NBA Win Probability Game Box Scores

NBA Win Probability Box Scores (click here for LIVE graphs)

Real Time? Pre Game Odds?

winProb
gameTime
fourFactors
pace
on/off
misc

Portland Trail Blazers	126		Excitement	12.3 [15]		MVP	Kyle Filipowski (UTA): +55.9%
Utah Jazz	133		Comeback	31.3 [41]		LVP	Johnny Juzang (UTA): -21.4%

Portland Trail Blazers
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Matisse Thybulle	0.19	0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.04,0.04,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.08,0.25,0.25,0.25,0.25,0.19,0.19,0.19,0.19,0.19,0.19	0.08	0.11	0.00	6	100%	0.27	2	-0.07	0	0%	0.00
Donovan Clingan	0.16	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.03,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.16	0.06	0.09	0.00	4	83%	0.18	1	-0.03	4	100%	0.04
Shaedon Sharpe	0.11	0,0,0.02,0.02,-0.01,0,0.01,0.06,0.06,0.02,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.02,0.04,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.04,-0.04,-0.01,-0.03,0,0.06,0.12,0.12,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.21,0.18,0.18,0.18,0.3,0.3,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11	0.12	0.02	0.03	23	66%	0.28	5	-0.17	10	50%	-0.24
Jabari Walker	0.09	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.02,0.06,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,-0.02,0.03,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.03,0.03,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.09	-0.01	0.08	-0.02	11	60%	0.25	4	-0.16	3	33%	-0.03
Rayan Rupert	-0.03	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.03,0.01,0.01,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,-0.01,-0.01,0.03,0,0,0.09,0.11,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,-0.02,-0.03	-0.00	-0.02	0.00	17	49%	-0.00	2	-0.02	5	80%	0.01
Justin Minaya	-0.03	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03	-0.03	0.00	-0.01	2	0%	-0.03	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Toumani Camara	-0.04	0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.07,-0.09,-0.09,0.01,0.05,0.04,0.02,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.04,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.01,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04	0.01	-0.06	-0.01	18	42%	-0.04	0	0.00	2	100%	0.01
Kris Murray	-0.06	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,-0.06,-0.06	-0.02	-0.04	-0.01	7	43%	0.07	1	-0.13	0	0%	0.00
Dalano Banton	-0.08	0,0,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.04,-0.04,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.1,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.17,-0.17,-0.17,-0.17,-0.17,-0.17,-0.17,-0.17,-0.17,-0.11,-0.18,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08	-0.11	-0.01	-0.04	16	31%	-0.04	1	-0.04	4	75%	-0.01

Utah Jazz
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Kyle Filipowski	0,0,-0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,0.01,0.02,0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.03,0.08,0.08,0.18,0.18,0.18,0.18,0.41,0.41,0.48,0.55,0.55,0.56	0.56	0.13	0.40	-0.04	17	79%	0.85	5	-0.29	4	50%	-0.03
Brice Sensabaugh	0,0,0,0.01,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0.02,0.02,0.07,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.02,0.02,0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.04,0.04,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.04,0.13,0.31,0.31,0.31,0.45,0.45,0.45,0.45,0.45	0.45	0.14	0.32	0.00	12	85%	0.55	3	-0.09	2	100%	0.02
Oscar Tshiebwe	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.03,-0.03,-0.01,0,0.01,0.01,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.08,0.06,0.03,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.16	0.16	0.05	0.09	-0.03	14	52%	0.16	0	0.00	5	60%	-0.04
Svi Mykhailiuk	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12	0.12	0.06	0.06	0.00	4	87%	0.12	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Collin Sexton	0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0,-0.03,-0.03,-0.02,0.02,0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03	-0.03	-0.03	-0.00	0.00	14	48%	0.05	3	-0.09	3	100%	0.02
Jaden Springer	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.06,-0.06,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07	-0.07	-0.06	-0.01	-0.00	8	33%	-0.05	1	-0.02	2	100%	0.01
Micah Potter	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12	-0.12	-0.06	-0.06	0.00	4	50%	-0.00	3	-0.11	0	0%	0.00
Keyonte George	0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.05,-0.05,-0.09,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.09,-0.11,-0.11,-0.13,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.07,-0.1,-0.1,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.11,-0.11,-0.15,-0.15,-0.23,-0.42,-0.42,-0.42,-0.42,-0.53,-0.26,-0.13	-0.13	-0.08	-0.05	-0.00	16	53%	0.15	7	-0.28	2	100%	0.00
Johnny Juzang	0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.07,0.07,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.16,-0.21,-0.21,-0.21,-0.21,-0.21	-0.21	0.04	-0.22	0.04	9	64%	-0.14	2	-0.08	4	100%	0.01

Game Length Report (minutes)

	Q1		Q2		Q3		Q4		OT1	Total
this game	24.3	2.3	26.6	14.6	32.2	2.3	32.7	1.7	11.2	148.0
league avg	25.9	2.3	28.2	14.9	28.6	2.3	32.2	2.3	15.6	135.3

Win Probability Added by the Four Factors

(aka How the Game Was Won)

victory
100% WP

start
50% WP

UTA +69.7%

UTA +6.2%

UTA +4.5%

POR -32.0%

UTA +1.6%

Pace and Efficiency Report

	seconds / possession			points / 100 possessions
all possessions	POR	UTA	NBA	POR	UTA	NBA
this game	14.2	12.9	14.4	108.6	111.8	113.0
season	14.3	14.8		110.3	109.6
opponent	13.7	14.5		119.0	113.0

Quarterly Pace Report (seconds per possession)

	Q1	Q2	Q3	Q4	OT	Total
POR	13.5	15.0	13.1	15.6	13.5	14.2
UTA	13.7	12.2	13.6	12.1	12.7	12.9

On/Off Win Probability and Pace Statistics

Portland Trail Blazers
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Shaedon Sharpe	72	75	0.33	-0.83	1.15	0.09	8	-15	23	15.1	12.8	2.24	13.8	11.3	2.47
Toumani Camara	67	71	0.30	-0.80	1.11	0.07	8	-15	23	15.2	12.9	2.34	13.3	12.2	1.08
Donovan Clingan	58	62	0.03	-0.53	0.56	0.09	-2	-5	3	13.8	14.6	-0.76	13.7	11.9	1.81
Justin Minaya	14	15	-0.06	-0.44	0.38	0.03	-3	-4	1	12.4	14.5	-2.10	12.3	13.0	-0.69
Matisse Thybulle	71	72	-0.32	-0.18	-0.14	-0.12	-7	0	-7	15.3	12.5	2.73	13.2	12.4	0.81
Jabari Walker	75	74	-0.39	-0.11	-0.28	-0.27	-4	-3	-1	14.2	14.2	0.02	12.2	13.9	-1.67
Rayan Rupert	78	78	-0.47	-0.03	-0.43	-0.26	-7	0	-7	13.9	14.7	-0.79	12.7	13.1	-0.38
Kris Murray	55	54	-0.60	0.10	-0.70	-0.33	-9	2	-11	12.6	15.6	-2.99	11.4	14.1	-2.79
Dalano Banton	79	82	-0.82	0.32	-1.14	-0.47	-12	5	-17	13.7	15.3	-1.60	12.6	13.6	-1.01

Utah Jazz
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Brice Sensabaugh	80	78	0.87	-0.37	1.24	0.34	18	-11	29	12.6	13.4	-0.72	15.0	12.5	2.50
Johnny Juzang	72	68	0.72	-0.22	0.93	0.45	9	-2	11	13.0	12.6	0.42	15.1	12.9	2.27
Keyonte George	76	73	0.49	0.01	0.48	0.35	5	2	3	13.3	12.2	1.08	14.3	14.1	0.22
Kyle Filipowski	74	70	0.45	0.05	0.40	0.18	9	-2	11	13.0	12.6	0.37	14.8	13.3	1.50
Oscar Tshiebwe	45	46	0.05	0.45	-0.40	0.11	-2	9	-11	12.6	13.0	-0.37	13.3	14.8	-1.50
Svi Mykhailiuk	54	53	-0.01	0.51	-0.53	0.01	-1	8	-9	12.1	13.5	-1.36	13.4	14.9	-1.56
Jaden Springer	75	75	-0.08	0.58	-0.66	0.03	-4	11	-15	13.0	12.7	0.27	14.1	14.4	-0.36
Collin Sexton	46	44	-0.20	0.70	-0.90	-0.05	-5	12	-17	13.3	12.6	0.63	13.1	14.9	-1.83
Micah Potter	61	62	-0.28	0.78	-1.05	-0.25	-1	8	-9	12.8	13.0	-0.18	13.9	14.6	-0.72

Dopplegamers 0.5,0.51,0.46,0.51,0.5,0.5,0.46,0.4,0.43,0.45,0.38,0.4,0.36,0.4,0.41,0.38,0.33,0.42,0.44,0.61,0.61,0.69,0.54,0.54,0.56,0.54,0.55,0.49,0.48,0.58,0.55,0.61,0.55,0.45,0.37,0.33,0.36,0.3,0.3,0.34,0.57,0.71,0.59,0.4,0.33,0.19,0.37,0.33,0.15,0.54,0.53,0.46,0.32,0.84,1
Game		Similarity Score
ORL 96, LAL 101	0.5,0.49,0.48,0.52,0.52,0.49,0.51,0.49,0.57,0.51,0.53,0.49,0.44,0.5,0.5,0.51,0.55,0.56,0.54,0.52,0.56,0.59,0.58,0.61,0.64,0.63,0.6,0.49,0.58,0.52,0.61,0.61,0.52,0.59,0.48,0.44,0.52,0.42,0.48,0.48,0.67,0.58,0.64,0.41,0.4,0.39,0.54,0.56,0.42,0.46,0.45,0.46,0.55,0.98,1	88.7%
NOP 123, DAL 127	0.5,0.49,0.45,0.43,0.45,0.44,0.44,0.43,0.45,0.43,0.4,0.49,0.53,0.54,0.58,0.56,0.6,0.6,0.67,0.68,0.59,0.69,0.58,0.59,0.61,0.51,0.65,0.63,0.61,0.58,0.52,0.55,0.49,0.38,0.41,0.56,0.52,0.58,0.38,0.53,0.53,0.53,0.64,0.54,0.4,0.45,0.63,0.31,0.26,0.46,0.39,0.45,0.53,0.85,1	87.6%
NYK 89, WAS 95	0.5,0.51,0.49,0.49,0.46,0.45,0.4,0.39,0.37,0.4,0.37,0.4,0.4,0.4,0.32,0.31,0.31,0.31,0.31,0.28,0.36,0.34,0.39,0.42,0.42,0.5,0.55,0.45,0.55,0.48,0.52,0.38,0.41,0.38,0.41,0.4,0.36,0.38,0.43,0.53,0.72,0.47,0.53,0.59,0.46,0.2,0.15,0.34,0.41,0.46,0.39,0.55,0.23,0.73,1	87.4%