NBA Win Probability Game Box Scores

NBA Win Probability Box Scores (click here for LIVE graphs)

winProb
gameTime
fourFactors
pace
on/off
misc

Atlanta Hawks	128		Excitement	4.1 [777]		MVP	Jarace Walker (IND): +9.1%
Indiana Pacers	108		Comeback	2.4 [480]		LVP	RayJ Dennis (IND): -10.7%

Atlanta Hawks
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Nickeil Alexander-Walker	0.09	0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.03,0.07,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.03,0.03,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.06,0.06,0.08,0.1,0.09,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09	0.06	0.02	0.00	14	64%	0.11	3	-0.03	5	80%	0.01
Onyeka Okongwu	0.07	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,0.05,0.04,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07	0.09	0.01	0.03	8	70%	0.08	1	-0.00	4	50%	-0.02
Dyson Daniels	0.07	0,0,0,0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.04,0.04,0.06,0.04,0.04,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07	0.08	0.00	0.01	13	64%	0.07	1	-0.00	2	100%	0.01
Kristaps Porzi??is	0.06	0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.06,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.03,0.02,0.01,0,-0.01,0.02,0.02,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06	0.00	0.01	-0.05	12	56%	0.10	3	-0.04	3	67%	-0.01
Jalen Johnson	0.06	0,0,0.02,0.02,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.02,0.02,0,0.02,0.02,0.04,0.06,0.06,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.05,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06	0.09	-0.00	0.03	16	61%	0.06	1	-0.00	4	100%	0.01
Zaccharie Risacher	0.05	0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.04,-0.04,-0.01,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.04,0.05,0.06,0.06,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05	0.03	0.01	-0.01	12	54%	0.05	1	-0.00	0	0%	0.00
Keaton Wallace	0.02	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02	0.12	-0.00	0.10	5	110%	0.02	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Mouhamed Gueye	0.02	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02	0.03	0.00	0.01	5	60%	0.02	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Asa Newell	0.00	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	-0.02	0.00	-0.02	1	0%	0.00	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
N'Faly Dante	0.00	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	0.02	0.00	0.02	1	100%	0.00	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Jacob Toppin	0.00	0	0.00	0.00	0.00	0	0%	0.00	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Caleb Houstan	0.00	0	0.00	0.00	0.00	0	0%	0.00	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Luke Kennard	-0.03	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.04,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,0,0.03,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03	-0.02	-0.04	-0.03	7	37%	-0.03	0	0.00	2	100%	0.01

Indiana Pacers
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Jarace Walker	0,0,-0.01,0.02,0.02,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.04,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.1,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09	0.09	0.07	0.01	-0.01	13	61%	0.10	1	-0.01	2	50%	-0.01
Jay Huff	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03	0.03	-0.04	0.03	-0.03	8	40%	0.03	1	-0.01	4	100%	0.02
Tony Bradley	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02	0.02	0.02	0.00	0.00	1	100%	0.02	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Aaron Nesmith	0,0,0,0,0.03,0.05,0.05,0.07,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.05,0.03,0.03,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.03,0.03,0.02,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01	0.01	0.02	-0.02	-0.01	11	44%	0.01	0	0.00	5	80%	0.01
Isaiah Jackson	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	0.00	0.03	-0.00	0.02	7	56%	0.00	0	0.00	2	50%	-0.01
Taelon Peter	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	0.00	0.01	0.00	0.01	1	60%	0.00	1	0.00	3	100%	0.00
Mac McClung	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.05,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01	-0.01	-0.01	0.00	-0.00	12	48%	0.01	2	-0.02	1	100%	0.00
Quenton Jackson	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.07,-0.07,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06	-0.06	0.04	-0.04	0.06	8	68%	0.01	3	-0.07	6	83%	0.00
Ben Sheppard	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07	-0.07	-0.07	-0.01	-0.01	9	22%	-0.07	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Pascal Siakam	0,0,0,0.04,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.08,0.05,0.05,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.11,0.11,0.1,0.07,0.04,0.02,0,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07	-0.07	-0.03	-0.03	0.00	15	45%	-0.01	2	-0.05	10	60%	-0.02
RayJ Dennis	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.08,-0.08,-0.1,-0.1,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11	-0.11	-0.11	-0.02	-0.02	14	29%	-0.10	2	-0.01	0	0%	0.00

Game Length Report (minutes)

	Q1		Q2		Q3		Q4	Total
this game	31.5	1.6	27.6	13.6	27.1	1.4	33.0	135.8
league avg	26.4	1.9	29.0	14.3	29.7	2.2	32.8	136.2

Win Probability Added by the Four Factors

(aka How the Game Was Won)

victory
100% WP

start
50% WP

ATL +49.1%

IND -2.9%

IND -6.9%

ATL +10.0%

ATL +0.6%

Pace and Efficiency Report

	seconds / possession			points / 100 possessions
all possessions	ATL	IND	NBA	ATL	IND	NBA
this game	12.6	15.8	14.2	125.5	106.9	113.4
season	13.3	13.8		113.1	107.9
opponent	14.1	14.4		116.9	112.3

Quarterly Pace Report (seconds per possession)

	Q1	Q2	Q3	Q4	Total
ATL	12.0	12.6	12.3	13.3	12.6
IND	16.2	16.2	15.9	14.9	15.8

On/Off Win Probability and Pace Statistics

Atlanta Hawks
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Luke Kennard	99	98	0.50	0.00	0.50	-0.09	20	0	20	12.5	13.0	-0.45	16.0	9.0	7.01
Dyson Daniels	99	98	0.50	0.00	0.50	-0.09	20	0	20	12.5	13.0	-0.45	16.0	9.0	7.01
Keaton Wallace	90	90	0.48	0.02	0.45	-0.05	18	2	16	12.7	11.7	0.92	15.1	21.5	-6.34
Onyeka Okongwu	84	84	0.46	0.04	0.41	0.04	14	6	8	12.6	12.4	0.14	15.3	18.3	-3.00
Mouhamed Gueye	65	66	0.45	0.05	0.39	-0.02	16	4	12	12.3	13.1	-0.82	15.3	16.7	-1.40
Nickeil Alexander-Walker	81	81	0.32	0.18	0.14	-0.03	12	8	4	12.4	13.0	-0.56	15.8	15.9	-0.12
Jalen Johnson	80	79	0.28	0.22	0.06	-0.01	10	10	0	12.4	13.0	-0.50	15.7	16.1	-0.43
Zaccharie Risacher	61	63	0.21	0.29	-0.07	0.18	1	19	-18	13.6	11.0	2.65	14.5	17.9	-3.44
Kristaps Porzi??is	53	53	0.19	0.31	-0.12	0.19	0	20	-20	13.0	12.1	0.96	16.0	15.6	0.34
Asa Newell	26	25	0.01	0.49	-0.48	0.04	-1	21	-22	13.3	12.3	1.06	14.9	16.1	-1.17
N'Faly Dante	26	25	0.01	0.49	-0.48	0.04	-1	21	-22	13.3	12.3	1.06	14.9	16.1	-1.17
Jacob Toppin	23	22	0.01	0.49	-0.48	0.04	-1	21	-22	13.4	12.3	1.07	15.7	15.8	-0.10
Caleb Houstan	23	22	0.01	0.49	-0.48	0.04	-1	21	-22	13.4	12.3	1.07	15.7	15.8	-0.10

Indiana Pacers
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Isaiah Jackson	59	58	0.02	-0.52	0.54	-0.21	8	-28	36	15.1	16.8	-1.77	13.5	11.3	2.18
Taelon Peter	25	26	-0.01	-0.49	0.48	-0.04	1	-21	22	14.9	16.1	-1.17	13.3	12.3	1.06
Tony Bradley	25	25	-0.01	-0.49	0.47	0.02	-1	-19	18	16.2	15.7	0.48	12.6	12.5	0.11
Mac McClung	57	58	-0.04	-0.46	0.42	-0.01	-1	-19	18	15.4	16.4	-1.04	12.7	12.4	0.22
Quenton Jackson	61	59	-0.19	-0.31	0.12	-0.13	-2	-18	16	15.5	16.2	-0.74	13.6	11.2	2.41
Jarace Walker	73	73	-0.29	-0.21	-0.08	-0.03	-9	-11	2	15.7	16.2	-0.52	12.9	11.6	1.36
Aaron Nesmith	65	64	-0.33	-0.17	-0.16	0.05	-13	-7	-6	15.8	15.9	-0.09	12.6	12.4	0.22
Ben Sheppard	80	80	-0.47	-0.03	-0.45	0.06	-18	-2	-16	16.2	14.1	2.15	12.6	12.4	0.25
Pascal Siakam	73	73	-0.48	-0.02	-0.45	0.08	-19	-1	-18	16.1	15.0	1.06	12.2	13.5	-1.29
Jay Huff	76	77	-0.49	-0.01	-0.47	0.07	-19	-1	-18	15.7	16.2	-0.48	12.5	12.6	-0.11
RayJ Dennis	93	94	-0.49	-0.01	-0.48	0.07	-19	-1	-18	15.9	14.1	1.82	12.2	17.1	-4.95

Dopplegamers 0.5,0.5,0.48,0.55,0.6,0.67,0.69,0.68,0.63,0.57,0.5,0.47,0.51,0.43,0.45,0.45,0.45,0.44,0.46,0.44,0.51,0.48,0.42,0.39,0.39,0.42,0.35,0.25,0.2,0.17,0.08,0.03,0.03,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.03,0.01,0,0.01,0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0
Game		Similarity Score
PHI 107, TOR 80	0.5,0.49,0.51,0.51,0.51,0.57,0.61,0.57,0.63,0.57,0.55,0.53,0.47,0.35,0.38,0.38,0.36,0.42,0.42,0.4,0.44,0.48,0.36,0.46,0.41,0.42,0.35,0.26,0.15,0.22,0.12,0.05,0.03,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.02,0.02,0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	95.6%
CHA 122, HOU 97	0.5,0.51,0.52,0.58,0.6,0.59,0.65,0.62,0.55,0.55,0.53,0.51,0.49,0.5,0.55,0.54,0.42,0.38,0.31,0.41,0.39,0.39,0.44,0.44,0.44,0.46,0.29,0.23,0.2,0.19,0.1,0.05,0.04,0.04,0.03,0.02,0,0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	95.3%
HOU 127, MIL 99	0.5,0.51,0.49,0.55,0.57,0.57,0.55,0.55,0.55,0.53,0.53,0.53,0.58,0.5,0.51,0.42,0.38,0.44,0.46,0.46,0.44,0.39,0.39,0.33,0.36,0.37,0.37,0.34,0.2,0.09,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	95.1%