NBA Win Probability Game Box Scores

NBA Win Probability Box Scores (click here for LIVE graphs)

Real Time? Pre Game Odds?

winProb
gameTime
fourFactors
pace
on/off
misc

Utah Jazz	106		Excitement	7.6 [349]		MVP	Mark Williams (CHA): +24.1%
Charlotte Hornets	110		Comeback	1.0 [886]		LVP	KJ Martin (UTA): -13.9%

Utah Jazz
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Brice Sensabaugh	0.17	0,0,0,0,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.01,0.05,0.05,0.03,0.03,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.14,0.2,0.22,0.2,0.2,0.2,0.2,0.2,0.2,0.2,0.2,0.2,0.2,0.2,0.2,0.2,0.2,0.21,0.21,0.21,0.21,0.21,0.17,0.17	0.16	0.02	0.01	11	79%	0.17	0	0.00	2	100%	0.01
Johnny Juzang	0.10	0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.04,0.04,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1	0.06	0.03	-0.01	10	60%	0.10	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Keyonte George	0.05	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.03,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,0.02,0.02,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,-0.01,-0.01,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.02,0.03,0.14,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.05	-0.00	0.01	-0.04	20	47%	0.15	2	-0.10	3	100%	0.02
Jaden Springer	0.04	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.04,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.04,0.07,0.04,0.04	0.02	0.00	-0.02	9	55%	0.08	1	-0.04	2	100%	0.01
Isaiah Collier	0.04	0,0,0,0,0,-0.03,-0.03,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.08,-0.08,-0.05,-0.05,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.11,-0.14,-0.14,-0.11,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.11,-0.11,-0.02,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04	-0.01	0.05	0.01	11	61%	0.15	4	-0.11	6	83%	0.01
Oscar Tshiebwe	-0.02	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.03,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02	0.02	-0.03	0.02	4	75%	0.02	1	-0.04	0	0%	0.00
Kyle Filipowski	-0.04	0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.08,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.12,-0.04,-0.08,-0.05,-0.04	-0.02	-0.03	-0.01	16	44%	0.03	1	-0.07	0	0%	0.00
Svi Mykhailiuk	-0.10	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.07,-0.07,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1	-0.09	-0.02	-0.01	7	12%	-0.10	0	0.00	2	100%	0.01
KJ Martin	-0.14	0,0,0,0.03,0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14	-0.05	-0.07	0.01	8	31%	-0.10	1	-0.04	0	0%	0.00

Charlotte Hornets
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Mark Williams	0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.11,0.17,0.11,0.15,0.24,0.24,0.24	0.24	0.10	0.13	-0.01	9	90%	0.34	3	-0.10	2	100%	0.03
Josh Green	0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,0,0,0.04,0.04,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.18	0.18	0.13	0.06	0.00	5	100%	0.21	1	-0.02	4	75%	0.00
Tidjane Salaun	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14	0.14	0.13	0.02	0.01	5	100%	0.14	0	0.00	2	50%	-0.00
Miles Bridges	0,0,0.01,0.01,0,0.02,0.02,0.05,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.11,0.11,0.1,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.11,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.11,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.11,0.11,0.07,0.13,0.09,0.09,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.13,0.13	0.13	0.10	0.04	0.01	17	74%	0.28	4	-0.14	1	100%	0.01
DaQuan Jeffries	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.06,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11	0.11	0.07	0.04	-0.01	7	71%	0.11	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Jusuf Nurkic	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.01,-0.07,-0.04,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01	0.01	-0.02	0.02	-0.01	7	40%	0.04	1	-0.04	1	0%	-0.02
Taj Gibson	0	0.00	0.00	0.00	0.00	0	0%	0.00	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Moussa Diabate	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,0,0,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04	-0.04	-0.02	-0.02	0.00	2	67%	0.01	2	-0.06	2	0%	-0.04
KJ Simpson	0,0,0,0.03,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.03,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.09,-0.09,0.01,-0.02,0.04,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.04,-0.07,-0.04,-0.05	-0.05	-0.06	-0.00	-0.01	13	38%	0.03	2	-0.08	0	0%	0.00
Seth Curry	0,0,0,0.03,0.03,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,0,0,-0.02,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.09,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13	-0.13	-0.07	-0.05	0.00	9	35%	-0.06	2	-0.07	2	100%	0.01
Nick Smith Jr.	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.01,0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.04,-0.04,-0.07,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13	-0.13	-0.10	-0.05	-0.02	6	25%	-0.05	3	-0.09	0	0%	0.00

Game Length Report (minutes)

	Q1		Q2		Q3		Q4	Total
this game	23.3	1.7	26.1	14.5	23.2	2.4	30.7	121.9
league avg	25.8	2.3	28.1	14.9	28.5	2.3	32.1	134.9

Win Probability Added by the Four Factors

(aka How the Game Was Won)

victory
100% WP

start
50% WP

CHA +66.8%

UTA -11.7%

CHA +3.5%

UTA -19.1%

CHA +10.5%

Pace and Efficiency Report

	seconds / possession			points / 100 possessions
all possessions	UTA	CHA	NBA	UTA	CHA	NBA
this game	14.7	15.5	14.4	111.6	114.6	113.1
season	14.8	15.0		109.6	106.2
opponent	14.2	13.7		115.2	119.0

Quarterly Pace Report (seconds per possession)

	Q1	Q2	Q3	Q4	Total
UTA	14.9	17.6	14.5	12.1	14.7
CHA	16.4	14.4	16.1	15.0	15.5

On/Off Win Probability and Pace Statistics

Utah Jazz
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Oscar Tshiebwe	47	45	0.04	-0.54	0.59	-0.02	2	-6	8	14.9	14.5	0.39	16.2	14.9	1.27
Johnny Juzang	38	39	-0.01	-0.49	0.48	0.08	-3	-1	-2	15.7	14.0	1.68	15.0	15.8	-0.81
Svi Mykhailiuk	30	30	-0.09	-0.41	0.33	-0.17	3	-7	10	14.6	14.7	-0.16	18.4	14.2	4.20
Isaiah Collier	64	67	-0.29	-0.21	-0.08	-0.17	-4	0	-4	14.7	14.6	0.14	15.0	16.5	-1.49
Brice Sensabaugh	54	56	-0.37	-0.13	-0.23	-0.28	-3	-1	-2	14.1	15.4	-1.26	14.8	16.4	-1.58
Kyle Filipowski	68	70	-0.42	-0.08	-0.35	-0.40	-1	-3	2	14.4	15.3	-0.82	14.6	18.0	-3.40
KJ Martin	57	58	-0.43	-0.07	-0.36	-0.05	-13	9	-22	14.9	14.4	0.51	16.2	14.4	1.84
Jaden Springer	55	54	-0.43	-0.07	-0.36	-0.46	1	-5	6	14.0	15.5	-1.51	15.7	15.1	0.60
Keyonte George	62	61	-0.50	0.00	-0.51	-0.44	-2	-2	0	15.0	14.0	0.99	15.1	16.1	-1.04

Charlotte Hornets
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Mark Williams	69	68	0.77	-0.27	1.04	0.33	15	-11	26	15.5	15.4	0.10	14.8	14.4	0.37
Miles Bridges	69	70	0.71	-0.21	0.91	0.21	17	-13	30	15.3	15.8	-0.47	15.1	13.4	1.67
KJ Simpson	64	64	0.64	-0.14	0.78	0.23	14	-10	24	16.0	14.4	1.66	14.3	15.5	-1.15
Josh Green	55	54	0.35	0.15	0.21	0.12	8	-4	12	14.0	17.4	-3.38	14.9	14.3	0.63
Tidjane Salaun	49	47	0.23	0.27	-0.03	0.38	-5	9	-14	15.8	15.2	0.56	14.3	15.1	-0.83
Seth Curry	54	53	0.22	0.28	-0.06	0.02	7	-3	10	14.6	16.6	-2.07	15.3	13.8	1.51
Nick Smith Jr.	40	38	0.01	0.49	-0.48	0.33	-11	15	-26	15.1	15.7	-0.61	14.2	15.0	-0.86
DaQuan Jeffries	31	32	-0.04	0.54	-0.59	0.07	-4	8	-12	18.5	14.0	4.44	14.5	14.8	-0.26
Taj Gibson	11	11	-0.10	0.60	-0.70	0.02	-4	8	-12	15.3	15.5	-0.23	13.3	14.9	-1.58
Jusuf Nurkic	20	21	-0.15	0.65	-0.79	0.09	-8	12	-20	17.5	14.9	2.55	12.8	15.2	-2.45
Moussa Diabate	18	17	-0.15	0.65	-0.80	0.12	-9	13	-22	13.8	15.9	-2.09	16.8	14.2	2.62

Dopplegamers 0.5,0.51,0.55,0.6,0.55,0.64,0.66,0.68,0.72,0.74,0.73,0.68,0.66,0.65,0.58,0.6,0.71,0.73,0.78,0.68,0.71,0.76,0.74,0.69,0.75,0.7,0.58,0.55,0.64,0.7,0.73,0.66,0.65,0.56,0.52,0.7,0.56,0.58,0.62,0.7,0.74,0.54,0.74,0.76,0.73,0.86,0.84,0.94,0.98,1
Game		Similarity Score
DET 98, SAC 103	0.5,0.49,0.52,0.55,0.62,0.59,0.63,0.59,0.67,0.7,0.69,0.76,0.68,0.68,0.63,0.62,0.64,0.75,0.76,0.82,0.78,0.76,0.72,0.67,0.73,0.63,0.62,0.55,0.64,0.61,0.76,0.77,0.75,0.65,0.59,0.48,0.51,0.66,0.66,0.71,0.8,0.72,0.7,0.8,0.83,0.86,0.85,0.95,1,1	93.3%
IND 84, LAL 96	0.5,0.51,0.52,0.6,0.65,0.65,0.69,0.69,0.7,0.71,0.77,0.73,0.76,0.7,0.6,0.66,0.66,0.67,0.7,0.72,0.79,0.74,0.66,0.7,0.7,0.73,0.65,0.63,0.67,0.67,0.67,0.63,0.63,0.62,0.66,0.7,0.64,0.58,0.58,0.53,0.57,0.68,0.64,0.66,0.72,0.69,0.9,0.95,1,1	93.0%
MIA 97, CHI 101	0.5,0.49,0.55,0.58,0.64,0.62,0.6,0.61,0.66,0.72,0.72,0.71,0.7,0.7,0.78,0.74,0.73,0.75,0.76,0.76,0.73,0.71,0.77,0.75,0.7,0.75,0.68,0.66,0.67,0.67,0.64,0.68,0.59,0.52,0.48,0.52,0.56,0.54,0.52,0.57,0.76,0.68,0.74,0.88,0.87,0.96,0.93,0.99,0.97,1	92.5%