NBA Win Probability Game Box Scores

NBA Win Probability Box Scores (click here for LIVE graphs)

winProb
gameTime
fourFactors
pace
on/off
misc

Phoenix Suns	134		Excitement	6.8 [200]		MVP	Tyus Jones (PHX): +26.0%
Utah Jazz	126		Comeback	2.2 [310]		LVP	Collin Sexton (UTA): -12.6%

Phoenix Suns
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Tyus Jones	0.26	0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.01,0.03,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.11,0.11,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.22,0.22,0.22,0.26,0.26,0.26,0.26,0.26,0.26,0.26,0.26,0.26,0.26,0.26,0.26,0.26,0.26,0.26,0.26	0.19	0.07	0.00	9	95%	0.26	0	0.00	2	100%	0.01
Kevin Durant	0.22	0,0,0,0.03,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.04,0.07,0.07,0.05,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.14,0.14,0.15,0.13,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.21,0.17,0.17,0.17,0.24,0.22,0.23,0.22,0.22,0.22	0.18	0.06	0.02	17	65%	0.26	1	-0.04	12	100%	0.07
Devin Booker	0.22	0,0,0,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.02,0.02,0.04,0.04,0.08,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.13,0.11,0.16,0.14,0.15,0.13,0.13,0.18,0.21,0.24,0.22,0.22,0.22,0.17,0.17,0.2,0.2,0.2,0.2,0.18,0.18,0.18,0.18,0.18,0.18,0.16,0.16,0.22,0.22,0.22	0.18	0.03	-0.01	27	61%	0.22	0	0.00	2	100%	0.01
Ryan Dunn	0.17	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.06,0.09,0.17,0.17,0.17,0.17,0.17,0.17,0.17,0.17,0.17,0.17,0.17,0.17,0.17	0.10	0.05	-0.02	6	93%	0.17	1	0.00	2	50%	-0.01
Royce O'Neale	0.09	0,0,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.05,0.05,0.1,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.12,0.12,0.17,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.11,0.11,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09	0.14	-0.00	0.05	11	77%	0.09	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Jusuf Nurkic	0.08	0,0,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.08,0.08	0.06	0.02	0.00	7	86%	0.11	2	-0.03	0	0%	0.00
Grayson Allen	0.07	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.01,-0.01,0.07,0.07,0.12,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07	0.02	0.04	-0.00	8	50%	0.07	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Oso Ighodaro	0.00	0	0.00	0.00	0.00	0	0%	0.00	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Josh Okogie	-0.03	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03	-0.02	-0.01	0.00	1	0%	-0.03	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Mason Plumlee	-0.06	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06	-0.04	-0.02	0.00	0	0%	0.00	2	-0.06	0	0%	0.00
Monte Morris	-0.08	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08	-0.07	-0.01	-0.00	3	12%	-0.06	1	-0.02	2	50%	-0.02

Utah Jazz
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
John Collins	0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.06,0.06,0.11,0.13,0.13,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.17,0.17,0.17,0.17,0.17,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.11,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15	0.15	0.16	0.03	0.03	12	79%	0.18	1	-0.03	4	50%	-0.02
Jordan Clarkson	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,0,0,0.04,0.01,0.01,0.08,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.19,0.19,0.19,0.19,0.19,0.19,0.19,0.19,0.19,0.19,0.19,0.19,0.19,0.2,0.2,0.2,0.2,0.17,0.17,0.14,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13	0.13	0.12	0.04	0.02	13	77%	0.21	3	-0.07	4	75%	-0.01
Brice Sensabaugh	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.09,0.06,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11	0.11	0.08	0.03	0.01	4	112%	0.14	1	-0.03	0	0%	0.00
Kyle Filipowski	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.08,0.07,0.07,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11	0.11	0.06	0.04	-0.01	2	117%	0.12	1	-0.01	2	100%	0.01
Lauri Markkanen	0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.2,0.2,0.2,0.2,0.17,0.17,0.17,0.17,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.07,0.09,0.09,0.09	0.09	0.16	-0.05	0.02	9	83%	0.13	1	-0.04	5	100%	0.03
Walker Kessler	0,0,0.03,0.06,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.05,0.05,0.03,0.03,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.07,0.04,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06	0.06	0.10	-0.00	0.03	11	71%	0.08	1	-0.02	2	50%	-0.01
Keyonte George	0,0,0,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.01,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.03,0.03,0.03,-0.01,-0.01,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.06,-0.06,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.04,0.04,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.03,0.03,0.02,0.02,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03	0.03	0.05	-0.02	0.00	13	62%	0.12	3	-0.09	3	100%	0.02
Johnny Juzang	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.04,0.04,0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01	0.01	0.01	0.00	-0.00	3	50%	0.01	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Isaiah Collier	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.04,0.04,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	0.00	-0.00	0.00	0.00	1	100%	0.04	1	-0.04	0	0%	0.00
Collin Sexton	0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.07,-0.09,-0.09,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.15,-0.15,-0.12,-0.1,-0.12,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13	-0.13	-0.11	-0.02	-0.01	9	30%	-0.05	3	-0.08	2	100%	0.01

Game Length Report (minutes)

	Q1		Q2		Q3		Q4	Total
this game	25.2	2.5	32.2	14.5	23.3	1.7	32.2	131.5
league avg	25.8	2.3	28.1	14.9	28.4	2.3	32.3	134.9

Win Probability Added by the Four Factors

(aka How the Game Was Won)

victory
100% WP

start
50% WP

PHX +5.0%

PHX +5.3%

PHX +14.7%

PHX +24.8%

PHX +0.2%

Pace and Efficiency Report

	seconds / possession			points / 100 possessions
all possessions	PHX	UTA	NBA	PHX	UTA	NBA
this game	15.3	14.9	14.3	139.6	132.6	112.0
season	14.8	14.9		112.8	109.6
opponent	13.7	14.3		118.7	114.6

Quarterly Pace Report (seconds per possession)

	Q1	Q2	Q3	Q4	Total
PHX	16.0	11.7	16.3	17.5	15.3
UTA	15.3	16.0	15.0	13.0	14.9

On/Off Win Probability and Pace Statistics

Phoenix Suns
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Devin Booker	77	75	0.46	0.04	0.42	0.17	10	-2	12	15.1	16.3	-1.21	14.7	15.5	-0.87
Tyus Jones	64	64	0.46	0.04	0.42	0.11	12	-4	16	14.8	16.3	-1.53	15.4	13.8	1.57
Kevin Durant	66	67	0.42	0.08	0.34	0.25	6	2	4	15.5	14.8	0.72	15.5	13.4	2.08
Royce O'Neale	58	56	0.41	0.09	0.33	0.18	8	0	8	14.7	16.2	-1.48	14.9	14.9	-0.01
Jusuf Nurkic	64	63	0.35	0.15	0.20	0.17	6	2	4	15.2	15.5	-0.36	15.1	14.4	0.64
Grayson Allen	48	48	0.26	0.24	0.02	0.11	5	3	2	16.2	14.4	1.87	14.7	15.0	-0.31
Mason Plumlee	21	20	0.12	0.38	-0.27	0.09	1	7	-6	14.2	15.6	-1.35	14.1	15.1	-0.97
Josh Okogie	11	12	0.05	0.45	-0.40	0.02	1	7	-6	16.6	15.1	1.52	15.9	14.7	1.21
Monte Morris	32	31	0.04	0.46	-0.42	0.16	-4	12	-16	16.3	14.8	1.53	13.8	15.4	-1.57
Oso Ighodaro	11	12	0.03	0.47	-0.43	0.00	1	7	-6	18.0	14.9	3.06	15.0	14.8	0.16
Ryan Dunn	28	27	-0.10	0.60	-0.71	0.07	-6	14	-20	14.5	15.6	-1.12	13.7	15.3	-1.67

Utah Jazz
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Kyle Filipowski	28	27	0.05	-0.55	0.60	-0.10	5	-13	18	14.2	15.1	-0.97	17.7	14.3	3.36
Isaiah Collier	24	23	0.01	-0.51	0.52	-0.08	3	-11	14	14.1	15.1	-0.99	18.3	14.4	3.90
Johnny Juzang	26	26	-0.08	-0.42	0.34	-0.08	0	-8	8	15.4	14.7	0.77	15.6	15.2	0.44
Brice Sensabaugh	23	23	-0.09	-0.41	0.32	-0.00	-3	-5	2	14.2	15.1	-0.85	18.2	14.4	3.85
John Collins	71	71	-0.21	-0.29	0.09	-0.24	1	-9	10	14.7	15.4	-0.74	15.1	15.9	-0.80
Jordan Clarkson	60	59	-0.34	-0.16	-0.17	-0.22	-4	-4	0	14.2	15.9	-1.66	16.3	13.7	2.59
Collin Sexton	46	48	-0.36	-0.14	-0.23	-0.13	-8	0	-8	15.6	14.2	1.45	14.5	16.1	-1.54
Keyonte George	63	65	-0.39	-0.11	-0.27	-0.15	-8	0	-8	15.1	14.4	0.69	14.0	18.1	-4.10
Walker Kessler	67	69	-0.55	0.05	-0.60	-0.17	-13	5	-18	15.1	14.2	0.97	14.3	17.7	-3.36
Lauri Markkanen	67	69	-0.55	0.05	-0.60	-0.17	-13	5	-18	15.1	14.2	0.97	14.3	17.7	-3.36

Dopplegamers 0.5,0.49,0.49,0.51,0.51,0.54,0.6,0.59,0.59,0.53,0.53,0.53,0.56,0.52,0.6,0.64,0.69,0.67,0.63,0.61,0.47,0.46,0.31,0.36,0.36,0.37,0.31,0.26,0.17,0.19,0.24,0.26,0.35,0.41,0.27,0.26,0.25,0.22,0.26,0.3,0.24,0.23,0.2,0.12,0.04,0.07,0.05,0.02,0,0
Game		Similarity Score
MIA 105, BOS 91	0.5,0.51,0.55,0.57,0.55,0.55,0.54,0.59,0.59,0.55,0.55,0.58,0.64,0.65,0.56,0.62,0.68,0.71,0.65,0.56,0.52,0.52,0.47,0.42,0.39,0.37,0.29,0.28,0.39,0.33,0.36,0.29,0.32,0.28,0.3,0.37,0.25,0.22,0.26,0.21,0.17,0.23,0.21,0.16,0.1,0.07,0.04,0.01,0,0	93.4%
LAC 81, MIA 71	0.5,0.51,0.52,0.55,0.58,0.54,0.54,0.53,0.57,0.55,0.53,0.53,0.62,0.65,0.64,0.64,0.63,0.6,0.67,0.66,0.61,0.56,0.46,0.39,0.36,0.3,0.21,0.26,0.3,0.3,0.33,0.38,0.25,0.28,0.3,0.22,0.25,0.26,0.34,0.29,0.33,0.19,0.17,0.12,0.06,0.03,0.02,0,0,0	93.3%
WAS 102, MIL 90	0.5,0.49,0.51,0.48,0.51,0.57,0.61,0.6,0.67,0.63,0.65,0.69,0.64,0.57,0.53,0.64,0.62,0.67,0.61,0.56,0.52,0.46,0.42,0.36,0.39,0.27,0.29,0.23,0.25,0.27,0.39,0.29,0.26,0.31,0.23,0.29,0.36,0.38,0.22,0.18,0.28,0.19,0.1,0.03,0.03,0.01,0.01,0.02,0,0	93.0%