NBA Win Probability Game Box Scores

NBA Win Probability Box Scores (click here for LIVE graphs)

winProb
gameTime
fourFactors
pace
on/off
misc

Brooklyn Nets	99		Excitement	11.4 [23]		MVP	Myles Turner (IND): +38.0%
Indiana Pacers	105		Comeback	45.3 [56]		LVP	Tyrese Martin (BKN): -32.0%

Brooklyn Nets
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
D'Angelo Russell	0.17	0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.06,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.1,-0.05,-0.03,-0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,-0.01,-0.01,0.08,0.06,0.06,0.11,0.14,0.23,0.23,0.23,0.2,0.2,0.2,0.17,0.17,0.17	-0.02	0.15	-0.04	22	44%	0.29	1	-0.12	6	83%	0.02
Ziaire Williams	0.14	0,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.1,0.13,0.11,0.17,0.17,0.17,0.17,0.17,0.17,0.17,0.17,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.15,0.02,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.25,0.14	0.11	-0.04	-0.06	15	71%	0.24	2	-0.11	1	0%	0.05
Trendon Watford	0.13	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.1,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.08,0.08,0.14,0.11,0.11,0.15,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13	0.06	0.05	-0.02	11	58%	0.15	1	-0.02	4	50%	-0.03
Maxwell Lewis	0.05	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.01,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05	0.05	-0.01	-0.00	6	67%	0.05	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Noah Clowney	-0.02	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,0.02,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.05,-0.05,-0.07,-0.07,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,0.03,0.03,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02	-0.03	0.00	-0.01	10	43%	0.02	2	-0.05	3	100%	0.02
Day'Ron Sharpe	-0.05	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,0.07,0,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05	-0.04	-0.01	-0.00	8	37%	-0.01	1	-0.04	0	0%	0.00
Jalen Wilson	-0.10	0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1	-0.08	-0.02	-0.00	4	0%	-0.07	1	-0.02	0	0%	0.00
Nic Claxton	-0.11	0,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.06,-0.06,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.05,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.11	-0.08	-0.02	0.00	5	60%	0.07	5	-0.18	0	0%	0.00
Keon Johnson	-0.17	0,0,0.03,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.06,-0.06,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.13,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.17	-0.10	-0.07	0.00	12	23%	-0.17	0	0.00	2	50%	-0.01
Tyrese Martin	-0.32	0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.06,-0.06,-0.08,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.16,-0.16,-0.16,-0.16,-0.16,-0.16,-0.16,-0.16,-0.32,-0.32	-0.13	-0.19	-0.00	8	22%	-0.10	3	-0.22	2	100%	0.01

Indiana Pacers
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Myles Turner	0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,-0.01,-0.04,-0.04,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.03,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.08,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,0,0.02,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.18,0.18,0.18,0.33,0.33,0.3,0.3,0.3,0.38,0.38,0.38,0.38	0.38	0.15	0.24	0.00	11	85%	0.46	3	-0.08	5	100%	0.06
Bennedict Mathurin	0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.07,0.02,-0.02,-0.04,0.26,0.32,0.32,0.36,0.36,0.36	0.36	0.13	0.25	0.02	17	68%	0.53	3	-0.17	7	86%	0.06
T.J. McConnell	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.06,-0.06,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.08,-0.08,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,0.06,0.1	0.10	-0.01	0.12	0.00	3	58%	0.20	2	-0.09	6	83%	0.04
Jarace Walker	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.01,0.04,0.04,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05	0.05	0.03	0.02	-0.00	6	62%	0.07	1	-0.02	1	100%	0.00
Obi Toppin	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.04,0.02,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01	0.01	-0.00	0.01	-0.01	6	47%	0.03	1	-0.02	3	100%	0.02
Quenton Jackson	0	0.00	0.00	0.00	0.00	0	0%	0.00	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Thomas Bryant	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.06,-0.06,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01	-0.01	-0.01	0.01	0.00	3	37%	-0.01	0	0.00	2	50%	-0.01
Aaron Nesmith	0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.02,0.04,0.02,0.02,0.04,0.04,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01	-0.01	0.04	-0.05	0.00	9	64%	0.04	2	-0.05	4	100%	0.02
Ben Sheppard	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.1,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13	-0.13	-0.09	-0.06	-0.03	6	0%	-0.13	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Pascal Siakam	0,0,-0.01,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.07,-0.07,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.14,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.21,-0.21,-0.21,-0.21,-0.21,-0.21,-0.21	-0.21	-0.12	-0.10	-0.01	8	32%	-0.03	4	-0.18	3	67%	-0.06
Andrew Nembhard	0,0,0,-0.02,0,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.02,-0.05,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.07,-0.1,-0.09,-0.09,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.16,-0.16,-0.26,-0.26,-0.26,-0.26,-0.26,-0.26,-0.26,-0.26,-0.26,-0.26	-0.26	-0.15	-0.11	-0.01	12	37%	-0.06	6	-0.20	0	0%	0.00

Game Length Report (minutes)

	Q1		Q2		Q3		Q4		OT1	Total
this game	27.1	2.4	31.6	14.8	28.0	2.0	30.0	2.6	18.3	156.8
league avg	25.8	2.3	28.1	14.9	28.5	2.3	32.1	2.4	15.6	134.9

Win Probability Added by the Four Factors

(aka How the Game Was Won)

victory
100% WP

start
50% WP

IND +16.3%

IND +46.7%

BKN -6.5%

BKN -13.5%

IND +7.1%

Pace and Efficiency Report

	seconds / possession			points / 100 possessions
all possessions	BKN	IND	NBA	BKN	IND	NBA
this game	15.9	12.8	14.4	90.8	92.9	113.1
season	15.3	13.8		107.6	115.1
opponent	14.7	14.4		112.9	114.9

Quarterly Pace Report (seconds per possession)

	Q1	Q2	Q3	Q4	OT	Total
BKN	14.3	15.6	15.4	18.2	17.1	15.9
IND	13.4	12.7	12.9	13.1	10.8	12.8

On/Off Win Probability and Pace Statistics

Brooklyn Nets
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Trendon Watford	54	56	0.40	-0.90	1.29	0.16	8	-14	22	15.4	16.4	-1.03	13.9	11.7	2.21
Maxwell Lewis	43	45	0.35	-0.85	1.21	0.18	6	-12	18	16.2	15.8	0.39	14.4	11.7	2.66
Day'Ron Sharpe	44	47	0.34	-0.84	1.17	0.16	6	-12	18	15.9	15.9	0.01	14.4	11.7	2.71
Noah Clowney	38	40	-0.02	-0.48	0.46	0.01	-1	-5	4	15.4	16.2	-0.74	13.4	12.4	0.96
Jalen Wilson	41	40	-0.16	-0.34	0.19	-0.01	-5	-1	-4	16.1	15.8	0.35	12.0	13.2	-1.24
D'Angelo Russell	69	71	-0.26	-0.24	-0.03	-0.21	-2	-4	2	16.1	15.6	0.52	12.2	13.7	-1.45
Ziaire Williams	72	75	-0.50	-0.00	-0.50	-0.35	-5	-1	-4	16.0	15.7	0.34	12.5	13.4	-0.89
Nic Claxton	65	66	-0.84	0.34	-1.17	-0.48	-12	6	-18	15.9	15.9	-0.01	11.7	14.4	-2.71
Tyrese Martin	62	65	-0.90	0.40	-1.30	-0.58	-11	5	-16	15.5	16.5	-0.99	12.2	13.6	-1.36
Keon Johnson	57	60	-0.91	0.41	-1.32	-0.50	-14	8	-22	16.5	15.3	1.18	12.3	13.3	-1.02

Indiana Pacers
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Bennedict Mathurin	83	81	0.82	-0.32	1.15	0.32	17	-11	28	12.7	13.0	-0.26	15.5	17.1	-1.59
Myles Turner	86	83	0.75	-0.25	1.00	0.37	13	-7	20	12.3	14.2	-1.90	15.9	16.0	-0.05
Pascal Siakam	77	75	0.68	-0.18	0.86	0.36	11	-5	16	11.9	14.6	-2.61	16.3	15.1	1.18
Aaron Nesmith	75	72	0.67	-0.17	0.83	0.52	5	1	4	12.1	14.2	-2.16	15.5	16.7	-1.17
Andrew Nembhard	67	64	0.26	0.24	0.03	0.15	4	2	2	12.7	12.9	-0.26	15.0	17.3	-2.32
T.J. McConnell	36	35	0.17	0.33	-0.16	0.26	-3	9	-12	13.7	12.4	1.34	16.5	15.6	0.87
Quenton Jackson	10	10	0.07	0.43	-0.37	-0.08	5	1	4	10.2	13.0	-2.83	20.0	15.5	4.48
Jarace Walker	19	20	-0.06	0.56	-0.62	-0.09	1	5	-4	13.7	12.6	1.09	18.7	15.3	3.46
Obi Toppin	36	34	-0.18	0.68	-0.86	-0.03	-5	11	-16	14.6	11.9	2.61	15.1	16.3	-1.18
Thomas Bryant	27	26	-0.25	0.75	-1.00	-0.04	-7	13	-20	14.2	12.3	1.90	16.0	15.9	0.05
Ben Sheppard	49	45	-0.43	0.93	-1.37	-0.11	-11	17	-28	13.7	12.1	1.54	16.0	15.8	0.20

Dopplegamers 0.5,0.49,0.45,0.46,0.45,0.44,0.47,0.47,0.53,0.47,0.49,0.53,0.46,0.37,0.34,0.28,0.27,0.31,0.42,0.41,0.34,0.31,0.31,0.26,0.27,0.22,0.26,0.18,0.25,0.25,0.24,0.35,0.35,0.38,0.26,0.3,0.32,0.34,0.48,0.53,0.38,0.24,0.26,0.2,0.22,0.25,0.37,0.23,0.02,0.54,0.47,0.54,0.55,0.74,1
Game		Similarity Score
SAC 78, ORL 83	0.5,0.51,0.48,0.46,0.46,0.48,0.45,0.42,0.49,0.47,0.47,0.45,0.51,0.52,0.51,0.47,0.4,0.43,0.35,0.25,0.26,0.29,0.33,0.23,0.22,0.2,0.26,0.26,0.28,0.39,0.36,0.29,0.32,0.31,0.37,0.29,0.32,0.38,0.43,0.29,0.24,0.23,0.21,0.19,0.17,0.24,0.37,0.15,0.09,0.46,0.39,0.46,0.78,0.83,1	91.3%
HOU 117, POR 119	0.5,0.51,0.49,0.49,0.5,0.5,0.48,0.47,0.45,0.47,0.43,0.4,0.42,0.37,0.32,0.34,0.32,0.35,0.33,0.22,0.16,0.15,0.17,0.13,0.16,0.3,0.23,0.23,0.27,0.15,0.12,0.13,0.17,0.21,0.24,0.23,0.36,0.46,0.56,0.43,0.33,0.32,0.3,0.24,0.14,0.25,0.28,0.33,0.27,0.46,0.54,0.37,0.57,0.58,1	90.1%
TOR 101, PHI 108	0.5,0.51,0.48,0.46,0.43,0.39,0.44,0.45,0.45,0.45,0.47,0.42,0.42,0.34,0.28,0.22,0.23,0.29,0.24,0.26,0.23,0.22,0.23,0.17,0.13,0.09,0.08,0.09,0.15,0.17,0.21,0.26,0.31,0.28,0.3,0.29,0.4,0.46,0.43,0.43,0.29,0.15,0.1,0.12,0.05,0.05,0.16,0.15,0.07,0.54,0.67,0.63,0.77,0.95,1	89.7%