NBA Win Probability Game Box Scores

NBA Win Probability Box Scores (click here for LIVE graphs)

Real Time? Pre Game Odds?

winProb
gameTime
fourFactors
pace
on/off
misc

Cleveland Cavaliers	122		Excitement	7.4 [398]		MVP	Ty Jerome (CLE): +31.9%
Portland Trail Blazers	111		Comeback	1.5 [952]		LVP	Anfernee Simons (POR): -9.7%

Cleveland Cavaliers
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Ty Jerome	0.32	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.06,0.08,0.08,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.05,0.01,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.16,0.22,0.33,0.33,0.33,0.31,0.31,0.35,0.32,0.32,0.32,0.32,0.32,0.32,0.32,0.32,0.32	0.21	0.11	0.00	15	76%	0.32	0	0.00	3	100%	0.02
Sam Merrill	0.21	0,0,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.08,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.21,0.21,0.21,0.21,0.21,0.21,0.21	0.15	0.08	0.02	7	100%	0.21	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Dean Wade	0.06	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06	0.02	0.04	0.00	2	75%	0.06	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
De'Andre Hunter	0.06	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.05,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.05,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06	0.04	0.02	-0.00	10	55%	0.06	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Evan Mobley	0.06	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0,0,-0.03,-0.03,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.11,0.08,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06	0.02	0.04	0.00	15	57%	0.12	3	-0.07	7	71%	-0.01
Darius Garland	0.06	0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.02,0.03,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.06,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.02,0.02,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06	0.07	-0.01	0.00	19	64%	0.18	4	-0.12	4	100%	0.03
Jarrett Allen	0.04	0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.1,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04	-0.00	0.06	0.01	11	56%	0.12	3	-0.08	3	67%	-0.01
Max Strus	0.02	0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02	-0.00	0.00	-0.01	6	42%	0.02	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Isaac Okoro	0.00	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	-0.01	0.00	-0.02	3	33%	0.00	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Javonte Green	-0.03	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03	-0.02	-0.01	0.00	0	0%	0.00	1	-0.03	0	0%	0.00

Portland Trail Blazers
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Matisse Thybulle	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.16,0.16,0.22,0.22,0.27,0.27,0.27,0.27,0.27,0.27,0.27,0.27,0.27,0.27,0.27	0.27	0.16	0.11	-0.00	6	125%	0.29	1	-0.02	0	0%	0.00
Scoot Henderson	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.04,0,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.06,-0.06,0.02,0.06,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.16	0.16	0.06	0.10	-0.00	12	64%	0.21	2	-0.05	4	100%	0.03
Donovan Clingan	0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.02,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08	0.08	0.10	-0.00	0.01	10	67%	0.12	1	-0.03	7	57%	-0.03
Toumani Camara	0,0,0,0.03,0.02,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0.03,0.01,-0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02	-0.02	0.01	-0.02	0.02	13	46%	-0.02	0	0.00	2	50%	-0.00
Duop Reath	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03	-0.03	-0.03	-0.01	0.00	4	25%	-0.03	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Dalano Banton	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,-0.03,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06	-0.06	-0.04	-0.03	-0.01	6	25%	-0.06	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Deni Avdija	0,0,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.02,0.02,0.02,-0.03,-0.03,0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.06,-0.08,-0.08,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.08,-0.11,-0.11,-0.05,-0.05,-0.04,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06	-0.06	-0.07	-0.03	-0.04	17	42%	0.00	3	-0.06	6	33%	-0.06
Shaedon Sharpe	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.05,0.04,0.04,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.04,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,0.02,0.06,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.05,0,-0.05,-0.05,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08	-0.08	-0.01	-0.06	0.00	20	44%	-0.03	1	-0.05	1	100%	0.00
Anfernee Simons	0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.09,-0.09,-0.06,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.13,-0.04,-0.07,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1	-0.10	-0.10	0.00	0.00	12	27%	-0.07	1	-0.03	2	100%	0.00

Game Length Report (minutes)

	Q1		Q2		Q3		Q4	Total
this game	24.3	2.4	28.8	14.6	26.5	2.3	26.6	125.6
league avg	25.9	2.3	28.2	14.9	28.6	2.3	32.2	135.3

Win Probability Added by the Four Factors

(aka How the Game Was Won)

victory
100% WP

start
50% WP

CLE +54.1%

CLE +14.6%

POR -12.8%

POR -8.6%

CLE +2.7%

Pace and Efficiency Report

	seconds / possession			points / 100 possessions
all possessions	CLE	POR	NBA	CLE	POR	NBA
this game	14.4	15.3	14.4	127.1	113.3	113.1
season	13.7	14.3		120.5	110.3
opponent	14.5	14.9		113.0	110.8

Quarterly Pace Report (seconds per possession)

	Q1	Q2	Q3	Q4	Total
CLE	12.6	14.8	15.2	15.2	14.4
POR	16.2	14.6	17.5	13.1	15.3

On/Off Win Probability and Pace Statistics

Cleveland Cavaliers
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Dean Wade	42	43	0.38	0.12	0.26	0.15	8	3	5	13.0	15.5	-2.46	17.1	13.8	3.28
Jarrett Allen	58	58	0.38	0.12	0.26	0.14	8	3	5	15.1	13.4	1.67	14.1	17.0	-2.96
Darius Garland	67	66	0.37	0.13	0.25	0.23	5	6	-1	14.9	13.2	1.72	14.8	16.3	-1.49
De'Andre Hunter	45	47	0.31	0.19	0.13	0.11	7	4	3	13.5	15.2	-1.64	15.7	14.8	0.90
Isaac Okoro	33	34	0.31	0.19	0.12	0.10	7	4	3	15.6	13.8	1.83	13.8	16.0	-2.22
Max Strus	52	54	0.28	0.22	0.07	0.08	7	4	3	13.7	15.2	-1.56	16.9	13.2	3.68
Evan Mobley	66	68	0.16	0.34	-0.18	0.01	5	6	-1	14.5	14.2	0.35	16.0	13.6	2.37
Sam Merrill	61	61	0.15	0.35	-0.20	0.12	1	10	-9	15.1	13.1	2.03	14.2	17.0	-2.81
Ty Jerome	42	44	0.09	0.41	-0.32	-0.06	5	6	-1	13.4	15.2	-1.74	15.6	15.0	0.65
Javonte Green	14	15	0.06	0.44	-0.37	0.01	2	9	-7	15.1	14.3	0.86	12.7	15.7	-3.08

Portland Trail Blazers
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Donovan Clingan	66	65	-0.20	-0.30	0.10	-0.11	-3	-8	5	14.7	16.5	-1.86	14.3	14.6	-0.35
Scoot Henderson	61	58	-0.21	-0.29	0.07	-0.16	-2	-9	7	15.0	15.8	-0.82	14.6	14.2	0.41
Duop Reath	22	21	-0.21	-0.29	0.07	-0.01	-7	-4	-3	18.8	14.3	4.51	13.3	14.7	-1.37
Matisse Thybulle	29	28	-0.25	-0.25	0.00	-0.07	-6	-5	-1	17.9	14.2	3.72	12.7	15.1	-2.39
Anfernee Simons	61	61	-0.25	-0.25	-0.00	-0.10	-5	-6	1	15.8	14.4	1.44	14.3	14.6	-0.35
Deni Avdija	78	77	-0.29	-0.21	-0.08	-0.20	-3	-8	5	14.5	18.1	-3.61	14.8	12.8	2.02
Dalano Banton	27	26	-0.30	-0.20	-0.09	-0.03	-9	-2	-7	18.1	14.2	3.91	13.2	14.9	-1.66
Shaedon Sharpe	82	81	-0.37	-0.13	-0.25	-0.08	-10	-1	-9	14.5	19.1	-4.53	14.8	12.5	2.22
Toumani Camara	64	63	-0.41	-0.09	-0.32	-0.12	-10	-1	-9	13.9	17.8	-3.86	15.2	12.9	2.24

Dopplegamers 0.5,0.51,0.52,0.54,0.52,0.5,0.47,0.48,0.51,0.55,0.55,0.49,0.44,0.5,0.47,0.42,0.38,0.47,0.42,0.42,0.41,0.39,0.36,0.27,0.33,0.27,0.31,0.26,0.34,0.27,0.27,0.42,0.45,0.34,0.37,0.33,0.21,0.26,0.26,0.18,0.21,0.32,0.26,0.24,0.1,0.03,0,0,0,0
Game		Similarity Score
HOU 117, DAL 115	0.5,0.51,0.48,0.45,0.45,0.44,0.5,0.45,0.49,0.51,0.47,0.53,0.53,0.46,0.42,0.38,0.36,0.35,0.42,0.39,0.39,0.38,0.34,0.3,0.39,0.33,0.24,0.16,0.27,0.27,0.39,0.38,0.48,0.44,0.34,0.26,0.25,0.26,0.3,0.21,0.24,0.27,0.26,0.16,0.07,0.01,0.01,0,0.04,0	94.7%
VAN 101, NJN 91	0.5,0.51,0.52,0.5,0.48,0.41,0.42,0.49,0.55,0.49,0.53,0.53,0.44,0.48,0.44,0.51,0.47,0.47,0.46,0.46,0.44,0.39,0.36,0.31,0.3,0.27,0.26,0.31,0.35,0.32,0.36,0.36,0.38,0.31,0.2,0.26,0.29,0.19,0.3,0.3,0.24,0.15,0.18,0.24,0.07,0.01,0.01,0,0,0	94.2%
HOU 98, CLE 87	0.5,0.51,0.49,0.49,0.48,0.46,0.52,0.49,0.49,0.53,0.51,0.53,0.49,0.48,0.42,0.45,0.49,0.51,0.46,0.44,0.44,0.36,0.36,0.28,0.27,0.3,0.29,0.25,0.28,0.24,0.29,0.38,0.41,0.38,0.41,0.4,0.32,0.34,0.3,0.18,0.14,0.15,0.14,0.22,0.18,0.2,0.15,0.06,0,0	93.9%