NBA Win Probability Game Box Scores

NBA Win Probability Box Scores (click here for LIVE graphs)

Real Time? Pre Game Odds?

winProb
gameTime
fourFactors
pace
on/off
misc

Dallas Mavericks	131		Excitement	8.7 [191]		MVP	Andrew Nembhard (IND): +41.7%
Indiana Pacers	135		Comeback	93.3 [30]		LVP	Max Christie (DAL): -3.4%

Dallas Mavericks
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Kai Jones	0.26	0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,-0.01,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.07,0.18,0.18,0.18,0.18,0.18,0.18,0.18,0.18,0.18,0.18,0.23,0.27,0.27,0.27,0.26,0.26,0.26,0.26,0.26,0.26	0.16	0.11	0.01	9	90%	0.28	1	-0.02	2	100%	0.01
Naji Marshall	0.23	0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.05,-0.04,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.08,-0.08,-0.09,-0.09,-0.05,-0.05,-0.07,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,0.02,0.02,0.1,0.15,0.15,0.12,0.12,0.14,0.14,0.15,0.23,0.23,0.23,0.23	0.03	0.20	0.00	15	54%	0.27	2	-0.05	7	57%	-0.04
P.J. Washington	0.20	0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0,-0.03,-0.03,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.03,0.01,0.01,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.06,0.06,0.04,0.03,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,0.02,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.01,0.01,0.19,0.19,0.2	0.04	0.17	0.00	18	57%	0.29	3	-0.09	10	60%	-0.03
Spencer Dinwiddie	0.19	0,0,0,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.04,-0.05,-0.05,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,0,0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.09,0.09,0.19,0.19	0.02	0.15	-0.02	16	49%	0.22	1	-0.02	3	100%	0.04
Kessler Edwards	0.07	0,0,0,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.03,0.09,0.09,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07	0.07	0.01	0.01	5	90%	0.08	1	-0.02	0	0%	0.00
Jaden Hardy	0.02	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.04,0.06,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.1,0.13,0.1,0.1,0.13,0.17,0.17,0.22,0.22,0.22,0.29,0.29,0.29,0.29,0.29,0.29,0.02	0.14	-0.13	-0.01	13	75%	0.25	2	-0.24	6	83%	-0.03
Dwight Powell	-0.01	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01	-0.02	0.00	-0.00	1	0%	-0.01	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Max Christie	-0.03	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.05,0.03,0.01,0.05,0.05,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.07,-0.03	0.08	-0.10	0.02	11	65%	0.10	2	-0.13	4	100%	0.01

Indiana Pacers
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Andrew Nembhard	0,0,0.02,0.03,0.03,0.02,0.03,0.03,0.06,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.03,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.04,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.07,0.04,0.01,0.01,-0.05,-0.05,-0.1,-0.08,0.42	0.42	0.07	0.34	-0.01	14	59%	0.50	2	-0.08	9	67%	-0.03
Bennedict Mathurin	0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.05,-0.05,-0.03,-0.03,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,0,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.02,0.04,0.16,0.26,0.26,0.31	0.31	0.11	0.22	0.01	12	64%	0.34	1	-0.03	12	83%	0.07
Pascal Siakam	0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.05,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.09,0.07,0.07,0.11,0.11,0.13,0.11,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.12,0.1,0.1,0.11,0.14,0.17,0.17,0.17,0.17,0.17,0.17,0.17,0.17,0.17,0.18,0.23,0.26,0.26,0.26,0.26,0.26,0.26,0.26,0.26	0.26	0.18	0.09	0.00	16	78%	0.33	3	-0.07	5	80%	0.00
Aaron Nesmith	0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.04,0.06,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0,0.06,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.17	0.17	0.13	0.04	-0.00	9	86%	0.25	2	-0.07	3	100%	0.03
Obi Toppin	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,0.02,0.02,0.06,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.08,0.08,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11	0.11	0.11	0.01	0.01	6	93%	0.15	1	-0.04	2	100%	0.01
Tony Bradley	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09	0.09	0.04	0.05	0.00	1	150%	0.09	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Thomas Bryant	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07	0.07	0.06	0.01	0.01	4	87%	0.07	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Myles Turner	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03	0.03	-0.01	0.05	0.00	6	56%	0.09	2	-0.05	4	75%	-0.02
Jarace Walker	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03	0.03	0.02	0.00	-0.00	2	75%	0.03	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
T.J. McConnell	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.04,-0.04,-0.06,-0.09,-0.09,0,0,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03	-0.03	-0.04	0.01	-0.00	6	25%	-0.03	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Ben Sheppard	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.03	-0.03	-0.02	-0.01	-0.00	6	36%	-0.03	0	0.00	2	50%	-0.01

Game Length Report (minutes)

	Q1		Q2		Q3		Q4	Total
this game	29.5	2.4	25.6	15.3	28.3	1.8	48.0	150.9
league avg	25.8	2.3	28.1	14.9	28.5	2.3	32.1	134.9

Win Probability Added by the Four Factors

(aka How the Game Was Won)

victory
100% WP

start
50% WP

IND +29.1%

IND +0.6%

DAL -3.9%

IND +23.7%

IND +0.5%

Pace and Efficiency Report

	seconds / possession			points / 100 possessions
all possessions	DAL	IND	NBA	DAL	IND	NBA
this game	14.1	13.0	14.4	122.4	127.4	113.1
season	14.3	13.8		113.3	115.1
opponent	14.7	14.4		112.9	114.4

Quarterly Pace Report (seconds per possession)

	Q1	Q2	Q3	Q4	Total
DAL	14.2	15.0	13.2	13.9	14.1
IND	12.9	15.0	14.5	10.1	13.0

On/Off Win Probability and Pace Statistics

Dallas Mavericks
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Kai Jones	52	51	0.47	-0.97	1.43	0.11	12	-16	28	14.3	13.8	0.49	15.4	10.7	4.65
Dwight Powell	34	31	0.07	-0.57	0.63	0.10	-1	-3	2	14.4	13.9	0.41	13.5	12.8	0.69
Jaden Hardy	54	54	-0.10	-0.40	0.30	-0.39	10	-14	24	13.6	14.6	-1.01	12.1	13.8	-1.74
Kessler Edwards	43	45	-0.32	-0.18	-0.14	0.12	-15	11	-26	14.9	13.5	1.31	13.0	13.0	0.03
Spencer Dinwiddie	94	93	-0.56	0.06	-0.61	-0.58	1	-5	6	13.8	16.3	-2.54	13.1	12.3	0.75
P.J. Washington	89	87	-0.59	0.09	-0.68	-0.44	-5	1	-6	13.8	15.3	-1.45	12.9	13.4	-0.49
Naji Marshall	86	88	-0.73	0.23	-0.96	-0.35	-13	9	-22	14.5	12.5	1.93	12.2	16.7	-4.46
Max Christie	83	81	-0.74	0.24	-0.97	-0.47	-9	5	-14	13.9	14.5	-0.60	12.6	14.0	-1.41

Indiana Pacers
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Bennedict Mathurin	72	75	0.63	-0.13	0.77	0.49	5	-1	6	11.7	15.6	-3.82	13.9	14.5	-0.61
Ben Sheppard	57	57	0.62	-0.12	0.74	0.39	8	-4	12	13.8	12.0	1.83	13.3	14.9	-1.59
Pascal Siakam	77	76	0.56	-0.06	0.63	0.45	4	0	4	13.0	13.0	-0.00	14.1	13.9	0.20
Andrew Nembhard	72	75	0.56	-0.06	0.61	0.53	1	3	-2	11.6	15.8	-4.13	14.0	14.2	-0.12
Aaron Nesmith	79	79	0.50	-0.00	0.51	0.42	3	1	2	11.9	16.0	-4.08	14.4	13.0	1.41
Obi Toppin	47	50	0.05	0.45	-0.40	-0.15	7	-3	10	11.9	13.8	-2.00	14.8	13.4	1.44
Jarace Walker	13	12	0.01	0.49	-0.48	0.07	-2	6	-8	18.0	12.3	5.74	13.1	14.2	-1.12
Thomas Bryant	23	22	0.01	0.49	-0.49	0.01	0	4	-4	16.3	12.0	4.32	13.5	14.2	-0.67
T.J. McConnell	34	32	-0.06	0.56	-0.61	-0.14	3	1	2	15.8	11.6	4.13	14.2	14.0	0.12
Myles Turner	48	49	-0.16	0.66	-0.81	-0.04	-4	8	-12	13.2	12.8	0.37	14.0	14.2	-0.21
Tony Bradley	8	8	-0.23	0.73	-0.96	-0.08	-5	9	-14	15.6	12.7	2.88	15.7	13.9	1.81

Dopplegamers 0.5,0.49,0.51,0.52,0.54,0.53,0.56,0.53,0.62,0.63,0.62,0.65,0.66,0.74,0.81,0.78,0.77,0.71,0.82,0.75,0.73,0.72,0.69,0.73,0.82,0.8,0.86,0.86,0.73,0.73,0.67,0.74,0.65,0.56,0.66,0.64,0.56,0.46,0.43,0.43,0.29,0.23,0.21,0.05,0.13,0.31,0.29,0.14,0.01,1
Game		Similarity Score
LAC 130, IND 131	0.5,0.49,0.49,0.55,0.51,0.52,0.58,0.55,0.63,0.67,0.65,0.65,0.66,0.7,0.72,0.71,0.71,0.71,0.67,0.72,0.67,0.64,0.72,0.73,0.7,0.7,0.74,0.86,0.8,0.7,0.67,0.68,0.59,0.59,0.56,0.6,0.64,0.5,0.48,0.43,0.42,0.32,0.36,0.29,0.27,0.39,0.37,0.33,0.28,1	91.3%
BOS 80, SAS 81	0.5,0.51,0.52,0.55,0.55,0.61,0.63,0.61,0.66,0.7,0.72,0.68,0.71,0.72,0.78,0.78,0.81,0.79,0.8,0.8,0.75,0.76,0.84,0.79,0.73,0.7,0.6,0.63,0.61,0.67,0.55,0.52,0.48,0.52,0.63,0.48,0.4,0.3,0.3,0.33,0.33,0.32,0.21,0.09,0.1,0.11,0.1,0.05,0.17,1	89.5%
HOU 89, LAC 90	0.5,0.51,0.51,0.54,0.58,0.61,0.69,0.73,0.71,0.72,0.79,0.8,0.81,0.81,0.81,0.85,0.8,0.81,0.78,0.77,0.84,0.8,0.82,0.82,0.82,0.78,0.74,0.7,0.64,0.61,0.58,0.58,0.59,0.69,0.69,0.6,0.4,0.38,0.26,0.21,0.21,0.32,0.36,0.19,0.13,0.14,0.15,0.23,0.08,1	89.3%