NBA Win Probability Game Box Scores

NBA Win Probability Box Scores (click here for LIVE graphs)

winProb
gameTime
fourFactors
pace
on/off
misc

San Antonio Spurs	114		Excitement	9.8 [86]		MVP	Harrison Barnes (SAS): +59.6%
Golden State Warriors	111		Comeback	13.7 [14]		LVP	Moses Moody (GSW): -9.5%

San Antonio Spurs
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Harrison Barnes	0.60	0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.05,0.05,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.13,0.18,0.18,0.18,0.27,0.27,0.27,0.27,0.27,0.18,0.18,0.18,0.6	0.19	0.37	-0.03	9	100%	0.69	1	-0.10	2	100%	0.01
Julian Champagnie	0.28	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.03,-0.03,-0.06,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.05,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.28,0.28,0.28	0.06	0.24	0.01	9	67%	0.33	2	-0.05	3	100%	0.02
Keldon Johnson	0.18	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.04,0.04,0.03,0.03,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.05,0.1,0.1,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,-0.06,0.18	0.06	0.13	0.01	17	55%	0.23	1	-0.05	4	100%	0.02
Stephon Castle	0.11	0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,0.03,0.03,0.03,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.15,0.15,0.22,0.11,0.11,0.11	0.05	0.07	0.00	15	57%	0.26	2	-0.15	7	57%	-0.02
Sandro Mamukelashvili	0.11	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11	0.03	0.08	-0.01	9	50%	0.11	0	0.00	4	100%	0.02
Blake Wesley	0.03	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03	0.02	0.00	-0.00	3	67%	0.03	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Chris Paul	0.03	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.09,0.09,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.12,0.12,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03	0.05	-0.02	0.00	6	92%	0.12	3	-0.09	1	100%	0.01
Devin Vassell	-0.05	0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0.01,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05	-0.01	-0.03	0.00	11	50%	0.00	2	-0.05	0	0%	0.00
Bismack Biyombo	-0.09	0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.06,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09	-0.07	-0.03	-0.00	2	0%	-0.04	2	-0.05	0	0%	0.00

Golden State Warriors
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Jimmy Butler III	0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.09,0.12,0.12,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.16,0.17,0.28,0.28,0.25,0.25,0.31,0.25,0.25,0.36,0.52	0.52	0.23	0.30	0.02	8	85%	0.55	1	-0.03	17	94%	0.21
Buddy Hield	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.03,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0.01,0.06,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.11,0.11,0.09,0.09,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08	0.08	0.02	0.02	-0.04	13	46%	0.08	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Kevon Looney	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05	0.05	0.02	0.03	0.00	0	100%	0.05	0	0.00	2	100%	0.02
Draymond Green	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,-0.04,-0.04,0.04	0.04	0.03	0.01	0.00	7	72%	0.33	3	-0.30	4	75%	0.14
Jonathan Kuminga	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.05,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.03,0.04,0.04,0.03,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01	-0.01	0.02	-0.01	0.02	10	55%	0.02	1	-0.02	2	50%	-0.01
Stephen Curry	0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.06,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.14,0.14,0.17,0.14,0.2,0.2,0.2,0.2,0.2,0.19,0.19,0.19,0.19,0.19,0.19,0.19,0.25,0.26,0.2,0.28,0.19,-0.02	-0.02	0.15	-0.17	0.00	24	61%	0.19	1	-0.22	1	100%	0.00
Trayce Jackson-Davis	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03	-0.03	-0.02	-0.01	0.00	0	0%	0.00	1	-0.03	0	0%	0.00
Gui Santos	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05	-0.05	-0.05	-0.01	-0.01	2	0%	-0.05	0	0.00	2	0%	-0.04
Brandin Podziemski	0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,-0.01,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.06,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09	-0.09	-0.09	-0.02	-0.02	11	32%	-0.05	2	-0.04	0	0%	0.00
Moses Moody	0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.05,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.08,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.04,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1	-0.10	-0.07	-0.05	-0.02	11	32%	-0.08	1	-0.02	0	0%	0.00

Game Length Report (minutes)

	Q1		Q2		Q3		Q4	Total
this game	23.9	1.8	26.5	15.3	32.2	1.8	34.2	135.8
league avg	25.8	2.3	28.1	14.9	28.5	2.3	32.1	134.9

Win Probability Added by the Four Factors

(aka How the Game Was Won)

victory
100% WP

start
50% WP

SAS +120.6%

GSW -51.7%

GSW -30.9%

SAS +10.4%

SAS +1.5%

Pace and Efficiency Report

	seconds / possession			points / 100 possessions
all possessions	SAS	GSW	NBA	SAS	GSW	NBA
this game	15.2	15.5	14.4	121.3	118.1	113.1
season	14.2	14.4		113.0	113.6
opponent	14.4	14.5		110.4	115.6

Quarterly Pace Report (seconds per possession)

	Q1	Q2	Q3	Q4	Total
SAS	15.4	15.7	17.0	12.7	15.2
GSW	14.0	17.0	14.3	16.6	15.5

On/Off Win Probability and Pace Statistics

San Antonio Spurs
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Julian Champagnie	58	60	0.86	-0.36	1.22	0.27	20	-17	37	14.1	16.9	-2.74	15.7	15.1	0.55
Keldon Johnson	60	61	0.75	-0.25	0.99	0.16	20	-17	37	14.4	16.6	-2.22	16.0	14.5	1.42
Harrison Barnes	69	69	0.64	-0.14	0.77	0.55	3	0	3	14.9	16.0	-1.13	15.9	14.2	1.67
Devin Vassell	57	55	0.31	0.19	0.13	0.58	-9	12	-21	16.0	13.9	2.06	13.9	17.7	-3.85
Blake Wesley	36	38	0.25	0.25	-0.00	-0.16	14	-11	25	13.7	16.1	-2.30	17.9	13.8	4.03
Stephon Castle	70	69	0.19	0.31	-0.12	0.63	-15	18	-33	15.8	13.2	2.63	14.1	19.3	-5.19
Sandro Mamukelashvili	43	44	0.15	0.35	-0.19	-0.14	10	-7	17	13.7	16.4	-2.71	16.9	14.2	2.67
Chris Paul	55	54	-0.22	0.72	-0.95	0.04	-9	12	-21	16.5	13.3	3.23	15.5	15.4	0.08
Bismack Biyombo	22	20	-0.43	0.93	-1.36	0.13	-19	22	-41	18.7	14.1	4.58	13.2	16.1	-2.88

Golden State Warriors
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Trayce Jackson-Davis	6	5	0.04	-0.54	0.58	-0.05	3	-6	9	16.0	15.4	0.57	14.2	15.2	-1.02
Jonathan Kuminga	37	36	0.03	-0.53	0.57	0.09	-2	-1	-1	15.8	15.3	0.48	13.2	16.4	-3.25
Kevon Looney	24	22	0.02	-0.52	0.54	0.02	0	-3	3	15.7	15.4	0.38	13.7	15.6	-1.88
Buddy Hield	53	53	-0.03	-0.47	0.44	0.00	-1	-2	1	15.2	15.8	-0.55	14.9	15.5	-0.61
Gui Santos	14	13	-0.05	-0.45	0.40	0.19	-8	5	-13	19.4	14.8	4.65	14.8	15.2	-0.38
Stephen Curry	71	73	-0.19	-0.31	0.12	-0.57	13	-16	29	14.4	18.7	-4.33	15.9	12.5	3.41
Brandin Podziemski	64	63	-0.40	-0.10	-0.30	-0.40	0	-3	3	15.7	14.9	0.83	15.8	13.8	1.99
Draymond Green	65	67	-0.54	0.04	-0.58	-0.36	-6	3	-9	15.1	16.2	-1.07	15.7	13.8	1.90
Jimmy Butler III	74	75	-0.69	0.19	-0.89	-0.43	-9	6	-15	15.6	14.8	0.79	15.3	14.6	0.74
Moses Moody	62	63	-0.70	0.20	-0.90	-0.55	-5	2	-7	15.5	15.3	0.19	14.9	15.7	-0.85

Dopplegamers 0.5,0.49,0.54,0.55,0.6,0.64,0.63,0.57,0.66,0.67,0.69,0.69,0.73,0.68,0.66,0.6,0.55,0.49,0.4,0.32,0.36,0.44,0.31,0.39,0.44,0.42,0.46,0.54,0.64,0.64,0.73,0.65,0.75,0.75,0.87,0.88,0.93,0.92,0.87,0.85,0.71,0.68,0.74,0.8,0.54,0.75,0.46,0.33,0.58,0
Game		Similarity Score
ORL 120, WAS 113	0.5,0.51,0.55,0.57,0.6,0.67,0.65,0.66,0.64,0.71,0.67,0.69,0.66,0.65,0.62,0.58,0.62,0.62,0.56,0.51,0.47,0.44,0.46,0.44,0.49,0.49,0.46,0.59,0.61,0.61,0.73,0.79,0.84,0.88,0.89,0.94,0.97,0.98,0.96,0.9,0.83,0.81,0.83,0.65,0.73,0.75,0.54,0.31,0.72,0	91.7%
MIA 89, CHI 84	0.5,0.49,0.52,0.48,0.43,0.46,0.48,0.49,0.48,0.59,0.63,0.64,0.62,0.63,0.64,0.58,0.53,0.53,0.54,0.42,0.42,0.43,0.42,0.46,0.54,0.49,0.52,0.54,0.61,0.7,0.76,0.74,0.65,0.69,0.7,0.84,0.82,0.78,0.78,0.82,0.71,0.73,0.47,0.53,0.61,0.55,0.55,0.33,0.27,0	88.8%
DEN 121, POR 120	0.5,0.51,0.47,0.43,0.45,0.49,0.56,0.57,0.59,0.6,0.67,0.58,0.58,0.65,0.68,0.66,0.55,0.54,0.56,0.52,0.39,0.44,0.49,0.51,0.56,0.5,0.51,0.57,0.7,0.68,0.7,0.62,0.68,0.81,0.73,0.86,0.88,0.87,0.87,0.86,0.87,0.84,0.59,0.53,0.47,0.38,0.54,0.55,0.58,0	88.7%