NBA Win Probability Game Box Scores

NBA Win Probability Box Scores (click here for LIVE graphs)

Real Time? Pre Game Odds?

winProb
gameTime
fourFactors
pace
on/off
misc

Indiana Pacers	132		Excitement	13.3 [6]		MVP	Obi Toppin (IND): +138.8%
Minnesota Timberwolves	130		Comeback	21.3 [37]		LVP	Jarace Walker (IND): -29.9%

Indiana Pacers
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Obi Toppin	1.39	0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.03,0.03,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.06,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.09,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.49,0.49,1.39	0.25	1.14	-0.00	19	81%	1.42	2	-0.03	4	75%	0.01
Quenton Jackson	0.24	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.12,0.08,0.13,0.18,0.3,0.3,0.3,0.3,0.24,0.24,0.24,0.24,0.24	0.11	0.13	0.00	6	81%	0.24	0	0.00	4	100%	0.05
T.J. McConnell	0.12	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0,0.03,0.02,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.05,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,0.02,0.02,0.24,0.24,0.19,0.19,0.12,0.12	-0.05	0.18	0.00	12	42%	0.19	2	-0.06	2	50%	-0.05
Bennedict Mathurin	0.09	0,0,0,-0.01,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.03,0.01,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.01,-0.01,-0.05,-0.07,-0.07,-0.01,0.06,0.02,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.11,0.11,0.15,0.15,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09	0.03	0.04	-0.02	17	52%	0.15	2	-0.06	8	87%	0.03
Ben Sheppard	0.04	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04	0.01	0.03	0.00	3	50%	0.04	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Andrew Nembhard	0.03	0,0,0,0,0.01,0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.05,0.03,0.03,0.01,0.01,0.02,0.02,0,0,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03	0.03	0.00	0.00	8	67%	0.08	2	-0.05	2	50%	-0.01
Tony Bradley	0.00	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.04,0.06,0.06,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	0.02	-0.02	0.00	8	75%	0.07	3	-0.07	0	0%	0.00
Thomas Bryant	-0.23	0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,0,0.02,0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.04,-0.04,-0.07,-0.07,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.22,-0.27,-0.27,-0.23,-0.23	-0.09	-0.14	-0.00	12	40%	-0.07	4	-0.16	1	100%	0.00
Jarace Walker	-0.30	0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,-0.03,-0.09,-0.09,-0.01,-0.06,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.3,-0.3,-0.3,-0.3,-0.3,-0.3	-0.05	-0.25	-0.00	12	54%	0.17	5	-0.47	0	0%	0.00

Minnesota Timberwolves
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Anthony Edwards	0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.04,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.05,-0.03,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,0,0.07,0.13,0.17,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.07,0.07,0.01,-0.04,0.09,0.04,0.04,0.14,0.2,0.2,0.3,0.43,0.6	0.60	0.10	0.49	-0.01	24	56%	0.67	3	-0.07	20	95%	0.28
Mike Conley	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,0.06,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.24,0.24,0.24	0.24	0.05	0.19	0.00	3	90%	0.28	1	-0.04	4	75%	-0.01
Jaden McDaniels	0,0,0,0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.04,-0.04,-0.06,-0.06,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.06,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,0.19,0.19,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11	0.11	-0.05	0.16	0.00	14	46%	0.21	3	-0.11	0	0%	0.00
Naz Reid	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.02,0.02,0.06,0.06,0.12,0.1,0.11,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.05,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.18,0.16,0.21,0.21,0.21,0.21,0.21,0.21,0.21,0.21,0.21,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.08,0.08	0.08	0.09	-0.00	0.00	16	66%	0.18	2	-0.10	0	0%	0.00
Nickeil Alexander-Walker	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.04,-0.04,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.02,-0.02,0.02,0.02,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08	0.08	-0.01	0.07	-0.01	8	50%	0.10	1	-0.03	0	0%	0.00
Donte DiVincenzo	0,0,0,0,0,0.03,0.02,0.03,0.03,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,0.02,0.07,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.12,0.12,0.24,0.24,0.14,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03	0.03	0.10	-0.07	-0.00	16	59%	0.03	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Rudy Gobert	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02	0.02	0.00	0.00	-0.02	2	50%	0.02	0	0.00	2	50%	-0.01
Julius Randle	0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,0,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.02,0,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,0.01,-0.1,0.02,0.02,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0	-0.00	-0.02	0.00	-0.01	11	53%	0.17	4	-0.18	10	60%	0.02
Jaylen Clark	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02	-0.02	-0.01	-0.01	0.00	3	33%	-0.02	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00

Game Length Report (minutes)

	Q1		Q2		Q3		Q4		OT1	Total
this game	29.5	1.6	26.5	14.4	36.5	2.4	37.2	2.5	17.4	168.0
league avg	25.8	2.3	28.1	14.9	28.5	2.3	32.1	2.4	15.6	134.9

Win Probability Added by the Four Factors

(aka How the Game Was Won)

victory
100% WP

start
50% WP

IND +137.5%

MIN -72.0%

IND +11.7%

MIN -34.0%

IND +6.9%

Pace and Efficiency Report

	seconds / possession			points / 100 possessions
all possessions	IND	MIN	NBA	IND	MIN	NBA
this game	13.7	14.2	14.4	116.8	113.0	113.1
season	13.8	14.7		115.1	115.4
opponent	14.6	14.7		110.3	112.9

Quarterly Pace Report (seconds per possession)

	Q1	Q2	Q3	Q4	OT	Total
IND	13.6	14.4	14.1	13.6	11.8	13.7
MIN	13.6	15.6	12.6	15.7	13.2	14.2

On/Off Win Probability and Pace Statistics

Indiana Pacers
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Obi Toppin	96	98	0.73	-0.23	0.97	0.53	7	-5	12	13.5	14.9	-1.45	14.1	14.7	-0.61
Ben Sheppard	61	62	0.54	-0.04	0.58	0.57	-1	3	-4	14.2	13.2	1.03	14.0	14.4	-0.36
Thomas Bryant	71	72	0.47	0.03	0.45	0.39	3	-1	4	13.6	13.8	-0.16	14.1	14.3	-0.12
T.J. McConnell	67	68	0.34	0.16	0.18	0.43	-3	5	-8	13.8	13.6	0.24	13.5	15.2	-1.74
Quenton Jackson	41	42	0.24	0.26	-0.02	0.42	-6	8	-14	12.1	14.6	-2.49	14.3	14.1	0.24
Andrew Nembhard	40	41	0.19	0.31	-0.12	0.04	5	-3	8	13.8	13.7	0.10	14.5	14.0	0.44
Jarace Walker	75	76	0.07	0.43	-0.37	0.01	2	0	2	13.7	13.7	0.08	14.3	14.0	0.24
Bennedict Mathurin	72	73	-0.03	0.53	-0.55	-0.14	4	-2	6	14.3	12.6	1.76	14.8	13.1	1.64
Tony Bradley	42	43	-0.06	0.56	-0.62	-0.03	-1	3	-4	13.8	13.6	0.16	14.3	14.1	0.12

Minnesota Timberwolves
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Mike Conley	66	67	1.14	-1.64	2.77	0.43	24	-26	50	14.2	14.2	-0.07	14.9	12.0	2.84
Naz Reid	67	67	0.07	-0.57	0.64	-0.05	4	-6	10	14.1	14.2	-0.12	13.7	13.7	0.09
Jaylen Clark	20	19	0.05	-0.55	0.60	-0.01	2	-4	6	13.1	14.4	-1.25	12.8	13.9	-1.10
Rudy Gobert	45	45	-0.06	-0.44	0.37	-0.09	1	-3	4	14.0	14.3	-0.26	14.4	13.2	1.22
Julius Randle	87	85	-0.52	0.02	-0.54	-0.34	-6	4	-10	14.3	13.9	0.43	13.6	14.1	-0.48
Jaden McDaniels	69	69	-0.54	0.04	-0.58	-0.36	-6	4	-10	15.3	12.6	2.70	13.9	13.4	0.49
Nickeil Alexander-Walker	59	57	-0.65	0.15	-0.80	-0.59	-2	0	-2	13.3	15.1	-1.87	14.1	13.3	0.77
Anthony Edwards	91	88	-0.78	0.28	-1.07	-0.58	-7	5	-12	14.0	14.7	-0.66	13.3	15.3	-2.02
Donte DiVincenzo	71	68	-1.20	0.70	-1.89	-0.61	-20	18	-38	14.4	13.8	0.59	12.5	15.5	-3.00

Dopplegamers 0.5,0.51,0.51,0.54,0.54,0.56,0.51,0.49,0.51,0.53,0.49,0.45,0.44,0.5,0.44,0.49,0.53,0.52,0.46,0.35,0.27,0.31,0.24,0.15,0.16,0.14,0.16,0.23,0.22,0.24,0.29,0.32,0.35,0.48,0.59,0.48,0.48,0.42,0.57,0.85,0.76,0.77,0.64,0.65,0.61,0.69,0.72,0.35,0.31,0.54,0.75,0.79,0.78,0.85,0
Game		Similarity Score
OKC 111, DAL 110	0.5,0.49,0.52,0.57,0.52,0.46,0.4,0.37,0.36,0.32,0.28,0.24,0.27,0.28,0.3,0.3,0.31,0.27,0.27,0.22,0.15,0.22,0.18,0.23,0.27,0.2,0.31,0.3,0.31,0.3,0.33,0.42,0.48,0.43,0.41,0.52,0.52,0.46,0.6,0.67,0.72,0.58,0.73,0.71,0.61,0.69,0.55,0.57,0.15,0.46,0.47,0.54,0.76,0.85,0	86.7%
MIN 95, NYK 92	0.5,0.49,0.48,0.48,0.52,0.53,0.53,0.41,0.43,0.41,0.39,0.42,0.45,0.43,0.42,0.45,0.38,0.35,0.29,0.32,0.36,0.34,0.33,0.42,0.36,0.27,0.29,0.37,0.37,0.39,0.45,0.35,0.38,0.38,0.41,0.56,0.52,0.5,0.52,0.53,0.43,0.38,0.41,0.65,0.54,0.61,0.55,0.57,0.26,0.54,0.69,0.72,0.45,0.73,0	85.9%
DET 127, CHA 126	0.5,0.49,0.49,0.48,0.46,0.53,0.47,0.57,0.57,0.53,0.53,0.42,0.44,0.43,0.51,0.44,0.4,0.47,0.46,0.58,0.44,0.49,0.46,0.39,0.36,0.42,0.32,0.37,0.45,0.57,0.42,0.42,0.45,0.58,0.56,0.59,0.56,0.58,0.67,0.75,0.63,0.68,0.69,0.76,0.66,0.75,0.64,0.45,0.84,0.46,0.55,0.72,0.78,0.58,0	85.3%