NBA Win Probability Game Box Scores

NBA Win Probability Box Scores (click here for LIVE graphs)

Real Time? Pre Game Odds?

winProb
gameTime
fourFactors
pace
on/off
misc

Dallas Mavericks	101		Excitement	6.2 [610]		MVP	Jaden Hardy (DAL): +33.4%
Orlando Magic	92		Comeback	5.9 [113]		LVP	Franz Wagner (ORL): -16.2%

Dallas Mavericks
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Jaden Hardy	0.33	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,-0.01,0.06,0.21,0.21,0.21,0.26,0.31,0.31,0.29,0.32,0.31,0.31,0.31,0.31,0.33,0.33	0.18	0.15	-0.00	12	79%	0.33	0	0.00	4	75%	0.00
Max Christie	0.13	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.03,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13	0.07	0.05	-0.00	6	75%	0.15	1	-0.02	4	100%	0.02
Klay Thompson	0.05	0,0,0.02,0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,0.02,0.05,0.05,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05	0.04	0.01	0.00	10	60%	0.07	1	-0.02	0	0%	0.00
Dwight Powell	0.04	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,0,0,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04	0.02	0.01	0.00	3	67%	0.04	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Brandon Williams	0.03	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.07,-0.02,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,0.02,0.08,0.05,0.05,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.05,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.03,0.03,0.03	0.01	0.00	-0.01	10	67%	0.12	4	-0.09	1	100%	0.01
Kai Jones	0.01	0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01	0.02	-0.00	0.00	2	100%	0.04	1	-0.02	0	0%	0.00
Caleb Martin	0.00	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	0.01	-0.00	0.00	4	50%	0.00	0	0.00	2	50%	-0.02
Anthony Davis	-0.06	0,0,0,-0.01,-0.03,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.07,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.07,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.06,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.06,-0.05,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06	-0.08	0.02	-0.00	19	33%	-0.06	0	0.00	7	57%	-0.03
Naji Marshall	-0.07	0,0,0,0,0,0,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,0,0,0,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07	-0.04	-0.03	0.00	5	60%	0.02	3	-0.09	0	0%	0.00
Spencer Dinwiddie	-0.09	0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.06,-0.08,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.05,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09	-0.10	0.01	-0.01	7	39%	-0.01	4	-0.08	4	75%	0.00

Orlando Magic
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Paolo Banchero	0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.04,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.01,-0.01,0.04,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.19,0.24,0.21,0.21,0.21,0.2,0.18,0.18,0.14,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.1,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11	0.11	0.09	0.04	0.02	21	65%	0.29	6	-0.18	12	67%	-0.01
Anthony Black	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.06,0.05,0.05,0.02,0.02,0.04,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.14,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1	0.10	0.04	0.03	-0.03	10	61%	0.16	2	-0.07	3	100%	0.02
Wendell Carter Jr.	0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.04,-0.04,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0.01,0.07,0.1,0.13,0.13,0.08,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05	0.05	0.02	0.01	-0.02	10	57%	0.10	2	-0.05	1	100%	0.01
Goga Bitadze	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01	0.01	-0.00	0.01	-0.00	2	50%	0.01	0	0.00	2	50%	0.00
Gary Harris	0	0.00	0.00	0.00	0.00	0	0%	0.00	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Cory Joseph	0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.06,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	-0.00	0.02	-0.01	0.01	6	50%	-0.00	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Caleb Houstan	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03	-0.03	-0.02	-0.01	0.00	1	0%	-0.03	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Tristan da Silva	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04	-0.04	-0.04	-0.00	-0.01	4	20%	-0.04	0	0.00	2	100%	0.01
Jonathan Isaac	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06	-0.07	-0.04	-0.03	0.00	1	0%	-0.02	1	-0.05	0	0%	0.00
Kentavious Caldwell-Pope	0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09	-0.09	-0.08	-0.01	-0.01	4	0%	-0.06	1	-0.02	0	0%	0.00
Franz Wagner	0,0,0,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.01,-0.06,-0.06,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.06,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.07,-0.07,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.07,-0.1,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.11,-0.09,-0.13,-0.13,-0.16,-0.16,-0.17,-0.16,-0.16,-0.16	-0.16	-0.09	-0.03	0.05	21	43%	-0.05	4	-0.11	4	100%	0.02

Game Length Report (minutes)

	Q1		Q2		Q3		Q4	Total
this game	25.0	2.5	30.0	15.4	24.6	2.3	30.6	130.3
league avg	25.9	2.3	28.2	14.9	28.6	2.3	32.2	135.3

Win Probability Added by the Four Factors

(aka How the Game Was Won)

victory
100% WP

start
50% WP

DAL +46.7%

ORL -12.2%

DAL +1.6%

DAL +16.3%

ORL -2.4%

Pace and Efficiency Report

	seconds / possession			points / 100 possessions
all possessions	DAL	ORL	NBA	DAL	ORL	NBA
this game	14.8	14.8	14.4	104.1	93.9	113.0
season	14.3	15.4		113.3	108.3
opponent	14.4	14.4		109.1	114.4

Quarterly Pace Report (seconds per possession)

	Q1	Q2	Q3	Q4	Total
DAL	14.5	12.5	13.4	19.7	14.8
ORL	13.8	14.7	16.6	13.9	14.8

On/Off Win Probability and Pace Statistics

Dallas Mavericks
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Brandon Williams	52	53	0.75	-0.25	1.00	0.14	21	-12	33	14.5	15.1	-0.65	15.6	13.7	1.89
Jaden Hardy	40	40	0.67	-0.17	0.85	0.35	11	-2	13	15.8	14.1	1.77	14.3	15.0	-0.68
Naji Marshall	86	84	0.59	-0.09	0.69	0.24	12	-3	15	14.6	16.0	-1.37	14.7	15.0	-0.29
Dwight Powell	37	39	0.42	0.08	0.34	0.13	10	-1	11	12.5	16.2	-3.71	16.5	13.6	2.88
Caleb Martin	34	37	0.39	0.11	0.28	0.07	11	-2	13	13.0	15.7	-2.70	15.3	14.4	0.91
Kai Jones	16	16	0.05	0.45	-0.39	-0.01	2	7	-5	13.9	15.0	-1.09	13.2	15.0	-1.80
Max Christie	58	58	0.05	0.45	-0.41	0.05	0	9	-9	15.4	13.8	1.57	14.3	15.4	-1.13
Spencer Dinwiddie	52	52	-0.12	0.62	-0.75	0.05	-6	15	-21	15.1	14.4	0.72	13.8	15.8	-1.94
Anthony Davis	58	59	-0.13	0.63	-0.76	0.13	-9	18	-27	15.9	13.1	2.81	14.1	15.7	-1.64
Klay Thompson	52	52	-0.17	0.67	-0.84	0.03	-7	16	-23	15.3	14.2	1.13	15.2	14.3	0.89

Orlando Magic
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Jonathan Isaac	13	13	0.20	-0.70	0.89	-0.10	10	-19	29	12.9	15.0	-2.11	18.2	14.2	3.98
Cory Joseph	45	46	0.09	-0.59	0.69	0.09	0	-9	9	14.9	14.6	0.33	13.6	15.9	-2.32
Gary Harris	26	24	0.04	-0.54	0.58	0.01	1	-10	11	15.1	14.6	0.49	13.0	15.4	-2.31
Tristan da Silva	14	12	0.02	-0.52	0.54	-0.04	2	-11	13	12.9	15.1	-2.13	15.4	14.7	0.72
Kentavious Caldwell-Pope	67	68	-0.11	-0.39	0.27	0.00	-4	-5	1	15.7	12.8	2.85	14.6	15.3	-0.75
Wendell Carter Jr.	55	56	-0.32	-0.18	-0.13	0.01	-11	2	-13	16.0	13.1	2.92	14.7	14.9	-0.12
Caleb Houstan	31	29	-0.39	-0.11	-0.27	-0.24	-5	-4	-1	12.8	15.7	-2.85	15.3	14.6	0.75
Goga Bitadze	38	36	-0.42	-0.08	-0.34	-0.22	-7	-2	-5	13.3	15.7	-2.44	15.4	14.4	0.96
Paolo Banchero	78	78	-0.43	-0.07	-0.37	-0.20	-8	-1	-7	15.0	13.8	1.20	14.0	18.0	-4.00
Franz Wagner	70	72	-0.59	0.09	-0.68	-0.18	-14	5	-19	14.9	14.5	0.36	15.2	13.5	1.70
Anthony Black	53	51	-0.59	0.09	-0.69	-0.33	-9	0	-9	14.6	14.9	-0.33	15.9	13.6	2.32

Dopplegamers 0.5,0.51,0.47,0.46,0.48,0.5,0.51,0.53,0.45,0.51,0.45,0.49,0.42,0.46,0.53,0.6,0.6,0.58,0.66,0.61,0.59,0.59,0.54,0.46,0.54,0.7,0.63,0.54,0.61,0.7,0.7,0.71,0.85,0.81,0.73,0.56,0.28,0.22,0.19,0.29,0.24,0.32,0.17,0.09,0.03,0.04,0.02,0.04,0,0
Game		Similarity Score
CHI 106, ORL 100	0.5,0.49,0.46,0.46,0.46,0.52,0.48,0.5,0.51,0.53,0.55,0.53,0.56,0.4,0.38,0.47,0.53,0.54,0.6,0.61,0.64,0.56,0.61,0.59,0.59,0.58,0.62,0.6,0.64,0.64,0.73,0.71,0.68,0.72,0.59,0.48,0.36,0.34,0.3,0.3,0.24,0.15,0.14,0.05,0.17,0.14,0.11,0.14,0.15,0	91.8%
UTA 101, BKN 89	0.5,0.51,0.54,0.51,0.52,0.54,0.51,0.49,0.49,0.49,0.4,0.46,0.49,0.54,0.56,0.56,0.62,0.67,0.63,0.54,0.54,0.49,0.51,0.56,0.51,0.51,0.51,0.55,0.58,0.64,0.7,0.74,0.75,0.65,0.7,0.63,0.56,0.5,0.34,0.38,0.29,0.32,0.17,0.05,0.13,0.04,0.11,0.01,0,0	91.3%
LAL 106, ORL 93	0.5,0.49,0.52,0.49,0.51,0.52,0.52,0.47,0.51,0.59,0.63,0.62,0.58,0.6,0.66,0.66,0.71,0.69,0.72,0.7,0.66,0.59,0.58,0.56,0.54,0.5,0.62,0.48,0.55,0.58,0.67,0.65,0.65,0.66,0.63,0.49,0.4,0.26,0.34,0.33,0.33,0.19,0.17,0.08,0.05,0.01,0,0,0,0	91.1%