inpredictable
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NBA Win Probability Box Scores (click here for LIVE graphs)

Real Time? Pre Game Odds?
Dallas Mavericks 102 Excitement8.9 [74] MVPMax Christie (DAL): +20.5%
Houston Rockets 110 Comeback1.7 [321] LVPD'Angelo Russell (DAL): -22.6%


Dallas Mavericks
PlayerWPAeWPAclWPAgbWPAFGATS%tsWPATOtoWPAFTAFT%ftWPA
Max Christie0.200,0,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.02,0.02,0.04,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,0,0,-0.04,-0.04,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,0,0,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.16,0.16,0.2,0.2,0.2,0.2,0.20.100.110.001071%0.231-0.02450%-0.03
Daniel Gafford0.200,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.02,0.06,0.06,0.1,0.15,0.2,0.2,0.2,0.2,0.2,0.20.110.100.00978%0.2000.0000%0.00
P.J. Washington0.140,0,0,-0.01,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.03,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.11,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.11,0.11,0.08,0.11,0.14,0.08,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.21,0.21,0.14,0.140.100.03-0.022058%0.202-0.061060%-0.05
Dwight Powell-0.010,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01-0.020.00-0.0010%-0.0100.0000%0.00
Jaden Hardy-0.020,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02-0.02-0.000.0010%-0.0200.0000%0.00
Caleb Martin-0.030,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03-0.030.00-0.0020%-0.0300.0000%0.00
Brandon Williams-0.040,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04-0.04-0.00-0.01250%0.002-0.0400%0.00
Naji Marshall-0.050,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.03,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05-0.01-0.040.001141%-0.0500.0000%0.00
Moussa Cisse-0.050,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05-0.03-0.02-0.00450%0.022-0.0700%0.00
Klay Thompson-0.140,0,0,-0.03,-0.03,0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.11,-0.11,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14-0.09-0.040.01928%-0.092-0.0500%0.00
Cooper Flagg-0.160,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.07,0.07,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.03,0.03,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.15,-0.15,-0.16-0.02-0.14-0.001060%0.054-0.2100%0.00
D'Angelo Russell-0.230,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.01,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,0.06,0.06,0.06,-0.04,0.04,-0.1,-0.2,-0.23-0.07-0.16-0.001038%-0.072-0.16683%0.00

Houston Rockets
PlayerWPAeWPAclWPAgbWPAFGATS%tsWPATOtoWPAFTAFT%ftWPA
Alperen Sengun0,0,0,0.01,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,-0.01,0.02,0.02,0.04,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.04,-0.02,-0.05,-0.05,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.06,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,0.03,0.03,-0.01,-0.01,0.07,0.19,0.190.190.000.180.002051%0.283-0.101155%-0.03
Tari Eason0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.05,0.09,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.17,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.130.130.110.040.02983%0.171-0.0400%0.00
Aaron Holiday0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,0.05,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.08,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.050.050.020.020.00386%0.112-0.071100%0.01
Amen Thompson0,0,-0.01,0,0.03,0.02,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.03,0.03,0.06,0.06,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.03,0.03,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.13,0.04,0.04,0.040.040.080.010.051863%0.133-0.08757%-0.02
Clint Capela0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.05,0.05,0.02,0.02,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.030.03-0.010.050.00450%0.061-0.0200%0.00
Steven Adams0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01-0.01-0.020.00-0.00350%0.011-0.0220%-0.05
Josh Okogie0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.04,-0.04,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.02,-0.02-0.02-0.080.01-0.06517%0.011-0.022100%0.02
Jae'Sean Tate0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04-0.04-0.03-0.01-0.0020%-0.0400.0000%0.00
Kevin Durant0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.02,-0.02,-0.05,-0.05,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,0.16,0.1,0.1,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08-0.09-0.03-0.050.011849%0.113-0.207100%0.03
Reed Sheppard0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.04,-0.06,-0.06,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.03,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09-0.09-0.06-0.03-0.00736%-0.032-0.0600%0.00
Game Length Report (minutes)

Q1 Q2 Q3 Q4Total
this game26.30.033.00.031.90.038.00.0
league avg26.32.128.814.629.42.332.6136.2
Win Probability Added by the Four Factors
(aka How the Game Was Won)

victory
100% WP
start
50% WP
HOU +32.0%
HOU +5.7%
HOU +13.8%
DAL -1.6%
HOU +0.2%
Pace and Efficiency Report

seconds / possessionpoints / 100 possessions
all possessionsDALHOUNBADALHOUNBA
this game12.715.014.198.1105.8113.7
season14.015.2108.0119.9
opponent13.814.0109.7111.2

Quarterly Pace Report (seconds per possession)

Q1Q2Q3Q4Total
DAL11.814.012.512.712.7
HOU13.817.214.215.015.0

On/Off Win Probability and Pace Statistics

Dallas Mavericks
possessionswin probabilitypointspace (offense)pace (defense)
playeroffensedefenseonoffdiffcl+/-onoffdiffonoffdiffonoffdiff
Jaden Hardy56530.03-0.530.55-0.094-121612.213.3-1.1114.215.8-1.56
Caleb Martin3536-0.02-0.480.450.01-1-7612.712.7-0.0215.514.70.81
Naji Marshall8181-0.14-0.360.22-0.11-1-7612.812.30.4215.413.51.86
Klay Thompson5354-0.18-0.320.14-0.15-1-7613.012.30.6715.614.31.37
Daniel Gafford6362-0.22-0.280.06-0.16-2-6413.711.02.6817.012.04.90
Moussa Cisse6464-0.23-0.270.05-0.08-5-3-213.112.01.0115.514.11.38
Dwight Powell7475-0.25-0.25-0.01-0.11-5-3-213.710.13.6616.112.04.12
Brandon Williams4040-0.28-0.22-0.05-0.07-7-1-613.212.40.8214.115.5-1.33
P.J. Washington104104-0.500.00-0.50-0.27-80-812.70.012.6715.00.014.97
D'Angelo Russell9797-0.530.03-0.55-0.29-80-813.08.14.8615.112.62.57
Cooper Flagg8487-0.550.05-0.61-0.26-102-1213.110.82.2615.412.62.78
Max Christie9495-0.590.09-0.67-0.23-124-1612.811.21.6315.212.72.52

Houston Rockets
possessionswin probabilitypointspace (offense)pace (defense)
playeroffensedefenseonoffdiffcl+/-onoffdiffonoffdiffonoffdiff
Alperen Sengun96960.60-0.100.690.3010-21215.59.06.4712.910.22.63
Tari Eason91890.57-0.070.640.2511-31415.411.73.7512.712.30.47
Kevin Durant1031030.52-0.020.540.2980815.11.014.1112.75.07.75
Amen Thompson1041040.500.000.500.2780815.00.014.9712.70.012.67
Aaron Holiday52540.460.040.430.3253214.615.3-0.7112.612.8-0.17
Josh Okogie81800.340.160.180.2244015.612.82.8112.712.50.28
Jae'Sean Tate75760.160.34-0.170.0544015.214.30.8712.712.60.09
Steven Adams92940.160.34-0.170.0835-215.510.74.7712.910.91.96
Clint Capela22210.150.35-0.200.0053216.814.52.2814.412.22.20
Reed Sheppard49490.040.46-0.420.0117-615.414.60.7512.912.50.46


Dopplegamers 0.5,0.5,0.45,0.5,0.5,0.44,0.44,0.43,0.43,0.43,0.4,0.47,0.47,0.4,0.49,0.54,0.6,0.58,0.49,0.53,0.59,0.54,0.56,0.61,0.54,0.54,0.51,0.51,0.45,0.48,0.45,0.58,0.59,0.72,0.73,0.74,0.72,0.62,0.7,0.75,0.82,0.85,0.64,0.6,0.78,0.71,0.55,0.55,0.96,1
GameSimilarity Score
CHI 81, BOS 870.5,0.51,0.46,0.52,0.52,0.54,0.49,0.49,0.51,0.47,0.4,0.42,0.45,0.48,0.49,0.55,0.55,0.56,0.56,0.59,0.49,0.46,0.42,0.44,0.47,0.5,0.46,0.45,0.49,0.48,0.61,0.55,0.59,0.65,0.69,0.72,0.68,0.7,0.74,0.67,0.62,0.73,0.74,0.53,0.53,0.75,0.72,0.67,0.96,191.6%
NYK 94, GSW 970.5,0.49,0.51,0.52,0.49,0.5,0.5,0.49,0.45,0.45,0.45,0.52,0.44,0.52,0.53,0.54,0.58,0.62,0.51,0.52,0.53,0.59,0.61,0.56,0.64,0.58,0.51,0.54,0.58,0.57,0.73,0.74,0.71,0.75,0.66,0.7,0.68,0.62,0.7,0.7,0.86,0.88,0.86,0.76,0.78,0.61,0.63,0.75,0.91,191.6%
MIN 96, DAL 1040.5,0.49,0.49,0.52,0.53,0.52,0.52,0.49,0.51,0.47,0.47,0.45,0.4,0.35,0.49,0.45,0.45,0.4,0.43,0.53,0.58,0.59,0.58,0.56,0.51,0.51,0.56,0.54,0.55,0.67,0.64,0.62,0.55,0.69,0.66,0.67,0.68,0.66,0.74,0.71,0.67,0.68,0.69,0.45,0.67,0.67,0.46,0.77,0.83,191.2%