NBA Win Probability Game Box Scores

NBA Win Probability Box Scores (click here for LIVE graphs)

Real Time? Pre Game Odds?

winProb
gameTime
fourFactors
pace
on/off
misc

Charlotte Hornets	94		Excitement	10.2 [66]		MVP	Nick Smith Jr. (CHA): +43.6%
New Orleans Pelicans	98		Comeback	4.5 [401]		LVP	DaQuan Jeffries (CHA): -38.1%

Charlotte Hornets
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Nick Smith Jr.	0.44	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.03,-0.05,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.03,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.03,0.06,0.04,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,0.08,0.08,0.44	0.06	0.37	-0.01	16	56%	0.46	1	-0.03	2	100%	0.01
Miles Bridges	0.08	0,0,0,0,0.02,0,0.03,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.05,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.05,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.09,0.09,0.03,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08	0.06	0.03	0.01	16	53%	0.10	1	-0.02	6	83%	0.02
Wendell Moore Jr.	0.04	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.03,-0.03,0.02,0.02,0.07,0.07,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04	-0.03	0.06	-0.00	8	50%	0.09	2	-0.05	0	0%	0.00
KJ Simpson	0.03	0,0,-0.01,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.05,-0.05,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.1,-0.07,-0.07,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.17,-0.17,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,0.03,0.03	-0.06	0.09	-0.00	12	35%	0.05	1	-0.02	2	100%	0.05
Moussa Diabate	0.02	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,0,-0.06,-0.06,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02	-0.02	0.04	-0.00	5	40%	0.04	1	-0.02	5	80%	-0.01
Jusuf Nurkic	0.01	0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.04,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.1,-0.08,-0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01	0.00	0.00	-0.00	10	54%	0.07	2	-0.06	4	75%	0.00
Taj Gibson	-0.00	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.04,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	-0.01	0.01	0.00	4	50%	0.02	1	-0.03	0	0%	0.00
Josh Okogie	-0.01	0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,-0.03,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01	-0.01	0.00	0.00	4	50%	0.02	1	-0.02	4	100%	0.02
Tidjane Salaun	-0.23	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.01,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.04,-0.04,-0.12,-0.16,-0.16,-0.16,-0.16,-0.16,-0.22,-0.22,-0.23	-0.10	-0.14	-0.01	7	25%	-0.13	2	-0.09	2	100%	0.01
DaQuan Jeffries	-0.38	0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.05,0.03,0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.12,-0.27,-0.38	-0.09	-0.29	-0.00	9	28%	-0.12	2	-0.26	0	0%	0.00

New Orleans Pelicans
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Keion Brooks Jr.	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.12,0.12,0.09,0.06,0.15,0.11,0.16,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.19,0.28	0.28	0.10	0.18	0.00	12	65%	0.32	1	-0.04	2	100%	0.01
Antonio Reeves	0,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.03,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.01,0.09,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.02,0.02,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14	0.14	0.10	0.05	0.01	10	80%	0.18	2	-0.04	0	0%	0.00
Jeremiah Robinson-Earl	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.04,0.04,0.02,0.04,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.11,0.11,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12	0.12	0.06	0.07	0.00	10	60%	0.12	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Lester Quinones	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06	0.06	0.04	0.02	0.00	3	83%	0.06	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Yves Missi	0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.02,0.02,0.02	0.02	-0.01	0.02	-0.01	6	50%	0.10	1	-0.07	4	50%	-0.06
Karlo Matkovic	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.02,0.04,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.04,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.04,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	0.00	0.02	-0.01	0.01	9	50%	0.00	0	0.00	2	100%	0.01
Kelly Olynyk	0,0,0.02,-0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0,0.05,0.05,0.03,0.03,0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	-0.00	-0.01	-0.01	-0.02	9	59%	0.05	3	-0.05	4	75%	-0.01
Jamal Cain	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.04,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05	-0.05	-0.05	-0.00	-0.00	2	0%	-0.03	1	-0.02	0	0%	0.00
Jose Alvarado	0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.07,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.09,-0.06,-0.1,-0.1,-0.12,-0.09,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.15,-0.19,-0.24,-0.24,-0.22,-0.22,-0.4,-0.08	-0.08	-0.15	0.05	-0.03	16	34%	0.03	5	-0.11	3	100%	0.05
Bruce Brown	0,0,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.05,-0.05,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.09,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.08,-0.08	-0.08	-0.11	0.01	-0.02	8	17%	-0.07	1	-0.01	2	50%	-0.04
Elfrid Payton	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.15,-0.19,-0.19,-0.23,-0.23,-0.23,-0.23,-0.23,-0.23,-0.23	-0.23	-0.14	-0.10	0.00	7	14%	-0.12	3	-0.12	0	0%	0.00

Game Length Report (minutes)

	Q1		Q2		Q3		Q4	Total
this game	24.6	2.3	27.6	15.3	23.7	1.6	34.5	129.7
league avg	25.9	2.3	28.2	14.9	28.6	2.3	32.2	135.3

Win Probability Added by the Four Factors

(aka How the Game Was Won)

victory
100% WP

start
50% WP

NOP +5.0%

CHA -0.4%

NOP +29.8%

NOP +16.4%

CHA -0.7%

Pace and Efficiency Report

	seconds / possession			points / 100 possessions
all possessions	CHA	NOP	NBA	CHA	NOP	NBA
this game	13.4	14.4	14.4	91.3	94.2	113.0
season	15.0	14.4		106.2	109.3
opponent	14.3	14.2		118.3	115.2

Quarterly Pace Report (seconds per possession)

	Q1	Q2	Q3	Q4	Total
CHA	12.2	14.1	14.7	13.0	13.4
NOP	13.0	14.7	14.7	15.2	14.4

On/Off Win Probability and Pace Statistics

Charlotte Hornets
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Jusuf Nurkic	48	45	0.22	-0.72	0.94	-0.10	11	-15	26	13.3	13.6	-0.25	14.8	14.0	0.83
Josh Okogie	25	25	0.16	-0.66	0.82	-0.08	8	-12	20	11.6	14.0	-2.39	15.1	14.2	0.93
Miles Bridges	52	54	-0.00	-0.50	0.49	-0.12	4	-8	12	12.1	14.8	-2.73	14.1	14.6	-0.51
Taj Gibson	33	33	-0.08	-0.42	0.34	0.04	-4	0	-4	14.1	13.1	0.99	12.5	15.3	-2.81
Wendell Moore Jr.	52	53	-0.17	-0.33	0.17	-0.14	-1	-3	2	14.1	12.7	1.39	12.9	15.9	-3.00
DaQuan Jeffries	61	61	-0.45	-0.05	-0.40	-0.31	-5	1	-6	13.3	13.7	-0.45	15.8	12.4	3.34
Moussa Diabate	34	35	-0.46	-0.04	-0.41	-0.37	-3	-1	-2	13.6	13.3	0.30	14.7	14.2	0.51
KJ Simpson	75	75	-0.49	-0.01	-0.49	-0.32	-6	2	-8	13.6	13.1	0.42	15.1	12.6	2.43
Tidjane Salaun	62	64	-0.59	0.09	-0.68	-0.24	-12	8	-20	13.5	13.3	0.17	13.7	15.4	-1.67
Nick Smith Jr.	73	75	-0.64	0.14	-0.78	-0.29	-12	8	-20	14.2	11.6	2.61	14.5	14.0	0.47

New Orleans Pelicans
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Keion Brooks Jr.	55	53	0.58	-0.08	0.66	0.34	8	-4	12	13.9	15.0	-1.10	14.7	12.2	2.50
Bruce Brown	64	63	0.54	-0.04	0.59	0.34	7	-3	10	15.7	12.2	3.58	13.5	13.4	0.12
Jose Alvarado	66	64	0.46	0.04	0.43	0.44	1	3	-2	15.8	11.9	3.91	13.0	14.1	-1.10
Jeremiah Robinson-Earl	51	51	0.44	0.06	0.37	0.26	6	-2	8	12.9	15.8	-2.93	14.4	12.5	1.91
Karlo Matkovic	51	50	0.35	0.15	0.19	0.02	11	-7	18	11.9	16.7	-4.81	14.9	12.1	2.79
Antonio Reeves	59	60	0.15	0.35	-0.20	0.21	-2	6	-8	15.4	13.0	2.35	12.6	14.6	-1.95
Lester Quinones	27	27	0.07	0.43	-0.36	0.01	2	2	0	11.4	15.4	-4.06	14.0	13.2	0.75
Yves Missi	53	52	0.06	0.44	-0.37	0.33	-9	13	-22	16.7	11.9	4.81	12.3	14.6	-2.34
Elfrid Payton	42	43	0.04	0.46	-0.42	-0.05	3	1	2	12.2	15.9	-3.70	13.9	13.1	0.79
Jamal Cain	5	6	-0.10	0.59	-0.69	-0.01	-3	7	-10	16.6	14.3	2.34	10.8	13.6	-2.77
Kelly Olynyk	47	46	-0.10	0.60	-0.70	0.02	-4	8	-12	14.9	13.9	0.99	11.9	14.7	-2.81

Dopplegamers 0.5,0.49,0.51,0.46,0.48,0.47,0.42,0.41,0.43,0.45,0.49,0.5,0.49,0.4,0.51,0.42,0.42,0.38,0.37,0.32,0.27,0.24,0.24,0.23,0.2,0.25,0.29,0.4,0.36,0.3,0.24,0.32,0.29,0.44,0.48,0.33,0.4,0.54,0.52,0.67,0.57,0.58,0.64,0.51,0.67,0.68,0.71,0.68,0.85,1
Game		Similarity Score
CLE 104, ORL 108	0.5,0.49,0.48,0.52,0.51,0.49,0.53,0.55,0.53,0.51,0.45,0.49,0.54,0.46,0.47,0.42,0.38,0.4,0.35,0.34,0.25,0.25,0.23,0.23,0.25,0.33,0.26,0.34,0.36,0.33,0.24,0.32,0.32,0.41,0.48,0.52,0.44,0.5,0.52,0.43,0.48,0.58,0.69,0.42,0.67,0.61,0.66,0.69,0.84,1	93.6%
MIN 93, POR 97	0.5,0.51,0.49,0.48,0.52,0.49,0.51,0.43,0.41,0.39,0.43,0.45,0.47,0.35,0.38,0.4,0.38,0.38,0.29,0.3,0.27,0.24,0.22,0.25,0.25,0.33,0.27,0.2,0.2,0.24,0.27,0.39,0.38,0.41,0.41,0.48,0.48,0.46,0.66,0.66,0.76,0.73,0.74,0.59,0.53,0.69,0.79,0.67,0.73,1	92.0%
DEN 103, HOU 106	0.5,0.49,0.52,0.46,0.45,0.43,0.4,0.4,0.41,0.37,0.4,0.36,0.34,0.37,0.4,0.3,0.34,0.35,0.33,0.3,0.27,0.24,0.21,0.19,0.18,0.22,0.23,0.31,0.39,0.36,0.24,0.29,0.32,0.44,0.48,0.52,0.6,0.74,0.57,0.62,0.53,0.58,0.64,0.65,0.67,0.53,0.7,0.9,0.96,1	91.7%