NBA Win Probability Game Box Scores

NBA Win Probability Box Scores (click here for LIVE graphs)

winProb
gameTime
fourFactors
pace
on/off
misc

Cleveland Cavaliers	124		Excitement	8.5 [127]		MVP	Jalen Brunson (NYK): +21.1%
New York Knicks	126		Comeback	69.9 [14]		LVP	Mitchell Robinson (NYK): -13.4%

Cleveland Cavaliers
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Evan Mobley	0.11	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.06,0.06,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.06,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.02,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.11,0.11,0.11	0.06	0.05	0.00	8	78%	0.17	2	-0.06	2	100%	0.01
Jaylon Tyson	0.10	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.04,0.04,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.05,0.07,0.05,0.11,0.11,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.11,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1	0.07	0.01	-0.01	11	73%	0.13	2	-0.03	0	0%	0.00
De'Andre Hunter	0.10	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.12,0.12,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1	0.08	0.01	-0.01	7	65%	0.10	0	0.00	6	83%	0.01
Dean Wade	0.07	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07	0.05	0.02	0.00	4	67%	0.07	0	0.00	1	100%	0.01
Darius Garland	0.05	0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.01,0.03,0.05,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.04,0,0,0,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.13,0.13,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.12,0.09,0.09,0.07,0.07,-0.01,0.14,0.05	0.03	0.02	-0.00	14	62%	0.15	4	-0.10	4	75%	-0.00
Thomas Bryant	0.04	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04	0.02	0.00	-0.02	1	150%	0.04	1	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Sam Merrill	0.00	0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.04,-0.04,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,0.03,0.03,0.06,0.03,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0,0,0,0,0	-0.01	-0.01	-0.02	11	46%	0.02	1	-0.02	2	50%	-0.01
Lonzo Ball	-0.03	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03	-0.04	0.00	-0.01	1	0%	-0.01	1	-0.02	0	0%	0.00
Jarrett Allen	-0.04	0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04	0.00	-0.04	0.00	4	70%	0.01	2	-0.05	2	50%	-0.01
Donovan Mitchell	-0.05	0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.08,0.08,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.11,0.11,0.09,0.09,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.02,0.02,0.03,0.03,0,0,0,0,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.06,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.09,0.09,0.17,0.11,-0.08,-0.05	0.15	-0.12	0.08	25	61%	-0.04	1	-0.02	6	100%	0.05

New York Knicks
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Jalen Brunson	0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.03,-0.04,-0.04,-0.05,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.01,0.01,0.08,0.08,0.13,0.13,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.06,0.06,0,-0.01,-0.01,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,0,0.02,0.02,0.08,0.21,0.15,0.21,0.21	0.21	0.11	0.10	-0.00	25	57%	0.42	3	-0.21	10	80%	0.02
Tyler Kolek	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.04,-0.03,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.05,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,0.03,0.08,0.08,0.23,0.23,0.19	0.19	0.10	0.12	0.02	9	80%	0.23	2	-0.04	2	100%	0.01
Jordan Clarkson	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.15,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.11,0.11,0.09,0.09,0.11,0.11,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.12,0.18,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14	0.14	0.17	-0.00	0.03	17	69%	0.14	0	0.00	2	100%	0.01
Mikal Bridges	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0,0,0.04,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.04,0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.04,0.04,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0.14,0.14	0.14	0.02	0.10	-0.01	10	60%	0.19	2	-0.06	0	0%	0.00
Josh Hart	0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.14,0.14,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13	0.13	0.08	0.05	0.00	9	71%	0.15	1	-0.02	3	100%	0.03
OG Anunoby	0,0,0,0,-0.01,0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.05	0.05	0.02	0.03	-0.01	7	53%	0.07	1	-0.02	1	100%	0.00
Mohamed Diawara	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05	0.05	0.04	0.01	-0.00	3	83%	0.05	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Ariel Hukporti	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01	-0.01	-0.02	0.00	-0.01	0	0%	0.00	1	-0.01	0	0%	0.00
Karl-Anthony Towns	0,0,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.02,-0.04,-0.02,0.01,0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.04,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05	-0.05	-0.07	0.02	0.01	13	39%	-0.02	2	-0.03	2	50%	-0.02
Mitchell Robinson	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.13	-0.13	-0.06	-0.09	-0.01	1	0%	-0.03	1	-0.10	2	0%	-0.01

Game Length Report (minutes)

	Q1		Q2		Q3		Q4	Total
this game	29.6	0.0	31.2	0.0	31.6	0.0	43.2	0.0
league avg	26.3	2.1	28.9	14.5	29.5	2.3	32.7	136.2

Win Probability Added by the Four Factors

(aka How the Game Was Won)

victory
100% WP

start
50% WP

NYK +70.8%

CLE -13.0%

NYK +10.8%

CLE -19.5%

NYK +0.9%

Pace and Efficiency Report

	seconds / possession			points / 100 possessions
all possessions	CLE	NYK	NBA	CLE	NYK	NBA
this game	12.7	15.0	14.1	117.0	123.5	113.8
season	13.4	14.8		114.2	119.5
opponent	13.7	14.5		114.0	111.4

Quarterly Pace Report (seconds per possession)

	Q1	Q2	Q3	Q4	Total
CLE	10.6	14.3	12.8	12.9	12.7
NYK	18.1	14.5	15.4	12.3	15.0

On/Off Win Probability and Pace Statistics

Cleveland Cavaliers
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Jaylon Tyson	71	70	0.55	-1.05	1.60	0.05	17	-19	36	12.5	13.1	-0.66	15.4	14.2	1.24
De'Andre Hunter	90	87	0.43	-0.93	1.36	0.17	9	-11	20	12.8	12.2	0.53	15.6	11.8	3.76
Thomas Bryant	7	7	-0.14	-0.36	0.22	0.09	-8	6	-14	16.7	12.4	4.30	13.0	15.2	-2.16
Lonzo Ball	75	75	-0.35	-0.15	-0.20	-0.49	5	-7	12	12.7	12.6	0.07	14.9	15.4	-0.54
Evan Mobley	106	102	-0.50	0.00	-0.50	-0.44	-2	0	-2	12.7	0.0	12.70	15.0	0.0	15.01
Donovan Mitchell	106	102	-0.50	0.00	-0.50	-0.44	-2	0	-2	12.7	0.0	12.70	15.0	0.0	15.01
Darius Garland	95	91	-0.64	0.14	-0.77	-0.46	-6	4	-10	12.6	13.4	-0.74	15.1	14.5	0.52
Jarrett Allen	66	67	-0.70	0.20	-0.91	-0.38	-11	9	-20	13.6	11.2	2.37	14.8	15.5	-0.72
Sam Merrill	83	81	-0.74	0.24	-0.99	-0.48	-9	7	-16	12.9	12.0	0.84	14.9	15.6	-0.77
Dean Wade	76	74	-0.79	0.29	-1.07	-0.49	-10	8	-18	13.0	12.0	0.93	15.0	15.0	-0.04

New York Knicks
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Karl-Anthony Towns	79	82	0.70	-0.20	0.90	0.44	9	-7	16	14.5	16.8	-2.35	13.2	11.1	2.09
Tyler Kolek	89	95	0.63	-0.13	0.76	0.45	6	-4	10	14.8	16.5	-1.66	12.5	14.8	-2.37
Mikal Bridges	86	88	0.61	-0.11	0.73	0.47	5	-3	8	14.8	15.9	-1.10	12.6	13.1	-0.43
Mitchell Robinson	86	89	0.57	-0.07	0.64	0.48	3	-1	4	15.1	14.4	0.75	12.8	12.3	0.48
OG Anunoby	96	99	0.54	-0.04	0.59	0.46	3	-1	4	15.0	15.8	-0.87	12.6	14.3	-1.70
Jalen Brunson	102	106	0.50	0.00	0.50	0.44	2	0	2	15.0	0.0	15.01	12.7	0.0	12.70
Mohamed Diawara	21	22	-0.23	0.73	-0.96	0.12	-12	14	-26	19.2	13.9	5.26	10.3	13.3	-3.06
Josh Hart	71	75	-0.24	0.74	-0.98	-0.12	-4	6	-10	15.6	13.6	1.96	12.8	12.5	0.21
Jordan Clarkson	86	90	-0.26	0.76	-1.02	-0.09	-6	8	-14	15.8	10.8	4.98	12.8	12.3	0.45
Ariel Hukporti	25	25	-0.28	0.78	-1.07	0.16	-15	17	-32	18.1	14.0	4.12	10.6	13.4	-2.80

Dopplegamers 0.5,0.5,0.49,0.46,0.43,0.38,0.29,0.29,0.28,0.32,0.35,0.27,0.24,0.22,0.32,0.28,0.34,0.44,0.51,0.61,0.61,0.59,0.58,0.49,0.54,0.51,0.57,0.43,0.33,0.39,0.52,0.35,0.25,0.13,0.09,0.12,0.08,0.08,0.04,0.02,0.07,0.02,0.04,0.07,0.17,0.38,0.37,0.45,0.73,1
Game		Similarity Score
MIL 95, DEN 96	0.5,0.51,0.54,0.52,0.48,0.39,0.35,0.31,0.27,0.29,0.21,0.24,0.22,0.25,0.28,0.31,0.32,0.33,0.37,0.43,0.51,0.51,0.44,0.49,0.46,0.49,0.51,0.43,0.42,0.45,0.45,0.35,0.32,0.21,0.18,0.13,0.09,0.08,0.07,0.18,0.17,0.13,0.14,0.03,0.12,0.19,0.36,0.32,0.73,1	92.2%
NYK 89, DAL 91	0.5,0.49,0.46,0.43,0.4,0.34,0.35,0.38,0.34,0.33,0.31,0.31,0.32,0.35,0.36,0.42,0.42,0.44,0.46,0.53,0.52,0.48,0.51,0.51,0.49,0.54,0.54,0.4,0.45,0.45,0.48,0.38,0.29,0.28,0.28,0.19,0.15,0.22,0.19,0.15,0.17,0.19,0.22,0.24,0.22,0.47,0.46,0.57,0.42,1	90.1%
NYK 71, DET 80	0.5,0.49,0.51,0.46,0.48,0.41,0.37,0.41,0.4,0.37,0.35,0.37,0.36,0.35,0.36,0.4,0.4,0.49,0.49,0.47,0.49,0.46,0.51,0.49,0.49,0.42,0.37,0.37,0.36,0.3,0.3,0.29,0.26,0.21,0.18,0.19,0.18,0.26,0.22,0.18,0.14,0.19,0.21,0.18,0.12,0.38,0.46,0.65,0.96,1	89.3%