NBA Win Probability Game Box Scores

NBA Win Probability Box Scores (click here for LIVE graphs)

Real Time? Pre Game Odds?

winProb
gameTime
fourFactors
pace
on/off
misc

Toronto Raptors	126		Excitement	6.7 [529]		MVP	Immanuel Quickley (TOR): +14.1%
Utah Jazz	118		Comeback	1.7 [508]		LVP	Collin Sexton (UTA): -20.1%

Toronto Raptors
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Immanuel Quickley	0.14	0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,0.01,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.06,0.03,0,0,0,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.08,0.17,0.17,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14	0.07	0.06	-0.01	13	62%	0.19	2	-0.05	6	100%	0.03
A.J. Lawson	0.13	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0.01,0.01,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.05,0.01,0.01,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13	0.09	0.04	0.01	10	69%	0.17	1	-0.04	6	67%	-0.03
Scottie Barnes	0.10	0,0,-0.01,-0.01,0.02,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.01,0.01,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.07,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1	0.03	0.02	-0.05	16	53%	0.13	1	-0.03	6	50%	-0.04
RJ Barrett	0.05	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.03,0.03,0.03,0,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.05,-0.02,-0.05,-0.05,-0.01,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.02,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05	0.03	0.03	0.00	14	55%	0.11	2	-0.06	3	67%	-0.01
Orlando Robinson	0.04	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04	-0.02	0.01	-0.04	10	50%	0.04	2	-0.01	8	75%	-0.01
Colin Castleton	0.03	0,0,0,0.01,0.02,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03	0.05	0.00	0.03	5	108%	0.11	4	-0.08	2	100%	0.02
Jamal Shead	0.01	0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0.03,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01	0.02	-0.00	0.01	9	61%	0.07	2	-0.06	0	0%	0.00
Garrett Temple	-0.00	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0,0,0,0	0.01	0.00	0.01	3	60%	0.02	1	-0.02	4	75%	-0.02
Jamison Battle	-0.01	0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.02,0.04,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01	-0.05	0.02	-0.02	11	32%	-0.01	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00

Utah Jazz
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Jordan Clarkson	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.04,0.04,0.02,0.02,0.01,0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.03,0.06,0.03,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.04,0.04,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11	0.11	0.09	0.03	0.01	9	70%	0.17	2	-0.06	9	78%	0.01
Kyle Filipowski	0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,0.02,0.02,0.04,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.16,0.16,0.13,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11	0.11	0.06	0.03	-0.01	11	64%	0.14	2	-0.03	6	83%	0.02
Isaiah Collier	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.02,0,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.09,0.1,0.11,0.11,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1	0.10	0.06	0.06	0.02	11	59%	0.11	1	-0.02	5	80%	0.01
Brice Sensabaugh	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.04,0,0,0,0,0,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.09,0.09,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.07	0.07	0.11	0.01	0.05	7	93%	0.09	1	-0.02	0	0%	0.00
Cody Williams	0,0,0,0,0,0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.07,0.07,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05	0.05	-0.01	-0.00	-0.06	5	60%	0.09	2	-0.05	0	0%	0.00
KJ Martin	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	-0.00	-0.01	0.01	0.00	3	33%	-0.00	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Lauri Markkanen	0,0,0.03,0.02,0.01,0.03,0.05,0.03,0.01,0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.03,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	-0.00	0.02	-0.01	0.02	14	53%	0.04	2	-0.04	2	100%	0.01
Johnny Juzang	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.04,0.04,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.06,0.06,0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02	-0.02	0.03	-0.02	0.03	12	54%	0.01	2	-0.04	2	100%	0.01
Jaden Springer	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.02,0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03	-0.03	-0.01	-0.02	-0.00	4	50%	-0.01	1	-0.03	4	50%	-0.02
Collin Sexton	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.07,-0.1,-0.19,-0.19,-0.19,-0.19,-0.23,-0.23,-0.17,-0.17,-0.2,-0.2,-0.2,-0.2,-0.2,-0.2,-0.2,-0.2,-0.2,-0.2,-0.2	-0.20	-0.14	-0.06	0.00	13	28%	-0.10	3	-0.10	3	67%	0.00

Game Length Report (minutes)

	Q1		Q2		Q3		Q4	Total
this game	31.4	1.8	32.2	14.7	33.2	1.8	27.2	142.3
league avg	25.9	2.3	28.2	14.9	28.6	2.3	32.2	135.3

Win Probability Added by the Four Factors

(aka How the Game Was Won)

victory
100% WP

start
50% WP

TOR +40.7%

UTA -13.2%

TOR +17.2%

TOR +5.5%

UTA -0.1%

Pace and Efficiency Report

	seconds / possession			points / 100 possessions
all possessions	TOR	UTA	NBA	TOR	UTA	NBA
this game	11.8	13.6	14.4	109.6	105.4	113.0
season	13.9	14.8		109.0	109.6
opponent	13.7	14.6		119.0	113.0

Quarterly Pace Report (seconds per possession)

	Q1	Q2	Q3	Q4	Total
TOR	10.6	13.6	11.1	12.1	11.8
UTA	13.9	13.1	14.2	13.1	13.6

On/Off Win Probability and Pace Statistics

Toronto Raptors
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
A.J. Lawson	57	55	0.51	-0.01	0.52	0.21	10	-2	12	11.3	12.3	-0.96	14.2	12.9	1.29
Immanuel Quickley	62	61	0.48	0.02	0.46	0.07	14	-6	20	11.3	12.4	-1.11	13.6	13.6	-0.01
Scottie Barnes	59	58	0.47	0.03	0.43	0.08	13	-5	18	11.5	12.1	-0.60	13.8	13.3	0.55
Orlando Robinson	79	75	0.42	0.08	0.34	0.30	4	4	0	12.1	11.2	0.87	13.9	13.0	0.87
Garrett Temple	48	48	0.26	0.24	0.02	0.05	7	1	6	10.9	12.5	-1.55	14.8	12.7	2.16
Jamal Shead	63	61	0.18	0.32	-0.15	0.12	2	6	-4	11.5	12.2	-0.68	13.7	13.4	0.31
Colin Castleton	59	59	0.18	0.32	-0.15	0.15	1	7	-6	11.9	11.7	0.17	12.9	14.4	-1.48
RJ Barrett	61	59	0.13	0.37	-0.23	0.13	0	8	-8	12.5	11.1	1.37	12.9	14.3	-1.44
Jamison Battle	87	84	-0.11	0.61	-0.72	0.21	-11	19	-30	12.7	9.2	3.49	12.9	15.7	-2.80

Utah Jazz
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Lauri Markkanen	42	44	0.16	-0.66	0.82	-0.13	10	-18	28	12.7	14.1	-1.39	13.1	11.0	2.06
Isaiah Collier	83	86	0.16	-0.66	0.82	-0.19	12	-20	32	12.9	15.6	-2.66	12.6	9.6	2.94
Kyle Filipowski	75	78	0.12	-0.62	0.73	-0.30	14	-22	36	12.7	15.3	-2.52	12.8	9.7	3.08
Cody Williams	61	64	-0.02	-0.48	0.47	-0.13	4	-12	16	12.6	14.8	-2.17	12.6	10.9	1.72
Jaden Springer	37	38	-0.08	-0.42	0.34	-0.26	6	-14	20	13.0	13.9	-0.91	13.7	10.9	2.79
Brice Sensabaugh	48	50	-0.32	-0.18	-0.15	-0.06	-9	1	-10	14.6	12.8	1.76	11.2	12.3	-1.06
Johnny Juzang	57	57	-0.48	-0.02	-0.47	-0.19	-10	2	-12	14.3	12.8	1.46	10.8	12.8	-2.07
Jordan Clarkson	52	53	-0.50	-0.00	-0.50	-0.09	-14	6	-20	14.7	12.6	2.18	11.2	12.4	-1.24
Collin Sexton	52	52	-0.76	0.26	-1.03	-0.06	-24	16	-40	14.2	13.1	1.07	9.9	13.4	-3.53
KJ Martin	53	53	-0.77	0.27	-1.04	0.08	-29	21	-50	14.7	12.6	2.12	10.1	13.3	-3.20

Dopplegamers 0.5,0.49,0.54,0.52,0.46,0.56,0.58,0.57,0.55,0.61,0.51,0.42,0.4,0.35,0.34,0.34,0.32,0.38,0.4,0.39,0.42,0.41,0.49,0.51,0.51,0.51,0.58,0.6,0.55,0.48,0.58,0.35,0.41,0.45,0.52,0.6,0.44,0.38,0.3,0.15,0.08,0.02,0.02,0.03,0.09,0.03,0,0,0,0
Game		Similarity Score
LAL 119, VAN 110	0.5,0.51,0.49,0.54,0.55,0.54,0.55,0.55,0.57,0.55,0.47,0.47,0.4,0.46,0.42,0.36,0.33,0.27,0.33,0.34,0.41,0.45,0.44,0.46,0.44,0.5,0.58,0.52,0.48,0.45,0.42,0.42,0.46,0.52,0.48,0.44,0.32,0.42,0.22,0.25,0.14,0.06,0.03,0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0	93.7%
MEM 99, WAS 94	0.5,0.49,0.51,0.55,0.55,0.54,0.51,0.53,0.53,0.53,0.47,0.42,0.36,0.4,0.38,0.34,0.3,0.38,0.42,0.48,0.52,0.41,0.51,0.56,0.56,0.51,0.54,0.48,0.49,0.45,0.52,0.55,0.41,0.38,0.44,0.37,0.48,0.46,0.26,0.18,0.14,0.07,0.06,0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0	93.5%
TOR 112, PHI 90	0.5,0.49,0.52,0.55,0.52,0.44,0.42,0.43,0.45,0.45,0.49,0.47,0.51,0.43,0.38,0.42,0.45,0.38,0.42,0.44,0.48,0.46,0.51,0.49,0.51,0.5,0.63,0.54,0.45,0.45,0.42,0.32,0.41,0.41,0.41,0.44,0.44,0.42,0.22,0.09,0.04,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	92.7%