NBA Win Probability Game Box Scores

NBA Win Probability Box Scores (click here for LIVE graphs)

Real Time? Pre Game Odds?

winProb
gameTime
fourFactors
pace
on/off
misc

Los Angeles Lakers	120		Excitement	9.0 [170]		MVP	LeBron James (LAL): +75.3%
Indiana Pacers	119		Comeback	17.3 [82]		LVP	Jordan Goodwin (LAL): -5.1%

Los Angeles Lakers
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
LeBron James	0.75	0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.01,0.05,0.05,0.05,0,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,0.75	-0.02	0.76	-0.02	12	45%	0.80	1	-0.05	5	100%	0.03
Rui Hachimura	0.28	0,0,0,0,0,0,0.04,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.19,0.28,0.28	0.14	0.16	0.03	5	117%	0.30	1	-0.03	2	100%	0.01
Jaxson Hayes	0.09	0,0,0.02,0.03,0.03,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.06,0.04,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09	0.10	0.01	0.02	6	87%	0.12	1	-0.03	3	33%	-0.03
Dalton Knecht	0.04	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04	0.04	0.00	0.00	1	150%	0.04	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Luka Doncic	0.02	0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,0,-0.02,0.07,0.05,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.05,0.05,0.03,0.08,0.11,0.1,0.1,0.15,0.15,0.13,0.16,0.19,0.17,0.17,0.2,0.2,0.2,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.1,0.29,0.29,0.29,0.29,0.02	0.18	-0.15	0.02	21	69%	0.09	3	-0.06	7	86%	0.01
Gabe Vincent	0.01	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01	-0.00	0.02	0.00	6	50%	0.03	1	-0.02	0	0%	0.00
Austin Reaves	-0.00	0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.01,-0.01,0.06,0.09,0.08,0.11,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.22,0.22,0.22,0.16,0.13,0.13,0.19,0.19,0.09,0.09,0.09,0	0.06	-0.05	0.00	16	62%	0.17	4	-0.17	7	100%	0.04
Jarred Vanderbilt	-0.02	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02	-0.02	-0.00	0.00	1	0%	-0.02	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Dorian Finney-Smith	-0.05	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.03,0.03,0.02,0.02,0,0,0,0.02,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.03,0.03,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,-0.05	0.05	-0.10	0.01	7	79%	0.01	2	-0.06	0	0%	0.00
Jordan Goodwin	-0.05	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.01,-0.01,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05	-0.05	-0.00	-0.00	4	25%	-0.01	1	-0.04	0	0%	0.00

Indiana Pacers
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Tyrese Haliburton	0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.01,-0.01,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.1,-0.1,-0.05,0.29	0.29	0.02	0.28	0.01	16	48%	0.31	1	-0.02	1	100%	0.04
Myles Turner	0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0,0.07,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.24,0.24,0.18,0.18,0.18,0.18	0.18	0.13	0.06	0.01	9	89%	0.21	1	-0.02	0	0%	0.00
Andrew Nembhard	0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.06,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.03,0.03,0.07,0.09,0.09	0.09	0.11	-0.01	0.01	9	76%	0.13	1	-0.03	3	100%	0.01
Jarace Walker	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0.02,0.02,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08	0.08	0.02	0.05	0.00	2	83%	0.13	1	-0.05	2	100%	0.03
Obi Toppin	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.04,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.08,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07	0.07	0.07	0.00	0.01	7	67%	0.07	0	0.00	1	0%	-0.01
Aaron Nesmith	0,0,-0.01,0.02,0.04,0.04,0.06,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07	0.07	0.08	0.02	0.03	9	72%	0.09	1	-0.02	0	0%	0.00
Pascal Siakam	0,0,0,-0.02,-0.01,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.02,0,0,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.07,0.07,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02	0.02	0.02	0.01	0.01	12	54%	0.04	1	-0.02	4	75%	-0.00
Bennedict Mathurin	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.03,-0.03,-0.04,-0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.07,0.07,0.11,0.08,0.05,0.05,0.09,0.1,0.1,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.08,0.08,0.01	0.01	0.10	-0.07	0.02	16	57%	0.05	1	-0.04	8	87%	0.02
Thomas Bryant	0	0.00	0.00	0.00	0.00	0	0%	0.00	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
T.J. McConnell	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.05,0.04,0.04,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02	-0.02	-0.02	-0.01	-0.01	6	42%	0.00	1	-0.03	0	0%	0.00
Ben Sheppard	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05	-0.05	-0.04	-0.01	0.00	1	0%	-0.02	1	-0.02	0	0%	0.00

Game Length Report (minutes)

	Q1		Q2		Q3		Q4	Total
this game	25.4	2.6	32.2	14.8	29.2	3.6	31.7	139.3
league avg	25.8	2.3	28.1	14.9	28.5	2.3	32.1	134.9

Win Probability Added by the Four Factors

(aka How the Game Was Won)

victory
100% WP

start
50% WP

LAL +64.1%

IND -11.0%

LAL +11.8%

IND -22.6%

LAL +7.8%

Pace and Efficiency Report

	seconds / possession			points / 100 possessions
all possessions	LAL	IND	NBA	LAL	IND	NBA
this game	15.3	14.7	14.4	125.0	124.0	113.1
season	14.9	13.8		114.3	115.1
opponent	14.7	14.2		112.9	113.5

Quarterly Pace Report (seconds per possession)

	Q1	Q2	Q3	Q4	Total
LAL	14.9	12.9	17.9	15.6	15.3
IND	13.3	17.7	14.8	13.2	14.7

On/Off Win Probability and Pace Statistics

Los Angeles Lakers
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Austin Reaves	74	74	0.69	-0.19	0.88	0.52	6	-5	11	14.8	16.8	-1.98	14.7	14.8	-0.08
Jarred Vanderbilt	32	32	0.66	-0.16	0.81	-0.02	23	-22	45	13.9	16.0	-2.13	16.1	14.0	2.08
LeBron James	75	76	0.58	-0.08	0.66	0.43	5	-4	9	15.1	16.0	-0.97	14.4	15.7	-1.32
Rui Hachimura	58	56	0.53	-0.03	0.57	0.59	-2	3	-5	15.3	15.3	-0.04	14.4	15.2	-0.84
Dalton Knecht	10	11	0.41	0.09	0.31	-0.12	18	-17	35	11.7	15.7	-4.01	19.2	14.1	5.05
Dorian Finney-Smith	60	59	0.28	0.22	0.07	0.34	-2	3	-5	15.5	15.0	0.51	15.3	13.7	1.64
Luka Doncic	74	75	0.12	0.38	-0.26	0.56	-15	16	-31	16.2	12.4	3.80	14.3	16.1	-1.78
Gabe Vincent	44	44	-0.22	0.72	-0.95	0.01	-8	9	-17	15.6	15.0	0.64	14.3	15.0	-0.68
Jordan Goodwin	14	14	-0.25	0.75	-1.01	-0.02	-8	9	-17	19.3	14.6	4.68	13.9	14.8	-0.91
Jaxson Hayes	39	39	-0.29	0.79	-1.09	0.06	-12	13	-25	14.9	15.6	-0.66	13.9	15.3	-1.41

Indiana Pacers
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Myles Turner	72	72	0.27	-0.77	1.04	-0.02	10	-11	21	14.1	16.7	-2.61	15.4	15.0	0.33
Pascal Siakam	74	71	-0.05	-0.45	0.39	-0.46	14	-15	29	14.5	15.4	-0.85	15.6	14.4	1.15
T.J. McConnell	24	26	-0.12	-0.38	0.26	0.06	-6	5	-11	15.2	14.5	0.72	13.0	16.1	-3.09
Andrew Nembhard	78	77	-0.16	-0.34	0.18	-0.57	14	-15	29	14.3	16.5	-2.21	16.0	12.3	3.78
Thomas Bryant	2	3	-0.20	-0.30	0.10	0.06	-9	8	-17	26.0	14.5	11.53	11.3	15.4	-4.09
Obi Toppin	38	38	-0.20	-0.29	0.09	-0.03	-6	5	-11	15.6	14.1	1.44	15.2	15.4	-0.22
Jarace Walker	18	18	-0.31	-0.19	-0.12	-0.46	5	-6	11	12.8	15.2	-2.38	14.3	15.5	-1.25
Tyrese Haliburton	65	64	-0.40	-0.10	-0.30	-0.55	5	-6	11	14.4	15.4	-0.95	15.9	14.0	1.94
Bennedict Mathurin	58	59	-0.56	0.06	-0.62	-0.42	-5	4	-9	14.9	14.4	0.52	15.2	15.5	-0.27
Ben Sheppard	13	13	-0.62	0.12	-0.74	0.05	-23	22	-45	19.7	13.9	5.76	12.0	15.8	-3.81
Aaron Nesmith	40	41	-0.73	0.23	-0.97	-0.56	-6	5	-11	14.7	14.7	-0.06	15.4	15.2	0.13

Dopplegamers 0.5,0.49,0.45,0.45,0.52,0.56,0.53,0.51,0.57,0.49,0.53,0.55,0.62,0.63,0.58,0.47,0.36,0.29,0.2,0.3,0.19,0.2,0.19,0.15,0.14,0.16,0.23,0.14,0.22,0.3,0.27,0.18,0.25,0.28,0.3,0.29,0.29,0.38,0.22,0.1,0.11,0.23,0.36,0.46,0.67,0.39,0.34,0.16,0.17,0
Game		Similarity Score
MIN 108, NJN 101	0.5,0.49,0.45,0.45,0.43,0.46,0.49,0.43,0.45,0.49,0.51,0.58,0.53,0.48,0.49,0.49,0.44,0.42,0.35,0.3,0.34,0.29,0.23,0.23,0.25,0.14,0.23,0.18,0.15,0.19,0.19,0.18,0.22,0.28,0.37,0.29,0.36,0.3,0.3,0.3,0.24,0.29,0.41,0.35,0.39,0.38,0.37,0.09,0.04,0	91.0%
SAC 114, LAL 113	0.5,0.51,0.48,0.52,0.49,0.52,0.53,0.51,0.57,0.47,0.4,0.45,0.44,0.46,0.45,0.49,0.47,0.4,0.35,0.34,0.25,0.2,0.21,0.21,0.22,0.2,0.19,0.16,0.15,0.24,0.27,0.21,0.2,0.38,0.41,0.4,0.4,0.38,0.38,0.21,0.17,0.19,0.21,0.41,0.4,0.31,0.29,0.32,0.26,0	90.8%
CLE 100, ATL 95	0.5,0.51,0.55,0.58,0.58,0.57,0.58,0.55,0.51,0.49,0.49,0.47,0.51,0.52,0.51,0.42,0.47,0.33,0.42,0.39,0.3,0.29,0.25,0.26,0.18,0.25,0.23,0.16,0.15,0.17,0.14,0.2,0.17,0.22,0.17,0.17,0.15,0.1,0.13,0.15,0.24,0.28,0.53,0.47,0.53,0.39,0.28,0.05,0.09,0	90.3%