NBA Win Probability Game Box Scores

NBA Win Probability Box Scores (click here for LIVE graphs)

winProb
gameTime
fourFactors
pace
on/off
misc

Boston Celtics	113		Excitement	7.0 [356]		MVP	Ausar Thompson (DET): +14.9%
Detroit Pistons	119		Comeback	4.1 [349]		LVP	Ronald Holland II (DET): -10.3%

Boston Celtics
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Payton Pritchard	0.11	0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0,0.02,0.05,0.05,0.06,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.02,0.02,0.06,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.08,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.09,0.11,0.11,0.11	0.07	0.03	-0.01	16	57%	0.15	1	-0.04	5	60%	-0.02
Josh Minott	0.11	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,0,0.03,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11	0.09	0.02	0.00	5	77%	0.11	0	0.00	3	100%	0.01
Jaylen Brown	0.06	0,0,0.02,0.01,0.03,0.07,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.11,0.16,0.18,0.16,0.14,0.14,0.17,0.17,0.17,0.17,0.11,0.09,0.09,0.12,0.18,0.15,0.13,0.13,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.06,0.06,0.1,0.09,0.07,0.08,0.06	0.15	-0.06	0.03	25	63%	0.17	4	-0.10	15	80%	0.00
Anfernee Simons	0.01	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.03,0.03,0.03,0,0,-0.01,0.02,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.01,0.01,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01	-0.03	-0.00	-0.04	13	46%	0.05	2	-0.03	0	0%	0.00
Sam Hauser	0.00	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.04,0,0	0.02	-0.04	-0.02	7	57%	0.02	1	-0.02	0	0%	0.00
Baylor Scheierman	0.00	0	0.00	0.00	0.00	0	0%	0.00	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Luka Garza	-0.02	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02	-0.01	-0.01	0.00	2	40%	-0.01	1	-0.01	1	0%	-0.01
Chris Boucher	-0.02	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02	-0.03	0.00	-0.01	2	0%	-0.02	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Neemias Queta	-0.03	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03	-0.03	-0.01	-0.01	4	50%	0.01	2	-0.04	0	0%	0.00
Hugo Gonz�lez	-0.03	0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03	-0.03	-0.01	-0.01	2	0%	-0.03	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Derrick White	-0.04	0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.03,-0.03,0.04,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0,-0.04,-0.03,-0.03,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,0.01,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04	-0.03	-0.02	-0.01	18	42%	-0.01	1	-0.03	0	0%	0.00

Detroit Pistons
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Ausar Thompson	0,0,0.01,0.01,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0,-0.02,-0.04,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,0.05,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.15,0.15,0.15	0.15	0.04	0.09	-0.01	16	52%	0.16	1	-0.02	8	87%	0.05
Jalen Duren	0,0,0,-0.01,-0.05,-0.07,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.07,-0.05,-0.07,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,0.01,0.01,0.04,0.1,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.17,0.17,0.12,0.12,0.12	0.12	0.06	0.04	-0.02	12	65%	0.19	4	-0.07	13	92%	0.05
Duncan Robinson	0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,0.03,0.03,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.12,0.1,0.1,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07	0.07	0.03	0.02	-0.02	7	47%	0.07	0	0.00	3	67%	-0.00
Cade Cunningham	0,0,0,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,0,0,0.05,0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.05,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.03,0.02,0.04,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.04,0.07,0.06	0.06	-0.02	0.04	-0.04	18	58%	0.21	6	-0.15	7	100%	0.02
Tobias Harris	0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.03,0.05,0.05,0.1,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.05,0.02,0.03,0.05	0.05	0.07	-0.03	-0.01	14	60%	0.07	1	-0.03	2	100%	0.01
Isaiah Stewart	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.03,0.03,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03	0.03	0.06	0.00	0.03	6	64%	0.03	0	0.00	2	50%	-0.01
Chaz Lanier	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02	-0.02	-0.03	0.00	-0.01	2	0%	-0.02	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Daniss Jenkins	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02	-0.02	-0.02	-0.00	0.00	0	0%	0.00	1	-0.02	0	0%	0.00
Javonte Green	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.03,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05	-0.04	-0.01	-0.01	0.02	9	39%	-0.04	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Ronald Holland II	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.07,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1	-0.10	-0.08	-0.04	-0.01	9	37%	-0.03	3	-0.08	1	100%	0.01

Game Length Report (minutes)

	Q1		Q2		Q3		Q4	Total
this game	27.3	2.3	32.9	13.3	45.2	0.3	42.8	164.1
league avg	26.4	1.9	29.0	14.3	29.7	2.2	32.8	136.2

Win Probability Added by the Four Factors

(aka How the Game Was Won)

victory
100% WP

start
50% WP

DET +1.3%

DET +19.9%

DET +34.6%

BOS -9.0%

DET +3.2%

Pace and Efficiency Report

	seconds / possession			points / 100 possessions
all possessions	BOS	DET	NBA	BOS	DET	NBA
this game	13.9	14.7	14.2	111.9	119.0	113.4
season	15.5	14.1		118.6	115.6
opponent	14.3	14.3		108.1	111.1

Quarterly Pace Report (seconds per possession)

	Q1	Q2	Q3	Q4	Total
BOS	12.2	14.5	15.0	14.1	13.9
DET	15.3	13.2	13.2	17.2	14.7

On/Off Win Probability and Pace Statistics

Boston Celtics
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Josh Minott	67	67	0.08	-0.58	0.67	-0.42	17	-23	40	13.6	14.6	-1.06	15.2	13.5	1.75
Neemias Queta	64	63	-0.04	-0.46	0.43	-0.33	10	-16	26	13.6	14.6	-1.03	14.8	14.4	0.36
Baylor Scheierman	11	12	-0.05	-0.45	0.40	0.07	-4	-2	-2	12.7	14.1	-1.36	14.7	14.7	0.01
Anfernee Simons	81	80	-0.24	-0.26	0.01	-0.18	-2	-4	2	13.9	14.1	-0.26	14.2	16.5	-2.36
Luka Garza	86	85	-0.31	-0.19	-0.11	-0.28	-1	-5	4	14.1	13.1	0.95	14.3	16.5	-2.13
Hugo Gonz�lez	91	90	-0.32	-0.18	-0.13	-0.23	-3	-3	0	14.2	11.5	2.71	14.4	17.3	-2.93
Chris Boucher	29	29	-0.38	-0.12	-0.27	-0.00	-13	7	-20	14.1	13.9	0.28	13.4	15.2	-1.80
Sam Hauser	98	95	-0.39	-0.11	-0.28	-0.33	-2	-4	2	13.9	15.3	-1.44	14.8	12.6	2.17
Derrick White	95	94	-0.39	-0.11	-0.29	-0.45	2	-8	10	13.9	14.8	-0.95	14.7	13.5	1.23
Jaylen Brown	87	85	-0.43	-0.07	-0.35	-0.40	-1	-5	4	13.8	14.7	-0.90	14.8	13.7	1.17
Payton Pritchard	98	98	-0.45	-0.05	-0.40	-0.33	-4	-2	-2	13.9	15.0	-1.09	14.9	5.0	9.86

Detroit Pistons
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Ausar Thompson	100	100	0.50	-0.00	0.50	0.32	6	0	6	14.7	0.0	14.66	14.0	10.0	3.98
Tobias Harris	98	99	0.44	0.06	0.37	0.32	4	2	2	14.9	5.0	9.86	13.9	18.0	-4.14
Cade Cunningham	98	99	0.44	0.06	0.37	0.32	4	2	2	14.9	5.0	9.86	13.9	18.0	-4.14
Isaiah Stewart	88	90	0.34	0.16	0.18	0.13	7	-1	8	14.1	18.5	-4.36	14.1	12.5	1.67
Daniss Jenkins	32	33	0.33	0.17	0.16	0.18	5	1	4	13.7	15.1	-1.34	14.6	13.6	1.03
Jalen Duren	78	80	0.26	0.24	0.03	0.38	-4	10	-14	14.6	14.8	-0.20	14.1	13.4	0.71
Duncan Robinson	83	83	0.21	0.29	-0.08	0.41	-7	13	-20	14.9	13.4	1.50	13.6	15.7	-2.10
Ronald Holland II	72	73	0.11	0.39	-0.28	0.26	-5	11	-16	14.4	15.4	-1.02	14.0	13.8	0.16
Javonte Green	72	71	0.04	0.46	-0.43	0.24	-7	13	-20	15.0	13.7	1.31	13.8	14.3	-0.46
Chaz Lanier	31	31	-0.28	0.78	-1.07	0.10	-13	19	-32	15.2	14.4	0.73	12.6	14.5	-1.92

Dopplegamers 0.5,0.5,0.49,0.49,0.42,0.33,0.34,0.31,0.29,0.26,0.21,0.24,0.27,0.32,0.34,0.24,0.22,0.27,0.34,0.32,0.29,0.26,0.36,0.36,0.49,0.51,0.52,0.52,0.49,0.58,0.67,0.71,0.68,0.82,0.88,0.9,0.89,0.94,0.95,0.93,0.92,0.88,0.87,0.87,0.83,0.85,0.78,0.93,0.95,1
Game		Similarity Score
NJN 93, BOS 101	0.5,0.51,0.48,0.43,0.43,0.36,0.38,0.37,0.36,0.35,0.3,0.27,0.24,0.28,0.3,0.22,0.23,0.23,0.26,0.32,0.32,0.39,0.39,0.41,0.44,0.5,0.46,0.48,0.59,0.67,0.73,0.82,0.74,0.84,0.79,0.81,0.82,0.9,0.81,0.85,0.8,0.88,0.96,0.91,0.9,0.93,0.97,0.9,1,1	93.1%
UTA 104, MIN 105	0.5,0.49,0.46,0.51,0.49,0.51,0.46,0.38,0.31,0.33,0.33,0.29,0.3,0.2,0.19,0.26,0.27,0.23,0.28,0.25,0.27,0.29,0.31,0.41,0.56,0.51,0.48,0.55,0.49,0.52,0.55,0.71,0.74,0.81,0.69,0.81,0.84,0.94,0.92,0.9,0.9,0.85,0.9,0.91,0.83,0.86,0.63,0.85,0.96,1	93.0%
NYK 79, IND 88	0.5,0.51,0.49,0.45,0.45,0.38,0.37,0.38,0.31,0.29,0.26,0.26,0.24,0.22,0.21,0.15,0.18,0.19,0.18,0.24,0.25,0.24,0.28,0.31,0.41,0.51,0.6,0.6,0.58,0.64,0.7,0.77,0.71,0.76,0.83,0.86,0.87,0.81,0.74,0.86,0.89,0.91,0.9,0.94,0.87,0.9,0.97,1,1,1	92.7%