NBA Win Probability Game Box Scores

NBA Win Probability Box Scores (click here for LIVE graphs)

winProb
gameTime
fourFactors
pace
on/off
misc

Cleveland Cavaliers	120		Excitement	6.5 [546]		MVP	JR Smith (CLE): +17.2%
Oklahoma City Thunder	112		Comeback	1.7 [488]		LVP	Kyle Korver (CLE): -6.7%

Cleveland Cavaliers
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
JR Smith	0.17	0,0,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.02,0.02,0.05,0.05,0.08,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.17,0.17,0.17,0.15,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.2,0.17,0.17,0.17,0.17,0.17,0.17,0.17,0.17,0.17,0.17,0.17,0.17,0.17,0.17	0.18	0.02	0.02	10	90%	0.17	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
LeBron James	0.17	0,0,0,0.03,0.03,0.01,0.02,0.03,0.03,0.02,0,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0,0,0,0,0.05,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.01,0.01,0.1,0.12,0.15,0.23,0.18,0.18,0.15,0.15,0.23,0.23,0.2,0.2,0.2,0.2,0.2,0.2,0.18,0.18,0.18,0.17,0.17,0.17,0.17	0.12	0.06	0.01	23	66%	0.26	5	-0.10	10	60%	-0.02
Rodney Hood	0.16	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,0.04,0.03,0.03,0.07,0.07,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.1,0.1,0.07,0.15,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.16	0.10	0.05	-0.00	10	70%	0.16	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Jordan Clarkson	0.10	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0,0,0,0,0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.07,0.09,0.09,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1	0.06	0.05	0.00	10	64%	0.12	1	-0.03	2	50%	-0.01
George Hill	0.06	0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.05,0.02,0.02,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06	0.02	0.03	-0.01	7	50%	0.06	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Jeff Green	0.05	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.05,-0.05,-0.03,-0.03,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0.01,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05	0.04	0.01	0.00	7	56%	0.04	0	0.00	4	100%	0.02
Cedi Osman	-0.00	0,0,0,0,0,0.03,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.04,0.04,0.04,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	-0.00	0.02	0.01	6	42%	-0.00	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Tristan Thompson	-0.02	0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.04,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02	-0.02	-0.00	-0.00	2	50%	0.01	1	-0.02	0	0%	0.00
Larry Nance Jr.	-0.04	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04	0.02	-0.03	0.03	10	50%	-0.04	0	0.00	6	50%	-0.02
Kyle Korver	-0.07	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07	-0.05	-0.02	0.00	3	0%	-0.07	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00

Oklahoma City Thunder
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Steven Adams	0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.02,0.03,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.1,0.08,0.11,0.11,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09	0.09	0.10	0.01	0.02	12	65%	0.11	1	-0.02	10	60%	-0.04
Jerami Grant	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.04,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02	0.02	0.08	0.01	0.07	9	58%	0.02	0	0.00	6	50%	-0.05
Paul George	0,0,0,0.03,0.03,0.02,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,-0.02,0.03,0,0,0.02,0.08,0.08,0.05,0.05,0.03,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.03,0.03,0.01,0.01,0.02	0.02	0.07	-0.01	0.03	19	60%	0.08	3	-0.06	4	100%	0.01
Josh Huestis	0	0.00	0.00	0.00	0.00	0	0%	0.00	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Carmelo Anthony	0,0,-0.01,-0.01,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.01,-0.01,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.01,-0.02,-0.02,0.01,0.05,0.05,0,-0.03,-0.03,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,0	-0.00	0.05	0.00	0.06	22	52%	0.03	1	-0.03	2	50%	-0.00
Russell Westbrook	0,0,0,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0,0,-0.02,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.03,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.01,-0.03,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,-0.03,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02	-0.02	0.01	-0.02	0.01	19	46%	0.01	1	-0.03	8	87%	0.02
Alex Abrines	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03	-0.03	-0.05	-0.00	-0.02	3	0%	-0.03	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Patrick Patterson	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05	-0.05	-0.02	-0.02	0.00	0	0%	0.00	1	-0.05	0	0%	0.00
Raymond Felton	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.04,0.08,0.08,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.03,0.03,-0.01,-0.01,-0.05,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07	-0.07	-0.02	-0.05	-0.01	6	50%	0.01	2	-0.08	0	0%	0.00

Game Length Report (minutes)

	Q1		Q2		Q3		Q4	Total
this game	27.1	2.6	27.4	16.4	27.3	2.5	37.4	140.8
league avg	25.1	2.3	28.6	15.0	27.2	2.3	32.6	134.4

Win Probability Added by the Four Factors

(aka How the Game Was Won)

victory
100% WP

start
50% WP

CLE +55.8%

OKC -7.3%

OKC -19.6%

CLE +19.9%

CLE +1.2%

Pace and Efficiency Report

	seconds / possession			points / 100 possessions
all possessions	CLE	OKC	NBA	CLE	OKC	NBA
this game	15.4	14.9	14.7	125.0	119.1	107.5
season	14.8	14.2		111.2	109.4
opponent	15.3	14.7		106.1	110.6

Quarterly Pace Report (seconds per possession)

	Q1	Q2	Q3	Q4	Total
CLE	16.4	14.4	16.1	15.0	15.4
OKC	14.9	14.4	17.4	13.2	14.9

On/Off Win Probability and Pace Statistics

Cleveland Cavaliers
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Larry Nance Jr.	52	50	0.62	-0.12	0.74	0.21	14	-6	20	14.3	16.8	-2.51	14.7	15.1	-0.45
Jeff Green	56	55	0.59	-0.09	0.68	0.18	14	-6	20	14.3	17.0	-2.76	14.5	15.5	-1.01
Jordan Clarkson	48	46	0.55	-0.05	0.60	0.08	16	-8	24	15.2	15.6	-0.42	15.3	14.5	0.76
Rodney Hood	50	49	0.45	0.05	0.39	0.21	8	0	8	14.5	16.5	-2.04	15.2	14.5	0.78
Kyle Korver	15	16	0.31	0.19	0.12	0.04	9	-1	10	15.8	15.4	0.43	16.3	14.6	1.74
LeBron James	81	78	0.19	0.31	-0.12	0.22	-1	9	-10	15.4	15.8	-0.43	14.6	16.3	-1.74
JR Smith	61	60	0.04	0.46	-0.42	0.18	-5	13	-18	16.0	14.5	1.45	14.1	16.2	-2.04
George Hill	44	44	-0.05	0.55	-0.60	0.10	-5	13	-18	16.6	14.5	2.09	15.2	14.6	0.67
Cedi Osman	29	28	-0.07	0.57	-0.65	0.04	-4	12	-16	16.9	14.8	2.04	15.4	14.6	0.79
Tristan Thompson	44	44	-0.12	0.62	-0.74	0.06	-6	14	-20	16.8	14.3	2.51	15.1	14.7	0.45

Oklahoma City Thunder
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Carmelo Anthony	69	74	-0.12	-0.38	0.25	-0.21	3	-11	14	14.4	16.2	-1.75	15.6	14.9	0.69
Josh Huestis	27	27	-0.13	-0.37	0.25	-0.07	-2	-6	4	16.5	14.2	2.31	15.5	15.4	0.11
Patrick Patterson	20	20	-0.13	-0.37	0.23	-0.02	-4	-4	0	15.4	14.7	0.67	14.0	15.8	-1.75
Alex Abrines	47	48	-0.15	-0.35	0.20	-0.18	1	-9	10	14.5	15.3	-0.81	15.4	15.4	0.00
Steven Adams	82	84	-0.29	-0.21	-0.08	-0.26	-1	-7	6	14.7	15.8	-1.10	15.8	12.7	3.17
Russell Westbrook	77	79	-0.31	-0.19	-0.12	-0.22	-3	-5	2	14.3	17.4	-3.10	15.5	15.1	0.39
Paul George	77	80	-0.31	-0.19	-0.12	-0.19	-4	-4	0	14.9	14.5	0.42	15.5	15.2	0.23
Raymond Felton	28	28	-0.41	-0.09	-0.32	-0.09	-11	3	-14	15.9	14.5	1.40	14.9	15.7	-0.82
Jerami Grant	43	40	-0.65	0.15	-0.80	-0.09	-19	11	-30	15.3	14.5	0.75	15.1	15.6	-0.49

Dopplegamers 0.5,0.51,0.48,0.47,0.52,0.51,0.54,0.53,0.59,0.57,0.51,0.53,0.51,0.48,0.44,0.49,0.51,0.44,0.38,0.32,0.36,0.31,0.26,0.25,0.3,0.37,0.32,0.26,0.3,0.36,0.21,0.35,0.41,0.45,0.52,0.26,0.29,0.34,0.42,0.33,0.17,0.09,0.06,0.08,0.03,0.02,0.02,0,0,0
Game		Similarity Score
PHX 108, LAC 99	0.5,0.51,0.5,0.45,0.47,0.51,0.55,0.55,0.61,0.57,0.51,0.45,0.49,0.4,0.4,0.4,0.36,0.47,0.51,0.49,0.44,0.39,0.31,0.3,0.36,0.37,0.38,0.36,0.42,0.27,0.3,0.45,0.38,0.41,0.37,0.33,0.29,0.38,0.34,0.29,0.11,0.05,0.08,0.05,0.02,0,0.01,0,0,0	93.4%
WAS 102, DAL 91	0.5,0.51,0.49,0.52,0.5,0.56,0.56,0.62,0.59,0.55,0.49,0.53,0.47,0.5,0.49,0.44,0.47,0.42,0.37,0.46,0.42,0.39,0.28,0.21,0.27,0.33,0.29,0.34,0.25,0.27,0.24,0.29,0.29,0.34,0.21,0.33,0.29,0.38,0.34,0.3,0.2,0.2,0.17,0.11,0.07,0.03,0.01,0.01,0,0	93.0%
IND 85, PHI 76	0.5,0.49,0.48,0.51,0.54,0.51,0.45,0.4,0.41,0.47,0.43,0.45,0.47,0.52,0.49,0.47,0.42,0.4,0.33,0.37,0.37,0.39,0.42,0.36,0.36,0.33,0.29,0.28,0.22,0.3,0.33,0.35,0.38,0.38,0.37,0.4,0.28,0.26,0.34,0.25,0.13,0.08,0.04,0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0	92.9%