NBA Win Probability Game Box Scores

NBA Win Probability Box Scores (click here for LIVE graphs)

winProb
gameTime
fourFactors
pace
on/off
misc

Minnesota Timberwolves	95		Excitement	11.3 [38]		MVP	Zach LaVine (MIN): +25.0%
New York Knicks	92		Comeback	3.7 [319]		LVP	Kevin Martin (MIN): -34.6%

Minnesota Timberwolves
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Zach LaVine	0.25	0,0,0,0,0,0.03,0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0,-0.02,0.03,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.02,-0.02,0.01,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.15,-0.07,-0.07,0.25	0.04	0.22	0.01	13	65%	0.47	4	-0.22	5	100%	0.15
Gorgui Dieng	0.12	0,0,0.02,0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.07,0.04,0.07,0.07,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.12,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.12,0.12,0.12	0.10	0.04	0.01	10	79%	0.21	2	-0.09	4	25%	-0.04
Adreian Payne	-0.00	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.05,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	-0.01	0.01	0.00	3	33%	-0.00	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Lorenzo Brown	-0.04	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04	-0.02	-0.02	0.00	2	50%	-0.01	1	-0.03	0	0%	0.00
Sean Kilpatrick	-0.10	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1	-0.04	-0.06	0.00	1	0%	-0.03	1	-0.06	0	0%	0.00
Chase Budinger	-0.15	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.04,0.09,0.05,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.15,-0.15	-0.03	-0.12	-0.00	11	42%	-0.10	1	-0.05	2	100%	0.01
Andrew Wiggins	-0.18	0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.06,-0.05,-0.05,-0.01,-0.02,-0.04,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.09,-0.07,-0.04,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.07,-0.07,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.03,-0.09,-0.09,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.18	-0.08	-0.11	-0.01	17	42%	-0.11	3	-0.07	14	86%	-0.04
Kevin Martin	-0.35	0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.05,-0.05,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,0.07,0.07,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,0.03,0.01,0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.08,-0.08,-0.11,-0.18,-0.12,-0.12,-0.05,0.03,-0.18,-0.35,-0.35,-0.35,-0.35,-0.35,-0.35	-0.13	-0.24	-0.02	26	39%	-0.21	4	-0.14	5	100%	0.03

New York Knicks
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Langston Galloway	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.02,0.01,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.1,0.07,0.08,0.12,0.09,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,-0.03,0.22,0.22	0.22	0.05	0.15	-0.03	20	52%	0.26	1	-0.03	0	0%	0.00
Shane Larkin	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.23,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14	0.14	0.07	0.07	-0.00	6	71%	0.14	0	0.00	2	50%	-0.01
Cole Aldrich	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.03,0.03,0.03,-0.02,-0.02,-0.05,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.06,0,0,0,0	0.00	0.01	-0.01	0.00	7	57%	0.05	1	-0.05	0	0%	0.00
Lance Thomas	0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.05,-0.05,-0.04,-0.08,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.12,-0.09,-0.09,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04	-0.04	-0.07	0.04	0.00	10	30%	-0.01	1	-0.02	0	0%	0.00
Travis Wear	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04	-0.04	-0.02	-0.02	0.00	2	50%	-0.02	1	-0.02	0	0%	0.00
Jason Smith	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09	-0.09	-0.06	-0.03	-0.00	4	50%	0.01	3	-0.09	2	50%	-0.03
Lou Amundson	0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.06,-0.06,-0.04,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.09,-0.09,-0.1,-0.1,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11	-0.11	-0.08	-0.03	0.00	9	33%	-0.06	2	-0.05	0	0%	0.00
Quincy Acy	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14	-0.14	-0.07	-0.07	0.00	2	0%	-0.05	2	-0.09	0	0%	0.00
Alexey Shved	0,0,-0.01,-0.01,0,-0.01,-0.05,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.09,-0.06,-0.04,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.09,-0.12,-0.12,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.16,-0.16,-0.1,-0.21,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.03,-0.25	-0.25	-0.11	-0.14	0.00	21	42%	-0.11	4	-0.14	6	100%	0.14
Andrea Bargnani	0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.01,0.01,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.04,0.04,0.04,-0.07,-0.07,-0.19,-0.19,-0.19,-0.31	-0.31	-0.00	-0.29	0.01	16	44%	-0.31	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00

Game Length Report (minutes)

	Q1		Q2		Q3		Q4		OT1	Total
this game	25.3	1.8	29.1	16.4	21.8	2.6	29.2	2.3	15.4	143.9
league avg	24.6	2.3	29.6	16.0	26.9	2.3	33.6	2.0	17.8	136.8

Win Probability Added by the Four Factors

(aka How the Game Was Won)

victory
100% WP

start
50% WP

MIN +5.6%

MIN +27.2%

MIN +32.2%

NYK -12.8%

NYK -2.1%

Pace and Efficiency Report

	seconds / possession			points / 100 possessions
all possessions	MIN	NYK	NBA	MIN	NYK	NBA
this game	14.3	17.0	15.1	94.1	90.2	104.2
season	15.0	16.1		101.2	98.5
opponent	15.0	15.0		108.3	110.5

Quarterly Pace Report (seconds per possession)

	Q1	Q2	Q3	Q4	OT	Total
MIN	12.4	12.2	15.3	18.4	14.3	14.3
NYK	16.4	16.0	17.5	18.5	17.1	17.0

On/Off Win Probability and Pace Statistics

Minnesota Timberwolves
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Chase Budinger	83	83	0.71	-0.21	0.92	0.42	10	-7	17	13.9	16.1	-2.17	17.0	16.8	0.18
Gorgui Dieng	93	95	0.60	-0.10	0.70	0.40	7	-4	11	14.1	17.1	-3.04	16.8	19.6	-2.77
Zach LaVine	71	70	0.48	0.02	0.45	0.48	0	3	-3	14.5	13.9	0.65	17.2	16.6	0.58
Andrew Wiggins	81	81	0.45	0.05	0.40	0.51	-2	5	-7	14.6	13.4	1.16	16.7	18.0	-1.21
Lorenzo Brown	50	52	0.31	0.19	0.13	0.20	4	-1	5	13.1	15.5	-2.43	16.5	17.5	-1.08
Kevin Martin	81	82	0.19	0.31	-0.13	0.13	2	1	1	14.9	11.9	2.96	17.2	16.2	0.92
Sean Kilpatrick	20	21	0.05	0.45	-0.40	-0.09	5	-2	7	13.4	14.6	-1.16	18.0	16.7	1.21
Adreian Payne	26	26	-0.28	0.78	-1.07	0.04	-11	14	-25	16.4	13.6	2.82	17.6	16.8	0.79

New York Knicks
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Travis Wear	27	25	0.13	-0.63	0.76	0.13	0	-3	3	16.1	17.3	-1.20	12.7	14.9	-2.19
Jason Smith	40	41	0.08	-0.58	0.65	0.14	-2	-1	-1	17.4	16.7	0.67	14.2	14.4	-0.14
Lou Amundson	41	41	0.06	-0.56	0.62	-0.06	4	-7	11	16.7	17.2	-0.51	13.3	15.0	-1.74
Shane Larkin	44	45	-0.04	-0.46	0.42	-0.10	2	-5	7	17.8	16.4	1.42	15.6	13.3	2.26
Cole Aldrich	44	42	-0.10	-0.40	0.29	-0.16	2	-5	7	17.2	16.8	0.38	14.4	14.3	0.17
Lance Thomas	61	60	-0.16	-0.34	0.18	-0.25	3	-6	9	17.0	17.0	0.07	14.0	14.8	-0.72
Quincy Acy	25	26	-0.32	-0.18	-0.14	-0.20	-4	1	-5	17.8	16.7	1.02	16.7	13.5	3.13
Alexey Shved	81	80	-0.57	0.07	-0.65	-0.40	-6	3	-9	17.1	16.5	0.65	14.6	13.1	1.49
Langston Galloway	82	80	-0.64	0.14	-0.78	-0.53	-4	1	-5	16.5	18.9	-2.44	13.8	16.5	-2.71
Andrea Bargnani	65	65	-0.92	0.42	-1.35	-0.63	-10	7	-17	16.7	17.5	-0.74	14.4	14.2	0.16

Dopplegamers 0.5,0.49,0.48,0.48,0.52,0.53,0.53,0.41,0.43,0.41,0.39,0.42,0.45,0.43,0.42,0.45,0.38,0.35,0.29,0.32,0.36,0.34,0.33,0.42,0.36,0.27,0.29,0.37,0.37,0.39,0.45,0.35,0.38,0.38,0.41,0.56,0.52,0.5,0.52,0.53,0.43,0.38,0.41,0.65,0.54,0.61,0.55,0.57,0.26,0.54,0.69,0.72,0.45,0.73,0
Game		Similarity Score
SAS 96, DET 95	0.5,0.49,0.45,0.46,0.51,0.56,0.61,0.61,0.59,0.57,0.63,0.58,0.51,0.54,0.51,0.47,0.4,0.4,0.35,0.3,0.29,0.36,0.44,0.39,0.46,0.5,0.54,0.46,0.45,0.42,0.3,0.34,0.29,0.35,0.34,0.37,0.52,0.46,0.38,0.47,0.58,0.53,0.53,0.47,0.67,0.68,0.63,0.68,0.4,0.46,0.55,0.72,0.77,0.73,0	88.3%
BOS 101, PHI 98	0.5,0.51,0.56,0.54,0.53,0.5,0.45,0.41,0.39,0.33,0.38,0.44,0.43,0.52,0.44,0.42,0.36,0.42,0.33,0.28,0.36,0.41,0.46,0.58,0.67,0.54,0.62,0.57,0.49,0.45,0.48,0.55,0.38,0.45,0.34,0.29,0.36,0.46,0.57,0.62,0.53,0.47,0.47,0.54,0.46,0.45,0.45,0.57,0.42,0.5,0.61,0.78,0.66,0.91,0	88.1%
CHI 105, BOS 103	0.5,0.51,0.49,0.49,0.48,0.44,0.42,0.49,0.49,0.47,0.51,0.6,0.56,0.5,0.51,0.49,0.56,0.51,0.46,0.47,0.36,0.36,0.33,0.28,0.3,0.25,0.23,0.37,0.33,0.36,0.36,0.29,0.41,0.45,0.44,0.52,0.52,0.54,0.48,0.43,0.33,0.47,0.47,0.4,0.4,0.25,0.64,0.67,0.27,0.54,0.55,0.37,0.34,0.42,0	88.1%