NBA Win Probability Game Box Scores

NBA Win Probability Box Scores (click here for LIVE graphs)

Real Time? Pre Game Odds?

winProb
gameTime
fourFactors
pace
on/off
misc

Los Angeles Lakers	134		Excitement	7.4 [373]		MVP	Rui Hachimura (LAL): +20.9%
Memphis Grizzlies	127		Comeback	2.1 [428]		LVP	Ja Morant (MEM): -9.1%

Los Angeles Lakers
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Rui Hachimura	0.21	0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.04,0.04,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.21,0.21	0.11	0.10	0.01	8	81%	0.21	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Austin Reaves	0.17	0,0,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.01,0.05,0.05,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.07,0.07,0.1,0.1,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.07,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.16,0.16,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.19,0.15,0.15,0.17,0.17,0.17,0.17,0.17,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.16,0.17,0.17	0.17	0.06	0.06	16	74%	0.25	3	-0.08	10	100%	0.05
Luka Doncic	0.14	0,0,0,0.02,0,-0.01,-0.01,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.04,0.02,0.05,0.08,0.08,0.06,0.05,0.02,0.02,-0.01,-0.01,0.05,0.05,0.12,0.09,0.12,0.1,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.12,0.17,0.17,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14	0.10	0.06	0.02	18	60%	0.23	3	-0.09	12	92%	0.06
LeBron James	0.14	0,0,0,-0.01,0.02,0.03,0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,0,0,0.03,0.03,0,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.01,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14	0.02	0.09	-0.02	21	54%	0.23	3	-0.09	4	75%	0.02
Gabe Vincent	0.12	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,0.02,0.02,0.06,0.1,0.1,0.14,0.18,0.18,0.18,0.18,0.18,0.18,0.18,0.18,0.18,0.18,0.18,0.18,0.18,0.18,0.18,0.18,0.18,0.18,0.18,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12	0.15	-0.02	0.01	7	100%	0.15	1	-0.03	1	100%	0.00
Dorian Finney-Smith	0.06	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0,0,0,0.06,0.06,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.05,0.05,0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.06,0.06,0.06	0.04	0.02	-0.00	9	61%	0.09	1	-0.03	0	0%	0.00
Jaxson Hayes	0.05	0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05	-0.00	0.04	-0.00	1	100%	0.06	1	-0.02	0	0%	0.00
Dalton Knecht	0.00	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	0.00	0.00	0.00	2	50%	0.00	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Jarred Vanderbilt	0.00	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	0.01	-0.01	-0.00	5	60%	0.02	1	-0.01	0	0%	0.00
Jordan Goodwin	-0.03	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03	-0.03	0.00	-0.00	2	0%	-0.03	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00

Memphis Grizzlies
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Desmond Bane	0,0,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.04,0.04,0.03,0.01,0.01,0.03,0.06,0.06,0.17,0.17,0.2,0.2,0.2,0.2,0.25,0.25,0.25,0.25,0.25,0.25,0.25,0.25,0.25,0.25,0.21,0.21,0.21,0.21,0.21,0.21,0.21	0.21	0.24	0.01	0.05	18	81%	0.21	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Jaren Jackson Jr.	0,0,0,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.07,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.17,0.22,0.27,0.27,0.23,0.23,0.19,0.19,0.19,0.19,0.19,0.19	0.19	0.16	0.06	0.03	13	75%	0.20	1	-0.01	6	83%	0.01
Scotty Pippen Jr.	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.1,0.1,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.17,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1	0.10	0.15	-0.02	0.02	8	94%	0.15	1	-0.05	1	100%	0.00
Jaylen Wells	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.05,0.09,0.07,0.07,0.07	0.07	0.04	0.03	0.01	8	55%	0.07	0	0.00	4	100%	0.04
Zach Edey	0,0,0.02,0.02,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.04,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.08,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.11,0.11,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06	0.06	0.07	0.00	0.01	10	64%	0.09	1	-0.02	2	0%	-0.03
Jay Huff	0	0.00	0.00	0.00	0.00	0	0%	0.00	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Luke Kennard	0	0.00	0.00	0.00	0.00	0	0%	0.00	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Lamar Stevens	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03	-0.03	-0.04	0.00	-0.00	1	0%	-0.01	1	-0.02	0	0%	0.00
Vince Williams Jr.	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04	-0.04	-0.01	-0.03	0.00	4	37%	-0.04	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Santi Aldama	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.02,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07	-0.07	-0.10	-0.00	-0.03	10	40%	0.04	4	-0.11	0	0%	0.00
Ja Morant	0,0,-0.01,0.01,-0.02,-0.01,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.04,-0.06,-0.07,-0.07,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.13,-0.13,-0.03,-0.03,-0.07,-0.02,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.06,-0.06,-0.09,-0.09	-0.09	-0.08	0.00	0.01	23	43%	0.03	4	-0.12	5	60%	-0.06

Game Length Report (minutes)

	Q1		Q2		Q3		Q4	Total
this game	23.5	2.4	26.4	15.4	33.4	2.5	38.3	141.8
league avg	25.8	2.3	28.1	14.9	28.5	2.3	32.1	134.9

Win Probability Added by the Four Factors

(aka How the Game Was Won)

victory
100% WP

start
50% WP

LAL +29.1%

LAL +20.1%

MEM -2.0%

MEM -0.8%

LAL +3.6%

Pace and Efficiency Report

	seconds / possession			points / 100 possessions
all possessions	LAL	MEM	NBA	LAL	MEM	NBA
this game	14.7	13.1	14.4	130.1	121.0	113.1
season	14.9	13.3		114.3	116.5
opponent	14.3	14.2		112.0	113.5

Quarterly Pace Report (seconds per possession)

	Q1	Q2	Q3	Q4	Total
LAL	13.4	13.7	15.8	15.8	14.7
MEM	13.3	14.0	12.5	12.4	13.1

On/Off Win Probability and Pace Statistics

Los Angeles Lakers
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Luka Doncic	82	84	0.76	-0.26	1.01	0.43	11	-4	15	14.2	16.5	-2.29	13.4	11.7	1.74
Dorian Finney-Smith	73	73	0.72	-0.22	0.94	0.25	16	-9	25	14.3	15.4	-1.10	13.7	11.5	2.19
Jaxson Hayes	36	37	0.41	0.09	0.32	0.32	3	4	-1	14.9	14.5	0.45	13.3	12.9	0.33
Gabe Vincent	49	50	0.24	0.26	-0.01	-0.02	9	-2	11	15.7	13.7	1.99	12.5	13.6	-1.06
Austin Reaves	81	83	0.20	0.30	-0.09	0.35	-5	12	-17	14.9	13.8	1.06	12.9	13.7	-0.79
Dalton Knecht	11	11	0.10	0.40	-0.30	0.01	3	4	-1	16.2	14.5	1.71	14.5	12.9	1.56
LeBron James	82	86	0.08	0.42	-0.33	0.11	-1	8	-9	14.2	16.5	-2.35	12.6	15.1	-2.44
Jordan Goodwin	17	16	0.06	0.44	-0.38	-0.03	3	4	-1	16.0	14.4	1.62	11.7	13.3	-1.54
Rui Hachimura	63	61	-0.03	0.53	-0.55	0.06	-3	10	-13	14.4	15.1	-0.73	13.5	12.4	1.08
Jarred Vanderbilt	21	24	-0.05	0.55	-0.60	-0.02	-1	8	-9	14.6	14.7	-0.04	11.9	13.4	-1.53

Memphis Grizzlies
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Ja Morant	75	71	0.04	-0.54	0.58	0.04	0	-7	7	12.2	15.2	-3.05	14.2	15.7	-1.50
Jaren Jackson Jr.	63	62	-0.01	-0.49	0.48	-0.19	6	-13	19	12.0	14.6	-2.60	15.4	13.5	1.97
Zach Edey	59	56	-0.10	-0.40	0.30	-0.13	1	-8	9	13.9	11.9	2.00	14.7	14.6	0.02
Jaylen Wells	51	51	-0.12	-0.38	0.25	-0.24	4	-11	15	13.5	12.7	0.80	14.6	14.7	-0.01
Lamar Stevens	15	18	-0.21	-0.29	0.09	0.03	-8	1	-9	14.7	12.8	1.96	14.1	14.8	-0.72
Jay Huff	12	10	-0.21	-0.29	0.08	0.03	-8	1	-9	13.7	13.0	0.69	13.5	14.8	-1.27
Luke Kennard	47	45	-0.22	-0.28	0.05	0.04	-9	2	-11	12.4	13.6	-1.14	15.1	14.3	0.78
Vince Williams Jr.	39	37	-0.24	-0.26	0.02	0.05	-10	3	-13	12.8	13.2	-0.34	15.4	14.2	1.18
Desmond Bane	72	70	-0.42	-0.08	-0.33	-0.47	2	-9	11	13.6	11.9	1.67	14.2	15.5	-1.27
Santi Aldama	58	58	-0.50	-0.00	-0.49	-0.29	-7	0	-7	12.6	13.7	-1.09	14.3	15.1	-0.74
Scotty Pippen Jr.	34	37	-0.51	0.01	-0.53	-0.34	-6	-1	-5	14.6	12.3	2.35	14.8	14.6	0.25

Dopplegamers 0.5,0.51,0.49,0.49,0.45,0.47,0.44,0.41,0.39,0.43,0.43,0.35,0.34,0.28,0.26,0.18,0.13,0.13,0.15,0.23,0.34,0.24,0.17,0.18,0.22,0.2,0.31,0.39,0.42,0.42,0.36,0.35,0.26,0.24,0.23,0.22,0.2,0.38,0.48,0.52,0.58,0.63,0.41,0.34,0.17,0.19,0.15,0.1,0,0
Game		Similarity Score
DAL 90, UTA 87	0.5,0.49,0.46,0.48,0.46,0.47,0.47,0.43,0.38,0.33,0.37,0.31,0.3,0.3,0.32,0.28,0.2,0.25,0.22,0.22,0.21,0.2,0.16,0.17,0.14,0.2,0.16,0.25,0.25,0.3,0.36,0.32,0.32,0.38,0.34,0.33,0.25,0.3,0.34,0.34,0.42,0.47,0.41,0.24,0.14,0.04,0.03,0,0,0	91.2%
POR 125, MIN 121	0.5,0.51,0.49,0.49,0.46,0.41,0.37,0.38,0.36,0.32,0.3,0.27,0.29,0.32,0.32,0.26,0.27,0.25,0.24,0.24,0.3,0.27,0.21,0.28,0.3,0.25,0.29,0.28,0.22,0.27,0.36,0.44,0.41,0.28,0.34,0.33,0.4,0.54,0.52,0.67,0.57,0.53,0.31,0.29,0.22,0.25,0.15,0.23,0.08,0	91.1%
NJN 100, IND 91	0.5,0.51,0.52,0.49,0.45,0.46,0.47,0.38,0.43,0.39,0.38,0.38,0.34,0.34,0.28,0.28,0.21,0.23,0.22,0.3,0.34,0.36,0.34,0.3,0.33,0.22,0.19,0.21,0.2,0.19,0.33,0.29,0.28,0.24,0.26,0.37,0.32,0.46,0.62,0.62,0.48,0.47,0.36,0.41,0.27,0.32,0.21,0.15,0.04,0	90.8%