NBA Win Probability Game Box Scores

NBA Win Probability Box Scores (click here for LIVE graphs)

winProb
gameTime
fourFactors
pace
on/off
misc

New Orleans Pelicans	111		Excitement	4.7 [876]		MVP	Giannis Antetokounmpo (MIL): +23.2%
Milwaukee Bucks	136		Comeback	2.3 [1163]		LVP	Elfrid Payton (NOP): -8.2%

New Orleans Pelicans
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Keion Brooks Jr.	0.12	0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.11,0.11,0.17,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12	0.11	0.03	0.01	13	67%	0.15	1	-0.02	4	50%	-0.00
Lester Quinones	0.10	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.03,0.06,0.1,0.1,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.1,0.15,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1	-0.09	0.01	-0.17	22	44%	0.14	4	-0.04	4	75%	-0.01
Karlo Matkovic	0.05	0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.04,0,0.03,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05	0.06	-0.01	0.01	12	62%	0.08	1	-0.03	0	0%	0.00
Antonio Reeves	0.01	0,0,0,0,0.01,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,0.02,0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.02,0.02,0.04,0.04,0.03,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01	-0.02	-0.00	-0.03	15	44%	0.03	1	-0.02	6	67%	-0.02
Jamal Cain	-0.04	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.03,-0.03,-0.01,-0.03,-0.04,-0.04,-0.05,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.03,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04	0.08	-0.00	0.11	15	57%	-0.03	1	-0.01	5	100%	0.00
Jeremiah Robinson-Earl	-0.04	0,0,-0.01,-0.01,0.02,0.02,0.03,0.07,0.05,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04	0.00	-0.03	0.01	13	58%	0.04	3	-0.07	0	0%	0.00
Kylor Kelley	-0.05	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.05,-0.07,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05	-0.04	-0.01	0.00	2	50%	-0.00	2	-0.05	0	0%	0.00
Elfrid Payton	-0.08	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.06,-0.06,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08	-0.09	-0.02	-0.02	4	25%	-0.03	3	-0.05	0	0%	0.00

Milwaukee Bucks
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Giannis Antetokounmpo	0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,0,0,-0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.08,0.08,0.11,0.11,0.17,0.23,0.23,0.23,0.23,0.23,0.23,0.23,0.23,0.23,0.23,0.23,0.23,0.23,0.23,0.23,0.23,0.23	0.23	0.17	0.07	0.01	17	64%	0.23	0	0.00	10	50%	-0.06
Gary Trent Jr.	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.15,0.15,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14	0.14	0.16	0.01	0.03	10	81%	0.14	0	0.00	1	100%	0.00
Kyle Kuzma	0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.04,0.1,0.1,0.09,0.09,0.06,0.09,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14	0.14	0.08	0.02	-0.04	11	74%	0.18	3	-0.04	1	0%	-0.02
Kevin Porter Jr.	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.04,0.02,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.05,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09	0.09	0.14	0.00	0.06	11	65%	0.09	0	0.00	9	78%	0.01
Ryan Rollins	0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,0.02,0.02,0,0.01,0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,0.03,0.03,0,0,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06	0.06	0.05	0.02	0.01	8	75%	0.11	2	-0.05	0	0%	0.00
Taurean Prince	0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05	0.05	0.05	0.00	0.00	4	75%	0.05	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
AJ Green	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.05,0.05,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01	0.01	-0.03	0.00	-0.04	4	37%	0.01	1	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Andre Jackson Jr.	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	0.00	0.04	0.00	0.04	3	75%	0.00	0	0.00	2	0%	0.00
Chris Livingston	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	0.00	0.00	0.00	0.00	1	50%	0.00	0	0.00	2	100%	0.00
Stanley Umude	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	0.00	0.02	0.00	0.02	1	150%	0.00	1	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Pat Connaughton	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	-0.00	0.01	0.00	0.01	4	45%	-0.00	0	0.00	3	100%	0.00
Jamaree Bouyea	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	-0.00	-0.04	0.00	-0.04	1	0%	-0.00	1	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Bobby Portis	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.03,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02	-0.02	0.06	-0.00	0.08	10	64%	-0.02	1	-0.00	2	100%	0.00
Brook Lopez	0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.07,-0.07,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07	-0.07	-0.06	-0.01	-0.00	5	30%	-0.02	2	-0.05	0	0%	0.00

Game Length Report (minutes)

	Q1		Q2		Q3		Q4	Total
this game	21.8	1.8	24.2	14.5	30.3	1.6	30.7	124.9
league avg	25.9	2.3	28.2	14.9	28.6	2.3	32.2	135.3

Win Probability Added by the Four Factors

(aka How the Game Was Won)

victory
100% WP

start
50% WP

MIL +32.0%

MIL +7.6%

NOP -5.8%

MIL +15.8%

MIL +0.4%

Pace and Efficiency Report

	seconds / possession			points / 100 possessions
all possessions	NOP	MIL	NBA	NOP	MIL	NBA
this game	13.8	12.9	14.4	102.8	127.1	113.0
season	14.4	14.4		109.3	114.2
opponent	14.3	14.3		112.2	118.3

Quarterly Pace Report (seconds per possession)

	Q1	Q2	Q3	Q4	Total
NOP	14.0	14.8	13.7	13.0	13.8
MIL	14.8	12.3	13.0	11.8	12.9

On/Off Win Probability and Pace Statistics

New Orleans Pelicans
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Jamal Cain	62	63	-0.21	-0.29	0.09	0.32	-18	-7	-11	13.4	14.5	-1.11	12.0	14.3	-2.37
Elfrid Payton	55	56	-0.25	-0.25	-0.00	0.25	-17	-8	-9	14.8	12.8	2.03	13.1	12.8	0.27
Karlo Matkovic	67	66	-0.27	-0.23	-0.04	0.20	-16	-9	-7	14.0	13.7	0.30	13.1	12.7	0.38
Kylor Kelley	51	51	-0.30	-0.20	-0.10	0.05	-12	-13	1	14.4	13.4	1.00	12.5	13.3	-0.83
Jeremiah Robinson-Earl	75	72	-0.31	-0.19	-0.13	-0.17	-5	-20	15	13.9	13.8	0.08	13.9	11.1	2.80
Lester Quinones	73	72	-0.35	-0.15	-0.21	0.29	-22	-3	-19	13.7	14.1	-0.40	12.3	14.2	-1.91
Keion Brooks Jr.	74	74	-0.39	-0.11	-0.28	0.26	-22	-3	-19	13.4	14.9	-1.56	13.0	12.8	0.14
Antonio Reeves	83	81	-0.42	-0.08	-0.33	-0.04	-13	-12	-1	13.7	14.5	-0.83	13.5	11.3	2.16

Milwaukee Bucks
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Gary Trent Jr.	56	55	0.42	0.08	0.34	-0.25	23	2	21	12.2	13.8	-1.57	14.4	13.3	1.10
Kevin Porter Jr.	52	52	0.33	0.17	0.16	-0.20	18	7	11	12.7	13.2	-0.49	13.3	14.3	-0.96
Bobby Portis	49	48	0.30	0.20	0.10	-0.20	17	8	9	12.1	13.6	-1.48	14.6	13.3	1.30
Giannis Antetokounmpo	56	58	0.30	0.20	0.10	0.12	6	19	-13	13.2	12.7	0.49	13.9	13.8	0.15
Kyle Kuzma	63	63	0.29	0.21	0.08	-0.30	20	5	15	13.3	12.5	0.79	13.6	14.1	-0.50
Taurean Prince	45	47	0.26	0.24	0.02	0.02	8	17	-9	14.4	11.9	2.44	14.7	13.1	1.60
AJ Green	47	46	0.24	0.26	-0.02	-0.20	15	10	5	11.9	13.7	-1.84	13.5	14.1	-0.56
Brook Lopez	47	48	0.19	0.31	-0.13	-0.02	7	18	-11	14.6	11.6	2.95	14.8	13.1	1.75
Ryan Rollins	42	43	0.17	0.33	-0.16	0.08	3	22	-19	13.9	12.3	1.54	14.5	13.4	1.15
Andre Jackson Jr.	17	18	0.00	0.50	-0.50	-0.03	1	24	-23	12.5	13.0	-0.56	11.7	14.3	-2.61
Chris Livingston	15	15	0.00	0.50	-0.50	-0.06	2	23	-21	11.9	13.1	-1.18	12.0	14.1	-2.14
Jamaree Bouyea	15	15	0.00	0.50	-0.50	-0.06	2	23	-21	11.9	13.1	-1.18	12.0	14.1	-2.14
Pat Connaughton	18	19	0.00	0.50	-0.50	0.03	-1	26	-27	12.6	13.0	-0.47	12.0	14.2	-2.24
Stanley Umude	13	13	0.00	0.50	-0.50	-0.12	4	21	-17	10.9	13.2	-2.30	13.5	13.9	-0.35

Dopplegamers 0.5,0.51,0.52,0.49,0.45,0.44,0.42,0.41,0.39,0.43,0.38,0.35,0.32,0.37,0.36,0.44,0.4,0.38,0.46,0.42,0.47,0.52,0.49,0.63,0.75,0.73,0.71,0.69,0.64,0.64,0.79,0.68,0.75,0.78,0.83,0.94,0.97,0.96,0.99,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1
Game		Similarity Score
SAC 93, OKC 108	0.5,0.51,0.54,0.55,0.55,0.52,0.47,0.43,0.47,0.42,0.45,0.38,0.34,0.46,0.45,0.36,0.38,0.44,0.46,0.48,0.52,0.52,0.58,0.61,0.67,0.63,0.63,0.6,0.55,0.58,0.73,0.8,0.77,0.84,0.86,0.94,0.93,0.96,0.98,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1	94.6%
HOU 98, SAS 110	0.5,0.51,0.54,0.52,0.47,0.42,0.45,0.45,0.43,0.37,0.33,0.37,0.32,0.48,0.42,0.38,0.38,0.4,0.42,0.4,0.34,0.44,0.49,0.56,0.61,0.58,0.71,0.63,0.67,0.67,0.73,0.82,0.77,0.84,0.9,0.94,0.92,0.95,0.97,0.98,0.99,0.99,0.99,1,1,1,1,1,1,1	94.6%
DEN 85, LAL 110	0.5,0.49,0.47,0.48,0.43,0.39,0.35,0.38,0.36,0.37,0.37,0.33,0.37,0.37,0.36,0.42,0.4,0.44,0.44,0.39,0.47,0.44,0.46,0.58,0.69,0.63,0.62,0.55,0.55,0.64,0.64,0.71,0.83,0.9,0.95,0.99,0.99,0.99,0.99,0.98,0.98,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1	94.6%