NBA Win Probability Game Box Scores

NBA Win Probability Box Scores (click here for LIVE graphs)

Real Time? Pre Game Odds?

winProb
gameTime
fourFactors
pace
on/off
misc

Los Angeles Lakers	117		Excitement	8.0 [299]		MVP	Austin Reaves (LAL): +80.8%
Chicago Bulls	119		Comeback	177.6 [12]		LVP	Dorian Finney-Smith (LAL): -10.3%

Los Angeles Lakers
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Austin Reaves	0.81	0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0.02,0.06,0.11,0.09,0.09,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.1,0.1,0.07,0.07,0.1,0.13,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.14,0.21,0.21,0.21,0.19,0.19,0.19,0.81	0.19	0.62	-0.00	17	73%	0.85	2	-0.04	7	100%	0.03
Jaxson Hayes	0.18	0,0,-0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.04,0.06,0.06,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.18,0.18	0.15	0.04	0.01	11	79%	0.18	0	0.00	2	50%	-0.01
Jordan Goodwin	0.06	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.05,0.08,0.08,0.07,0.07,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06	0.06	0.00	0.01	4	100%	0.07	1	-0.01	0	0%	0.00
Jarred Vanderbilt	0.03	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03	0.06	0.00	0.04	4	78%	0.03	0	0.00	1	100%	0.00
Luka Doncic	0.02	0,0,-0.01,-0.01,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,0,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.05,-0.02,0,-0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.05,0.05,0.06,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.03,0.02	0.04	0.01	0.03	22	50%	0.05	1	-0.03	6	83%	0.00
Gabe Vincent	0.02	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.05,0.05,0.02,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02	0.05	-0.01	0.03	6	67%	0.02	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Dalton Knecht	-0.02	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02	-0.03	0.00	-0.01	2	0%	-0.02	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
LeBron James	-0.10	0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,-0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.08,-0.02,-0.02,0,0,0,0,-0.03,-0.04,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.01,-0.02,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.01,-0.01,-0.1	-0.12	-0.03	-0.04	20	40%	0.06	4	-0.16	2	50%	-0.00
Dorian Finney-Smith	-0.10	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.11,-0.06,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1	-0.09	-0.02	-0.01	5	30%	-0.03	3	-0.07	0	0%	0.00

Chicago Bulls
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Coby White	0,0,0,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.04,0.05,0.04,0.04,0.03,0.01,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.01,-0.01,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.04,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.06,-0.05,0.07,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.01,0.01,0,0.57	0.57	0.08	0.52	0.03	20	59%	0.61	2	-0.04	4	75%	-0.01
Josh Giddey	0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.05,0.05,0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,0.05,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,-0.02,-0.07,-0.07,-0.1,-0.12,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.14,-0.13,-0.13,-0.18,-0.15,0.53	0.53	-0.06	0.59	0.01	19	53%	0.73	7	-0.21	9	56%	-0.04
Kevin Huerter	0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.04,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.04,0.04,0.02,0.01,0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.03,-0.04,-0.04,-0.05,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.2	0.20	0.08	0.14	0.01	17	62%	0.24	2	-0.04	0	0%	0.00
Nikola Vucevic	0,0,0,0,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.02,-0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.06,0.06,0.06	0.06	0.05	0.01	0.00	10	64%	0.07	1	-0.01	2	50%	-0.02
Zach Collins	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.01,0.02,0.06,0.06,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04	0.04	0.06	0.00	0.02	5	100%	0.11	2	-0.06	0	0%	0.00
Patrick Williams	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,0,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.06,-0.06,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,0.02	0.02	0.06	-0.01	0.03	8	61%	0.02	0	0.00	2	50%	-0.01
Matas Buzelis	0,0,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.06,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	-0.00	0.01	-0.01	0.00	10	48%	0.03	1	-0.03	5	80%	0.01
Dalen Terry	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02	-0.02	-0.03	0.00	-0.01	2	0%	-0.02	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Julian Phillips	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02	-0.02	-0.02	-0.01	0.00	1	0%	-0.02	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00

Game Length Report (minutes)

	Q1		Q2		Q3		Q4	Total
this game	27.4	2.5	31.2	14.7	28.5	2.4	34.8	141.4
league avg	25.9	2.3	28.2	14.9	28.6	2.3	32.2	135.3

Win Probability Added by the Four Factors

(aka How the Game Was Won)

victory
100% WP

start
50% WP

CHI +60.7%

LAL -5.5%

CHI +4.0%

LAL -7.4%

LAL -1.8%

Pace and Efficiency Report

	seconds / possession			points / 100 possessions
all possessions	LAL	CHI	NBA	LAL	CHI	NBA
this game	14.5	13.0	14.4	111.4	113.3	113.1
season	15.0	13.2		114.1	112.4
opponent	14.5	14.3		114.2	113.3

Quarterly Pace Report (seconds per possession)

	Q1	Q2	Q3	Q4	Total
LAL	15.2	10.9	14.5	17.4	14.5
CHI	12.5	14.3	15.5	9.6	13.0

On/Off Win Probability and Pace Statistics

Los Angeles Lakers
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Dalton Knecht	27	26	0.17	-0.67	0.84	0.03	5	-7	12	14.7	14.4	0.37	15.0	12.3	2.66
Jaxson Hayes	66	69	0.13	-0.63	0.76	0.39	-9	7	-16	16.0	11.9	4.13	12.4	14.1	-1.71
Jordan Goodwin	41	39	0.12	-0.62	0.74	0.03	3	-5	8	14.0	14.7	-0.73	14.7	11.9	2.75
Gabe Vincent	30	31	-0.01	-0.49	0.48	-0.39	13	-15	28	12.3	15.3	-3.03	14.2	12.4	1.79
Jarred Vanderbilt	45	42	-0.33	-0.17	-0.15	-0.59	9	-11	20	12.9	15.7	-2.80	13.8	12.4	1.45
Luka Doncic	83	83	-0.53	0.03	-0.56	-0.50	-1	-1	0	14.3	15.3	-1.02	12.7	14.0	-1.26
Austin Reaves	83	83	-0.65	0.15	-0.80	-0.36	-10	8	-18	14.6	13.9	0.76	11.9	17.0	-5.11
LeBron James	85	87	-0.68	0.18	-0.86	-0.39	-10	8	-18	14.7	13.3	1.38	12.4	15.8	-3.47
Dorian Finney-Smith	65	65	-0.72	0.22	-0.94	-0.43	-10	8	-18	14.9	13.7	1.16	13.1	12.8	0.30

Chicago Bulls
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Nikola Vucevic	73	72	0.79	-0.29	1.08	0.47	11	-9	20	12.6	13.7	-1.09	14.1	15.3	-1.26
Kevin Huerter	85	86	0.72	-0.22	0.94	0.37	12	-10	22	12.6	14.4	-1.78	14.7	13.5	1.21
Josh Giddey	88	89	0.62	-0.12	0.75	0.39	8	-6	14	12.7	14.2	-1.45	14.3	15.3	-1.00
Patrick Williams	67	64	0.62	-0.12	0.75	0.80	-6	8	-14	13.1	12.6	0.52	13.5	16.0	-2.60
Coby White	85	85	0.45	0.05	0.40	0.48	-1	3	-4	12.9	13.3	-0.42	14.6	13.8	0.76
Julian Phillips	14	14	-0.14	0.64	-0.77	0.04	-6	8	-14	14.9	12.7	2.19	14.9	14.4	0.53
Dalen Terry	29	28	-0.14	0.64	-0.77	-0.08	-2	4	-6	12.8	13.0	-0.28	16.0	13.9	2.14
Matas Buzelis	52	54	-0.15	0.65	-0.79	-0.23	3	-1	4	13.4	12.5	0.88	14.4	14.5	-0.12
Zach Collins	32	33	-0.29	0.79	-1.08	-0.03	-9	11	-20	13.7	12.6	1.09	15.3	14.1	1.26

Dopplegamers 0.5,0.49,0.54,0.55,0.57,0.64,0.63,0.61,0.64,0.7,0.68,0.69,0.71,0.7,0.68,0.64,0.58,0.53,0.65,0.63,0.64,0.54,0.58,0.67,0.64,0.5,0.45,0.37,0.31,0.27,0.27,0.21,0.22,0.16,0.15,0.12,0.07,0.03,0.02,0.01,0.04,0.07,0.17,0.05,0.03,0.07,0.11,0.1,0.05,1
Game		Similarity Score
MEM 82, IND 83	0.5,0.51,0.49,0.49,0.5,0.5,0.47,0.44,0.51,0.55,0.61,0.6,0.6,0.66,0.64,0.62,0.62,0.65,0.58,0.63,0.64,0.64,0.64,0.61,0.61,0.51,0.48,0.38,0.27,0.3,0.36,0.21,0.15,0.14,0.15,0.13,0.05,0.08,0.1,0.15,0.08,0.05,0.06,0.05,0.03,0.01,0.01,0.09,0.04,1	92.7%
WAS 116, ATL 120	0.5,0.51,0.52,0.52,0.55,0.49,0.48,0.51,0.51,0.59,0.55,0.62,0.66,0.63,0.58,0.58,0.56,0.62,0.63,0.61,0.58,0.56,0.58,0.61,0.56,0.46,0.32,0.26,0.34,0.3,0.29,0.35,0.19,0.24,0.12,0.12,0.11,0.19,0.16,0.06,0.06,0.12,0.31,0.24,0.18,0.25,0.16,0.32,0.23,1	90.4%
NJN 87, SAC 88	0.5,0.51,0.49,0.48,0.51,0.49,0.51,0.55,0.59,0.6,0.55,0.53,0.54,0.52,0.51,0.58,0.55,0.53,0.54,0.51,0.52,0.61,0.61,0.58,0.44,0.49,0.41,0.34,0.28,0.22,0.19,0.1,0.08,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.07,0.08,0.08,0.09,0.11,0.06,0.08,0.06,0.07,0.1,0.16,0.09,0.31,1	90.2%