NBA Win Probability Game Box Scores

NBA Win Probability Box Scores (click here for LIVE graphs)

Real Time? Pre Game Odds?

winProb
gameTime
fourFactors
pace
on/off
misc

Boston Celtics	121		Excitement	4.7 [882]		MVP	Collin Sexton (UTA): +22.4%
Utah Jazz	99		Comeback	1.3 [1276]		LVP	Kyle Filipowski (UTA): -13.8%

Boston Celtics
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Kristaps Porzingis	0.18	0,0,-0.01,0.02,0.02,0.03,0.02,0.02,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.04,0.04,0.06,0.08,0.12,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.11,0.12,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.18,0.18,0.18,0.18,0.18,0.18,0.18,0.18,0.18,0.18	0.18	0.03	0.03	15	75%	0.20	1	-0.02	6	100%	0.03
Sam Hauser	0.11	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.08,0.06,0.06,0.05,0.05,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.09,0.09,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11	0.10	0.02	0.01	10	70%	0.11	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Jrue Holiday	0.05	0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05	0.01	0.01	-0.03	6	57%	0.08	1	-0.02	2	100%	0.01
Payton Pritchard	0.05	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.04,-0.04,-0.06,-0.06,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.03,-0.03,0.01,0.03,0.02,0.02,0.04,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05	0.09	-0.00	0.04	13	62%	0.07	1	-0.02	3	67%	0.01
Luke Kornet	0.02	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02	0.01	0.01	0.00	4	50%	0.02	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Al Horford	0.01	0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01	-0.02	0.02	-0.01	7	36%	0.01	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Jordan Walsh	0.00	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	0.04	0.00	0.04	2	100%	0.00	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Torrey Craig	0.00	0	0.00	0.00	0.00	0	0%	0.00	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Drew Peterson	0.00	0	0.00	0.00	0.00	0	0%	0.00	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
JD Davison	0.00	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	0.02	0.00	0.02	3	67%	0.00	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Neemias Queta	0.00	0	0.00	0.00	0.00	0	0%	0.00	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Derrick White	-0.03	0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.05,0.05,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.02,0.02,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03	0.02	-0.02	0.03	8	55%	0.00	1	-0.03	4	75%	-0.01
Baylor Scheierman	-0.03	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03	-0.06	0.00	-0.03	4	0%	-0.03	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Jayson Tatum	-0.04	0,0,-0.01,0.02,0.02,0.05,0.05,0.04,0.04,0.03,0.05,0.05,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.06,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.04,0.04,0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,0.03,0,0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04	-0.05	-0.01	-0.01	25	51%	0.09	6	-0.13	1	100%	0.00

Utah Jazz
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Collin Sexton	0,0,0,0.03,0.04,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.04,0.04,0.03,0.03,0.01,0.04,0.04,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.11,0.1,0.15,0.2,0.2,0.26,0.26,0.26,0.26,0.26,0.26,0.26,0.25,0.25,0.22,0.22,0.22,0.22,0.22,0.22,0.22,0.22,0.22,0.22,0.22	0.22	0.21	0.04	0.03	16	86%	0.28	3	-0.06	3	67%	-0.01
Johnny Juzang	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.03,0.03,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08	0.08	0.06	0.00	-0.02	8	65%	0.09	1	-0.01	1	100%	0.00
Micah Potter	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01	0.01	0.03	0.00	0.02	4	70%	0.01	1	0.00	2	100%	0.00
Cody Williams	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,-0.01,-0.03,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	-0.00	-0.02	-0.01	-0.03	6	33%	-0.00	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Keyonte George	0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01	-0.01	0.04	0.01	0.06	16	59%	0.04	3	-0.04	0	0%	0.00
Brice Sensabaugh	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0.03,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02	-0.02	-0.00	-0.01	0.00	7	50%	0.01	1	-0.03	0	0%	0.00
Svi Mykhailiuk	0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03	-0.03	-0.02	-0.01	0.00	5	33%	-0.03	0	0.00	2	100%	0.01
Walker Kessler	0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.02,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05	-0.05	-0.02	-0.01	0.01	9	44%	-0.01	1	-0.03	0	0%	0.00
Isaiah Collier	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.07,-0.07,-0.04,-0.04,-0.07,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.1,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12	-0.12	-0.11	-0.03	-0.02	9	25%	-0.07	2	-0.05	2	50%	-0.01
Kyle Filipowski	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.04,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.06,-0.08,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.11,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14	-0.14	-0.11	-0.03	-0.01	4	40%	-0.02	5	-0.12	2	50%	-0.01

Game Length Report (minutes)

	Q1		Q2		Q3		Q4	Total
this game	22.3	1.7	30.0	14.6	24.2	1.8	26.2	120.6
league avg	25.9	2.3	28.2	14.9	28.6	2.3	32.2	135.3

Win Probability Added by the Four Factors

(aka How the Game Was Won)

victory
100% WP

start
50% WP

BOS +18.6%

BOS +7.1%

BOS +12.7%

BOS +11.9%

UTA -0.4%

Pace and Efficiency Report

	seconds / possession			points / 100 possessions
all possessions	BOS	UTA	NBA	BOS	UTA	NBA
this game	14.6	15.4	14.4	126.0	103.1	113.0
season	15.3	14.8		118.3	109.6
opponent	13.7	14.6		119.0	109.2

Quarterly Pace Report (seconds per possession)

	Q1	Q2	Q3	Q4	Total
BOS	13.7	15.1	13.2	16.8	14.6
UTA	16.3	14.9	15.1	15.2	15.4

On/Off Win Probability and Pace Statistics

Boston Celtics
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Luke Kornet	33	32	0.48	0.02	0.46	-0.19	23	-1	24	13.4	15.3	-1.88	16.4	14.9	1.50
Jayson Tatum	68	68	0.44	0.06	0.38	-0.09	18	4	14	14.0	16.0	-1.99	15.3	15.6	-0.33
Sam Hauser	58	56	0.41	0.09	0.32	-0.03	15	7	8	14.3	15.1	-0.84	16.1	14.3	1.80
Payton Pritchard	63	62	0.39	0.11	0.29	-0.02	14	8	6	14.2	15.4	-1.17	15.7	14.8	0.90
Jrue Holiday	47	48	0.24	0.26	-0.02	0.07	6	16	-10	14.6	14.7	-0.06	15.5	15.2	0.25
Al Horford	54	55	0.22	0.28	-0.07	-0.14	12	10	2	14.7	14.5	0.22	14.9	16.0	-1.18
Baylor Scheierman	26	24	0.15	0.35	-0.20	0.00	5	17	-12	14.3	14.8	-0.49	15.4	15.4	0.06
Derrick White	62	64	0.13	0.37	-0.23	-0.07	7	15	-8	15.3	13.4	1.97	15.2	15.8	-0.61
Kristaps Porzingis	50	51	0.09	0.41	-0.31	0.01	3	19	-16	15.0	14.3	0.70	15.4	15.3	0.12
Jordan Walsh	4	4	0.00	0.50	-0.50	-0.06	2	20	-18	19.2	14.4	4.83	11.7	15.5	-3.78
Drew Peterson	4	4	0.00	0.50	-0.50	-0.06	2	20	-18	19.2	14.4	4.83	11.7	15.5	-3.78
JD Davison	6	6	0.00	0.50	-0.50	-0.12	4	18	-14	17.8	14.4	3.42	13.8	15.5	-1.64
Neemias Queta	4	4	0.00	0.50	-0.50	-0.06	2	20	-18	19.2	14.4	4.83	11.7	15.5	-3.78
Torrey Craig	1	2	-0.06	0.56	-0.63	0.02	-3	25	-28	10.0	14.7	-4.67	13.5	15.4	-1.91

Utah Jazz
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Brice Sensabaugh	25	26	-0.00	-0.50	0.50	-0.21	7	-29	36	14.2	15.8	-1.64	15.1	14.5	0.62
Cody Williams	43	43	-0.03	-0.47	0.44	0.12	-5	-17	12	14.6	16.0	-1.40	15.8	13.7	2.11
Svi Mykhailiuk	39	38	-0.05	-0.45	0.40	0.04	-3	-19	16	15.8	15.1	0.71	15.1	14.3	0.79
Micah Potter	44	44	-0.15	-0.35	0.20	0.14	-10	-12	2	15.4	15.4	-0.02	14.9	14.4	0.44
Collin Sexton	72	71	-0.25	-0.25	0.00	0.25	-17	-5	-12	15.5	15.1	0.39	14.4	15.2	-0.72
Isaiah Collier	62	60	-0.30	-0.20	-0.10	0.11	-14	-8	-6	14.9	16.3	-1.42	15.0	14.1	0.91
Walker Kessler	59	59	-0.40	-0.10	-0.29	0.10	-17	-5	-12	15.2	15.6	-0.45	14.7	14.5	0.14
Kyle Filipowski	29	29	-0.41	-0.09	-0.31	0.00	-14	-8	-6	16.5	14.9	1.64	12.7	15.5	-2.82
Johnny Juzang	43	45	-0.42	-0.08	-0.34	0.02	-15	-7	-8	16.3	14.6	1.76	13.6	15.5	-1.93
Keyonte George	64	65	-0.50	-0.00	-0.50	0.15	-22	0	-22	15.5	15.2	0.33	14.7	14.5	0.11

Dopplegamers 0.5,0.51,0.54,0.49,0.48,0.39,0.4,0.36,0.3,0.35,0.27,0.27,0.21,0.23,0.3,0.27,0.32,0.25,0.2,0.22,0.23,0.18,0.18,0.3,0.27,0.25,0.24,0.26,0.31,0.27,0.33,0.35,0.2,0.14,0.07,0.08,0.1,0.05,0.07,0.07,0.06,0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0
Game		Similarity Score
MIL 112, CHI 100	0.5,0.49,0.55,0.49,0.46,0.39,0.4,0.3,0.27,0.31,0.27,0.29,0.27,0.3,0.36,0.36,0.29,0.21,0.24,0.24,0.25,0.24,0.26,0.23,0.3,0.18,0.19,0.23,0.17,0.17,0.19,0.23,0.2,0.14,0.07,0.1,0.16,0.08,0.08,0.11,0.05,0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	95.0%
ORL 97, NJN 87	0.5,0.49,0.45,0.48,0.49,0.47,0.38,0.4,0.37,0.34,0.31,0.33,0.29,0.23,0.28,0.27,0.29,0.33,0.22,0.22,0.23,0.24,0.22,0.25,0.27,0.3,0.23,0.14,0.18,0.25,0.21,0.18,0.22,0.16,0.1,0.12,0.08,0.04,0.05,0.07,0.07,0.03,0.01,0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0	94.9%
DAL 106, SAS 93	0.5,0.49,0.5,0.46,0.43,0.46,0.4,0.35,0.33,0.32,0.25,0.27,0.3,0.28,0.3,0.26,0.27,0.31,0.24,0.24,0.21,0.28,0.26,0.33,0.36,0.42,0.31,0.28,0.3,0.24,0.24,0.32,0.29,0.16,0.12,0.22,0.13,0.04,0.07,0.08,0.03,0.03,0.01,0.02,0.02,0.01,0.01,0,0,0	94.8%