NBA Win Probability Game Box Scores

NBA Win Probability Box Scores (click here for LIVE graphs)

winProb
gameTime
fourFactors
pace
on/off
misc

Los Angeles Lakers	116		Excitement	6.6 [176]		MVP	Austin Reaves (LAL): +53.3%
Minnesota Timberwolves	115		Comeback	2.4 [67]		LVP	Jarred Vanderbilt (LAL): -8.7%

Los Angeles Lakers
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Austin Reaves	0.53	0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.06,0.06,0.04,0.03,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.04,0.14,0.14,0.09,0.09,0.07,0.07,0.05,0.05,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.05,0.07,0.07,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.05,0.05,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.53	0.02	0.49	-0.02	24	51%	0.58	3	-0.05	7	100%	0.03
Jake LaRavia	0.14	0,0,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.04,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.02,0.03,0.03,0.08,0.15,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.19,0.21,0.21,0.21,0.21,0.21,0.23,0.23,0.22,0.22,0.22,0.22,0.22,0.22,0.14,0.14	0.22	-0.03	0.05	11	100%	0.25	3	-0.11	5	40%	-0.04
Dalton Knecht	0.10	0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.06,0.09,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1	0.08	0.01	-0.00	12	60%	0.10	0	0.00	1	0%	-0.01
Deandre Ayton	0.07	0,0,-0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.04,0.04,0.02,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.1,0.07,0.07	0.07	0.01	0.00	11	71%	0.12	2	-0.04	2	50%	-0.01
Rui Hachimura	0.03	0,0,0,-0.02,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.02,0.05,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.04,0.05,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.03,0.03,0.03	0.01	0.00	-0.02	14	57%	0.08	3	-0.05	2	100%	0.01
Jaxson Hayes	-0.01	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01	-0.02	0.00	-0.01	2	50%	0.01	1	-0.01	0	0%	0.00
Nick Smith Jr.	-0.01	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.02,-0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01	-0.00	-0.00	0.01	6	47%	0.01	1	-0.02	3	67%	-0.00
Bronny James	-0.02	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02	-0.02	-0.00	0.00	0	0%	0.00	1	-0.02	0	0%	0.00
Jarred Vanderbilt	-0.09	0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09	-0.10	-0.00	-0.01	3	37%	-0.00	4	-0.08	2	50%	-0.01

Minnesota Timberwolves
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Julius Randle	0,0,-0.01,0.02,0.03,0.05,0.05,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.1,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.05,0.03,0.1,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.09,0.07,0.05,0.07,0.05,0.05,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.03,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.29	0.29	0.16	0.20	0.06	20	66%	0.38	3	-0.09	10	90%	0.02
Jaden McDaniels	0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.08,0.1,0.08,0.06,0.06,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.05,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.05,0.05,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.13,0.21	0.21	0.17	0.08	0.05	19	70%	0.27	2	-0.06	5	100%	0.02
Bones Hyland	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.06,0.04,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03	0.03	0.04	-0.00	0.01	4	100%	0.07	2	-0.04	0	0%	0.00
Mike Conley	0,0,0,0,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.04,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02	0.02	0.01	-0.01	-0.02	6	67%	0.06	2	-0.04	0	0%	0.00
Donte DiVincenzo	0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.03,0.02,0,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.05,0.01,0.01,0.01	0.01	0.07	-0.02	0.04	7	82%	0.08	3	-0.07	3	100%	0.01
Rudy Gobert	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01	-0.01	0.00	-0.01	0.01	5	75%	0.05	3	-0.07	2	50%	-0.00
Rob Dillingham	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.01,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01	-0.01	-0.01	0.00	0.01	8	50%	0.01	1	-0.02	0	0%	0.00
Terrence Shannon Jr.	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06	-0.06	-0.05	-0.01	-0.00	3	0%	-0.06	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Naz Reid	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.04,-0.03,0.02,0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08	-0.08	-0.13	0.02	-0.03	10	23%	-0.03	2	-0.05	2	0%	-0.03

Game Length Report (minutes)

	Q1		Q2		Q3		Q4	Total
this game	29.3	0.0	27.1	0.0	32.4	0.0	34.8	0.0
league avg	26.3	2.1	28.8	14.6	29.4	2.3	32.6	136.2

Win Probability Added by the Four Factors

(aka How the Game Was Won)

victory
100% WP

start
50% WP

LAL +28.8%

LAL +2.0%

LAL +3.5%

LAL +3.1%

LAL +12.6%

Pace and Efficiency Report

	seconds / possession			points / 100 possessions
all possessions	LAL	MIN	NBA	LAL	MIN	NBA
this game	15.6	13.5	14.1	118.4	115.0	113.7
season	14.5	14.1		117.0	116.8
opponent	14.2	14.0		112.1	115.3

Quarterly Pace Report (seconds per possession)

	Q1	Q2	Q3	Q4	Total
LAL	14.1	16.6	13.7	18.5	15.6
MIN	13.5	14.1	14.0	12.3	13.5

On/Off Win Probability and Pace Statistics

Los Angeles Lakers
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Dalton Knecht	98	100	0.50	0.00	0.50	0.47	1	0	1	15.6	0.0	15.59	13.5	0.0	13.50
Austin Reaves	98	100	0.50	0.00	0.50	0.47	1	0	1	15.6	0.0	15.59	13.5	0.0	13.50
Jarred Vanderbilt	80	81	0.46	0.04	0.43	0.08	13	-12	25	14.9	18.6	-3.63	13.9	11.6	2.31
Deandre Ayton	90	91	0.45	0.05	0.40	0.51	-2	3	-5	15.9	12.2	3.64	13.5	13.7	-0.18
Jake LaRavia	86	88	0.38	0.12	0.25	0.49	-4	5	-9	16.1	11.7	4.38	13.5	13.4	0.09
Rui Hachimura	82	83	0.30	0.20	0.11	0.57	-9	10	-19	15.7	14.8	0.93	13.6	13.0	0.60
Nick Smith Jr.	78	79	0.27	0.23	0.04	0.21	2	-1	3	15.0	17.9	-2.96	13.9	12.1	1.72
Jaxson Hayes	62	63	0.22	0.28	-0.06	0.16	2	-1	3	14.7	17.1	-2.40	13.6	13.4	0.15
Bronny James	26	26	-0.04	0.54	-0.58	0.02	-2	3	-5	14.1	16.1	-2.06	13.5	13.5	0.05

Minnesota Timberwolves
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Donte DiVincenzo	77	78	0.39	-0.89	1.28	0.19	7	-8	15	13.6	13.0	0.59	16.8	11.0	5.77
Bones Hyland	75	75	0.33	-0.83	1.16	0.12	7	-8	15	13.5	13.6	-0.13	15.3	16.6	-1.27
Rob Dillingham	60	59	-0.26	-0.24	-0.02	0.00	-9	8	-17	13.7	13.2	0.54	14.8	16.8	-2.04
Mike Conley	73	71	-0.37	-0.13	-0.25	-0.43	2	-3	5	13.1	14.5	-1.34	16.8	12.3	4.50
Terrence Shannon Jr.	88	88	-0.39	-0.11	-0.27	-0.18	-7	6	-13	13.8	11.5	2.27	15.4	17.7	-2.35
Rudy Gobert	80	79	-0.41	-0.09	-0.32	-0.47	2	-3	5	13.5	13.3	0.19	16.2	13.1	3.08
Naz Reid	79	79	-0.47	-0.03	-0.44	-0.06	-14	13	-27	14.0	11.6	2.38	15.0	18.2	-3.25
Jaden McDaniels	92	91	-0.48	-0.01	-0.47	-0.48	0	-1	1	13.5	13.0	0.54	15.9	11.3	4.64
Julius Randle	93	91	-0.52	0.02	-0.53	-0.40	-4	3	-7	13.4	14.7	-1.31	16.0	10.1	5.87

Dopplegamers 0.5,0.5,0.45,0.49,0.52,0.59,0.66,0.62,0.66,0.6,0.55,0.66,0.64,0.54,0.53,0.62,0.62,0.6,0.63,0.59,0.56,0.52,0.49,0.56,0.56,0.42,0.45,0.45,0.3,0.24,0.1,0.16,0.12,0.21,0.08,0.03,0.04,0.1,0.03,0.03,0.02,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.03,0.02,0.07,0.03,0.16,0
Game		Similarity Score
CHI 101, MIA 86	0.5,0.49,0.5,0.54,0.53,0.58,0.58,0.6,0.66,0.69,0.67,0.6,0.58,0.54,0.51,0.53,0.55,0.56,0.6,0.56,0.54,0.59,0.51,0.51,0.46,0.46,0.4,0.4,0.31,0.22,0.14,0.09,0.05,0.03,0.05,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.03,0.02,0.02,0.01,0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	94.2%
LAL 103, NOH 87	0.5,0.49,0.46,0.48,0.48,0.5,0.54,0.57,0.53,0.55,0.55,0.62,0.62,0.57,0.53,0.62,0.61,0.65,0.61,0.58,0.56,0.54,0.61,0.67,0.56,0.5,0.42,0.37,0.3,0.19,0.16,0.16,0.17,0.16,0.18,0.17,0.15,0.06,0.05,0.02,0.01,0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	94.0%
MIN 117, SAS 110	0.5,0.51,0.54,0.61,0.6,0.61,0.56,0.61,0.64,0.6,0.61,0.6,0.64,0.63,0.62,0.68,0.6,0.62,0.65,0.68,0.61,0.54,0.54,0.49,0.49,0.49,0.45,0.43,0.31,0.36,0.21,0.15,0.09,0.06,0.07,0.06,0.07,0.02,0.04,0.02,0.04,0.05,0,0,0.02,0.07,0.04,0.02,0.01,0	94.0%