NBA Win Probability Game Box Scores

NBA Win Probability Box Scores (click here for LIVE graphs)

Real Time? Pre Game Odds?

winProb
gameTime
fourFactors
pace
on/off
misc

Minnesota Timberwolves	105		Excitement	9.4 [92]		MVP	Shai Gilgeous-Alexander (OKC): +50.0%
Oklahoma City Thunder	113		Comeback	1.5 [584]		LVP	Julius Randle (MIN): -25.5%

Minnesota Timberwolves
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Anthony Edwards	0.33	0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.05,-0.05,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.05,-0.05,-0.07,-0.07,0.03,0.06,0.04,0,0.06,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.14,0.21,0.21,0.25,0.25,0.25,0.33,0.33	0.10	0.21	-0.01	19	62%	0.45	3	-0.13	12	67%	-0.01
Terrence Shannon Jr.	0.32	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.04,0.04,0.06,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.14,0.14,0.23,0.23,0.32,0.32,0.32,0.32,0.32,0.32,0.32,0.32,0.32	0.20	0.13	0.00	7	112%	0.32	0	0.00	2	50%	-0.01
Naz Reid	0.14	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.08,-0.1,-0.04,0.03,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14	0.01	0.11	-0.02	11	50%	0.16	1	-0.02	2	100%	0.02
Donte DiVincenzo	0.08	0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.04,-0.04,-0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.08	0.00	0.06	-0.02	9	55%	0.20	2	-0.12	2	50%	-0.01
Mike Conley	-0.03	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03	-0.03	-0.01	-0.00	4	25%	-0.03	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Jaylen Clark	-0.05	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05	-0.04	-0.01	-0.00	1	0%	-0.01	1	-0.03	0	0%	0.00
Rob Dillingham	-0.05	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.03,0.03,0.04,0.03,0.03,0.03,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05	-0.02	-0.03	0.00	7	37%	-0.05	0	0.00	2	50%	-0.03
Rudy Gobert	-0.10	0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.1,-0.1	-0.05	-0.05	-0.01	3	36%	-0.08	1	-0.02	8	37%	-0.21
Jaden McDaniels	-0.20	0,0,0.03,0.04,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.07,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.12,-0.2,-0.2	0.01	-0.19	0.02	6	71%	-0.05	3	-0.15	2	100%	0.01
Julius Randle	-0.26	0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,0.02,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.08,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.1,-0.17,-0.17,-0.17,-0.17,-0.17,-0.17,-0.17,-0.17,-0.17,-0.17,-0.17,-0.17,-0.26,-0.26	-0.13	-0.12	0.00	13	30%	-0.16	3	-0.10	7	57%	-0.03

Oklahoma City Thunder
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Shai Gilgeous-Alexander	0,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.01,0.03,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,-0.01,-0.03,-0.05,-0.02,0.02,0.09,0.12,0.12,0.14,0.14,0.12,0.12,0.15,0.15,0.21,0.21,0.21,0.18,0.23,0.23,0.23,0.23,0.23,0.23,0.23,0.28,0.35,0.42,0.5,0.5,0.5	0.50	0.25	0.27	0.02	19	73%	0.52	1	-0.02	17	88%	0.13
Chet Holmgren	0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.06,-0.04,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.04,0.06,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.29	0.29	-0.01	0.26	-0.04	12	46%	0.31	1	-0.02	2	100%	0.04
Ajay Mitchell	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,0.01,0.01,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.16,0.16,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11	0.11	0.03	0.07	-0.01	9	54%	0.11	0	0.00	6	50%	-0.07
Isaiah Hartenstein	0,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.02,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.06,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.13,0.13,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06	0.06	0.06	0.02	0.02	10	58%	0.06	0	0.00	6	50%	-0.04
Jaylin Williams	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.08,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.04,0.04,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03	0.03	0.05	-0.01	0.00	4	75%	0.07	1	-0.04	4	100%	0.02
Alex Caruso	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.04,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03	0.03	-0.02	0.02	-0.03	5	42%	0.06	1	-0.03	2	100%	0.02
Cason Wallace	0,0,-0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0,0,0,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.02,0.02,0.02	0.02	0.03	-0.01	0.00	7	64%	0.05	1	-0.03	0	0%	0.00
Isaiah Joe	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0,0.05,0.05,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01	0.01	-0.01	0.01	-0.00	4	56%	0.05	1	-0.04	1	100%	0.02
Kenrich Williams	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01	-0.01	-0.02	0.00	-0.00	1	0%	-0.01	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Luguentz Dort	0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.19,-0.19,-0.19,-0.19	-0.19	-0.07	-0.11	0.02	9	28%	-0.17	1	-0.02	0	0%	0.00

Game Length Report (minutes)

	Q1		Q2		Q3		Q4	Total
this game	25.9	0.0	37.7	0.0	32.8	0.0	45.9	0.0
league avg	26.3	2.0	28.9	14.3	29.6	2.2	32.8	136.1

Win Probability Added by the Four Factors

(aka How the Game Was Won)

victory
100% WP

start
50% WP

MIN -15.1%

OKC +43.2%

MIN -16.9%

OKC +35.6%

OKC +3.2%

Pace and Efficiency Report

	seconds / possession			points / 100 possessions
all possessions	MIN	OKC	NBA	MIN	OKC	NBA
this game	15.0	13.4	14.2	102.9	111.9	113.5
season	13.9	13.8		115.5	117.6
opponent	14.6	14.1		105.1	111.6

Quarterly Pace Report (seconds per possession)

	Q1	Q2	Q3	Q4	Total
MIN	18.0	13.7	13.4	15.3	15.0
OKC	14.0	14.0	13.3	12.3	13.4

On/Off Win Probability and Pace Statistics

Minnesota Timberwolves
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Terrence Shannon Jr.	64	62	0.11	-0.61	0.72	-0.10	7	-15	22	14.4	15.8	-1.38	13.8	12.8	0.98
Rob Dillingham	33	33	0.03	-0.53	0.57	0.01	1	-9	10	15.2	14.8	0.34	14.4	12.9	1.53
Donte DiVincenzo	81	79	-0.12	-0.38	0.27	-0.29	6	-14	20	14.8	15.7	-0.90	13.9	11.7	2.19
Jaden McDaniels	83	82	-0.18	-0.32	0.14	-0.27	3	-11	14	14.7	16.2	-1.55	13.8	11.5	2.37
Jaylen Clark	48	48	-0.26	-0.24	-0.02	0.04	-10	2	-12	15.7	14.2	1.51	14.0	12.8	1.19
Mike Conley	81	79	-0.41	-0.09	-0.33	-0.27	-5	-3	-2	15.2	13.9	1.38	13.6	12.8	0.74
Naz Reid	87	86	-0.42	-0.08	-0.34	-0.25	-6	-2	-4	15.3	12.9	2.37	13.3	13.9	-0.63
Julius Randle	98	98	-0.45	-0.05	-0.40	-0.27	-6	-2	-4	15.1	11.2	3.85	13.4	12.7	0.75
Anthony Edwards	102	101	-0.50	0.00	-0.50	-0.27	-8	0	-8	15.0	0.0	14.95	13.4	0.0	13.40
Rudy Gobert	91	90	-0.51	0.01	-0.51	-0.27	-8	0	-8	15.3	12.3	3.00	13.9	9.6	4.22

Oklahoma City Thunder
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Shai Gilgeous-Alexander	101	102	0.50	0.00	0.50	0.27	8	0	8	13.4	0.0	13.40	15.0	0.0	14.95
Alex Caruso	98	98	0.47	0.03	0.43	0.32	5	3	2	13.7	2.0	11.74	15.3	7.2	8.02
Ajay Mitchell	92	93	0.34	0.16	0.18	0.37	-1	9	-10	13.7	10.0	3.73	14.8	16.9	-2.13
Isaiah Hartenstein	88	91	0.27	0.23	0.03	0.41	-5	13	-18	13.7	11.2	2.49	14.8	16.4	-1.58
Cason Wallace	87	90	0.21	0.29	-0.07	0.36	-5	13	-18	13.8	10.7	3.11	14.8	16.3	-1.57
Luguentz Dort	88	91	0.19	0.31	-0.12	0.28	-3	11	-14	13.6	11.7	1.96	14.8	15.8	-0.97
Jaylin Williams	58	59	0.13	0.37	-0.24	0.04	3	5	-2	14.2	12.3	1.99	14.9	15.0	-0.04
Chet Holmgren	79	80	0.05	0.45	-0.40	0.29	-8	16	-24	13.8	12.0	1.84	14.8	15.5	-0.76
Kenrich Williams	61	61	-0.05	0.55	-0.60	-0.05	0	8	-8	13.7	12.9	0.78	15.8	13.7	2.08
Isaiah Joe	23	24	-0.16	0.66	-0.82	-0.04	-4	12	-16	15.1	12.9	2.25	16.0	14.6	1.32

Dopplegamers 0.5,0.5,0.46,0.46,0.5,0.49,0.48,0.39,0.47,0.51,0.51,0.58,0.61,0.65,0.66,0.68,0.73,0.69,0.69,0.66,0.64,0.59,0.58,0.72,0.8,0.78,0.79,0.72,0.75,0.64,0.52,0.52,0.55,0.75,0.77,0.67,0.68,0.78,0.74,0.62,0.67,0.68,0.53,0.59,0.66,0.62,0.55,0.67,0.74,1
Game		Similarity Score
SAS 87, POR 90	0.5,0.51,0.52,0.58,0.57,0.53,0.56,0.53,0.57,0.63,0.65,0.69,0.7,0.74,0.76,0.69,0.6,0.67,0.58,0.65,0.66,0.69,0.69,0.67,0.7,0.67,0.71,0.74,0.64,0.67,0.67,0.58,0.52,0.62,0.7,0.63,0.72,0.85,0.78,0.79,0.79,0.72,0.7,0.66,0.61,0.68,0.45,0.68,0.72,1	91.2%
SEA 92, PHX 99	0.5,0.49,0.45,0.49,0.54,0.49,0.51,0.49,0.47,0.47,0.57,0.62,0.64,0.68,0.66,0.69,0.68,0.69,0.76,0.72,0.66,0.59,0.51,0.59,0.67,0.67,0.68,0.72,0.66,0.73,0.76,0.68,0.62,0.63,0.69,0.77,0.79,0.78,0.74,0.75,0.62,0.73,0.74,0.71,0.61,0.64,0.79,0.69,0.84,1	91.1%
NOH 87, MIA 91	0.5,0.51,0.51,0.51,0.5,0.46,0.46,0.49,0.41,0.45,0.51,0.51,0.51,0.52,0.49,0.51,0.55,0.58,0.56,0.56,0.56,0.59,0.61,0.67,0.73,0.8,0.81,0.69,0.64,0.61,0.64,0.62,0.62,0.72,0.79,0.63,0.79,0.78,0.81,0.79,0.8,0.68,0.59,0.47,0.6,0.44,0.61,0.45,0.73,1	90.9%