NBA Win Probability Game Box Scores

NBA Win Probability Box Scores (click here for LIVE graphs)

winProb
gameTime
fourFactors
pace
on/off
misc

Philadelphia 76ers	117		Excitement	9.5 [72]		MVP	Tyrese Maxey (PHI): +45.9%
Boston Celtics	116		Comeback	23.3 [23]		LVP	Sam Hauser (BOS): -17.2%

Philadelphia 76ers
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Tyrese Maxey	0.46	0,0,0,0,0.03,0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.06,0.07,0.05,0.06,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.17,0.17,0.14,0.14,0.12,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.29,0.24,0.21,0.21,0.26,0.26,0.23,0.23,0.23,0.29,0.46	0.27	0.21	0.02	24	71%	0.49	1	-0.03	8	87%	0.06
Kelly Oubre Jr.	0.29	0,0,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,0.01,0.29,0.29	0.02	0.28	0.01	6	62%	0.33	2	-0.04	4	100%	0.04
Jabari Walker	0.05	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.04,0.04,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05	0.04	0.01	0.00	4	75%	0.05	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
VJ Edgecombe	0.01	0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,0.02,0.08,0.08,0.07,0.11,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.08,0.06,0.05,-0.02,-0.02,0.01,0.04,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.06,0.06,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.08,0.09,0.09,0.13,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.01	0.11	-0.09	0.01	26	59%	0.09	2	-0.07	6	50%	-0.15
Dominick Barlow	0.00	0,0,0,0,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.03,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0.02,0.07,0,0,0	0.04	-0.02	0.02	8	59%	0.06	2	-0.05	6	83%	-0.01
Andre Drummond	0.00	0	0.00	0.00	0.00	0	0%	0.00	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Justin Edwards	0.00	0	0.00	0.00	0.00	0	0%	0.00	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Adem Bona	-0.05	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05	-0.04	-0.00	0.00	0	0%	0.00	2	-0.05	0	0%	0.00
Joel Embiid	-0.07	0,0,0,-0.01,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.03,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07	-0.09	-0.01	-0.03	9	20%	-0.07	0	0.00	2	100%	0.01
Quentin Grimes	-0.12	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.08,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.12,-0.12,-0.17,-0.17,-0.17,-0.17,-0.17,-0.17,-0.17,-0.09,-0.09,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.12	-0.09	-0.04	0.00	8	50%	0.05	5	-0.17	4	50%	-0.07

Boston Celtics
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Derrick White	0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.06,-0.06,-0.01,0.06,0.12,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.12,0.12,0.23,0.23,0.23,0.21,0.18,0.18,0.18	0.18	0.10	0.09	0.01	20	53%	0.18	0	0.00	7	100%	0.05
Neemias Queta	0,0,0.02,0.02,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.06,0.06,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.08,0.16,0.19,0.14,0.14,0.14	0.14	0.10	0.05	0.01	8	85%	0.21	2	-0.07	4	75%	-0.00
Anfernee Simons	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.07,0.05,0.03,0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.02,0.02,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1	0.10	0.08	0.02	0.00	10	62%	0.10	0	0.00	1	100%	0.00
Jaylen Brown	0,0,0,0,0,0.01,-0.01,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.05,0.04,0.07,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.06,0.06,0.1,0.1,0.12,0.12,0.17,0.17,0.17,0.17,0.2,0.05	0.05	0.10	-0.01	0.04	18	60%	0.11	2	-0.06	6	83%	0.03
Josh Minott	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02	0.02	0.02	0.00	0.00	1	100%	0.02	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Chris Boucher	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.04,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02	0.02	0.03	-0.01	0.00	4	60%	0.02	0	0.00	2	100%	0.01
Luka Garza	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.07,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09	-0.09	-0.07	-0.02	0.00	2	0%	-0.04	2	-0.05	0	0%	0.00
Xavier Tillman	0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.12	-0.12	-0.05	-0.07	-0.01	8	25%	-0.12	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Payton Pritchard	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.06,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.15	-0.15	-0.01	-0.14	-0.00	14	50%	-0.09	2	-0.06	4	75%	0.01
Sam Hauser	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.04,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,-0.03,-0.03,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.17,-0.17	-0.17	-0.03	-0.14	0.00	6	57%	0.04	3	-0.21	2	100%	0.01

Game Length Report (minutes)

	Q1		Q2		Q3		Q4	Total
this game	24.5	1.3	30.1	13.4	31.9	1.4	44.6	147.2
league avg	26.3	2.0	28.9	14.4	29.6	2.3	32.8	136.1

Win Probability Added by the Four Factors

(aka How the Game Was Won)

victory
100% WP

start
50% WP

PHI +52.8%

PHI +2.9%

BOS -13.7%

PHI +5.0%

PHI +3.0%

Pace and Efficiency Report

	seconds / possession			points / 100 possessions
all possessions	PHI	BOS	NBA	PHI	BOS	NBA
this game	14.9	13.2	14.2	114.7	112.6	113.6
season	14.6	15.2		113.6	120.5
opponent	14.4	13.8		113.6	112.2

Quarterly Pace Report (seconds per possession)

	Q1	Q2	Q3	Q4	Total
PHI	16.2	12.5	18.0	13.4	14.9
BOS	13.2	13.7	11.3	14.3	13.2

On/Off Win Probability and Pace Statistics

Philadelphia 76ers
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Dominick Barlow	85	86	0.58	-0.08	0.65	0.52	2	-1	3	14.7	15.9	-1.22	13.5	11.5	1.95
Tyrese Maxey	101	103	0.52	-0.02	0.54	0.49	1	0	1	14.8	30.0	-15.23	13.2	0.0	13.16
Kelly Oubre Jr.	101	103	0.51	-0.01	0.52	0.48	1	0	1	14.9	19.0	-4.12	13.2	0.0	13.16
Quentin Grimes	102	103	0.50	0.00	0.50	0.47	1	0	1	14.9	0.0	14.92	13.2	0.0	13.16
VJ Edgecombe	101	102	0.46	0.04	0.42	0.46	0	1	-1	14.9	22.0	-7.15	13.2	5.0	8.24
Andre Drummond	27	27	0.22	0.28	-0.07	-0.02	8	-7	15	12.3	15.9	-3.57	13.7	13.0	0.69
Justin Edwards	24	24	-0.06	0.56	-0.61	0.00	-2	3	-5	16.2	14.5	1.63	13.5	13.1	0.45
Adem Bona	69	69	-0.48	0.98	-1.46	-0.10	-13	14	-27	15.6	13.5	2.08	12.9	13.8	-0.91
Joel Embiid	45	43	-0.48	0.98	-1.46	-0.01	-16	17	-33	16.4	13.8	2.65	12.3	13.8	-1.50
Jabari Walker	71	72	-0.64	1.14	-1.77	-0.20	-15	16	-31	16.4	11.5	4.99	13.2	13.2	-0.01

Boston Celtics
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Chris Boucher	69	71	0.41	-0.91	1.32	0.09	11	-12	23	13.2	13.1	0.06	15.4	13.8	1.65
Neemias Queta	95	96	0.34	-0.84	1.19	0.26	3	-4	7	13.4	9.7	3.69	15.3	8.5	6.82
Anfernee Simons	93	93	-0.00	-0.50	0.50	-0.21	7	-8	15	13.1	13.8	-0.71	15.3	10.6	4.79
Luka Garza	45	44	-0.04	-0.46	0.41	0.05	-3	2	-5	13.7	12.7	0.95	14.4	15.3	-0.86
Sam Hauser	68	69	-0.05	-0.45	0.39	-0.23	6	-7	13	13.0	13.5	-0.46	15.2	14.3	0.91
Xavier Tillman	72	71	-0.11	-0.39	0.27	-0.23	4	-5	9	13.2	12.9	0.31	15.5	13.7	1.74
Josh Minott	84	84	-0.46	-0.04	-0.43	-0.41	-2	1	-3	13.5	11.8	1.67	14.7	15.9	-1.17
Payton Pritchard	95	95	-0.48	-0.02	-0.47	-0.46	-1	0	-1	13.4	10.6	2.74	14.9	15.1	-0.24
Jaylen Brown	94	92	-0.59	0.09	-0.68	-0.53	-2	1	-3	13.2	12.3	0.90	14.7	16.5	-1.75
Derrick White	95	94	-0.65	0.15	-0.79	-0.53	-4	3	-7	13.2	12.6	0.58	14.9	14.9	0.05

Dopplegamers 0.5,0.5,0.49,0.51,0.49,0.47,0.5,0.57,0.51,0.51,0.54,0.51,0.56,0.54,0.47,0.51,0.49,0.56,0.52,0.44,0.53,0.54,0.42,0.36,0.33,0.33,0.41,0.4,0.39,0.52,0.64,0.73,0.83,0.75,0.83,0.81,0.82,0.9,0.93,0.79,0.91,0.68,0.71,0.81,0.86,0.89,0.84,0.77,0.27,0
Game		Similarity Score
SEA 89, MIN 87	0.5,0.51,0.47,0.48,0.43,0.42,0.44,0.47,0.47,0.51,0.53,0.51,0.54,0.52,0.51,0.49,0.38,0.42,0.37,0.39,0.39,0.44,0.46,0.44,0.41,0.49,0.43,0.45,0.49,0.61,0.61,0.74,0.72,0.73,0.76,0.77,0.75,0.78,0.7,0.79,0.8,0.85,0.78,0.85,0.87,0.81,0.78,0.55,0.42,0	91.1%
LAC 89, MIN 85	0.5,0.51,0.48,0.45,0.49,0.51,0.51,0.53,0.47,0.45,0.53,0.57,0.51,0.48,0.47,0.42,0.44,0.44,0.37,0.39,0.48,0.49,0.49,0.46,0.46,0.5,0.48,0.54,0.49,0.48,0.61,0.65,0.65,0.65,0.66,0.78,0.79,0.85,0.84,0.86,0.77,0.93,0.87,0.85,0.78,0.86,0.84,0.67,0.26,0	91.1%
NOP 103, DET 101	0.5,0.51,0.51,0.54,0.52,0.43,0.42,0.43,0.5,0.49,0.47,0.47,0.54,0.52,0.53,0.6,0.58,0.65,0.58,0.51,0.4,0.36,0.28,0.36,0.36,0.33,0.24,0.28,0.36,0.55,0.73,0.79,0.86,0.92,0.93,0.92,0.87,0.85,0.81,0.82,0.92,0.85,0.92,0.91,0.9,0.89,0.72,0.68,0.43,0	91.0%