.04	13.1	12.7	0.48
Jaime Jaquez Jr.	111	112	0.29	0.21	0.07	0.35	-2	7	-9	11.6	10.2	1.45	12.9	14.8	-1.96
Pelle Larsson	87	88	-0.06	0.56	-0.62	0.12	-6	11	-17	12.2	9.8	2.44	12.9	13.3	-0.39
Dru Smith	98	100	-0.09	0.59	-0.67	-0.03	-2	7	-9	12.1	8.9	3.19	12.8	14.0	-1.21
Simone Fontecchio	78	79	-0.25	0.75	-1.00	-0.07	-6	11	-17	12.4	9.8	2.63	13.6	11.7	1.95

Dopplegamers 0.5,0.5,0.48,0.49,0.45,0.34,0.33,0.35,0.37,0.4,0.33,0.4,0.37,0.43,0.4,0.42,0.45,0.53,0.56,0.63,0.73,0.64,0.56,0.44,0.61,0.7,0.75,0.75,0.69,0.69,0.52,0.58,0.71,0.84,0.79,0.74,0.64,0.62,0.52,0.44,0.52,0.71,0.41,0.41,0.6,0.75,0.54,0.67,0.98,1
Game		Similarity Score
BKN 107, CLE 114	0.5,0.51,0.52,0.49,0.52,0.49,0.42,0.41,0.41,0.39,0.4,0.47,0.49,0.48,0.51,0.49,0.53,0.53,0.58,0.61,0.66,0.66,0.69,0.67,0.64,0.67,0.74,0.69,0.67,0.61,0.55,0.65,0.62,0.72,0.73,0.7,0.6,0.46,0.38,0.52,0.57,0.37,0.47,0.54,0.72,0.62,0.71,0.84,0.96,1	90.0%
UTA 101, CHA 107	0.5,0.49,0.48,0.43,0.37,0.41,0.35,0.4,0.41,0.41,0.47,0.48,0.53,0.48,0.53,0.42,0.45,0.51,0.54,0.58,0.58,0.54,0.56,0.54,0.64,0.54,0.6,0.66,0.66,0.67,0.67,0.77,0.72,0.75,0.67,0.6,0.64,0.46,0.52,0.48,0.54,0.63,0.59,0.71,0.72,0.81,0.46,0.69,0.84,1	90.0%
CLE 91, DEN 96	0.5,0.49,0.48,0.49,0.45,0.41,0.37,0.39,0.39,0.45,0.4,0.43,0.42,0.46,0.4,0.44,0.4,0.42,0.42,0.39,0.47,0.54,0.54,0.51,0.51,0.58,0.6,0.66,0.7,0.67,0.67,0.77,0.68,0.68,0.63,0.7,0.6,0.46,0.43,0.48,0.53,0.68,0.59,0.54,0.61,0.67,0.63,0.85,0.96,1	90.0%