NBA Win Probability Game Box Scores

NBA Win Probability Box Scores (click here for LIVE graphs)

Real Time? Pre Game Odds?

winProb
gameTime
fourFactors
pace
on/off
misc

Oklahoma City Thunder	144		Excitement	1.3 [924]		MVP	Shai Gilgeous-Alexander (OKC): +28.5%
Utah Jazz	112		Comeback	4.5 [955]		LVP	Cody Williams (UTA): -7.1%

Oklahoma City Thunder
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Shai Gilgeous-Alexander	0.29	0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,0,0,0,-0.02,0.01,0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.04,0.04,0.14,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.14,0.17,0.2,0.2,0.27,0.28,0.29,0.29,0.29,0.29,0.29,0.29,0.29,0.29,0.29,0.29,0.29,0.29,0.29,0.29	0.22	0.06	-0.00	14	77%	0.30	2	-0.01	12	83%	0.02
Luguentz Dort	0.16	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.05,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.18,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.16	0.10	0.05	0.00	4	112%	0.16	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Isaiah Joe	0.13	0,0,0,0,0,0,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.11,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13	0.18	0.00	0.06	6	114%	0.13	0	0.00	2	100%	0.01
Jaylin Williams	0.11	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.03,0.02,0.02,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11	0.10	0.01	-0.00	9	83%	0.12	2	-0.01	0	0%	0.00
Cason Wallace	0.04	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04	0.05	0.01	0.02	6	83%	0.06	2	-0.03	0	0%	0.00
Isaiah Hartenstein	0.03	0,0,0,0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.04,0.04,0.06,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03	0.01	-0.00	-0.02	5	86%	0.08	4	-0.06	4	50%	-0.02
Alex Caruso	0.01	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01	0.08	-0.01	0.07	5	92%	0.04	1	-0.03	2	50%	-0.00
Branden Carlson	0.00	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	0.06	0.00	0.06	4	78%	0.00	0	0.00	1	100%	0.00
Ousmane Dieng	0.00	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	0.06	0.00	0.06	2	125%	0.00	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Chris Youngblood	0.00	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	0.03	0.00	0.03	4	62%	0.00	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Ajay Mitchell	-0.02	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,0.02,0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.08,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02	0.00	0.00	0.02	10	55%	0.00	2	-0.02	2	100%	0.00
Chet Holmgren	-0.05	0,0,0.02,0.03,0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.02,0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.06,-0.08,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05	-0.04	-0.04	-0.03	14	37%	-0.05	0	0.00	2	50%	-0.00

Utah Jazz
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Lauri Markkanen	0,0,0.03,0.04,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.09,0.1,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.1,0.1,0.13,0.15,0.15,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12	0.12	0.13	0.03	0.03	8	76%	0.14	1	-0.02	9	100%	0.05
Ace Bailey	0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,-0.01,-0.02,-0.03,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.08,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11	0.11	0.11	0.04	0.03	9	83%	0.13	2	-0.02	0	0%	0.00
Kevin Love	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.03,0.06,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.08,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09	0.09	0.11	-0.01	0.01	6	100%	0.10	1	-0.01	0	0%	0.00
Keyonte George	0,0,0.02,0.02,0.04,0.04,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.07,0.07,0.09,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.07,0.04,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05	0.05	0.07	-0.00	0.02	10	74%	0.16	4	-0.11	7	100%	0.03
Kyle Filipowski	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.03,0.02,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.05,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.07,0.04,0.04,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03	0.03	0.05	-0.02	0.01	11	69%	0.09	3	-0.06	4	50%	-0.01
Taylor Hendricks	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	0.00	-0.07	0.00	-0.07	3	12%	0.00	1	0.00	2	50%	-0.00
Walter Clayton Jr.	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	-0.00	-0.06	0.00	-0.06	2	50%	-0.00	3	-0.00	0	0%	0.00
Isaiah Collier	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.03,0.03,0.05,0.05,0.03,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0,-0.03,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06	-0.06	-0.06	-0.03	-0.03	3	83%	0.06	5	-0.12	0	0%	0.00
Brice Sensabaugh	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.04,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06	-0.06	-0.04	-0.01	0.01	8	44%	-0.01	2	-0.05	0	0%	0.00
Svi Mykhailiuk	0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.04,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.01,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.02,0.02,-0.03,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07	-0.07	-0.04	-0.03	-0.01	8	50%	0.02	3	-0.08	0	0%	0.00
Jusuf Nurki?	0,0,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.07,-0.07,-0.04,-0.04,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07	-0.07	-0.06	-0.01	-0.00	7	31%	-0.04	1	-0.03	2	50%	-0.01
Cody Williams	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.05,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07	-0.07	-0.08	-0.02	-0.03	4	0%	-0.04	1	-0.03	0	0%	0.00

Game Length Report (minutes)

	Q1		Q2		Q3		Q4	Total
this game	28.4	0.0	31.3	0.0	25.8	0.0	28.2	0.0
league avg	26.5	1.9	29.2	14.2	29.9	2.1	32.8	136.4

Win Probability Added by the Four Factors

(aka How the Game Was Won)

victory
100% WP

start
50% WP

OKC +30.4%

UTA -4.1%

UTA -16.8%

OKC +38.5%

OKC +2.1%

Pace and Efficiency Report

	seconds / possession			points / 100 possessions
all possessions	OKC	UTA	NBA	OKC	UTA	NBA
this game	13.0	14.3	14.2	135.8	106.7	113.4
season	13.9	13.9		116.6	111.5
opponent	13.6	14.7		119.6	106.1

Quarterly Pace Report (seconds per possession)

	Q1	Q2	Q3	Q4	Total
OKC	13.8	12.7	11.5	13.9	13.0
UTA	14.9	13.5	16.8	12.3	14.3

On/Off Win Probability and Pace Statistics

Oklahoma City Thunder
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Shai Gilgeous-Alexander	79	77	0.49	0.01	0.49	-0.15	22	10	12	12.7	13.9	-1.21	15.0	12.3	2.69
Alex Caruso	76	76	0.48	0.02	0.47	-0.22	24	8	16	12.9	13.1	-0.15	14.6	13.5	1.12
Ajay Mitchell	95	95	0.46	0.04	0.42	-0.27	25	7	18	12.7	15.5	-2.85	14.6	11.8	2.76
Jaylin Williams	103	102	0.42	0.08	0.33	-0.46	30	2	28	13.0	11.3	1.71	14.2	16.7	-2.44
Luguentz Dort	59	56	0.35	0.15	0.21	0.06	10	22	-12	13.1	12.8	0.29	14.7	13.9	0.78
Isaiah Joe	96	95	0.34	0.16	0.18	-0.42	26	6	20	13.1	11.8	1.31	14.3	14.0	0.33
Chet Holmgren	66	64	0.24	0.26	-0.03	-0.06	10	22	-12	12.9	13.1	-0.18	14.4	14.1	0.36
Cason Wallace	70	69	0.22	0.28	-0.06	-0.07	10	22	-12	12.9	13.2	-0.27	14.1	14.6	-0.48
Isaiah Hartenstein	65	63	0.22	0.28	-0.06	-0.01	8	24	-16	13.0	13.0	-0.09	14.5	14.0	0.41
Ousmane Dieng	27	28	0.01	0.49	-0.49	-0.29	10	22	-12	13.9	12.7	1.21	12.3	15.0	-2.69
Chris Youngblood	27	28	0.01	0.49	-0.49	-0.29	10	22	-12	13.9	12.7	1.21	12.3	15.0	-2.69
Branden Carlson	43	44	-0.24	0.74	-0.98	-0.10	-5	37	-42	14.6	11.9	2.68	12.7	15.4	-2.66

Utah Jazz
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Ace Bailey	44	47	0.12	-0.62	0.74	0.03	3	-35	38	14.4	14.2	0.24	13.3	12.8	0.51
Jusuf Nurki?	56	58	0.04	-0.54	0.58	0.10	-2	-30	28	14.4	14.1	0.32	13.1	12.8	0.29
Walter Clayton Jr.	28	27	-0.01	-0.49	0.49	0.29	-10	-22	12	12.3	15.0	-2.69	13.9	12.7	1.21
Taylor Hendricks	28	27	-0.01	-0.49	0.49	0.29	-10	-22	12	12.3	15.0	-2.69	13.9	12.7	1.21
Kevin Love	61	63	-0.07	-0.43	0.35	-0.02	-2	-30	28	15.2	13.1	2.11	13.2	12.7	0.49
Brice Sensabaugh	40	40	-0.15	-0.35	0.21	0.41	-19	-13	-6	12.4	15.4	-3.02	13.5	12.7	0.82
Svi Mykhailiuk	56	58	-0.17	-0.33	0.16	0.00	-6	-26	20	14.6	14.0	0.55	13.3	12.6	0.63
Cody Williams	78	78	-0.23	-0.27	0.03	0.32	-19	-13	-6	14.6	13.5	1.10	13.1	12.7	0.38
Isaiah Collier	57	60	-0.33	-0.17	-0.16	0.14	-16	-16	0	15.6	12.7	2.88	12.9	13.1	-0.17
Keyonte George	72	74	-0.48	-0.02	-0.46	0.14	-21	-11	-10	14.8	13.1	1.76	13.0	12.9	0.17
Lauri Markkanen	86	87	-0.50	-0.00	-0.50	0.26	-26	-6	-20	15.1	10.8	4.28	12.7	14.2	-1.42
Kyle Filipowski	105	106	-0.50	0.00	-0.50	0.44	-32	0	-32	14.3	0.0	14.30	13.0	0.0	12.99

Dopplegamers 0.5,0.5,0.54,0.55,0.62,0.65,0.68,0.69,0.72,0.75,0.77,0.78,0.75,0.77,0.76,0.66,0.64,0.6,0.63,0.63,0.7,0.61,0.64,0.59,0.51,0.51,0.6,0.54,0.52,0.58,0.67,0.55,0.38,0.37,0.18,0.06,0.02,0.01,0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0
Game		Similarity Score
TOR 110, CLE 93	0.5,0.49,0.54,0.6,0.63,0.67,0.66,0.72,0.76,0.79,0.73,0.76,0.76,0.75,0.76,0.69,0.58,0.53,0.56,0.59,0.64,0.69,0.58,0.61,0.51,0.49,0.46,0.51,0.58,0.55,0.61,0.48,0.33,0.22,0.15,0.06,0.03,0.05,0.02,0.02,0.01,0.01,0,0,0.01,0,0,0,0,0	95.5%
CHH 93, NJN 87	0.5,0.51,0.56,0.58,0.57,0.64,0.66,0.69,0.69,0.69,0.7,0.68,0.66,0.72,0.72,0.7,0.75,0.75,0.72,0.72,0.71,0.69,0.61,0.61,0.61,0.67,0.55,0.55,0.61,0.52,0.49,0.35,0.32,0.28,0.18,0.09,0.05,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.02,0.03,0.06,0.03,0.01,0,0,0,0	93.1%
LAC 122, MIA 117	0.5,0.49,0.52,0.52,0.55,0.52,0.64,0.62,0.74,0.73,0.72,0.66,0.7,0.66,0.74,0.72,0.68,0.69,0.66,0.65,0.64,0.69,0.56,0.61,0.56,0.51,0.57,0.63,0.61,0.54,0.55,0.55,0.45,0.45,0.37,0.33,0.18,0.03,0.05,0.09,0.01,0.03,0.01,0.01,0.02,0.03,0,0.01,0.01,0	92.4%