NBA Win Probability Game Box Scores

NBA Win Probability Box Scores (click here for LIVE graphs)

Real Time? Pre Game Odds?

winProb
gameTime
fourFactors
pace
on/off
misc

Charlotte Hornets	134		Excitement	10.8 [41]		MVP	Kon Knueppel (CHA): +64.9%
Milwaukee Bucks	147		Comeback	3.4 [605]		LVP	Tre Mann (CHA): -26.2%

Charlotte Hornets
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Kon Knueppel	0.65	0,0,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.04,0.06,0.06,0.08,0.1,0.12,0.12,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.08,0.08,0.06,0.06,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.21,0.21,0.21,0.21,0.21,0.26,0.26,0.26,0.32,0.32,0.32,0.44,0.74,0.68,0.68,0.65,0.65,0.65	0.19	0.44	-0.02	20	71%	0.68	2	-0.03	5	80%	0.01
Miles Bridges	0.37	0,0,-0.01,0,0,0,0.01,0.05,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.06,0.11,0.16,0.14,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.26,0.23,0.23,0.23,0.23,0.17,0.17,0.17,0.36,0.36,0.32,0.32,0.38,0.38,0.37,0.37	0.17	0.21	0.01	24	64%	0.37	1	0.00	2	100%	0.02
Collin Sexton	0.13	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.02,-0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.08,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.06,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13	0.09	0.04	-0.00	7	78%	0.16	1	-0.02	4	100%	0.03
Moussa Diabat�	0.05	0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.03,0.07,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.09,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.03,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05	0.07	-0.00	0.02	8	68%	0.13	1	-0.08	6	83%	0.00
Antonio Reeves	0.00	0	0.00	0.00	0.00	0	0%	0.00	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Sion James	-0.01	0,0,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.01,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.1,0.1,0.07,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01	0.01	-0.02	-0.00	10	52%	0.11	2	-0.11	3	67%	-0.02
Mason Plumlee	-0.02	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.04,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02	-0.00	-0.02	0.00	1	67%	0.01	1	-0.03	4	50%	-0.04
LaMelo Ball	-0.04	0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.01,0.04,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,0.05,0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.06,0.06,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04	-0.02	-0.04	-0.01	15	46%	0.01	2	-0.05	5	80%	-0.07
Pat Connaughton	-0.06	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06	-0.05	-0.02	-0.00	3	0%	-0.06	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Tre Mann	-0.26	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.07,0.07,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.09,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.02,0.02,0.02,-0.04,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.18,-0.26,-0.26,-0.26	-0.06	-0.21	-0.00	10	45%	-0.10	3	-0.16	0	0%	0.00

Milwaukee Bucks
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Kyle Kuzma	0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.01,0.02,0.02,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.07,0.06,0.06,0.11,0.09,0.08,0.08,0.06,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.1,0.1,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.19,0.19,0.29,0.42,0.42,0.42,0.39,0.41,0.41	0.41	0.16	0.25	0.01	17	71%	0.47	3	-0.06	7	71%	-0.00
Myles Turner	0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.07,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.24,0.38,0.38,0.38,0.38	0.38	0.19	0.19	-0.00	9	100%	0.38	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Ryan Rollins	0,0,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.03,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.03,0.1,0.07,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.16,0.3,0.3,0.3,0.43,0.35,0.35,0.35,0.35,0.35,0.35	0.35	0.13	0.23	0.01	12	83%	0.46	2	-0.11	0	0%	0.00
Gary Harris	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.06,0.06,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.18,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15	0.15	0.08	0.04	-0.02	5	100%	0.15	1	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Bobby Portis	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,-0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.01,-0.04,-0.04,0,0,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1	0.10	0.03	0.07	0.00	7	75%	0.17	3	-0.07	2	100%	0.02
Gary Trent Jr.	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09	0.09	0.07	0.02	-0.00	5	73%	0.09	0	0.00	1	100%	0.01
AJ Green	0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0.08,0.08,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08	0.08	0.14	-0.01	0.05	4	87%	0.08	0	0.00	7	100%	0.02
Thanasis Antetokounmpo	0	0.00	0.00	0.00	0.00	0	0%	0.00	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Andre Jackson Jr.	0	0.00	0.00	0.00	0.00	0	0%	0.00	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Mark Sears	0	0.00	0.00	0.00	0.00	0	0%	0.00	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Cole Anthony	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.04,0.04,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,0,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,0.07,0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03	-0.03	-0.03	0.00	-0.00	7	62%	0.11	4	-0.14	2	50%	-0.01
Jericho Sims	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03	-0.03	-0.02	-0.01	-0.00	1	100%	0.03	2	-0.06	0	0%	0.00
Giannis Antetokounmpo	0,0,0,-0.01,0,0.01,0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.01,-0.04,-0.04,-0.02,0,0.01,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.01,-0.05,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.06,-0.01,-0.01,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.12,-0.02,-0.02,-0.14,-0.18,-0.18,-0.13,-0.14,-0.14	-0.14	-0.00	-0.10	0.04	18	64%	0.08	7	-0.22	3	33%	-0.03

Game Length Report (minutes)

	Q1		Q2		Q3		Q4		OT1	Total
this game	24.4	2.2	29.5	12.6	32.0	1.5	39.1	0.8	14.6	156.7
league avg	26.4	1.9	29.1	14.2	29.7	2.2	32.8	2.2	16.6	136.2

Win Probability Added by the Four Factors

(aka How the Game Was Won)

victory
100% WP

start
50% WP

MIL +83.0%

CHA -7.4%

CHA -3.8%

CHA -19.0%

CHA -2.7%

Pace and Efficiency Report

	seconds / possession			points / 100 possessions
all possessions	CHA	MIL	NBA	CHA	MIL	NBA
this game	14.4	14.0	14.2	118.6	132.4	113.7
season	15.0	14.7		117.3	111.3
opponent	14.3	14.1		117.3	111.6

Quarterly Pace Report (seconds per possession)

	Q1	Q2	Q3	Q4	OT	Total
CHA	15.7	12.8	16.0	14.0	12.4	14.4
MIL	13.4	13.9	12.8	16.1	13.5	14.0

On/Off Win Probability and Pace Statistics

Charlotte Hornets
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Antonio Reeves	17	16	-0.09	-0.41	0.31	0.05	-5	-8	3	16.7	13.9	2.76	13.1	14.1	-1.00
LaMelo Ball	84	84	-0.10	-0.40	0.29	-0.05	-2	-11	9	15.1	12.2	2.90	14.1	13.5	0.66
Pat Connaughton	72	71	-0.13	-0.37	0.23	-0.05	-3	-10	7	14.8	13.6	1.18	13.5	14.9	-1.44
Collin Sexton	77	76	-0.20	-0.30	0.09	-0.06	-5	-8	3	14.8	13.5	1.31	13.4	15.3	-1.90
Miles Bridges	97	96	-0.32	-0.18	-0.14	-0.03	-10	-3	-7	14.4	14.1	0.35	14.3	11.9	2.45
Kon Knueppel	92	90	-0.47	-0.03	-0.44	-0.15	-11	-2	-9	14.5	14.0	0.50	14.3	12.8	1.50
Moussa Diabat�	103	102	-0.58	0.08	-0.66	-0.08	-17	4	-21	14.6	11.5	3.14	14.1	12.7	1.43
Mason Plumlee	75	73	-0.67	0.17	-0.85	-0.20	-16	3	-19	15.0	13.1	1.86	13.8	14.4	-0.59
Sion James	94	92	-0.78	0.28	-1.05	-0.28	-17	4	-21	14.8	12.2	2.65	14.1	13.4	0.74
Tre Mann	99	99	-0.80	0.30	-1.09	-0.24	-19	6	-25	14.8	11.5	3.27	13.8	15.3	-1.52

Milwaukee Bucks
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Gary Harris	106	108	0.60	-0.10	0.69	0.27	11	2	9	14.2	10.4	3.75	14.6	9.4	5.19
Myles Turner	93	92	0.51	-0.01	0.52	0.16	12	1	11	14.2	12.7	1.50	14.6	13.2	1.44
Thanasis Antetokounmpo	10	10	0.50	0.00	0.50	0.12	13	0	13	14.7	13.9	0.79	14.3	14.4	-0.07
Andre Jackson Jr.	10	10	0.50	0.00	0.50	0.12	13	0	13	14.7	13.9	0.79	14.3	14.4	-0.07
Mark Sears	10	10	0.50	0.00	0.50	0.12	13	0	13	14.7	13.9	0.79	14.3	14.4	-0.07
AJ Green	81	83	0.48	0.02	0.46	0.04	15	-2	17	14.2	13.3	0.98	14.7	13.3	1.40
Kyle Kuzma	97	98	0.43	0.07	0.36	0.02	14	-1	15	14.3	12.1	2.19	14.8	11.7	3.03
Ryan Rollins	90	92	0.41	0.09	0.32	0.06	12	1	11	14.4	12.0	2.39	14.8	12.3	2.55
Giannis Antetokounmpo	93	93	0.32	0.18	0.14	0.03	10	3	7	14.4	11.8	2.63	14.6	13.4	1.17
Jericho Sims	67	70	-0.01	0.51	-0.51	0.05	-2	15	-17	13.6	14.5	-0.86	15.1	13.2	1.90
Bobby Portis	71	71	-0.02	0.52	-0.53	-0.08	2	11	-9	13.9	14.1	-0.15	15.6	12.2	3.38
Gary Trent Jr.	81	82	-0.07	0.57	-0.65	-0.04	-1	14	-15	13.6	15.0	-1.44	14.8	13.1	1.74
Cole Anthony	86	87	-0.14	0.64	-0.79	-0.08	-2	15	-17	13.7	14.9	-1.21	15.0	12.4	2.57

Dopplegamers 0.5,0.5,0.54,0.51,0.48,0.47,0.49,0.47,0.51,0.59,0.61,0.62,0.46,0.52,0.58,0.51,0.49,0.47,0.39,0.39,0.31,0.27,0.31,0.25,0.33,0.27,0.31,0.28,0.31,0.39,0.45,0.48,0.49,0.41,0.59,0.67,0.6,0.7,0.52,0.48,0.52,0.53,0.41,0.34,0.53,0.69,0.72,0.55,0.85,0.5,0.69,0.84,0.97,0.99,1
Game		Similarity Score
GSW 91, CHI 96	0.5,0.51,0.51,0.46,0.5,0.53,0.58,0.53,0.53,0.45,0.47,0.49,0.47,0.46,0.49,0.47,0.42,0.42,0.46,0.42,0.41,0.46,0.34,0.39,0.39,0.3,0.32,0.28,0.3,0.39,0.33,0.35,0.52,0.59,0.73,0.77,0.68,0.46,0.43,0.52,0.62,0.56,0.53,0.54,0.46,0.55,0.55,0.78,0.58,0.54,0.55,0.72,0.85,0.95,1	89.2%
NYK 100, BOS 114	0.5,0.49,0.49,0.46,0.48,0.54,0.51,0.51,0.53,0.53,0.53,0.47,0.42,0.4,0.45,0.42,0.34,0.35,0.35,0.37,0.51,0.46,0.51,0.49,0.54,0.5,0.44,0.4,0.38,0.52,0.52,0.55,0.59,0.65,0.69,0.56,0.52,0.62,0.57,0.57,0.53,0.42,0.36,0.41,0.73,0.62,0.55,0.69,0.85,0.46,0.75,0.84,1,1,1	88.8%
POR 90, SAS 98	0.5,0.49,0.54,0.49,0.48,0.5,0.58,0.62,0.61,0.57,0.61,0.62,0.6,0.54,0.55,0.49,0.47,0.47,0.39,0.35,0.34,0.22,0.23,0.23,0.18,0.27,0.31,0.34,0.34,0.36,0.3,0.26,0.25,0.28,0.37,0.4,0.48,0.42,0.43,0.38,0.38,0.42,0.64,0.59,0.6,0.61,0.79,0.68,0.92,0.46,0.55,0.72,0.97,0.98,1	88.7%