NBA Win Probability Game Box Scores

NBA Win Probability Box Scores (click here for LIVE graphs)

winProb
gameTime
fourFactors
pace
on/off
misc

New York Knicks	125		Excitement	6.5 [441]		MVP	OG Anunoby (NYK): +29.4%
Chicago Bulls	135		Comeback	1.7 [284]		LVP	Miles McBride (NYK): -7.7%

New York Knicks
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
OG Anunoby	0.29	0,0,0,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.06,0.06,0.09,0.09,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.09,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.11,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.24,0.34,0.34,0.34,0.29,0.29,0.29	0.23	0.09	0.03	13	93%	0.31	1	-0.01	2	50%	-0.02
Mikal Bridges	0.21	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.03,-0.02,-0.01,0.01,0.03,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.03,0.03,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.06,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.21,0.21,0.21,0.21,0.21	0.16	0.09	0.04	14	77%	0.23	1	-0.02	2	50%	-0.01
Karl-Anthony Towns	0.11	0,0,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.03,0.02,0.02,0.04,0.04,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.11,0.18,0.18,0.18,0.18,0.18,0.18,0.18,0.18,0.18,0.13,0.11,0.11,0.11	0.09	0.00	-0.01	14	59%	0.16	2	-0.05	9	100%	0.05
Landry Shamet	0.02	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02	-0.02	0.02	-0.01	5	33%	0.02	0	0.00	2	50%	-0.01
Guerschon Yabusele	0.01	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.04,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01	0.01	0.00	0.00	3	50%	0.01	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Mitchell Robinson	0.01	0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01	0.00	0.00	-0.01	3	67%	0.02	1	-0.01	0	0%	0.00
Tyler Kolek	-0.02	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02	-0.02	0.00	-0.00	0	0%	0.00	1	-0.02	0	0%	0.00
Josh Hart	-0.02	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02	-0.04	0.00	-0.02	1	0%	-0.00	1	-0.02	0	0%	0.00
Jalen Brunson	-0.03	0,0,0,0,0.03,0.02,0.04,0.02,0.02,0.01,-0.01,-0.02,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.02,0.02,0.01,0.03,0.06,0.08,0.06,0.01,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.02,0.02,0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03	0.06	-0.04	0.04	25	53%	0.05	2	-0.07	5	40%	-0.03
Jordan Clarkson	-0.04	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.03,0.03,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.06,0.06,0.06,-0.01,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04	-0.01	-0.03	-0.00	4	55%	0.03	2	-0.07	3	100%	0.02
Miles McBride	-0.08	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.04,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.09,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08	-0.01	-0.04	0.02	9	44%	-0.05	1	-0.03	0	0%	0.00

Chicago Bulls
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Ayo Dosunmu	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.04,0.06,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.08,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.08,0.08,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.15,0.15,0.26,0.26,0.26,0.26,0.26,0.26	0.26	0.16	0.11	0.02	10	85%	0.29	1	-0.03	6	83%	0.02
Josh Giddey	0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.03,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.06,0.06,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.17,0.17,0.17,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.19,0.19,0.21,0.21,0.21,0.21,0.21,0.19,0.19,0.19,0.24,0.24,0.21,0.21,0.21,0.21	0.21	0.20	0.04	0.02	21	67%	0.21	0	0.00	6	67%	-0.02
Jalen Smith	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.04,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15	0.15	0.09	0.05	-0.00	5	83%	0.15	0	0.00	2	100%	0.01
Nikola Vu?evi?	0,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.03,0.01,0.04,0.07,0.06,0.05,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.14,0.09,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.05,0.05,0.09,0.09,0.14,0.14,0.14	0.14	0.15	0.04	0.04	17	67%	0.15	1	-0.01	5	40%	-0.05
Matas Buzelis	0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.03,0.05,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.07,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.03,0.03,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05	0.05	0.02	0.01	-0.01	10	54%	0.07	1	-0.02	4	75%	0.00
Isaac Okoro	0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02	0.02	0.01	0.00	-0.01	3	50%	0.02	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Patrick Williams	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.07,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01	0.01	0.03	-0.03	-0.01	6	69%	0.08	2	-0.07	1	100%	0.00
Tre Jones	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.04,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	0.00	0.02	0.02	0.04	4	50%	0.00	0	0.00	8	100%	0.03
Kevin Huerter	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.07,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0,0,0,0,0,0	0.00	0.05	-0.03	0.02	7	71%	0.02	2	-0.02	3	100%	0.01
Julian Phillips	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01	-0.01	-0.02	0.00	-0.00	1	0%	-0.01	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00

Game Length Report (minutes)

	Q1		Q2		Q3		Q4	Total
this game	27.6	1.3	27.1	13.4	38.8	1.7	37.1	146.8
league avg	26.4	1.9	29.0	14.3	29.7	2.2	32.8	136.2

Win Probability Added by the Four Factors

(aka How the Game Was Won)

victory
100% WP

start
50% WP

CHI +21.0%

CHI +0.8%

CHI +18.0%

CHI +9.9%

CHI +0.3%

Pace and Efficiency Report

	seconds / possession			points / 100 possessions
all possessions	NYK	CHI	NBA	NYK	CHI	NBA
this game	15.0	14.0	14.2	126.3	136.4	113.4
season	14.8	13.6		117.4	111.5
opponent	14.2	14.1		116.3	111.1

Quarterly Pace Report (seconds per possession)

	Q1	Q2	Q3	Q4	Total
NYK	15.4	16.8	14.2	13.8	15.0
CHI	11.7	13.9	15.8	15.0	14.0

On/Off Win Probability and Pace Statistics

New York Knicks
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Tyler Kolek	8	8	-0.05	-0.45	0.41	0.01	-2	-8	6	18.4	14.7	3.64	17.1	13.8	3.36
Guerschon Yabusele	21	21	-0.05	-0.45	0.39	0.00	-2	-8	6	15.0	15.0	-0.04	12.3	14.5	-2.17
Jordan Clarkson	55	56	-0.23	-0.27	0.03	-0.09	-5	-5	0	15.9	14.0	1.94	13.9	14.3	-0.42
Landry Shamet	86	86	-0.29	-0.21	-0.08	-0.23	-2	-8	6	15.1	14.7	0.39	14.9	8.3	6.60
Karl-Anthony Towns	83	84	-0.32	-0.18	-0.14	-0.23	-3	-7	4	15.1	14.7	0.33	14.7	10.3	4.45
OG Anunoby	95	95	-0.37	-0.13	-0.23	-0.28	-3	-7	4	14.9	17.0	-2.05	14.4	5.7	8.64
Josh Hart	70	70	-0.39	-0.11	-0.28	-0.07	-11	1	-12	15.9	13.0	2.92	13.8	14.7	-0.97
Mitchell Robinson	88	87	-0.47	-0.03	-0.44	-0.15	-11	1	-12	15.6	10.1	5.56	14.5	10.6	3.93
Miles McBride	98	98	-0.49	-0.01	-0.49	-0.20	-10	0	-10	15.1	4.0	11.14	14.2	0.0	14.18
Mikal Bridges	97	98	-0.50	-0.00	-0.49	-0.20	-10	0	-10	15.1	11.5	3.60	14.1	6.0	8.12
Jalen Brunson	93	93	-0.50	0.00	-0.50	-0.15	-12	2	-14	15.4	9.5	5.89	14.0	14.0	0.04

Chicago Bulls
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Ayo Dosunmu	95	95	0.50	0.00	0.50	0.26	8	2	6	14.5	2.7	11.77	15.2	10.0	5.24
Tre Jones	80	81	0.36	0.14	0.22	0.12	8	2	6	14.2	13.4	0.77	15.1	14.8	0.31
Josh Giddey	92	91	0.32	0.18	0.15	0.27	2	8	-6	14.4	9.7	4.66	14.8	17.6	-2.82
Kevin Huerter	85	86	0.24	0.26	-0.02	0.30	-2	12	-14	14.8	9.7	5.04	14.9	15.8	-0.94
Patrick Williams	85	87	0.23	0.27	-0.05	0.14	3	7	-4	14.9	8.9	6.04	15.4	12.2	3.16
Nikola Vu?evi?	84	82	0.17	0.33	-0.16	0.20	-1	11	-12	14.3	12.5	1.78	14.7	16.8	-2.09
Matas Buzelis	73	72	0.15	0.35	-0.19	0.33	-6	16	-22	15.2	10.9	4.28	14.9	15.3	-0.42
Jalen Smith	67	67	0.14	0.36	-0.22	0.14	0	10	-10	14.7	12.7	1.95	15.0	15.0	0.04
Julian Phillips	30	31	0.08	0.42	-0.35	-0.01	3	7	-4	13.9	14.1	-0.20	15.9	14.6	1.32
Isaac Okoro	53	53	0.00	0.50	-0.50	0.12	-4	14	-18	15.3	12.6	2.67	15.3	14.7	0.58

Dopplegamers 0.5,0.5,0.46,0.45,0.4,0.39,0.45,0.49,0.41,0.45,0.53,0.53,0.6,0.66,0.68,0.72,0.73,0.77,0.76,0.72,0.81,0.83,0.84,0.89,0.89,0.94,0.91,0.88,0.89,0.81,0.8,0.72,0.68,0.69,0.83,0.9,0.91,0.85,0.78,0.85,0.8,0.85,0.83,0.7,0.78,0.75,0.84,1,1,1
Game		Similarity Score
MIL 87, BOS 92	0.5,0.51,0.51,0.45,0.45,0.45,0.48,0.51,0.51,0.49,0.55,0.6,0.64,0.66,0.64,0.58,0.62,0.65,0.71,0.7,0.75,0.84,0.84,0.85,0.86,0.8,0.77,0.84,0.9,0.87,0.81,0.77,0.71,0.76,0.76,0.86,0.87,0.9,0.87,0.88,0.77,0.77,0.83,0.89,0.87,0.86,0.83,0.94,0.98,1	93.3%
PHI 82, IND 85	0.5,0.49,0.51,0.52,0.55,0.53,0.52,0.49,0.47,0.55,0.6,0.66,0.7,0.7,0.74,0.72,0.75,0.73,0.74,0.72,0.75,0.83,0.81,0.87,0.87,0.84,0.89,0.86,0.89,0.81,0.85,0.8,0.77,0.81,0.8,0.84,0.82,0.81,0.74,0.82,0.71,0.73,0.69,0.76,0.83,0.81,0.87,0.95,0.99,1	93.3%
VAN 90, PHI 96	0.5,0.51,0.52,0.54,0.53,0.54,0.56,0.53,0.49,0.55,0.6,0.55,0.66,0.68,0.7,0.73,0.68,0.69,0.69,0.74,0.81,0.87,0.9,0.95,0.93,0.93,0.94,0.96,0.92,0.81,0.79,0.74,0.83,0.84,0.87,0.84,0.82,0.85,0.78,0.82,0.82,0.73,0.69,0.71,0.66,0.75,0.88,0.96,0.99,1	93.1%