NBA Win Probability Game Box Scores

NBA Win Probability Box Scores (click here for LIVE graphs)

winProb
gameTime
fourFactors
pace
on/off
misc

Chicago Bulls	110		Excitement	6.9 [272]		MVP	Jalen Smith (CHI): +16.1%
Orlando Magic	98		Comeback	1.7 [174]		LVP	Isaac Okoro (CHI): -11.1%

Chicago Bulls
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Jalen Smith	0.16	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,0.01,0,0.06,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.04,0.08,0.08,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.16	0.11	0.05	-0.00	8	80%	0.23	2	-0.07	4	50%	-0.01
Nikola Vu?evi?	0.09	0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.01,-0.04,-0.01,0.01,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09	0.04	0.02	-0.03	7	83%	0.15	4	-0.06	4	100%	0.01
Ayo Dosunmu	0.09	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.04,0.02,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,0.04,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.07,0.07,0.09,0.09,0.09	0.07	0.03	0.02	10	75%	0.15	2	-0.06	0	0%	0.00
Patrick Williams	0.07	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.04,0.04,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0.05,0.05,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07	0.04	0.01	-0.02	7	75%	0.09	2	-0.02	2	50%	-0.02
Kevin Huerter	0.02	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.01,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.01,-0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02	0.03	0.01	0.02	10	48%	0.02	0	0.00	3	100%	0.02
Julian Phillips	0.01	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,0,0.04,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01	0.01	0.01	0.00	4	50%	0.01	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Tre Jones	-0.01	0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.04,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,-0.02,0,0,0,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01	-0.00	-0.00	0.00	7	59%	0.07	3	-0.08	8	75%	0.01
Josh Giddey	-0.02	0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0,0,0.03,0.06,0.04,0.02,0.02,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.02,0.02,0.02,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.03,0.03,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02	0.00	-0.00	0.02	18	50%	0.04	2	-0.06	6	83%	0.01
Dalen Terry	-0.02	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02	-0.02	-0.00	0.00	1	0%	-0.02	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Matas Buzelis	-0.09	0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.04,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09	-0.09	-0.00	-0.00	5	25%	-0.02	2	-0.07	2	50%	-0.01
Isaac Okoro	-0.11	0,0,0,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11	-0.11	-0.01	-0.01	6	0%	-0.09	1	-0.02	0	0%	0.00

Orlando Magic
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Anthony Black	0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0,0,0,0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.07,0.07,0.04,0.04,0.08,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.02,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03	0.03	0.05	-0.00	0.01	9	79%	0.15	5	-0.12	6	100%	0.04
Goga Bitadze	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	0.00	0.00	0.00	0.00	1	75%	0.03	1	-0.02	2	50%	-0.02
Jonathan Isaac	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	0.00	0.00	-0.00	0.00	2	50%	0.00	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Wendell Carter Jr.	0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.08,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.09,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02	-0.02	-0.05	0.01	-0.03	7	40%	0.02	2	-0.03	6	83%	0.01
Jett Howard	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02	-0.02	-0.02	-0.00	0.00	1	0%	-0.02	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Jase Richardson	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04	-0.04	-0.03	-0.01	-0.00	3	37%	0.00	1	-0.04	2	50%	-0.02
Tristan da Silva	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05	-0.05	-0.05	-0.02	-0.02	11	33%	-0.05	0	0.00	2	100%	0.01
Franz Wagner	0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,0,0,0,0.02,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,-0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.03,-0.03,-0.04,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07	-0.07	-0.03	-0.03	0.00	15	50%	0.01	3	-0.08	4	75%	-0.00
Desmond Bane	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,0.01,0.01,-0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.04,-0.05,-0.05,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09	-0.09	-0.03	-0.04	0.02	12	58%	0.06	4	-0.15	0	0%	0.00
Tyus Jones	0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.06,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1	-0.10	-0.10	-0.02	-0.01	5	0%	-0.08	1	-0.02	0	0%	0.00
Paolo Banchero	0,0,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0,0.03,0.05,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.06,0.08,0.06,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.01,0.01,0,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,0.04,0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.05,-0.07,-0.07,-0.09,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11	-0.11	-0.05	-0.06	0.01	21	45%	-0.02	3	-0.09	11	82%	0.01

Game Length Report (minutes)

	Q1		Q2		Q3		Q4	Total
this game	23.5	0.4	25.1	0.0	38.7	0.0	35.3	0.0
league avg	26.3	2.0	28.9	14.4	29.6	2.3	32.8	136.1

Win Probability Added by the Four Factors

(aka How the Game Was Won)

victory
100% WP

start
50% WP

CHI +57.9%

ORL -3.8%

ORL -12.3%

CHI +8.2%

ORL -0.1%

Pace and Efficiency Report

	seconds / possession			points / 100 possessions
all possessions	CHI	ORL	NBA	CHI	ORL	NBA
this game	13.4	13.4	14.2	102.8	90.7	113.6
season	13.6	14.1		113.6	113.0
opponent	14.2	14.3		112.6	115.7

Quarterly Pace Report (seconds per possession)

	Q1	Q2	Q3	Q4	Total
CHI	12.2	14.0	12.3	15.2	13.4
ORL	13.4	13.7	13.4	13.1	13.4

On/Off Win Probability and Pace Statistics

Chicago Bulls
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Ayo Dosunmu	97	98	0.59	-0.09	0.68	0.15	15	-3	18	13.3	13.7	-0.37	13.4	13.4	-0.01
Tre Jones	107	108	0.50	0.00	0.50	0.15	12	0	12	13.4	0.0	13.36	13.4	0.0	13.39
Kevin Huerter	95	96	0.45	0.05	0.39	0.18	9	3	6	13.6	11.6	2.01	13.4	13.3	0.06
Matas Buzelis	72	74	0.44	0.06	0.39	0.21	8	4	4	13.0	14.0	-0.99	13.2	13.8	-0.55
Patrick Williams	100	101	0.42	0.08	0.34	0.13	10	2	8	13.6	9.6	4.06	13.3	14.4	-1.11
Jalen Smith	76	75	0.42	0.08	0.33	0.18	8	4	4	12.7	15.1	-2.44	13.2	13.9	-0.71
Nikola Vu?evi?	88	89	0.35	0.15	0.20	0.21	5	7	-2	14.0	10.4	3.58	13.0	15.1	-2.08
Julian Phillips	69	69	0.35	0.15	0.20	0.18	6	6	0	12.5	14.9	-2.37	13.2	13.6	-0.39
Josh Giddey	90	90	0.31	0.19	0.12	0.28	1	11	-10	13.4	13.1	0.29	13.1	14.7	-1.53
Dalen Terry	12	12	0.10	0.40	-0.31	-0.05	5	7	-2	14.3	13.2	1.09	13.1	13.4	-0.34
Isaac Okoro	73	73	0.02	0.48	-0.46	0.08	-2	14	-16	12.9	14.4	-1.49	13.4	13.4	0.03

Orlando Magic
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Jett Howard	47	47	-0.19	-0.31	0.12	0.05	-8	-4	-4	13.8	13.0	0.78	12.6	13.9	-1.33
Jonathan Isaac	19	19	-0.20	-0.30	0.09	0.06	-9	-3	-6	14.5	13.1	1.38	13.2	13.4	-0.19
Tyus Jones	34	35	-0.28	-0.22	-0.06	0.01	-10	-2	-8	13.0	13.6	-0.52	12.6	13.7	-1.09
Jase Richardson	38	37	-0.34	-0.16	-0.18	-0.16	-6	-6	0	13.1	13.6	-0.52	12.3	13.9	-1.67
Wendell Carter Jr.	89	88	-0.35	-0.15	-0.20	-0.21	-5	-7	2	13.0	15.1	-2.08	14.0	10.4	3.58
Tristan da Silva	100	100	-0.42	-0.08	-0.35	-0.22	-7	-5	-2	13.3	14.6	-1.33	12.9	19.3	-6.34
Franz Wagner	105	104	-0.44	-0.06	-0.38	-0.15	-10	-2	-8	13.3	18.0	-4.74	13.5	8.0	5.52
Goga Bitadze	77	77	-0.45	-0.05	-0.39	-0.15	-10	-2	-8	13.1	14.1	-0.99	12.6	15.4	-2.83
Paolo Banchero	99	97	-0.49	-0.01	-0.47	-0.11	-13	1	-14	13.4	12.9	0.55	13.7	9.8	3.93
Anthony Black	108	107	-0.50	0.00	-0.50	-0.15	-12	0	-12	13.4	0.0	13.39	13.4	0.0	13.36
Desmond Bane	72	71	-0.53	0.03	-0.56	-0.15	-13	1	-14	12.9	14.4	-1.54	13.6	12.8	0.84

Dopplegamers 0.5,0.5,0.48,0.51,0.54,0.51,0.56,0.59,0.61,0.63,0.51,0.53,0.49,0.52,0.53,0.47,0.42,0.44,0.39,0.39,0.44,0.36,0.33,0.31,0.43,0.46,0.38,0.26,0.28,0.22,0.24,0.26,0.23,0.41,0.48,0.37,0.4,0.38,0.3,0.34,0.33,0.12,0.14,0.06,0.07,0.03,0.03,0,0,0
Game		Similarity Score
MIA 91, ATL 80	0.5,0.51,0.54,0.58,0.57,0.56,0.51,0.53,0.53,0.47,0.51,0.49,0.44,0.46,0.44,0.46,0.49,0.46,0.42,0.39,0.36,0.34,0.36,0.39,0.45,0.49,0.35,0.26,0.33,0.27,0.19,0.26,0.29,0.41,0.44,0.51,0.36,0.34,0.34,0.38,0.29,0.23,0.17,0.06,0.05,0.14,0.07,0.02,0,0	94.4%
MIN 125, BKN 109	0.5,0.5,0.52,0.54,0.54,0.59,0.61,0.63,0.62,0.61,0.53,0.55,0.44,0.5,0.44,0.42,0.4,0.41,0.49,0.51,0.44,0.41,0.36,0.35,0.39,0.42,0.4,0.26,0.17,0.19,0.24,0.23,0.35,0.31,0.34,0.4,0.4,0.38,0.34,0.18,0.2,0.1,0.1,0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0	94.1%
CLE 120, OKC 112	0.5,0.51,0.48,0.47,0.52,0.51,0.54,0.53,0.59,0.57,0.51,0.53,0.51,0.48,0.44,0.49,0.51,0.44,0.38,0.32,0.36,0.31,0.26,0.25,0.3,0.37,0.32,0.26,0.3,0.36,0.21,0.35,0.41,0.45,0.52,0.26,0.29,0.34,0.42,0.33,0.17,0.09,0.06,0.08,0.03,0.02,0.02,0,0,0	93.4%