NBA Win Probability Game Box Scores

NBA Win Probability Box Scores (click here for LIVE graphs)

winProb
gameTime
fourFactors
pace
on/off
misc

Cleveland Cavaliers	114		Excitement	5.4 [694]		MVP	Evan Mobley (CLE): +18.0%
San Antonio Spurs	113		Comeback	1.0 [1182]		LVP	Blake Wesley (SAS): -15.4%

Cleveland Cavaliers
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Evan Mobley	0.18	0,0,0.03,0.04,0.07,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.15,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.15,0.18,0.18,0.18,0.18,0.18,0.18,0.18,0.18,0.18,0.18,0.18,0.18,0.18,0.18,0.18,0.18	0.19	0.01	0.02	13	89%	0.20	2	-0.02	2	50%	-0.01
De'Andre Hunter	0.10	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.06,0.06,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.04,0.06,0.05,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1	0.06	0.01	-0.03	16	56%	0.12	1	-0.02	0	0%	0.00
Isaac Okoro	0.04	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.03,0.02,0.02,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04	0.01	0.01	-0.01	6	50%	0.04	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Sam Merrill	0.03	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.04,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.04,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03	-0.01	0.01	-0.03	7	64%	0.06	3	-0.03	0	0%	0.00
Donovan Mitchell	0.03	0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0.01,-0.03,-0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.02,0.04,0.06,0.06,0.07,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.05,0.08,0.07,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.08,0.03	0.06	-0.04	-0.01	18	62%	0.08	4	-0.05	6	67%	-0.02
Craig Porter Jr.	0.02	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02	0.02	0.00	0.00	0	100%	0.02	0	0.00	2	100%	0.01
Jarrett Allen	0.01	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.01,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01	0.02	0.00	0.01	2	100%	0.03	1	-0.01	0	0%	0.00
Javonte Green	-0.02	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.03,-0.04,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02	-0.03	0.00	-0.01	4	25%	-0.02	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Max Strus	-0.02	0,0,0,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02	-0.04	0.00	-0.02	5	30%	-0.02	1	-0.01	0	0%	0.00
Darius Garland	-0.06	0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,0.02,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.03,0.05,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0,0.01,0,0,0.03,-0.06	-0.00	-0.06	-0.00	16	53%	-0.03	3	-0.03	4	75%	-0.01

San Antonio Spurs
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Devin Vassell	0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.04,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.06,0.05,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.05,0.05,0.08,0.07,0.07,0.1,0.09,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.12,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.11,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.09,0.09	0.09	0.14	-0.01	0.04	18	67%	0.11	1	-0.01	0	0%	0.00
Julian Champagnie	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,0.01,0.05,0.05,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.04,0.06,0.05,0.05,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06	0.06	0.10	0.01	0.05	9	71%	0.07	1	-0.02	3	100%	0.01
Stephon Castle	0,0,0.01,0,0,0.01,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.03,0.03,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.04,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.03,0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01	0.01	0.03	-0.00	0.01	16	58%	0.06	3	-0.04	6	83%	-0.00
Bismack Biyombo	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.01,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,0,0,0,0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01	0.01	0.02	0.00	0.01	4	75%	0.02	1	-0.01	0	0%	0.00
Sandro Mamukelashvili	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.04,0.04,0.02,0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	0.00	0.01	-0.01	0.00	5	50%	0.00	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Jordan McLaughlin	0	0.00	0.00	0.00	0.00	0	0%	0.00	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Chris Paul	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,0.01,-0.01,-0.01	-0.01	-0.02	-0.00	-0.01	10	45%	0.01	1	-0.02	0	0%	0.00
Charles Bassey	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02	-0.02	-0.02	-0.00	0.00	1	0%	-0.02	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Harrison Barnes	0,0,0,0,0.02,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.02,0.02,0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.04,0.04,0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.05,-0.04	-0.04	0.15	-0.12	0.08	14	68%	-0.04	0	0.00	6	83%	-0.00
Keldon Johnson	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0,0,-0.02,0.01,0,-0.01,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09	-0.09	-0.09	-0.01	-0.01	10	35%	-0.04	3	-0.05	0	0%	0.00
Blake Wesley	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.08,-0.07,-0.07,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15	-0.15	-0.13	-0.03	-0.01	7	11%	-0.13	1	-0.02	4	50%	-0.02

Game Length Report (minutes)

	Q1		Q2		Q3		Q4	Total
this game	23.1	1.8	24.2	15.4	26.1	1.8	31.0	123.3
league avg	25.8	2.3	28.1	14.9	28.5	2.3	32.1	134.9

Win Probability Added by the Four Factors

(aka How the Game Was Won)

victory
100% WP

start
50% WP

CLE +46.7%

SAS -2.0%

CLE +10.8%

SAS -14.3%

CLE +8.8%

Pace and Efficiency Report

	seconds / possession			points / 100 possessions
all possessions	CLE	SAS	NBA	CLE	SAS	NBA
this game	13.7	14.4	14.4	110.7	110.8	113.1
season	13.7	14.2		120.5	113.0
opponent	14.5	14.9		115.6	110.9

Quarterly Pace Report (seconds per possession)

	Q1	Q2	Q3	Q4	Total
CLE	13.8	14.4	12.1	14.8	13.7
SAS	15.7	15.0	15.2	11.9	14.4

On/Off Win Probability and Pace Statistics

Cleveland Cavaliers
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Donovan Mitchell	74	73	0.43	0.07	0.35	0.28	5	-4	9	13.8	13.5	0.34	13.8	15.9	-2.18
Evan Mobley	79	80	0.37	0.13	0.25	0.46	-3	4	-7	14.0	12.9	1.06	13.6	17.3	-3.70
De'Andre Hunter	65	63	0.29	0.21	0.08	0.41	-4	5	-9	13.5	14.2	-0.72	13.7	15.5	-1.80
Sam Merrill	53	51	0.26	0.24	0.03	0.15	4	-3	7	13.3	14.2	-0.92	14.5	14.2	0.27
Isaac Okoro	43	43	0.25	0.25	0.01	0.08	6	-5	11	13.1	14.1	-1.01	13.9	14.7	-0.80
Jarrett Allen	31	31	0.23	0.27	-0.04	-0.03	9	-8	17	13.4	13.9	-0.44	16.6	13.4	3.17
Max Strus	68	66	0.21	0.29	-0.07	0.51	-10	11	-21	14.1	13.1	0.97	14.8	13.5	1.35
Darius Garland	70	70	0.17	0.33	-0.16	0.58	-14	15	-29	13.9	13.4	0.54	14.8	13.4	1.36
Craig Porter Jr.	13	13	0.16	0.34	-0.18	-0.05	7	-6	13	13.9	13.7	0.22	15.6	14.2	1.42
Javonte Green	19	20	0.12	0.38	-0.26	-0.03	5	-4	9	14.4	13.6	0.79	15.3	14.1	1.22

San Antonio Spurs
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Jordan McLaughlin	3	4	0.02	-0.52	0.55	-0.03	2	-3	5	7.0	14.6	-7.60	18.7	13.5	5.22
Charles Bassey	7	7	-0.05	-0.45	0.40	0.04	-3	2	-5	14.1	14.4	-0.25	15.9	13.6	2.28
Bismack Biyombo	56	58	-0.13	-0.37	0.24	-0.28	5	-6	11	14.6	14.1	0.48	13.3	14.3	-1.00
Chris Paul	62	64	-0.15	-0.35	0.20	-0.59	15	-16	31	14.6	14.0	0.53	14.0	13.3	0.76
Devin Vassell	75	76	-0.16	-0.34	0.17	-0.60	15	-16	31	14.6	13.8	0.81	14.2	12.3	1.94
Harrison Barnes	66	66	-0.27	-0.23	-0.03	-0.44	6	-7	13	13.8	15.4	-1.53	14.0	13.3	0.67
Sandro Mamukelashvili	26	25	-0.27	-0.23	-0.05	0.08	-12	11	-23	15.3	14.1	1.26	12.6	14.1	-1.49
Blake Wesley	34	35	-0.30	-0.20	-0.10	0.08	-13	12	-25	15.4	13.9	1.47	12.1	14.6	-2.44
Stephon Castle	73	71	-0.34	-0.16	-0.18	-0.28	-2	1	-3	13.7	16.0	-2.27	13.7	13.8	-0.12
Julian Champagnie	60	59	-0.42	-0.08	-0.35	-0.31	-4	3	-7	13.4	15.8	-2.40	14.3	13.0	1.35
Keldon Johnson	48	50	-0.42	-0.08	-0.35	-0.01	-14	13	-27	15.8	13.1	2.64	13.1	14.3	-1.14

Dopplegamers 0.5,0.49,0.48,0.43,0.47,0.44,0.42,0.41,0.39,0.45,0.35,0.33,0.32,0.3,0.28,0.22,0.23,0.22,0.22,0.16,0.12,0.09,0.09,0.06,0.06,0.09,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.11,0.12,0.19,0.12,0.16,0.14,0.16,0.19,0.15,0.03,0.04,0.03,0.01,0.03,0.04,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.06,0.04,0
Game		Similarity Score
SAC 116, PHX 109	0.5,0.49,0.45,0.42,0.43,0.39,0.4,0.37,0.37,0.35,0.3,0.33,0.34,0.32,0.28,0.24,0.2,0.23,0.17,0.22,0.16,0.17,0.12,0.1,0.14,0.1,0.12,0.12,0.18,0.11,0.1,0.13,0.14,0.11,0.17,0.13,0.15,0.15,0.07,0.02,0.02,0.03,0.04,0.01,0.02,0.01,0.05,0.02,0.02,0	96.1%
DET 95, MIA 81	0.5,0.49,0.46,0.49,0.46,0.41,0.4,0.38,0.41,0.37,0.4,0.4,0.3,0.34,0.3,0.22,0.21,0.25,0.18,0.14,0.14,0.12,0.13,0.12,0.1,0.14,0.12,0.12,0.09,0.11,0.14,0.16,0.15,0.16,0.14,0.23,0.18,0.19,0.11,0.12,0.11,0.03,0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	96.1%
ORL 109, MIN 98	0.5,0.51,0.49,0.49,0.43,0.39,0.4,0.41,0.39,0.39,0.33,0.32,0.3,0.32,0.28,0.2,0.2,0.16,0.13,0.18,0.14,0.09,0.11,0.09,0.11,0.07,0.08,0.12,0.11,0.07,0.12,0.11,0.09,0.11,0.1,0.1,0.09,0.06,0.07,0.12,0.06,0.04,0.02,0.01,0.01,0,0.01,0,0.01,0	95.9%