inpredictable
Powered by Blogger.
NBA Win Probability Box Scores (click here for LIVE graphs)
Real Time? Pre Game Odds?
Boston Celtics 103 Excitement6.6 [506] MVPJrue Holiday (BOS): +22.1%
Miami Heat 91 Comeback2.1 [729] LVPNeemias Queta (BOS): -11.1%


Boston Celtics
PlayerWPAeWPAclWPAgbWPAFGATS%tsWPATOtoWPAFTAFT%ftWPA
Jrue Holiday0.220,0,0.03,0.06,0.08,0.08,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.06,0.04,0.13,0.13,0.11,0.09,0.09,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.18,0.18,0.22,0.22,0.25,0.25,0.25,0.22,0.22,0.22,0.22,0.22,0.22,0.22,0.22,0.22,0.22,0.22,0.22,0.22,0.220.200.040.021583%0.251-0.0300%0.00
Sam Hauser0.070,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.070.050.01-0.01475%0.0700.0000%0.00
Derrick White0.060,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.08,-0.11,-0.13,-0.13,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.15,-0.05,0.03,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.04,-0.04,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.060.000.100.041847%0.132-0.07250%-0.01
Luke Kornet0.060,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.060.020.03-0.00367%0.0600.0000%0.00
Al Horford0.030,0,0,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.04,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.02,0.02,0.03,0.03,0.030.020.00-0.01756%0.031-0.002100%0.01
Jayson Tatum0.020,0,0,0,0.03,0.03,0.02,0.02,0.03,0.02,0,0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.05,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.06,-0.06,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0.05,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.04,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.020.020.020.012157%0.125-0.097100%0.03
Jordan Walsh-0.010,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01-0.020.00-0.0010%-0.0100.0000%0.00
Payton Pritchard-0.040,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.03,0.05,0.03,0.03,0.02,0,-0.01,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,0.05,0.05,0.05,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04-0.03-0.01-0.001246%0.002-0.0400%0.00
Neemias Queta-0.110,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.05,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.06,-0.06,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11-0.07-0.04-0.00233%-0.013-0.102100%0.01

Miami Heat
PlayerWPAeWPAclWPAgbWPAFGATS%tsWPATOtoWPAFTAFT%ftWPA
Jaime Jaquez Jr.0,0,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.05,0.05,0.11,0.09,0.09,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.090.090.060.02-0.011057%0.0900.00333%-0.01
Davion Mitchell0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.02,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.02,0.02,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.050.050.020.01-0.02863%0.143-0.09333%-0.03
Kel'el Ware0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.040.040.040.000.00470%0.0400.00250%-0.03
Duncan Robinson0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.05,-0.05,-0.08,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.020.02-0.020.02-0.02650%0.062-0.0500%0.00
Tyler Herro0,0,0,-0.01,-0.02,0,0,0,0,-0.02,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.09,0.05,0.05,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.04,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0,0,0-0.000.01-0.02-0.001559%0.134-0.132100%0.01
Pelle Larsson0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03-0.03-0.02-0.010.00250%-0.001-0.0300%0.00
Haywood Highsmith0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.04,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05-0.05-0.05-0.00-0.0020%-0.031-0.0200%0.00
Bam Adebayo0,0,0,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.04,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.04,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.04,-0.04,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07-0.07-0.01-0.040.02753%-0.012-0.063100%0.01
Andrew Wiggins0,0,0.02,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.02,0.03,0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0,0.03,0.03,0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0.06,0.06,0.04,0.01,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.04,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1-0.10-0.04-0.030.032150%0.004-0.10450%-0.04
Game Length Report (minutes)

Q1 Q2 Q3 Q4Total
this game23.31.829.014.823.52.428.6123.3
league avg25.82.328.114.928.52.332.1134.9
Win Probability Added by the Four Factors
(aka How the Game Was Won)
victory
100% WP
start
50% WP
BOS +18.2%
BOS +3.1%
BOS +11.2%
BOS +14.4%
BOS +3.1%
Pace and Efficiency Report

seconds / possessionpoints / 100 possessions
all possessionsBOSMIANBABOSMIANBA
this game16.814.414.4112.097.8113.1
season15.214.9118.8111.9
opponent14.614.4111.2109.5

Quarterly Pace Report (seconds per possession)

Q1Q2Q3Q4Total
BOS14.618.415.419.016.8
MIA15.411.615.215.314.4

On/Off Win Probability and Pace Statistics

Boston Celtics
possessionswin probabilitypointspace (offense)pace (defense)
playeroffensedefenseonoffdiffcl+/-onoffdiffonoffdiffonoffdiff
Neemias Queta42420.51-0.010.520.2593618.315.62.7014.214.5-0.26
Derrick White70710.350.150.210.001201217.116.01.1014.414.30.11
Al Horford58590.340.160.19-0.1015-31817.216.01.2115.212.92.37
Payton Pritchard52510.320.180.140.32012-1217.615.71.8513.415.5-2.09
Luke Kornet44460.290.210.09-0.00102814.618.8-4.2714.913.91.02
Sam Hauser43420.290.210.080.35-214-1617.016.60.4313.115.4-2.25
Jrue Holiday66690.250.250.00-0.101201216.617.4-0.8214.613.51.10
Jayson Tatum69710.230.27-0.04-0.06102816.417.8-1.3814.813.01.72
Jordan Walsh1614-0.090.59-0.680.09-618-2415.517.1-1.5713.014.6-1.59

Miami Heat
possessionswin probabilitypointspace (offense)pace (defense)
playeroffensedefenseonoffdiffcl+/-onoffdiffonoffdiffonoffdiff
Haywood Highsmith18190.03-0.530.55-0.063-151813.514.6-1.0615.617.1-1.53
Tyler Herro7271-0.12-0.380.250.05-6-6014.912.42.4916.916.40.53
Kel'el Ware3031-0.14-0.360.23-0.171-131412.915.0-2.1517.316.60.70
Jaime Jaquez Jr.5857-0.22-0.280.070.02-8-4-415.312.82.4516.916.70.17
Pelle Larsson2829-0.33-0.17-0.16-0.21-4-8413.314.8-1.5319.515.53.98
Andrew Wiggins7573-0.33-0.17-0.16-0.01-11-1-1014.215.2-1.0116.418.4-2.05
Bam Adebayo6361-0.36-0.14-0.230.02-131-1415.012.92.1516.617.3-0.70
Davion Mitchell6767-0.45-0.05-0.41-0.34-4-8413.716.2-2.5017.814.23.56
Duncan Robinson5452-0.570.07-0.64-0.04-186-2414.614.00.5714.819.3-4.52


Dopplegamers 0.5,0.51,0.48,0.43,0.35,0.41,0.37,0.32,0.3,0.27,0.31,0.31,0.3,0.35,0.36,0.38,0.38,0.35,0.37,0.48,0.53,0.39,0.51,0.46,0.49,0.5,0.48,0.51,0.61,0.67,0.58,0.55,0.62,0.52,0.59,0.48,0.56,0.46,0.52,0.29,0.1,0.12,0.17,0.11,0.13,0.2,0.02,0,0,0
GameSimilarity Score
SAS 87, LAL 820.5,0.51,0.49,0.49,0.47,0.44,0.46,0.41,0.36,0.36,0.37,0.38,0.36,0.35,0.36,0.38,0.4,0.38,0.37,0.42,0.44,0.48,0.54,0.49,0.49,0.5,0.58,0.48,0.44,0.52,0.55,0.63,0.55,0.59,0.59,0.56,0.48,0.38,0.52,0.38,0.24,0.23,0.26,0.16,0.17,0.07,0.03,0.04,0,092.9%
BOS 96, MIL 890.5,0.5,0.51,0.54,0.5,0.43,0.41,0.35,0.41,0.39,0.4,0.36,0.37,0.37,0.4,0.42,0.46,0.44,0.42,0.42,0.44,0.44,0.49,0.56,0.49,0.5,0.51,0.6,0.61,0.67,0.7,0.65,0.62,0.66,0.44,0.52,0.56,0.38,0.43,0.29,0.16,0.18,0.07,0.09,0.04,0.1,0.05,0.01,0,092.9%
OKC 111, SAS 1050.5,0.49,0.45,0.42,0.48,0.44,0.4,0.39,0.34,0.33,0.35,0.35,0.4,0.35,0.4,0.38,0.47,0.44,0.46,0.44,0.44,0.49,0.54,0.41,0.39,0.49,0.54,0.58,0.64,0.61,0.52,0.62,0.48,0.45,0.52,0.56,0.56,0.46,0.48,0.38,0.28,0.32,0.26,0.15,0.13,0.19,0.11,0.09,0,092.7%