NBA Win Probability Game Box Scores

NBA Win Probability Box Scores (click here for LIVE graphs)

Real Time? Pre Game Odds?

winProb
gameTime
fourFactors
pace
on/off
misc

New Orleans Hornets	99		Excitement	8.7 [150]		MVP	Rasual Butler (NOH): +30.6%
New Jersey Nets	96		Comeback	13.3 [112]		LVP	Devin Harris (NJN): -21.1%

New Orleans Hornets
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Rasual Butler	0.31	0,0,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.04,0.04,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.06,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.15,0.15,0.18,0.18,0.18,0.18,0.18,0.18,0.18,0.18,0.18,0.18,0.13,0.06,0.06,0.23,0.31	0.16	0.14	-0.00	11	73%	0.31	0	0.00	8	87%	0.05
David West	0.28	0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.06,-0.06,-0.04,-0.04,-0.02,-0.04,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.06,-0.06,-0.03,0.02,0.02,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.01,0.04,0.04,0.07,0.05,0.05,0.13,0.13,0.17,0.22,0.22,0.28,0.33,0.33,0.38,0.28,0.28,0.28	0.12	0.15	-0.00	20	60%	0.32	2	-0.04	13	92%	0.10
James Posey	0.04	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.04,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.03,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,0.04	-0.01	0.05	-0.00	8	40%	0.04	0	0.00	4	75%	-0.01
Devin Brown	0.02	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02	0.02	-0.00	0.00	2	75%	0.02	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Sean Marks	-0.00	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.03,0.03,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	-0.01	0.01	-0.00	3	33%	-0.00	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Antonio Daniels	-0.01	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01	-0.02	0.00	-0.00	1	0%	-0.01	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Peja Stojakovic	-0.11	0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.06,0.06,0.04,0.04,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.04,0.04,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.08,0.08,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.01,0.01,-0.02,-0.06,-0.06,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11	-0.01	-0.09	0.01	11	46%	-0.08	1	-0.03	2	100%	0.01
Chris Paul	-0.11	0,0,0,0,0.01,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.06,-0.06,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.01,-0.03,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.07,-0.11,-0.11,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.21,-0.11	-0.13	0.03	0.00	18	36%	-0.00	4	-0.10	3	67%	0.01
Tyson Chandler	-0.19	0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.03,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.12,-0.12,-0.19,-0.19,-0.19	-0.07	-0.12	0.00	6	50%	-0.04	4	-0.15	2	50%	-0.01

New Jersey Nets
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Vince Carter	0,0,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.02,0.02,0,0.01,0.01,-0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.05,-0.05,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0,0.02,0,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.22,0.22,0.22,0.22,0.22	0.22	0.13	0.11	0.01	17	67%	0.27	2	-0.04	5	100%	0.03
Jarvis Hayes	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.17,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13	0.13	0.06	0.06	-0.00	10	59%	0.13	0	0.00	2	50%	-0.01
Bobby Simmons	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.06,-0.06,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.03,0.1	0.10	0.00	0.10	-0.00	7	44%	0.10	0	0.00	2	100%	0.04
Chris Douglas-Roberts	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09	0.09	0.03	0.06	-0.00	5	60%	0.09	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Trenton Hassell	0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04	-0.04	-0.05	-0.00	-0.00	3	0%	-0.04	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Yi Jianlian	0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0,0,-0.02,-0.04,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06	-0.06	-0.03	-0.02	0.01	9	33%	-0.06	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Brook Lopez	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.08,0.08,-0.1	-0.10	0.01	-0.11	0.00	7	57%	0.08	1	-0.18	0	0%	0.00
Sean Williams	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.08,-0.09,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14	-0.14	-0.05	-0.09	0.00	5	40%	-0.03	2	-0.11	0	0%	0.00
Devin Harris	0,0,0,0,-0.01,0,-0.02,-0.04,-0.06,-0.06,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.09,-0.06,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.08,-0.06,-0.02,-0.02,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.01,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.06,0.09,0.19,0.19,0.19,0.14,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.1,0.1,0.04,-0.02,-0.16,-0.21	-0.21	-0.04	-0.19	-0.01	20	55%	0.10	6	-0.31	7	100%	0.03

Game Length Report (minutes)

	Q1		Q2		Q3		Q4	Total
this game	24.5	1.8	30.9	15.7	25.9	2.6	33.6	135.0
league avg	26.4	2.4	30.1	16.5	27.1	2.4	33.3	140.8

Win Probability Added by the Four Factors

(aka How the Game Was Won)

victory
100% WP

start
50% WP

NJN -43.1%

NOH +35.0%

NOH +28.1%

NOH +32.0%

NJN -2.0%

Pace and Efficiency Report

	seconds / possession			points / 100 possessions
all possessions	NOH	NJN	NBA	NOH	NJN	NBA
this game	17.4	13.3	15.5	105.3	102.1	106.4
season	16.6	16.0		105.9	106.5
opponent	15.5	15.6		108.9	106.0

Quarterly Pace Report (seconds per possession)

	Q1	Q2	Q3	Q4	Total
NOH	17.6	17.7	15.1	19.3	17.4
NJN	12.4	15.0	13.2	12.5	13.3

On/Off Win Probability and Pace Statistics

New Orleans Hornets
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Peja Stojakovic	64	64	0.80	-0.30	1.09	0.36	15	-12	27	17.4	17.3	0.12	13.7	12.4	1.26
Rasual Butler	68	67	0.73	-0.23	0.97	0.56	6	-3	9	16.5	19.7	-3.25	13.5	12.7	0.72
Tyson Chandler	75	73	0.57	-0.07	0.64	0.42	5	-2	7	17.2	18.1	-0.91	13.7	11.6	2.11
Chris Paul	83	82	0.50	0.00	0.49	0.44	2	1	1	17.3	17.7	-0.39	13.1	14.0	-0.85
David West	85	86	0.38	0.12	0.27	0.41	-1	4	-5	17.5	16.6	0.92	13.1	15.4	-2.32
Antonio Daniels	11	12	0.00	0.50	-0.49	-0.02	1	2	-1	17.7	17.3	0.39	14.0	13.1	0.85
Devin Brown	6	8	-0.07	0.56	-0.63	0.02	-3	6	-9	20.8	17.1	3.69	11.9	13.4	-1.51
Sean Marks	19	20	-0.18	0.68	-0.86	-0.06	-4	7	-11	18.1	17.2	0.91	12.2	13.5	-1.34
James Posey	59	58	-0.24	0.74	-0.98	-0.06	-6	9	-15	17.9	16.5	1.38	12.8	13.9	-1.12

New Jersey Nets
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Sean Williams	32	32	0.24	-0.74	0.99	0.13	4	-7	11	13.1	13.4	-0.29	19.0	16.6	2.40
Chris Douglas-Roberts	22	21	0.14	-0.64	0.78	0.02	4	-7	11	13.3	13.2	0.02	19.5	16.8	2.76
Trenton Hassell	34	35	-0.12	-0.38	0.27	-0.06	-2	-1	-1	14.6	12.5	2.13	16.0	18.2	-2.25
Yi Jianlian	34	35	-0.23	-0.27	0.03	0.03	-9	6	-15	14.1	12.8	1.35	16.5	17.9	-1.34
Jarvis Hayes	73	72	-0.27	-0.23	-0.05	-0.48	7	-10	17	13.0	14.1	-1.14	17.4	17.2	0.20
Devin Harris	87	87	-0.45	-0.05	-0.40	-0.42	-1	-2	1	13.3	13.1	0.12	17.5	16.4	1.03
Bobby Simmons	47	47	-0.49	-0.01	-0.47	-0.37	-4	1	-5	12.0	14.5	-2.43	18.7	16.1	2.64
Brook Lopez	62	61	-0.63	0.13	-0.77	-0.49	-5	2	-7	13.4	13.1	0.29	16.8	18.5	-1.74
Vince Carter	79	80	-0.69	0.19	-0.88	-0.43	-9	6	-15	13.2	13.3	-0.09	16.7	21.1	-4.33

Dopplegamers 0.5,0.49,0.49,0.49,0.46,0.52,0.56,0.41,0.43,0.43,0.4,0.42,0.38,0.4,0.44,0.49,0.4,0.42,0.4,0.39,0.39,0.31,0.26,0.25,0.25,0.3,0.26,0.18,0.15,0.19,0.21,0.18,0.28,0.25,0.27,0.33,0.48,0.46,0.43,0.62,0.57,0.51,0.64,0.59,0.6,0.75,0.79,0.86,0.58,0
Game		Similarity Score
PHX 97, VAN 95	0.5,0.51,0.45,0.45,0.4,0.46,0.46,0.43,0.53,0.49,0.47,0.42,0.44,0.52,0.49,0.49,0.47,0.42,0.4,0.39,0.41,0.36,0.28,0.23,0.2,0.14,0.21,0.23,0.2,0.22,0.19,0.23,0.23,0.27,0.34,0.29,0.36,0.42,0.43,0.57,0.52,0.53,0.69,0.41,0.6,0.55,0.72,0.86,0.73,0	93.1%
CLE 88, ATL 87	0.5,0.49,0.52,0.46,0.45,0.43,0.43,0.41,0.47,0.39,0.47,0.4,0.38,0.35,0.38,0.42,0.38,0.38,0.37,0.37,0.36,0.34,0.28,0.23,0.25,0.22,0.27,0.26,0.2,0.18,0.14,0.18,0.29,0.38,0.27,0.3,0.47,0.54,0.62,0.62,0.62,0.68,0.74,0.84,0.83,0.86,0.78,0.78,0.85,0	91.3%
NYK 105, NOP 103	0.5,0.49,0.49,0.48,0.43,0.47,0.44,0.49,0.53,0.47,0.49,0.42,0.42,0.35,0.4,0.36,0.36,0.35,0.27,0.22,0.19,0.24,0.22,0.21,0.2,0.2,0.19,0.1,0.13,0.17,0.14,0.18,0.2,0.24,0.41,0.3,0.44,0.46,0.58,0.62,0.76,0.77,0.69,0.6,0.67,0.86,0.93,0.91,0.59,0	91.1%