NBA Win Probability Game Box Scores

NBA Win Probability Box Scores (click here for LIVE graphs)

winProb
gameTime
fourFactors
pace
on/off
misc

Golden State Warriors	109		Excitement	8.9 [70]		MVP	Quenton Jackson (IND): +55.5%
Indiana Pacers	114		Comeback	29.8 [5]		LVP	Jarace Walker (IND): -24.1%

Golden State Warriors
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Jimmy Butler III	0.25	0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.01,-0.01,0.13,0.11,0.11,0.12,0.14,0.14,0.13,0.13,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.25	0.05	0.21	0.01	14	54%	0.31	2	-0.06	9	89%	-0.06
Brandin Podziemski	0.14	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.09,0.09,0.07,0.1,0.17,0.18,0.18,0.18,0.18,0.18,0.18,0.18,0.18,0.18,0.18,0.18,0.18,0.18,0.14,0.14	0.10	0.05	0.00	10	67%	0.14	0	0.00	4	75%	-0.00
Gui Santos	0.08	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.03,-0.03,0,0,0,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08	0.04	0.04	0.00	2	125%	0.11	1	-0.03	0	0%	0.00
Quinten Post	0.03	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.03,-0.01,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03	0.02	0.01	0.00	8	56%	0.06	1	-0.03	0	0%	0.00
Jonathan Kuminga	0.01	0,0,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.01,0,0,0,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.06,0.09,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.05,0.08,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.01	0.04	-0.02	0.01	16	50%	0.01	0	0.00	2	100%	0.01
Moses Moody	-0.01	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01	0.01	-0.02	0.00	3	50%	-0.01	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Al Horford	-0.02	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.02,0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02	-0.01	-0.01	0.00	4	50%	0.02	1	-0.04	0	0%	0.00
Draymond Green	-0.03	0,0,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,-0.01,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03	-0.01	-0.01	0.01	5	67%	0.04	3	-0.08	2	100%	0.01
Gary Payton II	-0.04	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04	-0.04	-0.00	-0.00	1	0%	-0.01	1	-0.03	0	0%	0.00
Buddy Hield	-0.05	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05	-0.05	-0.01	-0.00	4	37%	-0.01	2	-0.04	0	0%	0.00
Stephen Curry	-0.17	0,0,-0.01,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,0,-0.01,0.06,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.09,0.09,0.07,0.07,0.04,0.04,0.08,0.05,0.05,0.03,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.01,-0.01,-0.07,-0.13,-0.08,-0.17,-0.17	-0.07	-0.13	-0.02	23	47%	0.02	5	-0.19	5	80%	-0.01

Indiana Pacers
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Quenton Jackson	0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.02,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.1,0.21,0.21,0.52,0.56	0.56	0.19	0.38	0.01	16	71%	0.56	0	0.00	3	67%	-0.00
Aaron Nesmith	0,0,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.04,0.04,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.06,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.06,0.06,0.16,0.14,0.14,0.2,0.23,0.23,0.21,0.24,0.22,0.22,0.19,0.19,0.19,0.19,0.17,0.17,0.13,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.17,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.23,0.23	0.23	0.20	0.06	0.03	19	70%	0.27	1	-0.04	6	100%	0.07
Pascal Siakam	0,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.03,0.06,0.08,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.01,0.01,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.06,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.02,0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.15,0.14	0.14	0.04	0.11	0.01	23	55%	0.23	3	-0.08	3	67%	-0.01
Isaiah Jackson	0,0,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.05,0.06,0.03,0.03,0.1,0.1,0.1	0.10	0.05	0.05	-0.00	5	62%	0.10	0	0.00	6	100%	0.05
Tony Bradley	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03	0.03	0.01	0.02	0.00	3	50%	0.03	0	0.00	4	75%	-0.01
Jay Huff	0	0.00	0.00	0.00	0.00	0	0%	0.00	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Ben Sheppard	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01	-0.01	-0.02	0.01	0.00	1	50%	0.01	1	-0.02	4	75%	-0.01
Jeremiah Robinson-Earl	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02	-0.02	-0.02	-0.00	0.00	1	0%	-0.02	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Taelon Peter	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04	-0.04	-0.04	0.00	-0.00	1	0%	-0.02	1	-0.02	0	0%	0.00
Johnny Furphy	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04	-0.04	-0.01	-0.03	-0.00	4	62%	0.03	2	-0.07	0	0%	0.00
RayJ Dennis	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,0,0,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.07,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1	-0.10	-0.07	-0.03	-0.00	7	14%	-0.10	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Jarace Walker	0,0,0,-0.01,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.08,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.16,-0.19,-0.19,-0.17,-0.17,-0.17,-0.17,-0.17,-0.17,-0.24,-0.24,-0.24	-0.24	-0.13	-0.10	0.01	9	30%	-0.13	4	-0.11	2	100%	0.01

Game Length Report (minutes)

	Q1		Q2		Q3		Q4	Total
this game	27.1	1.6	25.1	14.4	35.6	0.0	37.7	0.0
league avg	26.3	2.1	28.8	14.6	29.4	2.3	32.6	136.2

Win Probability Added by the Four Factors

(aka How the Game Was Won)

victory
100% WP

start
50% WP

IND +23.3%

IND +6.1%

IND +5.9%

IND +14.9%

GSW -0.2%

Pace and Efficiency Report

	seconds / possession			points / 100 possessions
all possessions	GSW	IND	NBA	GSW	IND	NBA
this game	14.9	13.2	14.1	107.9	109.6	113.7
season	14.7	14.1		112.4	106.8
opponent	14.1	13.6		115.4	110.7

Quarterly Pace Report (seconds per possession)

	Q1	Q2	Q3	Q4	Total
GSW	13.1	14.5	15.8	16.6	14.9
IND	13.0	12.7	13.0	14.1	13.2

On/Off Win Probability and Pace Statistics

Golden State Warriors
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Moses Moody	68	68	0.37	-0.87	1.25	0.11	9	-14	23	14.5	15.8	-1.24	12.9	13.7	-0.83
Gui Santos	38	39	0.24	-0.74	0.98	0.18	2	-7	9	16.2	14.1	2.11	13.6	12.9	0.73
Quinten Post	33	34	0.22	-0.72	0.94	0.10	4	-9	13	15.3	14.7	0.61	13.5	13.0	0.52
Al Horford	76	77	0.16	-0.66	0.82	0.13	1	-6	7	15.2	14.0	1.17	13.2	13.1	0.05
Brandin Podziemski	100	102	-0.39	-0.11	-0.28	-0.30	-3	-2	-1	15.0	2.0	13.05	13.2	12.0	1.21
Gary Payton II	63	64	-0.42	-0.08	-0.34	-0.39	-1	-4	3	14.8	15.1	-0.34	13.3	13.0	0.22
Jimmy Butler III	101	104	-0.50	0.00	-0.50	-0.35	-5	0	-5	14.9	0.0	14.92	13.2	0.0	13.18
Buddy Hield	88	89	-0.73	0.23	-0.96	-0.44	-10	5	-15	15.0	14.2	0.79	13.4	11.9	1.54
Draymond Green	79	83	-0.81	0.31	-1.12	-0.46	-12	7	-19	14.9	15.0	-0.16	13.3	12.9	0.41
Jonathan Kuminga	82	84	-0.91	0.41	-1.31	-0.44	-16	11	-27	14.9	14.9	-0.03	13.1	13.3	-0.21
Stephen Curry	82	85	-0.91	0.41	-1.31	-0.44	-16	11	-27	14.9	14.9	-0.03	13.0	13.9	-0.87

Indiana Pacers
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Isaiah Jackson	52	51	0.92	-0.42	1.34	0.45	16	-11	27	13.3	13.1	0.25	16.2	13.7	2.50
Quenton Jackson	85	82	0.91	-0.41	1.31	0.44	16	-11	27	13.0	13.9	-0.87	14.9	14.9	-0.03
Aaron Nesmith	90	86	0.78	-0.28	1.07	0.46	11	-6	17	13.2	13.4	-0.20	15.0	14.5	0.46
Jarace Walker	90	86	0.78	-0.28	1.07	0.46	11	-6	17	13.2	13.4	-0.20	15.0	14.5	0.46
Pascal Siakam	104	101	0.50	0.00	0.50	0.35	5	0	5	13.2	0.0	13.18	14.9	0.0	14.92
Jeremiah Robinson-Earl	25	25	0.04	0.46	-0.42	0.01	1	4	-3	12.5	13.4	-0.93	14.3	15.1	-0.80
Jay Huff	15	15	-0.06	0.56	-0.62	-0.00	-2	7	-9	10.9	13.6	-2.71	14.6	15.0	-0.38
Taelon Peter	36	36	-0.17	0.67	-0.83	0.04	-7	12	-19	13.0	13.3	-0.24	13.9	15.5	-1.60
Tony Bradley	69	67	-0.33	0.83	-1.16	-0.13	-7	12	-19	12.9	13.7	-0.80	14.7	15.4	-0.70
Johnny Furphy	88	85	-0.36	0.86	-1.22	-0.15	-7	12	-19	13.2	13.3	-0.15	15.1	14.2	0.87
RayJ Dennis	70	68	-0.36	0.86	-1.22	-0.10	-9	14	-23	13.2	13.1	0.18	14.7	15.4	-0.66
Ben Sheppard	73	72	-0.49	0.99	-1.47	-0.16	-11	16	-27	13.3	13.0	0.31	15.2	14.2	0.95

Dopplegamers 0.5,0.5,0.52,0.49,0.53,0.52,0.49,0.46,0.41,0.36,0.38,0.4,0.42,0.4,0.44,0.49,0.45,0.33,0.33,0.32,0.29,0.31,0.31,0.39,0.44,0.37,0.4,0.54,0.64,0.61,0.52,0.62,0.68,0.69,0.56,0.47,0.4,0.26,0.26,0.25,0.11,0.12,0.1,0.05,0.13,0.19,0.28,0.15,0.73,1
Game		Similarity Score
OKC 96, DAL 100	0.5,0.51,0.54,0.56,0.57,0.56,0.6,0.57,0.59,0.55,0.53,0.47,0.44,0.48,0.45,0.46,0.4,0.38,0.42,0.37,0.36,0.41,0.36,0.33,0.44,0.46,0.4,0.4,0.49,0.45,0.45,0.42,0.45,0.59,0.44,0.3,0.29,0.34,0.26,0.3,0.17,0.15,0.26,0.19,0.22,0.25,0.16,0.23,0.58,1	89.7%
DEN 97, OKC 100	0.5,0.51,0.49,0.49,0.5,0.44,0.51,0.45,0.41,0.37,0.37,0.33,0.34,0.43,0.49,0.49,0.51,0.49,0.46,0.41,0.42,0.44,0.51,0.49,0.49,0.5,0.55,0.49,0.55,0.45,0.4,0.45,0.55,0.56,0.56,0.52,0.44,0.34,0.26,0.32,0.29,0.28,0.36,0.19,0.22,0.05,0.1,0.17,0.58,1	89.4%
TOR 113, DEN 118	0.5,0.51,0.48,0.45,0.45,0.4,0.4,0.43,0.39,0.37,0.37,0.42,0.34,0.37,0.36,0.32,0.38,0.31,0.35,0.32,0.32,0.39,0.31,0.31,0.3,0.46,0.45,0.48,0.48,0.44,0.58,0.52,0.48,0.45,0.34,0.4,0.25,0.3,0.3,0.3,0.33,0.15,0.14,0.08,0.17,0.19,0.09,0.15,0.42,1	89.4%