inpredictable
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NBA Win Probability Box Scores (click here for LIVE graphs)
Real Time? Pre Game Odds?
Denver Nuggets 131 Excitement10.2 [25] MVPAaron Gordon (DEN): +99.9%
Golden State Warriors 137 Comeback24.4 [23] LVPNikola Joki? (DEN): -19.7%


Denver Nuggets
PlayerWPAeWPAclWPAgbWPAFGATS%tsWPATOtoWPAFTAFT%ftWPA
Aaron Gordon1.000,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.03,0.09,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.17,0.24,0.28,0.31,0.31,0.29,0.32,0.32,0.32,0.35,0.35,0.35,0.35,0.32,0.32,0.32,0.32,0.32,0.32,0.32,0.37,0.47,0.59,0.59,0.59,0.56,0.56,0.56,0.56,0.86,0.86,1,1,1,10.520.510.0221104%1.052-0.066100%0.04
Tim Hardaway Jr.0.140,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.04,0.04,0.07,0.07,0.05,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.140.060.08-0.00862%0.1400.0000%0.00
Jonas Valan?i?nas0.050,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.04,0.04,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.050.06-0.010.00580%0.0500.0000%0.00
Bruce Brown0.040,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.07,0.07,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.040.020.020.00367%0.0400.0000%0.00
Spencer Jones-0.030,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03-0.02-0.000.0000%0.001-0.0300%0.00
Peyton Watson-0.040,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04-0.02-0.01-0.000100%0.022-0.062100%0.01
Jamal Murray-0.040,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.03,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.05,0.05,0.13,0.19,0.19,0.14,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.14,0.14,0.13,0.11,0,0,0,0,-0.04,-0.04,-0.040.05-0.090.002060%0.173-0.212100%0.02
Cameron Johnson-0.050,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.04,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05-0.05-0.00-0.01831%-0.031-0.0200%0.00
Christian Braun-0.100,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1-0.05-0.040.02743%-0.032-0.0800%0.00
Nikola Joki?-0.200,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.02,0.03,0.03,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.04,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.06,0.08,0.06,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.03,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,0.01,0,0.01,-0.12,-0.12,-0.04,-0.04,-0.19,-0.2-0.06-0.16-0.022342%-0.162-0.04475%-0.02

Golden State Warriors
PlayerWPAeWPAclWPAgbWPAFGATS%tsWPATOtoWPAFTAFT%ftWPA
Stephen Curry0,0,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,0,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,0.01,0.04,0.04,0.05,0.05,0.14,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.16,0.16,0.14,0.14,0.28,0.51,0.67,0.81,0.74,0.74,0.68,0.680.680.290.440.052572%0.762-0.088100%0.07
Draymond Green0,0,0.01,0.01,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,0,0,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.21,0.21,0.210.210.070.140.00872%0.231-0.02250%-0.01
Al Horford0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.03,0.01,0.09,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.16,0.16,0.160.160.070.100.01881%0.262-0.1000%0.00
Jimmy Butler III0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.03,0.03,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.13,0.13,0.1,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.110.110.080.040.001555%0.1100.00887%0.02
Jonathan Kuminga0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.01,0.01,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,-0.06,-0.06,0.03,0.03,0.030.030.04-0.000.011156%0.051-0.02333%-0.04
Will Richard0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.03,-0.01,-0.04,-0.04,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.020.020.010.010.00550%0.0200.00250%-0.02
Brandin Podziemski0,0,-0.01,0.03,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.05,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.020.020.02-0.02-0.01955%0.041-0.02250%-0.01
Gary Payton II0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.010.010.03-0.010.00560%0.0100.0000%0.00
Quinten Post00.000.000.000.0000%0.0000.0000%0.00
Buddy Hield0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.06,-0.04,0.01,0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02-0.02-0.030.010.001342%0.011-0.0300%0.00
Game Length Report (minutes)

Q1 Q2 Q3 Q4 OT1Total
this game24.61.428.315.726.60.034.00.012.50.0
league avg26.32.128.814.629.42.332.62.316.6136.2
Win Probability Added by the Four Factors
(aka How the Game Was Won)
victory
100% WP
start
50% WP
GSW +14.5%
GSW +7.1%
GSW +7.3%
GSW +18.8%
GSW +2.2%
Pace and Efficiency Report

seconds / possessionpoints / 100 possessions
all possessionsDENGSWNBADENGSWNBA
this game14.615.114.1123.6126.9113.7
season14.414.7123.3112.4
opponent13.614.0110.7114.1

Quarterly Pace Report (seconds per possession)

Q1Q2Q3Q4OTTotal
DEN14.514.313.816.014.614.6
GSW16.015.115.014.813.815.1

On/Off Win Probability and Pace Statistics

Denver Nuggets
possessionswin probabilitypointspace (offense)pace (defense)
playeroffensedefenseonoffdiffcl+/-onoffdiffonoffdiffonoffdiff
Spencer Jones21200.22-0.720.93-0.028-142214.614.6-0.0515.814.90.95
Tim Hardaway Jr.69710.16-0.660.810.102-81014.215.3-1.0915.514.31.14
Jonas Valan?i?nas62630.15-0.650.800.034-101414.115.4-1.2816.213.52.68
Bruce Brown72730.14-0.640.780.111-7814.215.4-1.2215.614.11.50
Peyton Watson6767-0.02-0.480.45-0.051-7814.614.7-0.1316.013.62.32
Christian Braun9495-0.37-0.13-0.25-0.370-6614.614.8-0.2515.412.43.06
Aaron Gordon9495-0.37-0.13-0.25-0.370-6614.614.8-0.2515.412.43.06
Nikola Joki?99100-0.45-0.05-0.40-0.42-1-5414.417.6-3.1715.411.04.40
Cameron Johnson9292-0.49-0.01-0.49-0.32-60-614.614.8-0.2015.214.40.75
Jamal Murray106108-0.500.00-0.50-0.32-60-614.60.014.6115.10.015.07

Golden State Warriors
possessionswin probabilitypointspace (offense)pace (defense)
playeroffensedefenseonoffdiffcl+/-onoffdiffonoffdiffonoffdiff
Stephen Curry92920.490.010.490.3260615.214.40.7514.614.8-0.20
Draymond Green85840.430.070.360.3142215.414.01.3615.112.82.32
Jimmy Butler III1081060.380.120.270.2160615.10.015.0714.60.014.61
Al Horford1041020.320.180.140.2333015.211.53.7114.712.71.94
Jonathan Kuminga89880.290.210.090.2424-215.413.61.7514.714.30.34
Buddy Hield83820.010.49-0.49-0.0833015.513.61.9214.913.51.44
Quinten Post88-0.050.55-0.590.04-39-1217.114.92.2117.114.42.72
Brandin Podziemski8181-0.190.69-0.87-0.13-28-1015.812.83.0114.813.90.91
Gary Payton II8484-0.240.74-0.99-0.07-612-1815.713.02.6114.614.7-0.14
Will Richard8482-0.310.81-1.13-0.14-612-1815.713.02.6114.016.7-2.76


Dopplegamers 0.5,0.5,0.56,0.62,0.59,0.58,0.51,0.49,0.46,0.45,0.38,0.33,0.38,0.4,0.36,0.38,0.33,0.38,0.4,0.37,0.34,0.29,0.23,0.21,0.17,0.25,0.24,0.26,0.25,0.24,0.36,0.38,0.48,0.41,0.48,0.6,0.52,0.5,0.57,0.57,0.43,0.27,0.08,0.24,0.14,0.14,0.04,0.22,0.53,0.5,0.69,0.37,0.78,0.92,1
GameSimilarity Score
NOP 126, PHX 1330.5,0.49,0.51,0.42,0.45,0.48,0.42,0.45,0.47,0.47,0.47,0.4,0.38,0.35,0.38,0.34,0.32,0.31,0.31,0.37,0.32,0.31,0.28,0.33,0.27,0.2,0.19,0.14,0.13,0.24,0.36,0.45,0.52,0.52,0.48,0.56,0.58,0.38,0.34,0.38,0.42,0.27,0.31,0.24,0.18,0.24,0.36,0.43,0.26,0.54,0.69,0.79,0.9,1,188.1%
LAC 87, SAS 950.5,0.49,0.52,0.54,0.54,0.51,0.56,0.61,0.53,0.51,0.51,0.47,0.54,0.48,0.4,0.38,0.4,0.4,0.37,0.44,0.43,0.46,0.39,0.36,0.36,0.33,0.32,0.34,0.36,0.39,0.42,0.54,0.52,0.56,0.63,0.67,0.52,0.54,0.48,0.48,0.42,0.27,0.3,0.15,0.28,0.23,0.29,0.22,0.59,0.54,0.55,0.85,0.92,1,187.8%
ATL 101, MIL 1080.5,0.49,0.48,0.46,0.47,0.45,0.46,0.39,0.43,0.39,0.4,0.49,0.49,0.35,0.42,0.42,0.45,0.47,0.49,0.41,0.37,0.34,0.28,0.23,0.3,0.37,0.43,0.37,0.31,0.33,0.45,0.39,0.41,0.52,0.52,0.56,0.4,0.38,0.3,0.34,0.33,0.32,0.36,0.41,0.4,0.31,0.45,0.44,0.58,0.46,0.61,0.54,0.68,0.99,187.0%