inpredictable
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NBA Win Probability Box Scores (click here for LIVE graphs)

Real Time? Pre Game Odds?
Detroit Pistons 117 Excitement5.6 [700] MVPTim Hardaway Jr. (DET): +16.7%
Toronto Raptors 105 Comeback1.2 [1162] LVPJakob Poeltl (TOR): -13.7%


Detroit Pistons
PlayerWPAeWPAclWPAgbWPAFGATS%tsWPATOtoWPAFTAFT%ftWPA
Tim Hardaway Jr.0.170,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0,0,0,0,0.03,0.03,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.09,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.09,0.09,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.16,0.19,0.19,0.17,0.17,0.17,0.17,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.17,0.17,0.17,0.170.170.000.001477%0.181-0.022100%0.01
Jalen Duren0.150,0,0,0,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.06,0.06,0.08,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.150.170.030.051181%0.1500.00475%-0.01
Ausar Thompson0.100,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.03,0.03,0.05,0.05,0.08,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.08,0.08,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.10.060.02-0.011256%0.1000.003100%0.01
Malik Beasley0.060,0,0,0.03,0.02,0,0,0.04,0.07,0.07,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.03,0.03,0.06,0.03,0.03,0.07,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.05,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.05,0.05,0.09,0.07,0.07,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.060.040.030.012048%0.0600.004100%0.01
Simone Fontecchio0.060,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.060.040.01-0.01383%0.0600.0000%0.00
Lindy Waters III0.010,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.010.010.00-0.00350%0.0100.0000%0.00
Ronald Holland II-0.050,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05-0.070.00-0.02237%0.003-0.05475%-0.00
Paul Reed-0.060,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.05,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06-0.08-0.00-0.0250%-0.0600.0000%0.00
Marcus Sasser-0.070,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,0,0,0.05,0.05,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.04,-0.02,-0.04,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07-0.03-0.04-0.01662%0.034-0.10475%-0.00
Dennis Schroder-0.120,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.03,-0.03,0,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.1,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.15,-0.15,-0.14,-0.12,-0.12-0.07-0.020.031350%-0.045-0.08683%0.00

Toronto Raptors
PlayerWPAeWPAclWPAgbWPAFGATS%tsWPATOtoWPAFTAFT%ftWPA
Ja'Kobe Walter0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.04,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.1,0.1,0.08,0.08,0.05,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.110.110.12-0.000.011473%0.162-0.062100%0.01
Cole Swider0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.06,0.06,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.02,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.030.030.06-0.010.01862%0.0300.0000%0.00
Jared Rhoden0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,0.01,0.06,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.020.020.010.01-0.00550%0.0200.002100%0.01
Jamison Battle0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.03,0.02,0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.020.020.05-0.000.03590%0.062-0.0400%0.00
Jamal Shead0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0.01,0.01,-0.02,0.01,0.01,0.02,0.020.020.050.000.041250%0.0200.00475%-0.02
A.J. Lawson0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.04,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02-0.02-0.02-0.000.00745%-0.001-0.02667%-0.01
Immanuel Quickley0,0,0,0.03,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.09,-0.09,-0.11,-0.11,-0.08,-0.1,-0.06,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.08,-0.08,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05-0.05-0.05-0.01-0.021641%-0.012-0.032100%0.02
Jonathan Mogbo0,0,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06-0.06-0.02-0.010.02743%-0.021-0.0300%0.00
Orlando Robinson0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.11,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13-0.13-0.10-0.04-0.01631%-0.063-0.07475%-0.00
Jakob Poeltl0,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.06,-0.08,-0.08,-0.07,-0.07,-0.08,-0.08,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14-0.14-0.08-0.040.021145%-0.034-0.1100%0.00
Game Length Report (minutes)

Q1 Q2 Q3 Q4Total
this game30.42.326.415.427.52.330.5134.8
league avg25.92.328.214.928.62.332.2135.3
Win Probability Added by the Four Factors
(aka How the Game Was Won)

victory
100% WP
start
50% WP
DET +33.2%
TOR -0.4%
DET +3.6%
DET +13.2%
DET +0.3%
Pace and Efficiency Report

seconds / possessionpoints / 100 possessions
all possessionsDETTORNBADETTORNBA
this game14.613.414.4114.7101.0113.0
season14.113.9113.7109.0
opponent14.614.5113.0111.9

Quarterly Pace Report (seconds per possession)

Q1Q2Q3Q4Total
DET14.615.012.716.114.6
TOR15.412.213.912.213.4

On/Off Win Probability and Pace Statistics

Detroit Pistons
possessionswin probabilitypointspace (offense)pace (defense)
playeroffensedefenseonoffdiffcl+/-onoffdiffonoffdiffonoffdiff
Tim Hardaway Jr.82830.60-0.100.70-0.0823-113414.415.3-0.9513.612.61.02
Jalen Duren76770.53-0.030.550.0915-31815.013.51.5114.011.72.32
Ausar Thompson69690.440.060.370.111111014.215.4-1.1913.712.80.92
Malik Beasley65640.380.120.260.1584415.113.71.3913.712.90.75
Dennis Schroder76770.330.170.150.0984415.013.51.5113.413.4-0.03
Ronald Holland II28280.140.36-0.230.08210-814.414.7-0.2713.613.30.35
Simone Fontecchio29320.080.42-0.330.23-517-2213.715.0-1.3012.813.7-0.87
Lindy Waters III16160.070.43-0.36-0.0239-616.214.31.9713.713.30.36
Paul Reed2627-0.030.53-0.550.06-315-1813.515.0-1.5111.714.0-2.32
Marcus Sasser4347-0.030.53-0.560.03-214-1614.314.8-0.5712.314.2-1.91

Toronto Raptors
possessionswin probabilitypointspace (offense)pace (defense)
playeroffensedefenseonoffdiffcl+/-onoffdiffonoffdiffonoffdiff
Jared Rhoden3434-0.04-0.460.43-0.185-172213.813.20.6115.714.01.72
Ja'Kobe Walter6866-0.07-0.430.37-0.070-121213.712.80.9314.414.9-0.46
Jamal Shead5453-0.08-0.420.34-0.204-162013.513.20.2814.414.8-0.32
Cole Swider3233-0.13-0.370.23-0.192-141612.713.7-1.0116.213.82.31
A.J. Lawson4849-0.23-0.270.04-0.17-2-10813.313.5-0.1715.313.91.46
Jakob Poeltl7067-0.28-0.22-0.05-0.07-7-5-213.313.6-0.2614.414.9-0.50
Immanuel Quickley6765-0.30-0.20-0.10-0.09-7-5-213.313.6-0.2814.414.9-0.56
Orlando Robinson3132-0.33-0.17-0.15-0.03-10-2-813.113.5-0.4615.314.31.06
Jonathan Mogbo6663-0.41-0.09-0.320.03-153-1813.712.80.8513.516.4-2.91
Jamison Battle5048-0.640.14-0.780.24-3018-4813.113.6-0.5513.815.3-1.47


Dopplegamers 0.5,0.51,0.51,0.51,0.46,0.46,0.51,0.49,0.34,0.41,0.45,0.37,0.4,0.48,0.49,0.41,0.33,0.29,0.31,0.32,0.44,0.41,0.39,0.36,0.33,0.22,0.14,0.09,0.04,0.03,0.04,0.03,0.17,0.14,0.24,0.17,0.09,0.03,0.09,0.1,0.13,0.28,0.14,0.16,0.06,0.07,0.05,0.01,0,0
GameSimilarity Score
CHA 108, LAL 950.5,0.49,0.53,0.52,0.43,0.42,0.43,0.49,0.39,0.4,0.34,0.31,0.3,0.43,0.42,0.4,0.36,0.35,0.35,0.32,0.25,0.31,0.31,0.3,0.41,0.16,0.16,0.1,0.07,0.07,0.1,0.13,0.12,0.18,0.15,0.19,0.09,0.05,0.08,0.15,0.21,0.23,0.17,0.2,0.13,0.03,0,0,0,094.2%
IND 104, MIL 990.5,0.51,0.46,0.51,0.48,0.52,0.54,0.55,0.51,0.53,0.53,0.51,0.49,0.5,0.47,0.4,0.34,0.25,0.31,0.3,0.34,0.39,0.36,0.31,0.33,0.22,0.14,0.16,0.13,0.15,0.05,0.06,0.07,0.14,0.23,0.14,0.18,0.13,0.13,0.12,0.14,0.16,0.13,0.12,0.06,0.05,0.04,0.01,0,094.0%
LAC 94, PHI 830.5,0.49,0.51,0.45,0.5,0.47,0.49,0.45,0.43,0.43,0.38,0.37,0.36,0.35,0.38,0.36,0.31,0.25,0.33,0.37,0.39,0.39,0.39,0.36,0.36,0.27,0.21,0.12,0.08,0.04,0.06,0.04,0.07,0.06,0.06,0.04,0.04,0.03,0.03,0.02,0.06,0.1,0.14,0.06,0.07,0.07,0.01,0,0,093.7%