NBA Win Probability Game Box Scores

NBA Win Probability Box Scores (click here for LIVE graphs)

winProb
gameTime
fourFactors
pace
on/off
misc

Memphis Grizzlies	82		Excitement	6.2 [582]		MVP	Reggie Miller (IND): +27.6%
Indiana Pacers	83		Comeback	226.3 [15]		LVP	Brevin Knight (MEM): -41.3%

Memphis Grizzlies
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Will Solomon	0.01	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01	-0.02	0.00	-0.03	1	0%	0.01	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Stromile Swift	0.01	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.03,0.02,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01	-0.01	0.01	-0.01	7	44%	0.01	0	0.00	2	50%	-0.01
Shane Battier	0.00	0,0,0,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0,-0.02,0,0,0,0,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.02,0.04,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.06,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.04,0.06,0.06,0.06,0	0.12	-0.07	0.05	17	71%	0.10	2	-0.09	4	75%	0.00
Tony Massenburg	-0.00	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,0	0.00	-0.00	-0.00	9	44%	-0.00	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Nick Anderson	-0.02	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02	-0.02	0.00	-0.00	1	0%	-0.02	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Rodney Buford	-0.03	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.01,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.03,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03	-0.04	-0.00	-0.02	10	43%	-0.02	1	-0.01	3	67%	-0.00
Grant Long	-0.10	0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.07,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1	-0.08	-0.02	-0.00	1	0%	-0.01	3	-0.09	0	0%	0.00
Pau Gasol	-0.15	0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,0,-0.03,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.06,-0.08,-0.09,-0.12,-0.12,-0.16,-0.15,-0.16,-0.16,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.09,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.06,-0.08,-0.1,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.13,-0.13,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.15,-0.15	-0.19	-0.01	-0.05	17	41%	-0.03	5	-0.12	10	60%	-0.04
Brevin Knight	-0.41	0,0,0,0,-0.01,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.03,-0.02,-0.02,-0.05,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.07,-0.07,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.09,-0.09,-0.41	-0.13	-0.31	-0.03	15	37%	-0.31	4	-0.10	2	100%	0.01

Indiana Pacers
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Reggie Miller	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.09,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.16,-0.2,-0.2,-0.2,-0.22,-0.22,-0.22,-0.22,-0.22,-0.22,-0.22,-0.22,-0.22,-0.22,0.28	0.28	-0.08	0.35	-0.01	9	40%	0.38	3	-0.10	2	100%	0.01
Carlos Rogers	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01	-0.01	-0.01	-0.00	0.00	2	50%	-0.01	0	0.00	2	50%	-0.01
Travis Best	0,0,0.02,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.03,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02	-0.02	0.01	-0.01	0.02	10	60%	0.03	2	-0.05	0	0%	0.00
Jeff Foster	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05	-0.05	-0.06	-0.01	-0.02	3	40%	-0.02	1	-0.03	4	50%	-0.02
Austin Croshere	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.05,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06	-0.06	-0.07	-0.01	-0.02	7	14%	-0.06	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Jonathan Bender	0,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.1,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06	-0.06	-0.01	-0.02	0.03	5	67%	-0.02	2	-0.05	8	75%	-0.00
Jalen Rose	0,0,0,0,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.04,0.04,0.05,0.07,0.07,0.08,0.08,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.02,0,0.02,0.01,0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.06,-0.06,-0.04,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.03,-0.08,-0.08	-0.08	0.03	-0.06	0.05	19	57%	-0.03	2	-0.05	6	100%	0.02
Jermaine O'Neal	0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.04,-0.06,-0.04,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.07,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.17,-0.13,-0.16,-0.16,-0.18,-0.19,-0.19,-0.19,-0.19,-0.19,-0.17,-0.17,-0.17,-0.17,-0.17,-0.18,-0.18,-0.18,-0.18,-0.18,-0.21,-0.21	-0.21	-0.16	-0.06	-0.01	19	38%	-0.12	3	-0.08	7	43%	-0.06

Game Length Report (minutes)

	Q1		Q2		Q3		Q4	Total
this game	25.8	2.4	34.5	16.4	23.6	2.5	31.4	136.6
league avg	46.4	2.2	28.5	14.6	24.5	2.3	30.0	149.9

Win Probability Added by the Four Factors

(aka How the Game Was Won)

victory
100% WP

start
50% WP

IND +44.1%

IND +2.4%

MEM -13.9%

IND +19.1%

MEM -1.7%

Pace and Efficiency Report

	seconds / possession			points / 100 possessions
all possessions	MEM	IND	NBA	MEM	IND	NBA
this game	16.5	14.0	15.6	87.2	87.4	102.3
season	15.7	15.3		96.0	101.6
opponent	15.4	15.2		100.9	103.8

Quarterly Pace Report (seconds per possession)

	Q1	Q2	Q3	Q4	Total
MEM	18.1	14.6	14.4	19.6	16.5
IND	13.2	14.8	14.4	13.4	14.0

On/Off Win Probability and Pace Statistics

Memphis Grizzlies
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Will Solomon	11	10	0.11	-0.61	0.72	0.11	0	-1	1	16.5	16.5	0.04	13.8	14.0	-0.20
Tony Massenburg	47	50	0.02	-0.52	0.55	-0.33	12	-13	25	15.8	17.2	-1.45	15.2	12.6	2.66
Nick Anderson	7	6	-0.04	-0.46	0.42	-0.01	-1	0	-1	13.4	16.8	-3.33	17.5	13.7	3.76
Grant Long	68	66	-0.13	-0.37	0.24	-0.19	2	-3	5	16.5	16.5	-0.04	14.1	13.7	0.37
Stromile Swift	32	32	-0.18	-0.32	0.15	0.15	-11	10	-21	17.7	15.9	1.88	12.7	14.6	-1.85
Shane Battier	75	76	-0.42	-0.08	-0.35	-0.60	6	-7	13	16.1	18.0	-1.87	13.9	14.4	-0.55
Pau Gasol	82	84	-0.45	-0.05	-0.40	-0.45	0	-1	1	16.6	15.9	0.68	13.9	14.6	-0.74
Brevin Knight	84	87	-0.55	0.05	-0.60	-0.52	-1	0	-1	16.5	16.8	-0.32	13.8	16.4	-2.62
Rodney Buford	64	64	-0.86	0.36	-1.23	-0.51	-12	11	-23	17.1	15.2	1.97	13.7	14.5	-0.75

Indiana Pacers
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Jonathan Bender	66	64	0.71	-0.21	0.91	0.62	3	-2	5	14.3	13.3	0.96	16.7	16.2	0.51
Reggie Miller	74	73	0.65	-0.15	0.80	0.48	6	-5	11	13.4	15.9	-2.47	16.4	16.9	-0.51
Travis Best	80	79	0.58	-0.08	0.66	0.49	3	-2	5	13.8	15.1	-1.37	16.9	14.5	2.43
Jermaine O'Neal	75	74	0.56	-0.06	0.62	0.47	3	-2	5	14.1	13.5	0.61	17.0	14.7	2.24
Jalen Rose	87	87	0.47	0.03	0.43	0.47	0	1	-1	13.8	15.9	-2.07	16.5	16.1	0.40
Austin Croshere	44	44	-0.11	0.61	-0.73	-0.11	0	1	-1	13.8	14.1	-0.26	16.9	16.1	0.79
Carlos Rogers	7	7	-0.13	0.63	-0.75	-0.04	-3	4	-7	11.7	14.2	-2.44	14.9	16.6	-1.79
Jeff Foster	42	42	-0.22	0.72	-0.95	-0.02	-7	8	-15	15.5	12.7	2.81	14.7	18.0	-3.33

Dopplegamers 0.5,0.51,0.49,0.49,0.5,0.5,0.47,0.44,0.51,0.55,0.61,0.6,0.6,0.66,0.64,0.62,0.62,0.65,0.58,0.63,0.64,0.64,0.64,0.61,0.61,0.51,0.48,0.38,0.27,0.3,0.36,0.21,0.15,0.14,0.15,0.13,0.05,0.08,0.1,0.15,0.08,0.05,0.06,0.05,0.03,0.01,0.01,0.09,0.04,1
Game		Similarity Score
DET 102, CHI 107	0.5,0.51,0.48,0.49,0.5,0.5,0.44,0.38,0.38,0.49,0.57,0.55,0.62,0.66,0.66,0.62,0.64,0.67,0.58,0.56,0.56,0.59,0.54,0.51,0.44,0.5,0.45,0.45,0.45,0.39,0.42,0.32,0.29,0.24,0.27,0.14,0.1,0.05,0.07,0.07,0.05,0.02,0.04,0.09,0.1,0.04,0.04,0.1,0.15,1	93.2%
NJN 87, SAC 88	0.5,0.51,0.49,0.48,0.51,0.49,0.51,0.55,0.59,0.6,0.55,0.53,0.54,0.52,0.51,0.58,0.55,0.53,0.54,0.51,0.52,0.61,0.61,0.58,0.44,0.49,0.41,0.34,0.28,0.22,0.19,0.1,0.08,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.07,0.08,0.08,0.09,0.11,0.06,0.08,0.06,0.07,0.1,0.16,0.09,0.31,1	91.5%
TOR 90, BOS 94	0.5,0.51,0.57,0.51,0.53,0.52,0.51,0.47,0.45,0.47,0.47,0.45,0.45,0.5,0.47,0.53,0.51,0.53,0.54,0.54,0.54,0.49,0.51,0.49,0.46,0.42,0.34,0.31,0.22,0.17,0.14,0.08,0.12,0.09,0.13,0.09,0.11,0.06,0.04,0.06,0.06,0.05,0.14,0.2,0.07,0.01,0.07,0.15,0.17,1	90.4%