inpredictable
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NBA Win Probability Box Scores (click here for LIVE graphs)
Real Time? Pre Game Odds?
Houston Rockets 124 Excitement15.3 [1] MVPShai Gilgeous-Alexander (OKC): +85.0%
Oklahoma City Thunder 125 Comeback7.8 [71] LVPReed Sheppard (HOU): -32.2%


Houston Rockets
PlayerWPAeWPAclWPAgbWPAFGATS%tsWPATOtoWPAFTAFT%ftWPA
Alperen Sengun0.840,0,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.05,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.07,-0.07,-0.01,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.05,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.1,0.15,0.24,0.24,0.33,0.29,0.4,0.37,0.34,0.34,0.34,0.34,0.34,0.47,0.47,0.5,0.5,0.44,0.56,0.56,0.63,0.63,0.58,0.840.170.67-0.002466%0.984-0.141191%0.01
Kevin Durant0.120,0,0,0.01,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.01,0.03,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,0.02,0.02,0.05,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.06,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.06,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0.26,0.120.040.110.031661%0.324-0.19683%0.00
Josh Okogie0.070,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.04,0.04,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.03,0.03,0.03,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.070.050.020.00367%0.0700.00683%0.02
Clint Capela0.010,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.05,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.010.02-0.010.001100%0.051-0.042100%0.01
Jabari Smith Jr.-0.020,0,0.01,0.01,0.04,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.09,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.21,0.13,-0.020.05-0.060.021553%-0.0200.0000%0.00
Amen Thompson-0.140,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0,0.01,0.04,0.06,0.06,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,0,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.01,-0.01,0.17,-0.08,-0.08,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14-0.03-0.090.021750%0.064-0.192100%0.01
Tari Eason-0.140,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.12,-0.11,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14-0.12-0.05-0.03625%-0.034-0.1200%0.00
Steven Adams-0.160,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.16,-0.16,-0.16,-0.16,-0.16-0.07-0.080.00440%-0.013-0.142100%0.01
Reed Sheppard-0.320,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.02,0.07,0.04,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,-0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.03,0.03,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.07,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.32-0.07-0.28-0.021137%-0.112-0.22250%-0.02

Oklahoma City Thunder
PlayerWPAeWPAclWPAgbWPAFGATS%tsWPATOtoWPAFTAFT%ftWPA
Shai Gilgeous-Alexander0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.06,-0.04,-0.06,-0.06,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.03,-0.03,0.05,0.04,0.04,0.16,0.45,0.39,0.5,0.54,0.49,0.39,0.33,0.32,0.24,0.24,0.850.850.040.81-0.012653%0.923-0.071471%0.04
Chet Holmgren0,0,0.03,0.04,0.05,0.03,0.05,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.08,0.07,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,0,0,0,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.22,0.22,0.22,0.42,0.39,0.39,0.39,0.39,0.39,0.390.390.160.260.031774%0.453-0.064100%0.02
Ajay Mitchell0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.04,0.02,0.02,0.05,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.22,0.22,0.22,0.22,0.18,0.18,0.18,0.18,0.18,0.18,0.18,0.18,0.18,0.18,0.18,0.18,0.18,0.18,0.18,0.18,0.18,0.180.180.110.07-0.001264%0.1800.001100%0.01
Cason Wallace0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,0.13,0.13,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.1,-0.1,0.16,0.160.160.040.12-0.001064%0.312-0.15250%-0.02
Isaiah Hartenstein0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.080.08-0.010.090.00550%0.111-0.032100%0.02
Aaron Wiggins0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0,0,0.07,0.05,0.05,0.09,0.09,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.060.060.040.02-0.00862%0.071-0.0200%0.00
Chris Youngblood00.000.000.000.0000%0.0000.0000%0.00
Brooks Barnhizer00.000.000.000.0000%0.0000.0000%0.00
Jaylin Williams0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06-0.06-0.04-0.020.00520%-0.0600.0000%0.00
Alex Caruso0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.05,0.05,-0.01,-0.09,-0.17,-0.17-0.170.01-0.180.00944%-0.1700.0000%0.00
Luguentz Dort0,0,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.13,-0.17,-0.17,-0.17,-0.17,-0.17,-0.26,-0.26,-0.26,-0.26,-0.26,-0.28,-0.28,-0.28,-0.28,-0.28,-0.28-0.28-0.12-0.150.011223%-0.261-0.022100%0.01
Game Length Report (minutes)

Q1 Q2 Q3 Q4 OT1 OT2Total
this game31.20.134.10.030.80.038.90.020.10.020.00.0
league avg26.32.128.814.629.42.332.62.316.62.316.6136.2
Win Probability Added by the Four Factors
(aka How the Game Was Won)
victory
100% WP
start
50% WP
OKC +13.1%
OKC +10.9%
HOU -56.3%
OKC +82.6%
HOU -0.3%
Pace and Efficiency Report

seconds / possessionpoints / 100 possessions
all possessionsHOUOKCNBAHOUOKCNBA
this game16.513.914.1107.8110.6113.7
season15.213.7119.9119.3
opponent14.513.8102.3109.7

Quarterly Pace Report (seconds per possession)

Q1Q2Q3Q4OTTotal
HOU16.516.716.517.913.516.6
OKC12.614.612.514.118.413.8

On/Off Win Probability and Pace Statistics

Houston Rockets
possessionswin probabilitypointspace (offense)pace (defense)
playeroffensedefenseonoffdiffcl+/-onoffdiffonoffdiffonoffdiff
Clint Capela47480.04-0.540.570.011-2316.816.30.5112.515.0-2.43
Tari Eason1101090.01-0.510.52-0.021-2316.811.05.7814.110.53.56
Steven Adams9493-0.18-0.320.14-0.06-43-717.213.43.8514.411.92.42
Josh Okogie110110-0.32-0.18-0.14-0.413-4717.14.812.2614.010.33.70
Kevin Durant113113-0.33-0.17-0.15-0.30-10-116.81.015.8113.90.013.94
Amen Thompson9898-0.34-0.16-0.18-0.22-43-717.013.63.3813.715.6-1.92
Jabari Smith Jr.8583-0.47-0.03-0.44-0.44-10-116.716.10.5414.711.82.91
Reed Sheppard105105-0.540.04-0.59-0.37-65-1117.111.06.0614.013.20.74
Alperen Sengun114113-0.590.09-0.67-0.56-10-116.65.011.6313.90.013.94

Oklahoma City Thunder
possessionswin probabilitypointspace (offense)pace (defense)
playeroffensedefenseonoffdiffcl+/-onoffdiffonoffdiffonoffdiff
Cason Wallace89920.69-0.190.870.487-61313.714.7-0.9317.114.22.89
Luguentz Dort1041060.52-0.020.540.4910114.310.04.2816.911.85.16
Shai Gilgeous-Alexander1131150.500.000.500.4710113.90.013.9416.50.016.53
Chet Holmgren95950.450.050.410.286-51114.013.80.1916.815.21.61
Alex Caruso1121130.400.100.290.43-12-314.05.09.0216.80.016.82
Isaiah Hartenstein7578-0.020.52-0.54-0.237-61313.913.90.0317.115.31.82
Chris Youngblood2424-0.050.55-0.610.03-34-712.614.3-1.6717.216.40.86
Brooks Barnhizer2424-0.050.55-0.610.03-34-712.614.3-1.6717.216.40.86
Aaron Wiggins7372-0.190.69-0.87-0.1901-112.915.8-2.9216.816.00.77
Ajay Mitchell5657-0.280.78-1.06-0.05-89-1713.714.2-0.4417.215.91.28
Jaylin Williams7677-0.360.86-1.22-0.18-67-1313.514.8-1.2216.716.20.48


Dopplegamers 0.5,0.5,0.52,0.52,0.51,0.5,0.5,0.45,0.45,0.51,0.49,0.49,0.44,0.43,0.49,0.47,0.4,0.47,0.51,0.42,0.42,0.46,0.46,0.39,0.3,0.33,0.24,0.18,0.2,0.3,0.3,0.29,0.35,0.27,0.44,0.48,0.36,0.34,0.34,0.29,0.24,0.37,0.21,0.24,0.17,0.14,0.29,0.31,0.73,0.5,0.68,0.84,0.78,0.96,0.5,0.55,0.46,0.24,0.28,1
GameSimilarity Score
NJN 90, DET 1000.5,0.49,0.49,0.45,0.45,0.5,0.54,0.55,0.61,0.57,0.63,0.64,0.66,0.57,0.58,0.49,0.42,0.47,0.42,0.41,0.42,0.46,0.39,0.28,0.2,0.22,0.24,0.26,0.25,0.3,0.29,0.35,0.38,0.45,0.37,0.36,0.32,0.3,0.22,0.34,0.33,0.42,0.43,0.24,0.22,0.14,0.07,0.23,0.58,0.46,0.39,0.63,0.91,0.99,185.6%
SEA 111, MIN 1190.5,0.51,0.46,0.48,0.5,0.49,0.51,0.43,0.43,0.4,0.37,0.36,0.4,0.48,0.45,0.42,0.45,0.47,0.42,0.46,0.48,0.51,0.51,0.49,0.54,0.5,0.54,0.46,0.42,0.36,0.35,0.32,0.38,0.38,0.41,0.4,0.32,0.38,0.31,0.18,0.14,0.23,0.17,0.29,0.2,0.25,0.22,0.45,0.42,0.54,0.53,0.79,0.9,1,185.6%
NJN 88, DET 960.5,0.51,0.48,0.48,0.5,0.5,0.6,0.57,0.53,0.47,0.43,0.42,0.42,0.46,0.53,0.56,0.49,0.44,0.4,0.44,0.51,0.48,0.39,0.34,0.3,0.33,0.38,0.42,0.42,0.39,0.33,0.35,0.25,0.28,0.2,0.2,0.15,0.1,0.08,0.15,0.17,0.18,0.14,0.2,0.22,0.24,0.37,0.43,0.73,0.46,0.74,0.84,0.78,1,185.5%