NBA Win Probability Game Box Scores

NBA Win Probability Box Scores (click here for LIVE graphs)

winProb
gameTime
fourFactors
pace
on/off
misc

Washington Wizards	129		Excitement	9.9 [81]		MVP	Kyshawn George (WAS): +42.8%
Detroit Pistons	125		Comeback	6.2 [87]		LVP	Cade Cunningham (DET): -16.0%

Washington Wizards
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Kyshawn George	0.43	0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,0.43,0.43	0.02	0.39	-0.01	8	56%	0.45	1	-0.02	0	0%	0.00
Justin Champagnie	0.41	0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.11,0.11,0.09,0.09,0.17,0.17,0.17,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.22,0.41,0.41,0.41,0.41,0.41,0.41	0.16	0.25	0.00	9	85%	0.41	0	0.00	2	100%	0.01
Alex Sarr	0.23	0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.05,-0.05,-0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,0.04,0.03,0.03,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.11,0.02,0.06,0.06,0.23	0.06	0.16	-0.00	12	73%	0.39	4	-0.17	2	100%	0.01
Corey Kispert	0.09	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.04,0.04,0.06,0.06,0.08,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.1,0.07,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.12,0.12,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09	0.09	-0.00	0.00	7	78%	0.12	1	-0.03	4	100%	0.03
Bub Carrington	0.05	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.04,0.04,0.02,0.04,0.04,0.03,0.02,0.04,0.04,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.05,0.03,0.03,0,0,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.05	0.02	0.02	-0.01	12	59%	0.12	3	-0.07	3	100%	0.05
Marcus Smart	0.02	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,0.01,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.06,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.09,0.06,0.03,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02	0.01	0.01	0.01	13	50%	0.06	1	-0.04	4	50%	-0.01
Richaun Holmes	0.01	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.01,0.03,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01	0.02	-0.01	-0.00	3	67%	0.05	1	-0.04	3	67%	-0.00
Anthony Gill	0.00	0	0.00	0.00	0.00	0	0%	0.00	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Khris Middleton	-0.01	0,0,0,0.02,-0.01,-0.02,0.01,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,-0.03,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.02,0.02,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01	0.05	-0.04	0.02	13	55%	0.02	1	-0.03	3	100%	0.01
Jordan Poole	-0.01	0,0,0,-0.01,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.03,0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.01,0.04,0.02,0.02,0.05,0.05,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01	-0.00	-0.01	-0.00	13	53%	0.06	3	-0.07	6	83%	0.01

Detroit Pistons
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Jalen Duren	0,0,0,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.05,0.05,0.08,0.1,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.15,0.21,0.21,0.21,0.38,0.38	0.38	0.15	0.23	0.00	10	82%	0.38	0	0.00	2	100%	0.03
Dennis Schroder	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.18,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15	0.15	0.07	0.07	0.00	6	69%	0.15	0	0.00	4	100%	0.03
Simone Fontecchio	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.04,0.03,0.03,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12	0.12	0.07	0.06	-0.00	5	82%	0.15	1	-0.02	1	100%	0.00
Isaiah Stewart	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07	0.07	0.02	0.03	-0.02	1	100%	0.07	1	-0.00	2	100%	0.01
Ausar Thompson	0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.05,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.07,-0.05,0,0,0,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03	0.03	0.02	0.00	-0.00	6	71%	0.07	2	-0.04	2	50%	-0.01
Tobias Harris	0,0,0.01,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.01,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0.04,0.04,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02	0.02	0.01	0.02	0.01	12	52%	0.09	2	-0.07	3	67%	-0.02
Tim Hardaway Jr.	0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.05,0.08,0.06,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0	0.00	-0.00	-0.01	-0.01	11	40%	0.00	0	0.00	3	67%	-0.00
Ronald Holland II	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0,0,0,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03	-0.03	-0.01	-0.02	0.00	4	33%	-0.03	0	0.00	1	100%	0.00
Malik Beasley	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.04,0.04,0.02,0.02,0.07,0.07,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.07,0.07,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04	-0.04	-0.01	-0.03	-0.00	5	57%	0.01	2	-0.05	4	50%	-0.02
Cade Cunningham	0,0,0.02,0.02,0.01,0.01,0,0.02,0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,0.03,0,0,0,-0.03,-0.03,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.02,0.03,0,0.03,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.05,0.1,0.1,0.07,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.06,0.06,0.13,0.17,0.18,-0.16	-0.16	0.04	-0.20	-0.00	25	54%	0.13	4	-0.29	21	95%	0.23

Game Length Report (minutes)

	Q1		Q2		Q3		Q4	Total
this game	31.6	2.4	33.5	15.3	28.7	2.4	38.5	152.5
league avg	25.8	2.3	28.1	14.9	28.5	2.3	32.1	134.9

Win Probability Added by the Four Factors

(aka How the Game Was Won)

victory
100% WP

start
50% WP

WAS +92.0%

DET -26.8%

DET -11.1%

DET -0.4%

DET -3.7%

Pace and Efficiency Report

	seconds / possession			points / 100 possessions
all possessions	WAS	DET	NBA	WAS	DET	NBA
this game	13.8	13.3	14.4	121.7	116.8	113.1
season	14.0	14.1		105.3	114.0
opponent	14.5	14.1		112.2	117.6

Quarterly Pace Report (seconds per possession)

	Q1	Q2	Q3	Q4	Total
WAS	14.5	11.8	15.2	13.8	13.8
DET	12.1	13.0	12.1	16.2	13.3

On/Off Win Probability and Pace Statistics

Washington Wizards
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Kyshawn George	64	64	0.78	-0.28	1.06	0.58	7	-3	10	13.8	13.7	0.08	14.1	12.0	2.10
Alex Sarr	66	66	0.61	-0.11	0.72	0.43	6	-2	8	14.6	12.3	2.27	12.7	14.2	-1.52
Khris Middleton	61	62	0.57	-0.07	0.64	0.51	2	2	0	14.0	13.4	0.59	11.9	15.2	-3.35
Bub Carrington	62	61	0.54	-0.04	0.58	0.33	7	-3	10	13.3	14.4	-1.06	13.2	13.4	-0.16
Jordan Poole	56	56	0.40	0.10	0.30	0.37	1	3	-2	14.1	13.4	0.69	11.8	14.9	-3.10
Justin Champagnie	69	73	0.14	0.36	-0.22	-0.01	5	-1	6	13.6	14.0	-0.40	13.5	12.9	0.54
Anthony Gill	0	1	0.03	0.47	-0.45	0.03	0	4	-4	0.0	13.8	-13.76	7.0	13.3	-6.34
Corey Kispert	59	60	-0.04	0.54	-0.58	-0.16	4	0	4	13.7	13.8	-0.12	14.6	11.5	3.12
Richaun Holmes	38	39	-0.26	0.76	-1.02	-0.12	-5	9	-14	12.9	14.2	-1.27	14.7	12.4	2.30
Marcus Smart	55	53	-0.26	0.76	-1.03	-0.06	-7	11	-18	13.4	14.2	-0.79	13.5	13.0	0.49

Detroit Pistons
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Simone Fontecchio	24	23	0.31	-0.81	1.12	0.19	4	-8	12	12.6	13.5	-0.90	13.3	13.9	-0.53
Isaiah Stewart	40	40	0.28	-0.78	1.07	0.08	7	-11	18	14.6	12.5	2.11	13.2	14.1	-0.87
Ronald Holland II	24	25	-0.08	-0.42	0.33	0.00	-3	-1	-2	16.1	12.5	3.61	12.5	14.1	-1.63
Dennis Schroder	41	43	-0.15	-0.35	0.20	-0.39	8	-12	20	14.1	12.8	1.36	14.1	13.5	0.63
Ausar Thompson	44	43	-0.19	-0.31	0.12	-0.07	-4	0	-4	12.6	13.7	-1.09	13.7	13.8	-0.19
Cade Cunningham	87	86	-0.28	-0.22	-0.07	-0.43	5	-9	14	12.6	16.3	-3.71	14.1	12.4	1.62
Malik Beasley	66	64	-0.29	-0.21	-0.08	-0.26	-1	-3	2	13.5	13.0	0.49	13.7	13.9	-0.23
Tim Hardaway Jr.	63	62	-0.37	-0.13	-0.24	-0.05	-11	7	-18	13.0	13.7	-0.72	13.7	13.9	-0.21
Jalen Duren	67	66	-0.78	0.28	-1.07	-0.46	-11	7	-18	12.5	14.6	-2.11	14.1	13.2	0.87
Tobias Harris	79	78	-0.94	0.44	-1.38	-0.53	-14	10	-24	13.4	12.9	0.48	13.9	13.2	0.70

Dopplegamers 0.5,0.51,0.55,0.54,0.57,0.61,0.56,0.59,0.45,0.43,0.53,0.45,0.38,0.5,0.6,0.55,0.4,0.47,0.42,0.53,0.56,0.39,0.42,0.46,0.39,0.3,0.16,0.18,0.2,0.22,0.29,0.35,0.22,0.24,0.24,0.27,0.48,0.7,0.62,0.75,0.67,0.63,0.74,0.55,0.47,0.47,0.79,0.77,0.58,0
Game		Similarity Score
NOH 99, NJN 96	0.5,0.49,0.49,0.49,0.46,0.52,0.56,0.41,0.43,0.43,0.4,0.42,0.38,0.4,0.44,0.49,0.4,0.42,0.4,0.39,0.39,0.31,0.26,0.25,0.25,0.3,0.26,0.18,0.15,0.19,0.21,0.18,0.28,0.25,0.27,0.33,0.48,0.46,0.43,0.62,0.57,0.51,0.64,0.59,0.6,0.75,0.79,0.86,0.58,0	89.3%
ATL 104, TOR 101	0.5,0.49,0.5,0.48,0.48,0.48,0.45,0.45,0.49,0.51,0.49,0.42,0.4,0.35,0.38,0.34,0.36,0.42,0.39,0.41,0.41,0.39,0.44,0.36,0.33,0.37,0.4,0.43,0.33,0.3,0.29,0.32,0.35,0.31,0.41,0.48,0.64,0.58,0.57,0.67,0.58,0.63,0.74,0.6,0.67,0.45,0.72,0.84,0.73,0	88.9%
POR 104, LAL 101	0.5,0.51,0.55,0.54,0.51,0.49,0.52,0.53,0.43,0.45,0.47,0.45,0.42,0.48,0.48,0.51,0.47,0.51,0.46,0.44,0.42,0.34,0.24,0.3,0.33,0.37,0.42,0.42,0.39,0.36,0.33,0.26,0.32,0.19,0.27,0.37,0.35,0.54,0.62,0.67,0.58,0.58,0.64,0.76,0.54,0.61,0.54,0.55,0.42,0	88.7%