NBA Win Probability Game Box Scores

NBA Win Probability Box Scores (click here for LIVE graphs)

Real Time? Pre Game Odds?

winProb
gameTime
fourFactors
pace
on/off
misc

Sacramento Kings	109		Excitement	7.8 [327]		MVP	Tyrese Haliburton (IND): +29.2%
Indiana Pacers	111		Comeback	13.4 [184]		LVP	Malik Monk (SAC): -44.5%

Sacramento Kings
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
DeMar DeRozan	0.18	0,0,0,0,-0.01,0.02,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.04,0.04,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.07,0.07,0.09,0.08,0.08,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.09,0.13,0.11,0.11,0.08,0.2,0.2,0.21,0.23,0.19,0.15,0.09,0.18,0.18,0.18	0.13	0.08	0.03	24	56%	0.18	0	0.00	7	71%	-0.00
Keon Ellis	0.10	0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1	0.08	0.02	-0.00	4	90%	0.10	0	0.00	2	50%	-0.01
Domantas Sabonis	0.05	0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0,-0.03,-0.02,-0.04,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.04,0.04,0.05	0.07	-0.02	0.00	19	57%	0.06	1	-0.02	6	50%	-0.02
Trey Lyles	0.03	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03	0.02	0.00	0.00	2	75%	0.03	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Markelle Fultz	0.02	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02	0.02	0.00	0.00	1	100%	0.02	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Jonas Valanciunas	0.00	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	-0.02	-0.00	-0.02	2	50%	0.02	1	-0.02	0	0%	0.00
Keegan Murray	-0.00	0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0.05,0.05,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0,0,0,0	0.05	-0.04	0.01	11	55%	-0.00	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Zach LaVine	-0.06	0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,0.01,0.03,0.06,0.05,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.09,0.09,0.06,0.06,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.04,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.06	0.03	-0.06	0.03	15	62%	0.08	4	-0.14	2	100%	0.01
Malik Monk	-0.45	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.04,-0.04,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.13,-0.14,-0.17,-0.2,-0.2,-0.22,-0.26,-0.28,-0.24,-0.24,-0.24,-0.27,-0.27,-0.27,-0.27,-0.27,-0.36,-0.45	-0.23	-0.22	-0.01	14	18%	-0.32	5	-0.13	0	0%	0.00

Indiana Pacers
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Tyrese Haliburton	0,0,0,0,0,0,0.03,0.01,-0.02,-0.02,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.06,-0.06,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,0,0.29,0.29	0.29	-0.00	0.31	0.01	13	64%	0.40	5	-0.11	2	100%	0.00
Obi Toppin	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.05,0.03,0.03,0.07,0.07,0.13,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.24,0.21,0.21,0.21,0.21,0.21,0.21,0.21,0.21	0.21	0.16	0.05	0.00	11	86%	0.23	1	-0.03	0	0%	0.00
Jarace Walker	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,0.03,0.03,0.09,0.09,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.23,0.19,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12	0.12	0.10	0.03	-0.00	10	75%	0.17	1	-0.04	0	0%	0.00
Tony Bradley	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04	0.04	0.04	0.00	0.00	2	100%	0.04	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Aaron Nesmith	0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,0.01,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,0,-0.02,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0,-0.02,0.01,-0.02,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.11,0.07,0.07,0.07,0,0,0,0.03	0.03	0.10	-0.03	0.03	16	59%	0.05	1	-0.02	9	100%	0.04
T.J. McConnell	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03	0.03	0.03	-0.00	-0.00	6	67%	0.04	1	-0.02	0	0%	0.00
Thomas Bryant	0,0,0.03,0.03,0.03,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01	0.01	0.02	-0.00	0.00	7	50%	0.01	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Ben Sheppard	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09	-0.09	-0.05	-0.04	0.00	2	0%	-0.07	1	-0.02	0	0%	0.00
Pascal Siakam	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0.02,0.04,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.16,-0.16,-0.16,-0.26,-0.15	-0.15	-0.07	-0.09	-0.02	15	34%	-0.08	1	-0.07	2	100%	0.01
Andrew Nembhard	0,0,0,0.02,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.05,-0.05,-0.1,-0.1,-0.16,-0.16,-0.16,-0.16	-0.16	-0.05	-0.10	0.01	8	31%	-0.14	1	-0.02	0	0%	0.00

Game Length Report (minutes)

	Q1		Q2		Q3		Q4	Total
this game	24.2	2.4	24.6	15.4	24.6	2.4	33.8	127.3
league avg	25.8	2.3	28.1	14.9	28.5	2.3	32.1	134.9

Win Probability Added by the Four Factors

(aka How the Game Was Won)

victory
100% WP

start
50% WP

IND +46.7%

IND +0.2%

SAC -6.1%

IND +9.4%

SAC -0.1%

Pace and Efficiency Report

	seconds / possession			points / 100 possessions
all possessions	SAC	IND	NBA	SAC	IND	NBA
this game	15.3	12.9	14.4	105.8	109.9	113.1
season	14.3	13.8		115.1	115.1
opponent	14.7	14.6		112.9	114.9

Quarterly Pace Report (seconds per possession)

	Q1	Q2	Q3	Q4	Total
SAC	14.2	15.0	17.7	14.7	15.3
IND	12.9	13.2	14.2	11.6	12.9

On/Off Win Probability and Pace Statistics

Sacramento Kings
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Jonas Valanciunas	18	19	0.15	-0.65	0.81	0.04	4	-6	10	14.9	15.4	-0.46	13.1	12.9	0.20
Markelle Fultz	12	12	-0.01	-0.49	0.49	-0.01	0	-2	2	15.0	15.4	-0.36	12.0	13.0	-1.01
Keon Ellis	54	53	-0.06	-0.44	0.37	0.05	-4	2	-6	15.8	14.8	1.08	14.8	10.7	4.12
Trey Lyles	35	32	-0.11	-0.39	0.28	0.01	-4	2	-6	15.7	15.1	0.51	11.8	13.4	-1.58
Keegan Murray	74	76	-0.23	-0.27	0.04	-0.40	6	-8	14	15.1	15.8	-0.71	13.5	11.0	2.57
Malik Monk	64	63	-0.33	-0.17	-0.15	-0.53	7	-9	16	14.8	16.2	-1.47	11.6	15.0	-3.34
DeMar DeRozan	91	90	-0.47	-0.03	-0.44	-0.47	0	-2	2	15.0	17.4	-2.37	13.0	11.9	1.10
Domantas Sabonis	85	82	-0.65	0.15	-0.81	-0.48	-6	4	-10	15.4	14.9	0.46	12.9	13.1	-0.20
Zach LaVine	82	78	-0.79	0.29	-1.09	-0.41	-13	11	-24	15.8	13.4	2.38	12.4	14.6	-2.17

Indiana Pacers
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Obi Toppin	46	46	0.81	-0.31	1.11	0.51	10	-8	18	12.3	13.4	-1.16	15.7	15.0	0.76
Aaron Nesmith	73	73	0.77	-0.27	1.04	0.39	13	-11	24	12.8	13.1	-0.35	15.9	13.9	2.05
Pascal Siakam	67	69	0.37	0.13	0.25	0.37	0	2	-2	12.8	13.1	-0.39	15.2	15.5	-0.22
Andrew Nembhard	66	66	0.37	0.13	0.24	0.49	-4	6	-10	13.3	12.1	1.15	15.0	15.9	-0.89
Tyrese Haliburton	70	70	0.30	0.20	0.10	0.44	-5	7	-12	13.2	12.2	1.01	15.1	15.8	-0.78
T.J. McConnell	45	47	0.20	0.30	-0.11	-0.07	9	-7	16	12.4	13.3	-0.97	15.9	14.8	1.13
Ben Sheppard	32	32	0.10	0.40	-0.29	-0.01	4	-2	6	12.7	13.0	-0.34	15.2	15.4	-0.24
Jarace Walker	45	49	-0.02	0.52	-0.54	0.01	-1	3	-4	12.3	13.3	-1.01	15.2	15.5	-0.30
Tony Bradley	17	16	-0.13	0.63	-0.75	0.17	-10	12	-22	15.0	12.5	2.54	13.4	15.7	-2.23
Thomas Bryant	44	47	-0.27	0.77	-1.04	-0.10	-6	8	-14	13.3	12.6	0.72	15.2	15.4	-0.20

Dopplegamers 0.5,0.51,0.54,0.55,0.58,0.53,0.63,0.6,0.61,0.51,0.57,0.47,0.46,0.48,0.55,0.53,0.56,0.49,0.54,0.53,0.56,0.55,0.49,0.42,0.39,0.33,0.26,0.23,0.17,0.11,0.1,0.09,0.09,0.16,0.17,0.2,0.15,0.3,0.38,0.38,0.14,0.32,0.31,0.24,0.27,0.38,0.36,0.45,0.72,1
Game		Similarity Score
UTA 95, ATL 103	0.5,0.51,0.47,0.45,0.43,0.46,0.46,0.4,0.45,0.45,0.45,0.4,0.36,0.43,0.47,0.45,0.53,0.51,0.54,0.48,0.48,0.46,0.42,0.33,0.39,0.42,0.29,0.25,0.2,0.27,0.19,0.18,0.15,0.11,0.07,0.05,0.13,0.19,0.3,0.25,0.24,0.32,0.36,0.29,0.27,0.25,0.45,0.57,0.73,1	91.1%
MIA 100, WAS 103	0.5,0.49,0.48,0.52,0.58,0.56,0.58,0.57,0.63,0.54,0.51,0.47,0.44,0.52,0.44,0.44,0.51,0.57,0.58,0.51,0.59,0.58,0.61,0.57,0.51,0.49,0.48,0.34,0.22,0.19,0.08,0.16,0.12,0.14,0.2,0.23,0.28,0.34,0.26,0.38,0.29,0.19,0.21,0.19,0.1,0.1,0.22,0.43,0.9,1	90.5%
UTA 86, MIL 89	0.5,0.49,0.48,0.48,0.5,0.47,0.52,0.49,0.53,0.55,0.62,0.53,0.46,0.4,0.47,0.45,0.47,0.47,0.46,0.46,0.44,0.46,0.46,0.36,0.39,0.33,0.29,0.26,0.3,0.24,0.21,0.26,0.29,0.25,0.3,0.22,0.18,0.15,0.15,0.18,0.29,0.32,0.17,0.29,0.33,0.38,0.37,0.45,0.58,1	90.5%