NBA Win Probability Game Box Scores

NBA Win Probability Box Scores (click here for LIVE graphs)

Real Time? Pre Game Odds?

winProb
gameTime
fourFactors
pace
on/off
misc

LA Clippers	96		Excitement	6.4 [531]		MVP	Norman Powell (LAC): +17.8%
Orlando Magic	87		Comeback	2.0 [612]		LVP	Paolo Banchero (ORL): -14.1%

LA Clippers
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Norman Powell	0.18	0,0,0,0,0,0.01,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.04,0.02,0.02,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.04,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.04,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.15,0.15,0.18,0.18	0.15	0.06	0.03	14	70%	0.18	0	0.00	2	100%	0.01
Ivica Zubac	0.06	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.08,0.13,0.15,0.15,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.11,0.11,0.08,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.08,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06	0.11	0.00	0.04	10	72%	0.09	1	-0.03	5	80%	0.01
Derrick Jones Jr.	0.05	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05	-0.01	0.05	-0.00	5	50%	0.07	1	-0.02	0	0%	0.00
Kris Dunn	0.03	0,0,0,0.03,0.02,0.02,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.03,0.03,0.03	-0.05	0.06	-0.02	6	50%	0.09	3	-0.06	0	0%	0.00
Nicolas Batum	0.00	0	0.00	0.00	0.00	0	0%	0.00	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Bogdan Bogdanovic	-0.01	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,0,0,0,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01	-0.04	0.03	-0.00	6	36%	0.01	1	-0.02	2	100%	0.01
Drew Eubanks	-0.02	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02	-0.02	-0.00	0.00	0	0%	0.00	1	-0.02	0	0%	0.00
James Harden	-0.03	0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.01,-0.02,0,-0.02,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.04,-0.04,-0.07,-0.09,-0.06,-0.08,-0.11,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.07,0.04,0.01,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,0,0.02,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03	-0.08	0.03	-0.01	19	48%	0.10	5	-0.14	4	75%	0.01
Kawhi Leonard	-0.10	0,0,0,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.04,-0.04,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.06,-0.06,-0.08,-0.05,-0.05,-0.07,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.12,-0.15,-0.15,-0.08,-0.1,-0.07,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.02,-0.04,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1	-0.11	0.01	-0.00	22	42%	0.03	4	-0.12	6	83%	-0.00

Orlando Magic
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Franz Wagner	0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.05,-0.05,-0.04,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.07,-0.05,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.04,-0.04,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.03,0.1,0.12,0.09,0.09,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1	0.10	0.00	0.06	-0.03	19	50%	0.13	2	-0.03	4	100%	0.03
Kentavious Caldwell-Pope	0,0,0,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0,0,0,0,0,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08	0.08	0.12	0.01	0.05	4	137%	0.10	1	-0.03	0	0%	0.00
Caleb Houstan	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03	0.03	0.00	0.02	-0.00	2	50%	0.03	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Tristan da Silva	0	0.00	0.00	0.00	0.00	0	0%	0.00	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Gary Harris	0	0.00	0.00	0.00	0.00	0	0%	0.00	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Goga Bitadze	0	0.00	0.00	0.00	0.00	0	0%	0.00	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Jonathan Isaac	0	0.00	0.00	0.00	0.00	0	0%	0.00	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Wendell Carter Jr.	0,0,0,0,-0.01,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.01,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03	-0.03	-0.03	-0.01	-0.01	11	37%	-0.03	0	0.00	2	50%	-0.01
Cory Joseph	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.04,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,0.01,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.08,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04	-0.04	0.00	-0.04	0.00	7	53%	0.03	2	-0.06	5	80%	0.00
Anthony Black	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0,0.03,0.02,0,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,0.01,-0.02,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09	-0.09	-0.07	-0.02	-0.00	10	36%	-0.04	2	-0.04	2	100%	0.01
Paolo Banchero	0,0,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.04,0,0.02,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.01,-0.04,-0.04,-0.06,-0.04,-0.04,0.02,-0.01,-0.01,0.02,0.02,0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.01,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,0,0.04,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.09,-0.12,-0.12,-0.14,-0.14	-0.14	-0.08	-0.07	-0.01	23	47%	0.07	7	-0.21	9	100%	0.04

Game Length Report (minutes)

	Q1		Q2		Q3		Q4	Total
this game	28.3	2.3	23.5	15.5	26.5	2.3	31.3	129.7
league avg	25.8	2.3	28.1	14.9	28.5	2.3	32.1	134.9

Win Probability Added by the Four Factors

(aka How the Game Was Won)

victory
100% WP

start
50% WP

LAC +42.1%

ORL -13.3%

LAC +22.7%

ORL -1.6%

LAC +0.1%

Pace and Efficiency Report

	seconds / possession			points / 100 possessions
all possessions	LAC	ORL	NBA	LAC	ORL	NBA
this game	14.8	15.7	14.4	101.1	92.6	113.1
season	14.9	15.4		113.6	108.6
opponent	14.4	14.3		108.7	108.7

Quarterly Pace Report (seconds per possession)

	Q1	Q2	Q3	Q4	Total
LAC	14.0	15.2	14.2	16.0	14.8
ORL	14.3	14.8	17.1	16.7	15.7

On/Off Win Probability and Pace Statistics

LA Clippers
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Nicolas Batum	42	42	0.43	0.07	0.37	0.17	9	0	9	14.1	15.3	-1.20	16.5	15.0	1.54
Ivica Zubac	75	74	0.39	0.11	0.27	0.09	10	-1	11	15.1	13.7	1.41	15.3	17.2	-1.94
Bogdan Bogdanovic	38	37	0.39	0.11	0.27	0.18	7	2	5	15.2	14.6	0.62	16.4	15.2	1.26
Norman Powell	66	65	0.36	0.14	0.22	0.15	7	2	5	15.1	14.2	0.87	16.2	14.4	1.87
Kawhi Leonard	77	78	0.34	0.16	0.18	0.05	10	-1	11	14.4	16.4	-1.95	16.0	13.9	2.16
James Harden	81	80	0.33	0.17	0.16	0.27	2	7	-5	14.5	16.4	-1.81	14.9	20.2	-5.34
Derrick Jones Jr.	38	35	0.26	0.24	0.03	0.12	5	4	1	14.9	14.7	0.23	16.0	15.5	0.48
Kris Dunn	51	52	0.09	0.41	-0.33	0.14	-2	11	-13	15.1	14.5	0.54	15.4	16.0	-0.68
Drew Eubanks	7	7	-0.09	0.59	-0.68	-0.00	-3	12	-15	15.7	14.7	0.98	11.3	16.0	-4.74

Orlando Magic
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Cory Joseph	57	58	0.00	-0.50	0.51	-0.14	5	-14	19	14.8	17.0	-2.19	15.3	14.1	1.19
Gary Harris	19	18	-0.03	-0.47	0.44	-0.06	1	-10	11	14.3	16.0	-1.76	12.0	15.5	-3.47
Wendell Carter Jr.	63	63	-0.05	-0.45	0.40	-0.14	3	-12	15	15.2	16.7	-1.55	14.7	15.1	-0.43
Tristan da Silva	6	5	-0.10	-0.40	0.30	-0.04	-2	-7	5	24.3	15.1	9.25	15.4	14.8	0.62
Jonathan Isaac	18	21	-0.18	-0.32	0.15	-0.06	-4	-5	1	14.1	16.0	-1.93	15.9	14.5	1.34
Goga Bitadze	23	24	-0.26	-0.24	-0.02	-0.05	-7	-2	-5	16.3	15.5	0.90	16.1	14.4	1.76
Paolo Banchero	74	72	-0.28	-0.22	-0.06	-0.13	-5	-4	-1	15.4	16.6	-1.18	14.5	15.8	-1.28
Kentavious Caldwell-Pope	67	67	-0.30	-0.20	-0.09	-0.21	-3	-6	3	15.0	17.3	-2.33	14.4	15.7	-1.23
Caleb Houstan	31	32	-0.35	-0.15	-0.20	-0.09	-9	0	-9	17.5	14.8	2.71	15.1	14.7	0.43
Franz Wagner	75	78	-0.46	-0.04	-0.42	-0.16	-10	1	-11	16.0	14.3	1.76	15.3	12.4	2.92
Anthony Black	37	37	-0.50	0.00	-0.51	-0.09	-14	5	-19	17.0	14.8	2.19	14.1	15.3	-1.19

Dopplegamers 0.5,0.51,0.52,0.54,0.53,0.53,0.53,0.48,0.51,0.57,0.57,0.62,0.62,0.65,0.6,0.56,0.6,0.53,0.49,0.39,0.41,0.34,0.33,0.44,0.49,0.51,0.51,0.58,0.67,0.58,0.45,0.45,0.41,0.52,0.41,0.33,0.32,0.38,0.34,0.21,0.2,0.32,0.26,0.11,0.09,0.14,0.03,0.05,0.01,0
Game		Similarity Score
MIN 105, GSW 97	0.5,0.51,0.54,0.55,0.62,0.58,0.55,0.59,0.61,0.55,0.6,0.6,0.6,0.52,0.49,0.49,0.56,0.51,0.46,0.47,0.47,0.49,0.44,0.51,0.51,0.54,0.57,0.6,0.58,0.64,0.52,0.52,0.55,0.48,0.52,0.48,0.37,0.3,0.3,0.25,0.28,0.32,0.21,0.12,0.07,0.14,0.04,0.01,0,0	93.2%
UTA 113, DEN 106	0.5,0.49,0.46,0.51,0.46,0.46,0.45,0.41,0.43,0.49,0.51,0.58,0.6,0.52,0.51,0.49,0.47,0.46,0.44,0.44,0.48,0.41,0.42,0.44,0.39,0.46,0.54,0.49,0.58,0.52,0.52,0.57,0.59,0.48,0.41,0.44,0.36,0.3,0.26,0.21,0.17,0.28,0.26,0.12,0.05,0.11,0.03,0.14,0.09,0	92.9%
NYK 86, ATL 78	0.5,0.51,0.54,0.52,0.55,0.54,0.54,0.53,0.55,0.57,0.51,0.51,0.51,0.52,0.49,0.53,0.55,0.56,0.51,0.44,0.48,0.46,0.44,0.44,0.46,0.5,0.52,0.63,0.55,0.61,0.61,0.58,0.48,0.44,0.48,0.4,0.32,0.42,0.4,0.31,0.29,0.32,0.3,0.29,0.17,0.07,0.07,0.04,0.01,0	92.9%