NBA Win Probability Game Box Scores

NBA Win Probability Box Scores (click here for LIVE graphs)

Real Time? Pre Game Odds?

winProb
gameTime
fourFactors
pace
on/off
misc

Utah Jazz	104		Excitement	8.6 [184]		MVP	D'Angelo Russell (MIN): +75.3%
Minnesota Timberwolves	105		Comeback	5.0 [53]		LVP	Joe Ingles (UTA): -19.7%

Utah Jazz
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Mike Conley	0.37	0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.05,-0.05,-0.03,-0.06,-0.08,-0.04,-0.04,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.05,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.18,0.18,0.11,0.37	0.06	0.29	-0.03	19	60%	0.75	4	-0.38	5	60%	-0.05
Rudy Gobert	0.20	0,0,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.04,0.05,0.08,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.16,0.16,0.2	0.12	0.10	0.02	8	90%	0.25	2	-0.05	4	50%	-0.02
Georges Niang	0.12	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,0.03,0.03,0.07,0.07,0.13,0.13,0.18,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.12	0.07	0.03	-0.02	11	58%	0.12	0	0.00	2	100%	0.02
Ersan Ilyasova	0.06	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.03,0.05,0.03,0.02,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06	0.07	0.00	0.01	5	80%	0.06	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Derrick Favors	0.02	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02	0.02	0.00	0.00	1	100%	0.02	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Trent Forrest	0.00	0	0.00	0.00	0.00	0	0%	0.00	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Royce O'Neale	-0.02	0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.04,-0.04,-0.01,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02	-0.00	-0.01	-0.00	6	50%	-0.00	1	-0.02	0	0%	0.00
Jordan Clarkson	-0.18	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.06,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.06,-0.06,-0.12,-0.1,-0.15,-0.18,-0.18,-0.18,-0.16,-0.16,-0.18,-0.18,-0.18,-0.18,-0.18,-0.18,-0.18,-0.18,-0.18	-0.12	-0.08	-0.01	20	31%	-0.15	1	-0.04	2	100%	0.01
Bojan Bogdanovic	-0.19	0,0,0.03,0.01,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.04,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.03,-0.09,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.09,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.15,-0.15,-0.19,-0.19,-0.19,-0.19,-0.19	-0.12	-0.08	-0.00	11	27%	-0.14	2	-0.05	4	100%	0.03
Joe Ingles	-0.20	0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,0.01,0.05,0.08,0.07,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.04,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.01,0.01,-0.04,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.18,-0.2,-0.2	-0.07	-0.11	0.02	14	33%	-0.17	1	-0.03	2	50%	-0.03

Minnesota Timberwolves
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
D'Angelo Russell	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.03,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0.03,0.12,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.16,0.14,0.14,0.33,0.3,0.75	0.75	0.18	0.58	0.01	16	84%	0.82	3	-0.07	0	0%	0.00
Naz Reid	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.05,0.05,0.08,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12	0.12	0.11	0.02	0.01	7	76%	0.12	0	0.00	3	33%	-0.02
Juancho Hernangomez	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.03,0.03,0.06,0.06,0.05,0.05,0.07,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09	0.09	0.13	-0.00	0.03	5	93%	0.12	1	-0.02	5	80%	0.00
Karl-Anthony Towns	0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.04,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.05,0.15,0.17,0.17,0.13,0.13,0.16,0.18,0.18,0.18,0.18,0.18,0.2,0.18,0.18,0.18,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.08	0.08	0.02	-0.00	-0.06	13	64%	0.20	4	-0.12	7	86%	0.00
Josh Okogie	0,0,0,0.03,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,0.02,0.02,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05	0.05	0.04	0.02	0.01	7	53%	0.05	0	0.00	1	0%	-0.02
Jordan McLaughlin	0	0.00	0.00	0.00	0.00	0	0%	0.00	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Anthony Edwards	0,0,0,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.07,-0.07,-0.1,-0.12,-0.12,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.11,-0.09,-0.13,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.09,-0.09,-0.11,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.02,-0.03	-0.03	-0.09	0.03	-0.03	17	38%	0.04	3	-0.08	3	100%	0.02
Jaden McDaniels	0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.11,-0.13,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08	-0.08	-0.07	-0.01	0.00	9	30%	-0.05	1	-0.03	2	50%	-0.01
Ricky Rubio	0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09	-0.09	-0.08	-0.02	-0.00	6	17%	-0.07	1	-0.03	0	0%	0.00
Jarred Vanderbilt	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.08,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1	-0.10	-0.11	-0.01	-0.01	3	0%	-0.04	3	-0.06	0	0%	0.00

Game Length Report (minutes)

	Q1		Q2		Q3		Q4	Total
this game	23.5	1.8	28.1	15.6	29.0	1.8	39.0	138.8
league avg	25.6	2.4	28.1	14.8	28.0	2.3	32.7	135.0

Win Probability Added by the Four Factors

(aka How the Game Was Won)

victory
100% WP

start
50% WP

MIN +44.0%

MIN +2.1%

UTA -16.0%

MIN +15.4%

MIN +4.4%

Pace and Efficiency Report

	seconds / possession			points / 100 possessions
all possessions	UTA	MIN	NBA	UTA	MIN	NBA
this game	16.2	13.3	14.4	107.2	106.1	111.3
season	14.5	14.1		116.4	108.7
opponent	14.0	14.5		113.9	108.9

Quarterly Pace Report (seconds per possession)

	Q1	Q2	Q3	Q4	Total
UTA	16.4	17.2	16.2	14.7	16.2
MIN	12.4	12.8	11.7	16.6	13.3

On/Off Win Probability and Pace Statistics

Utah Jazz
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Georges Niang	46	47	0.62	-1.12	1.73	0.27	12	-13	25	16.6	15.8	0.78	14.7	12.0	2.66
Ersan Ilyasova	22	22	0.00	-0.50	0.50	-0.03	1	-2	3	17.5	15.8	1.68	13.0	13.3	-0.34
Trent Forrest	2	3	-0.01	-0.49	0.48	0.02	-1	0	-1	17.0	16.1	0.86	20.7	13.0	7.64
Derrick Favors	27	28	-0.14	-0.36	0.23	-0.08	-2	1	-3	17.1	15.8	1.38	12.2	13.7	-1.46
Rudy Gobert	70	71	-0.36	-0.14	-0.23	-0.39	1	-2	3	15.8	17.1	-1.38	13.7	12.2	1.46
Mike Conley	66	67	-0.38	-0.12	-0.25	-0.38	0	-1	1	15.8	16.8	-0.96	12.9	14.0	-1.09
Jordan Clarkson	52	55	-0.39	-0.11	-0.28	-0.39	0	-1	1	17.0	15.2	1.86	12.5	14.3	-1.82
Bojan Bogdanovic	62	64	-0.46	-0.04	-0.41	-0.28	-6	5	-11	15.9	16.5	-0.61	12.4	14.8	-2.42
Joe Ingles	69	69	-0.53	0.03	-0.56	-0.38	-5	4	-9	15.7	17.4	-1.74	13.3	13.2	0.14
Royce O'Neale	69	69	-0.86	0.36	-1.22	-0.71	-5	4	-9	15.8	17.1	-1.29	13.8	12.0	1.81

Minnesota Timberwolves
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Karl-Anthony Towns	77	75	0.68	-0.18	0.86	0.42	9	-8	17	13.1	13.8	-0.71	15.7	17.8	-2.15
Jaden McDaniels	73	70	0.51	-0.01	0.52	0.39	4	-3	7	13.3	13.2	0.10	15.7	17.3	-1.58
Anthony Edwards	78	77	0.48	0.02	0.46	0.45	1	0	1	13.9	10.9	2.99	15.5	18.6	-3.14
Ricky Rubio	46	44	0.43	0.07	0.35	0.45	-1	2	-3	13.0	13.5	-0.49	16.0	16.3	-0.32
Josh Okogie	45	44	0.42	0.08	0.33	0.39	1	0	1	13.1	13.4	-0.28	15.2	17.0	-1.82
D'Angelo Russell	63	62	0.32	0.18	0.13	0.05	9	-8	17	12.9	14.0	-1.12	16.5	15.5	0.96
Juancho Hernangomez	35	35	0.02	0.48	-0.46	0.05	-1	2	-3	13.3	13.2	0.04	18.0	15.1	2.89
Naz Reid	35	35	-0.10	0.60	-0.70	0.02	-4	5	-9	13.6	13.1	0.52	16.8	15.8	1.01
Jarred Vanderbilt	19	19	-0.12	0.62	-0.74	0.05	-6	7	-13	13.7	13.1	0.59	17.6	15.8	1.77
Jordan McLaughlin	24	24	-0.13	0.63	-0.75	0.08	-7	8	-15	12.6	13.5	-0.90	17.5	15.7	1.84

Dopplegamers 0.5,0.49,0.46,0.51,0.49,0.51,0.46,0.38,0.31,0.33,0.33,0.29,0.3,0.2,0.19,0.26,0.27,0.23,0.28,0.25,0.27,0.29,0.31,0.41,0.56,0.51,0.48,0.55,0.49,0.52,0.55,0.71,0.74,0.81,0.69,0.81,0.84,0.94,0.92,0.9,0.9,0.85,0.9,0.91,0.83,0.86,0.63,0.85,0.96,1
Game		Similarity Score
OKC 89, UTA 94	0.5,0.49,0.49,0.45,0.46,0.39,0.42,0.43,0.39,0.37,0.33,0.33,0.32,0.28,0.19,0.22,0.23,0.31,0.31,0.3,0.31,0.36,0.34,0.39,0.49,0.49,0.42,0.55,0.55,0.61,0.61,0.58,0.71,0.65,0.73,0.77,0.9,0.87,0.9,0.88,0.91,0.94,0.9,0.85,0.91,0.9,0.98,0.98,0.98,1	92.2%
NJN 93, BOS 101	0.5,0.51,0.48,0.43,0.43,0.36,0.38,0.37,0.36,0.35,0.3,0.27,0.24,0.28,0.3,0.22,0.23,0.23,0.26,0.32,0.32,0.39,0.39,0.41,0.44,0.5,0.46,0.48,0.59,0.67,0.73,0.82,0.74,0.84,0.79,0.81,0.82,0.9,0.81,0.85,0.8,0.88,0.96,0.91,0.9,0.93,0.97,0.9,1,1	91.5%
DET 78, NJN 89	0.5,0.49,0.48,0.48,0.43,0.41,0.48,0.47,0.39,0.39,0.47,0.42,0.32,0.25,0.26,0.24,0.21,0.27,0.28,0.26,0.29,0.29,0.31,0.41,0.49,0.58,0.54,0.55,0.58,0.61,0.64,0.68,0.65,0.59,0.66,0.74,0.79,0.85,0.92,0.9,0.83,0.88,0.76,0.85,0.91,0.93,0.96,0.99,1,1	91.4%